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binomial

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Posts posted by binomial

  1. my initial thought was this was generous but sort of lost interest based:

    - townsville yet to beat anyone decent raising questions about where they are at

    - seq have been strong at home

    - rebecca allen should play more minutes and hopefully improve

     

    played perth v adelaide over.

  2. not sure how much longer joey wright will be considered credible. as i recall the brisbane team he coached was so stacked that they would have won with anyone and his other efforts were poor given talent. poor to hopeless defence seems pretty much a constant which i see as the coaches main task .

  3. wesley is out and vukona is questionable from what i have read, giving perth size advantage, but abercrombie, webster and jackson not bad rebounders. significant advantage at guard for nz. 

    since return of webster nz have won their three home games by double figures.

    tempted to play nz but -5 is not an attractive number.

     

    looking at my standard melbourne and over in the other game.

  4. Illawarra lost the rebound count by 20 in the previous two games to perth. ogilvy, foreman and davidson are not much of a match for jawai, knight and wagstaff et al.

    i agree they looked pretty sketchy last time out v cairns. but have a feeling they could give a better performance here. 

    playing the over and may take a smaller bet on illawarra.

     

     

  5. willing to share where you go those priceson melbourne?

    i i like melbourne and under. both teams only ran 8 players and Heal only played 3 min for SEQ. on short turnaround i think the pace may be slower.

    also on Perth -4.5, Sydney +9 and Sydney game over 157.5.

    GL

  6. yes i had 8.5 so snuck in.

    sydney coach talking about defence but i am still playing the over tonight. apart from harrington sydney shot a decent percentage last game,even garlepp and prewster made a few baskets. so they could be on the improve.

  7. played cairns and over.

    but going townsville and under in the late game so you are probably laughing on perth.

     

    yes adelade got out by 5 i think with a few minutes remaining then went to powder. nz v melbourne hopefully be an interesting game. wesley was super impressive for breakers 

  8. i am pretty clueless as to what is going on but the tab odds to win it look prett off to me.

    adelaide look a bet at those and i would lay plenty of illawarra and some perth at those prices.

     

     

    Melbourne United
    2.5
    Perth Wildcats
    4.5
    New Zealand Breakers
    5
    Illawarra Hawks
    7
    Cairns Taipans
    13
    Sydney Kings
    13
    Adelaide 36ers
    15
    Townsville Crocodiles
    101
  9. tough losses there.

    Canberra's average losing margin is 20+

    they have only scored 70 once

    zavecs retired during the week

    montgomery showed up yesterday so unlikely to offer much

    that said i am tempted to play them. they competed with bendigo for 3qs, with bishop only scoring 4 points. both sides are pretty short on numbers 

     

  10. Adelaide -5.5

    Adelaide game over 164

    probably going to get whiplash after jumping on cairns mid week now jumping off, but they have been on a pretty nasty travel schedule by nbl standards adelaide - melbourne - nz - now back to adelaide, which makes it hard to see the half dozen players who stunk on wednesday finding their game.

     

    Illawarra +6.5 $1.85

    Illawarra game over 166.5

    After imploding when the game looked won last weekend i think they might bounce back here. perth played thursday and this will be fourth game in 9 days with trips to illawarra and melboune. 

    looking at playing illawarra over until loses or the totals move up.

     

  11. Cairns +7.5 $1.85

    Cairns looked better to me last weekend despite losing comfortably in both games. NZ looked burn the eyes hideous, although the potential is clearly there.

    Think this is a bit too many until NZ play properly.

     

    Townsville v Illawarra over 170.5

    Illawarra have lots of offence and no defence. They gave up 100+ to a perth team of modest scoring talent.....

     

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