binomial
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Posts posted by binomial
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feel lucky Burston didn't play. Worthington and Loughton got a few rebounds but were pretty hopeless.
Craig even though he was ordinary also seems a better option to me than these two, but even the commentator said something to the effect that he wasn't a full member of the team and should not be considered a legitimate option.
nice price on perth has moved alot.
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Illawarra -6
Illawarra over 176
Illawarra very consistent at home. cairns have put in some strong away performances but in general have been lacklustre.
Illawarra due a bad one i am riding them for now.
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Bendigo +4.5
Bendigo have lost 4 games ATS by more than 20 but taking them here given SEQ seem to be in freefall.
Adeleaide 0 2u
Not much between teams, with the exception of the caps, but I have Adealide rated fourth based on teams last five games.
40+ degrees probably some advantage to the home team.
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Above was meant to quote:
Tonight, NZ Breakers -6.0 @ 1.92. A challenge for Crocs to reproduce same standard as Wednesday but then again, what hope am I of landing a NBL wager?
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I am close to playing this as much as anything on Townsville's WLL pattern. But breakers have been rubbish on the road holding me back.
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back to getting mauled but feel a little hard done by with Childress being injured again and coach Fearne finally giving Torey Craig more minutes,albeit only 25, which was enough for him to dominate the game.
Adelaide bring nothing to Perth accept Joey Wright's endless whining at the refs even when they are down 20+ with a minute or so to go. its not the refs pal.
Townsville game over 164
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Canberra +8.5
One player in Adelaide made a massive difference. Not quite the same thing because Canberra lost one or two also but thinking they only need to improve a bit to cover here against free-falling Sydney.
Melbourne +4
Melbourne's best has been about as good as anyone with wins over Townsville and Bendigo. Didn't watch the Perth game last night but play by play suggests both teams were battling . Perth should be out of gas here.
Imagine you would be doing pretty well backing dogs ML all season, may be the wrong time to jump on.
Melbourne game under 147.5
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must feel a little ripped off that the $11 shot didn't even provide a sweat. nice call, wish i'd seen your play before the game i probably would have tailed.
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Decided to play Sydney +4.5 althigh expext to be punished.
They played Illawarra tough which can be seen in a better light after last night possibly and Childress should be better for the run. Garlepp played well last week which makes a difference because previously they generally had some dead wood on the floor.
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Adelaide +6.5.
Don't match up well but tough spot for Perth who would of spent most of yesterday travelling along way.
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Dandenong may have been trained in the not so subtle approach to match fixing by bendigo where you win or lose by 30 after checking what I am on and taking the opposite position, so hard to be confident. however, ignoring i think perth should be about 10 point favourite here before adjusting for tough scheduling.
Perth +4 2u
Not to clear but it appears Bowen is playing and when they have had their full compliment Adelaide have been competitive. Sydney will probably be keen after a poor showing last week but line seem too high to me.
Adelaide +16.5 2u
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great coding.
nothing happens when i press submit so i keep pressing.
im not sure they could "upgrade" to worse software if they tried.
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noticed i am now 0/4 backing Cairns and will probably jump off them just as they turn it around.
Illawarra ML
Illawarra game over 174
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played
NZ game over 164.5
previous two recent games went over this and last game Perth 1/13 3P and NZ missed lots of free throws and short range shots last meeting
Cairns -4
Caiirrns game under 161
Townsville looked their best last time Conklin didn't play, but there best performances were also against the top teams who took them lightly. the mid and lower teams have won handily more often than not. Cairns would have to see this as pretty much last chance so should make an effort.
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playing
Adelaide +8 no Bowen and revenge for Bendigo but this looks like a good spot for bendigo to throw the game again
SEQ -4.5.
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probably should give up on NBL, feeling pretty dumb money but...
Illawarra v Townsville over 170
Think this should be a bit higher, Illawarra have been in the 90s every home game and the coach wants them over a 100.
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i played Sydney and under in the Canberra game.
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in the sydney game the jump ball possession arrow to illawarra in the last few seconds was not that easy to take. it could easily have been called a foul on ogilivy instead of a jump as he reached across and slapped his arm.
that late three from steindl was pretty ridiculous, but if townsville had shot the ball poorly instead of terribly they would have won by more than 10.
also having a smaller flutter on NZ +4.5 and over 163.5 $3.60. could easily be a tense tussle but the pressure is not really on these teams as i see it so may be more up and down.
I noticed if Cairns lose they will be 4W and 7L and Adelaide 7W and 6L. They haven't played many home games so it would not be complete panic stations but you would think they would be pretty motivated not to drop this one, making me like them more.
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Cairns -3
Cairns only lost two regular season home games last season and are 3/3 this season. Adelaide are 1/4 on the road with a win over the mighty kings. Hodgson is out although this is not a huge deal as they still have Johnson, Petrie and Walker.
Adelaide will be keen for to revenge the loss from the other day but I like Cairns -3
NZ +4.
Its along way to travel and they have put in a fair few stinkers in Perth over the years but have won two of the last 3. Wesley is still out and martin is in.
I think NZ are a couple of steps ahead of everyone at the moment and if Webster continues to shoot well they will be more than difficult to beat.
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played
townsville +5.5
under 168
as i see it last game townsville played strong defence and melbourne were happy to settle for the 360 fall away 3 with a hand in their face. not sure they are smart enough to do anything else.
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small flutter on kings +5.5 seems a bit too high given illawarra haven't played well for a while.
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that game smells pretty bad to me. even if you didn't know madgen was out i dont really see why you would pour money on melbourne.
playing townsville -16.5. canberra rebounding margin is -16. they got outrebounded by adelaide 30 to 52 last game and adealide are the second worst rebounding team. townsville are the best rebounding side so should get about 40 extra shots if things run to form.
dandenong +2
dandenong game under 151.5
despite feelong this will end badly.
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money for melbourne
going to play sydney -3.5.
SEQ only played 7 players for serious minutes so travel and short turnaround looks tough.
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played melbourne -14.5
townsville only managed 65 against the non defence of adelaide with conklin, so i am not sure they have many points in them here.
lots of look ahead danger for melbourne but melbourne bench has more points in them than townsville starters for mine.
NBL 2015/16
in NBA & Basketball Predictions
Posted
Played
Perth -5
Perth game over 164.5
Adelaide game under 170.5