binomial
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Posts posted by binomial
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i am looking at jumping on round two winners to get whiplashed again.
haven't looked too closely yet but leaning Essendon, Adelaide, Brisbane and WC.
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had another look at it and agree with your richmond play.
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Agree with them, except maybe richmond. agree collingwood are poor but not sure richmond are significantly better. tempted by under due to a lack of class for both teams, but played over in most games so far.
GWS could have won last week if they kicked better, but despite this i thought they looked pretty terrible. they no longer look so talented to me. i will probably play geelong.
i think port are better than adelaide. either on port on the line or 1-39.
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well i was pretty much right about the conditions and very much wrong about the amount of scoring.
today:
Collingwood +9.5
Fremantle v Geelong over 126.5
thinking about NM +12.5 and NM game over
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playing the under on the gold coast. been a bit of rain and will be warm so hoping it will be greasy conditions and tough handling like it often is there.
this is feel / guess rather than science though.
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Playing:
NM +5.5
over 129.5 1.5u - seems like a one team score despite shortened game to me
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haven't looked into this yet, but played WC -63.5 today.
probably asking for trouble bit they racked up some healthy margins last season at home against way better squads than this.
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going the other way. i cant understand what carlton are doing naming such a rubish side.
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off west coast. adelaide final team looks alot stronger.
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very lucky, pretty much the three best players dropped out for port making the side look very ordinary.
leaning WC and GC today.
adealide side doesn't look elite to me and the game is shortened length due to heat making the big line bigger.
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does look a decent spot, but they are hard to get a handle on. while they have won six of eight only one of those was against a top 4 side and they lost that by 40. only one win was by 10+.
throw in that having more to play for has meant less than nothing and i cant be too confident.
but as you say depleted roster makes this look tough for SEQ.
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well they were in it for 3 quarters but numerous massive shots by jackson and abercrombie won it.
hard to fathom how jackson's shooting has gone from emabarrassing to sublime in a few weeks.
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Perth -3.5
under 171.5 2u
Cant see much improvement in illawarra unless lisch comes back ready to go which seems unlikely. would need something like foreman coming out of his three month slump to be competitive.
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bad call on that one. my plan was to play unders through the playoffs but moved away from it.
playing melbourne +6. thought both teams had their patches and wasn't alot in it despite holt and kickett playing very poorly. wit a better start and these two playing better i see them keeping it close.
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14 hours ago, Ashtee said:
Stats right across the page were dramatic. Fire just needed one win for top, wheras Lynx had to win to keep second. If Townsville have totally jinxed themselves and lose to Adelaide then they will finish third if SEQ win both.
Hopefully you square up for the night on the other leagues.
think stars will struggle to beat dandenong who should be looking to bounce back from their previous disgrace. apart from two players who played a combined 2.57, stars went with 6 players last game. probably make a b2b against dandenong difficult.
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Port +28.5
missing many of their best but still a decent looking side to me.
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TAB had +1.5. disgraced themselves again anyway.
Townsville 18 turnovers to 5 blowing the championship most likely.
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playing
townsville -1.5
bendigo +1.5
hoping Griffen is playing but even if not with more to play for hopefully they give a decent performance
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perth v illawarra over 171.5
matchups are bad for illawarra so they need to play at high tempo to try and avoid them. coach has said as much.if both sides hit a decent percentage should go over with a bit of luck.
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played fremantle -40.5. not sure they will score enough to win big but the difference in the strength of sides looks massive to me.
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i liked carlton til i read this morning murphy probably isnt playing, now not so sure.
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from the look of it wesley was out the game warrick missed so arguably NZ were worse off as for all his highlights warricks defence and rebounding are variable, whereas wesley often looks a bit kooky but gets the job done.
2016 AFL ROUND 3
in AFL & NRL Predictions
Posted
Went with Port 1-39 $3 tonight, not very comfortable with it though..