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bromsgrovegreen

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  1. Haha
    bromsgrovegreen reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions - 10th February   
    One of the worst managers we've ever had and I'm amazed he's got another job. Be prepared for long ball and hard to watch football.
  2. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from G1dders in Non-League Predictions - 30th September   
    Thanks for the tips and write ups.....
    I'm off to watch Bromsgrove v Chelmsford in the FA Cup, after our brilliant midweek win against previously unbeaten Halesowen I'm not betting on this game although understandably Chelmsford are favourites being a division  higher. 
    In the Southern Premier Central league I fancy Stamford at Sudbury and Stratford at home to Nuneaton
     
  3. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from andypandy23 in Non-League Predictions - 5th August   
    Great start to the season 
  4. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Predictions - 5th August   
    Great start to the season 
  5. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions - 5th August   
    I took Torquay minus 1 at Dover in the National South.
    Dover were very poor last season, lucky to stay up  and have had a tough pre season recruiting players by all accounts whilst Torquay have a settled side keeping the majority of last seasons squad.
     
  6. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Ante Post 2022/23   
    If fylde do the business today you're on for a big payout!
    Fingers crossed 
  7. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Ante Post 2022/23   
    Nice work Darran.......
  8. Thanks
    bromsgrovegreen reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions - 25th March   
    Altrincham v Southend I'm keen on the home side here who are usually much better at home than they are away, indeed they have beaten Woking 3-1 and Solihull 4-1 in their last two home games. They were a little unfortunate not to get something out of the game at Eastleigh last week and a gift of an own goal for Eastleigh's opener didn't help. Southend are on a shocking run of form at the moment having lost 5 on the bounce and their last win was against Torquay. I nearly opposed them last Saturday, but wasn't sure Aldershot would be good enough to beat them, but in the end they totally outplayed them and fully deserved the 2-1 win. I'm always slightly loathed to call a team a one man side, but losing Lopata at the back has been a huge reason for me as to why they have started losing games. I'd make Altrincham clear favs for this game so they look a nice bet.   Kettering v Darlington Happy to carry on with the backing Kettering at home theory especially as Darlington's form is not good at the moment. Darlington did deserve to beat Hereford last Saturday, but they then went and lost 3-1 to Farsley on Tuesday night and that Hereford win is their only victory in 8 games. There isn't a huge amount in it, but enough to make me back the home side.   Kidderminster v Alfreton Kidderminster have managed to draw 4 of their last 5 games, but as you know by now I am always happy to oppose them at home. Gloucester were poor last week, but Kidderminster still managed to only score 1 goal against us and conceded late on to blow the victory. 5 goals in their last 10 games tells the story. Alfreton have only lost to Fylde and Scarborough in their last 8 games are right in the play-off picture so look a big price to pick up 3 points here.   Chippenham v Eastbourne It has been 11 games since Chippenham last lost a game which started with a 0-0 draw against champions elect Ebbsfleet. They drew 6 games on the bounce and then have followed that up with 5 wins on the bounce. Eastbourne as we know aren't the most consistent side in the division and with Chippenham in the form they are I think they can win this.   Hampton & Richmond v Farnborough As I mentioned last week Hampton have really improved for a change of manager and whilst Farnborough are a good side they have only managed 3 wins in their last 10 games and their good form prior to that has left them a bit. I would make Hampton slight favs for this to continue their superb form.   Welling v Bath Bath let us down last weekend, but I will take them to win at Welling tomorrow afternoon. Welling started off the season well, but it has been pretty dire for a while now and they find themselves just 5 points about the relegation zone. Bath's away form has been better than their home form and they have basically had the opposite season to Welling's with them being just 2 points outside the play-offs. Welling have not won in 8 games now and I with Bath only losing 4 times on the road I fancy an away win.   Hitchin v Stratford (Southern Premier Central) Just the one bet in Step 3 this week and I like Stratford to beat Hitchin here. Bizarrely Stratford's last defeat came to bottom side Rushden, but since then they have been unbeaten in 7 games which included two 1-1 draws against title chasing Leiston. They look like they will be capable of staying outside of the relegation zone now they have got themselves out of it. They travel to a Hitchin side who haven't managed to win in 9 games and whilst they have drawn 5 times they did lose to Hednesford last Saturday.   Altrincham 2pts @ 17/10 with William Hill, Ladbrokes and Coral (small bit of money at 2 on Betfair take up to 5/4) Kettering 1pt @ 2/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 13/8) Alfreton 2pts @ 11/4 with Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair and BetVictor (take up to 15/8) Chippenham 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365 (take up to 11/8) Hampton & Richmond 1pt @ 15/8 with Betfred (take up to 6/4) Bath 1pt @ 7/5 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 6/5) Stratford 1pt @ 7/4 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 6/4 and Skybet are 15/8)
  9. Thanks
    bromsgrovegreen reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions - 21st February   
    Dorking v Torquay Dorking have really gone off the boil big time. At least earlier in the season they were scoring goals as well as letting them in, but now they aren't scoring goals and still letting them in. They aren't even creating chances and they have had some very low xG's of late. They have only scored 1 goal in their last 5 league games and that was in the 5-1 defeat to Oldham. In those 5 games they have conceded 16 goals. That is desperate stuff and with Torquay showing signs of real improvement of late I would make them favs to win this game. It was a superb win to beat Barnet on Saturday and prior to that they pushed Notts County close and drew 1-1 with Woking. Repeat those performances here and it should be 3 points.   Halifax v Solihull Moors Halifax got a point against Boreham Wood in the live game on Saturday although they were probably slightly fortunate to do so. I put them up last Tuesday night at Southend, but they didn't deserve anything from that game either. The performance that was good though was the one against Barnet which they did lose 3-1, but as I wrote last week it was a game which could have gone anyway. Back at home I think we will see a much improved performance as take out the shocker against Scunthorpe and they have been strong at home. Solihull are really struggling and in their last 10 games they have only managed to beat Dorking and York. They were a bit fortunate to get points against Boreham Wood and Chesterfield in their last two games and I think Halifax can win this one.   York v Boreham Wood I took on York on Saturday and they made it 5 league defeats on the bounce as they lost 3-1 at Wealdstone. Boreham Wood are unbeaten in 8 games now and are a bit unfortunate they haven't picked up more points. They should have been more than a goal up at half time against Halifax on Saturday for example. I think they should be odds on to win this.   Torquay 2pts @ 13/8 with Paddy Power, Betfair, William Hill and Coral (7/4 with Bet365 and take up to 5/4) Halifax 1pt @ 13/8 with William Hill and Ladbrokes (17/10 with Coral and take up to 11/8) Boreham Wood 2pts @ 13/10 with William Hill (take up to Evs)
  10. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions - 5th November   
    Not a great price but Lewes(4-5) look good at Brighlingsea in the Isthmian premier. Lewes unbeaten in 5 whilst Brightlingsea have been suffering some very heavy losses in the last few weeks. 
    My team Bromsgrove look in a bit of turmoil, 20 per cent wage cut for the players, an interim manager that is more permanent than interim to save  money, no win for ages and a very leaky defence. Royston have been very disappointing this season by their standards but I'll be on them today (7-5) 
    Ps.... Are you on twitter Darran to follow?
     
     
  11. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Bedlam in Non-League Predictions - 5th November   
    Not a great price but Lewes(4-5) look good at Brighlingsea in the Isthmian premier. Lewes unbeaten in 5 whilst Brightlingsea have been suffering some very heavy losses in the last few weeks. 
    My team Bromsgrove look in a bit of turmoil, 20 per cent wage cut for the players, an interim manager that is more permanent than interim to save  money, no win for ages and a very leaky defence. Royston have been very disappointing this season by their standards but I'll be on them today (7-5) 
    Ps.... Are you on twitter Darran to follow?
     
     
  12. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Simeon Borisof in Non-League Predictions > 20th August   
    Went to Bromsgrove  v Alvechurch  on Tuesday night, it was a cracking game in monsoon conditions with Bromsgrove winning 3-1... They rode their luck early doors as Alvechurch could have been two or three up early doors but after that Bromsgrove played really well. Alvechurch  are a decent side despite two back to back defeats and I fancy them at evens to beat a struggling Rushden side today at Lye Meadow.
     
  13. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Fazzat in Non-League Predictions > 20th August   
    Went to Bromsgrove  v Alvechurch  on Tuesday night, it was a cracking game in monsoon conditions with Bromsgrove winning 3-1... They rode their luck early doors as Alvechurch could have been two or three up early doors but after that Bromsgrove played really well. Alvechurch  are a decent side despite two back to back defeats and I fancy them at evens to beat a struggling Rushden side today at Lye Meadow.
     
  14. Like
    bromsgrovegreen reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 20th August   
    Some of these prices have gone, but as always a min price is given for a guide as what to take.
    Barnet v Woking
    Not sure many people would have had Dean Brennan's Barnet as toping the table after 3 games, but that is where they are after wins against Bromley and Yeovil and a draw at Gateshead in between the two victories. However, when we look at the stats, I think they are over achieving at the moment. Halifax were awful against them in the opening day of the season only having an xG of 0.13 although Barnet's was just 0.81 albeit they scored twice. They have actually score twice in all 3 games so far and against Gateshead they had their highest xG of the season with 1.34, but they only had 5 shots during the game and Gateshead managed a higher xG. Then against Yeovil on Tuesday night they only had an xG of 0.88 and had just 7 shots. They have the finishing of Nicke Kabamba to thank as he scored both goals and his chip over the keeper for his 2nd was sublime. Yeovil really should have beaten them though as their xG was 1.72 and they created some really good chances. Clearly Barnet have been very clinical so far, but that won't last and I think Woking have got a huge chance of beating them here. I was confident they would beat Scunthorpe on Tuesday and they easily won 2-0. They had a massive 22 shots during the game and had an xG of 1.9. Kyran Lofthouse got both goals and his finish for the 2nd was great from a narrow angle. The one sight concern is that they were so bad in their opening game of the season at York and this is their first away game since, but it would be harsh to judge from a sample of one especially as it was the first game of the campaign. Woking have already been really well backed and you could have got as big as 5/2 which in all honestly would have been a max bet for me. The value isn't as big now so the stakes will not be as big, but I still make them a bet.
     
    Dorking v Gateshead
    3 games for Dorking and every game has not only been over 2.5 goals, but they have been over 3.5 goals! It was 4 in the opening game against Chesterfield and then 5 on the TV last Saturday against Oldham. On Tuesday night they made it 6 goals in a 4-2 victory over Maidstone. Not surprisingly we saw two big xG's with them having 2.81 and 2.82 from 19 and 22 shots respectively. If they want to follow the pattern then this game should have 7 goals on Saturday although I will settle for their just being over 2.5 goals again. I have mentioned on Twitter how I think we will see plenty of goals in Dorking games this season because of the way Marc White sets up the team. He has them as being very attacking and that means they will score goals, but it also leaves them short at the back as we have seen and Gateshead are more than capable of exploiting that Gateshead did really well to get a point against Notts County on Tuesday night and not surprisingly they weren't as attacking as they had been in their other two games against Barnet and Dagenham & Redbridge which both ended in 2-2 draws. I'm not sure I have ever put up an over 2.5 goals as it just isn't something I usually focus on, but here we have two teams capable of goals, but also capable of conceding goals if this game doesn't have over 2.5 goals we will have been very unfortunate. Also, crucially I don't think the bookies have caught up yet with how many goals we will see in Dorking games this season so I am happy to back over 2.5 goals here.
     
    Notts County v Chesterfield
    This is the live game on Saturday tea-time and it should be a cracker given we have two sides who ought to be in the play-offs at the very least come April. County have dominated possession in all 3 games they have played so far having recorded 74%. 75% and 69%. The problem is that possession hasn't been turned into victories and actually their lowest xG has come in their one victory so far against Maidenhead. Macaulay Langstaff scored two good goals against Maidenhead, but he hasn't looked quite as threatening in the other two games and I do wonder if he is going to be the main striker that they are looking for. Chesterfield didn't need Tshimanga on Tuesday night as he stayed on the bench, but they didn't need to risk him given they had a very comfortable 2-0 victory over Wrexham. I will talk more about how bad Wrexham were in the preview on their game, but Chesterfield had little problem in beating them recording a huge 21 shots for an xG of 1.76. Last season I thought Paul Cook looked clueless when he came in as Chesterfield manager, but the evidence on the first 3 games of the season is that he has learnt from last season and I might have got him wrong. I think this game is much closer than has been priced up so I am happy to back Chesterfield here.
     
    Torquay v Boreham Wood
    I'm really surprised by how bad Torquay have been so far this season. I really like Gary Johnson as a manager at this level as you probably know. Granted they lost some key players over the summer, but I trusted Johnson to get the right players in. The evidence so far is that apart from the goalkeeper Mark Halstead he looks to have a pretty weak team. Halstead's xCG is 5.48 so far this season and yet he has conceded just 1 goal. That goal came against Bromley on Tuesday night and it was a wonder strike which no keeper would have saved. The problem is he isn't always going to save them and the xG's against them really does tell a story. Against Oldham it was 1.81, against Halifax it was 3.31 and Bromley even topped that at a huge 4.46! Torquay's xG's have been 0.84, 0.33 and 0.36. The fact they beat Halifax last Saturday will be one of the most fortunate victories we will see this season as Halifax dominated them. I put Boreham Wood up to beat Aldershot on Tuesday and was very surprised they lost to them 2-1, but they will consider themselves unlucky as Aldershot's xG was only 0.79 and they only had 3 shots on target. Wood's xG was 1.83 and they had 19 shots. For me they are a better side than Torquay and the odds don't reflect that at all. Obviously, I am worried about Halstead's form, but there is no way Wood should be such a big price for this game and hopefully they can find the breakthrough.
     
    Wealdstone v Halifax
    It's been a very mixed back from Wealdstone this season as they have been really good twice when beating Bromley and Oldham, but they were awful when losing 1-0 in between to Eastleigh. An xG in that game of 0.03 tells you all you need to know about how well they played. The were good on the opening day of the season though winning 3-2 and then they did really well to win at Oldham on Tuesday night. The move for the 2nd goal could well end up as the best team goal we see all season in the National League. There was a huge 23 passes leading up to the goal and it is very unusual to see that sort of thing at this level even from the sides who like to pass the ball around. I thought they made some decent signings in the summer and they certainly have their strongest looking squad since getting promoted. Halifax obviously had that really high xG against Torquay, but I have a feeling that is more down to how bad Torquay are rather than how good Halifax are. They created very little against Barnet on the opening day and then on Tuesday night their main chance came from the Southend keeper giving the ball away so it wasn't even something they created. It was a game were both teams seemed to cancel each other out as there was little goalmouth action with Southend's only decent chance coming from the penalty spot. Halifax are strong favourites for the game and I just don't think they should be and these two sides are much closer ability wise than the betting suggests
     
    Wrexham v Maidstone
    Phil Parkinson is under huge pressure now and I think if Wrexham don't win this game then he might well be sacked. After Tuesday night's effort against Chesterfield the fans on Twitter were pretty unanimous about wanting him out and I totally agree with them. Based on their 3 performances so far this season it is clear to me that they won't win the league whilst he is still in charge. I even think he might have lost the dressing room given how poor they were against Yeovil and Chesterfield. Yeovil you could possibly forgive a little given how hot it was, but the effort on Tuesday was unforgivable given you are playing against one of your possible title rivals. They managed 7 shots, but all bar two of those were blocked and their xG was just 0.2! This is coming from a team who have Paul Mullin and Ollie Palmer in their side. They are clearly very short for this game and in truth they should win it given how superior their side is, but if it doesn't start going their way then the fans are going to get on the players backs quickly and the pressure will be huge. Maidstone lost out in that high scoring game with Dorking on Tuesday night, but that could have gone either way and they did well in their first two games against York and Altrincham. Clearly this is a very different contest to those 3 matches and in theory they should lose, but I think at a huge price they are worth chancing to pile more misery on Parkinson and Wrexham.
     
    Woking 3pts @ 31/20 with Bet365 (8/5 with William Hill and take up to 11/10)
    Dorking v Gateshead over 2.5 goals 4pts @ 17/20 with William Hill and Bet365 (take up to 4/7)
    Chesterfield 1pt @ 21/10 with Coral, Betfred and Ladbrokes (take up to 7/4)
    Boreham Wood 2pts @ 2/1 with BetVictor, William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair, Coral and Ladbrokes (Betfred are 11/5 and take up to 6/4)
    Wealdstone 2pts @ 12/5 with Betfred and William Hill (take up to 6/4)
    Maidstone 1pt @ 17/2 with Bet365, William Hill and Betfred (9/1 with Coral and Ladbrokes take up to 5/1)
     
    Cheshunt v St Albans (National League South) St Albans have done very little in 3 games so far and have not created much at all. Cheshunt haven't started life at this level too badly at all including beating Hampton. They look way over priced here.   Hungerford v Eastbourne (National League South) Just 2 goals in Hungerford games so far as they have had two 1-0 defeats and a 0-0 draw. Eastbourne meanwhile have seen plenty of goals in their games having scored 8 of them themselves. They did concede 4 against Bath and 3 against Ebbsfleet on Tuesday night, but given Hungerford haven't scored at all yet you get the feeling 1 goal might just be enough. They certainly look a better side than their hosts and happy to back them.   Peterborough Sports v Chester (National League North) I would make the home side favourites for this. They did deserve to lose to Gloucester on Tuesday, but as their manager said after the game their players had to go straight from work and Peterborough to Gloucester is not a quick journey. They still did fairly well though and they were especially impressive against Southport last Saturday. I'm not sure Chester are that great this season and I'm happy to take them on here.   Bowers & Pitsea v Herne Bay (Isthmian League) Bowers look a very poor side this season and they have lost both games so far. Herne had to play on Sunday and Tuesday. They lost to Potters Bar 1-0 but had an outfield player in goal for the last half hour or so. For them to then go and win 4-2 against Haringey just a couple of days later was a hell of an effort and odds against looks well worth taking.   Potters Bar v Billericay (Isthmian League) Speaking of Potters Bar they are value to win this game. After that win they only lost 1-0 to Bishops Stortford which given they are one of my bets for the title was a good effort just a couple of days after their opening game. They look way over priced against a Billericay side who lost to league newcomers Aveley on Tuesday having beaten Cray on the opening day.   Cheshunt 1pt @ 9/4 with William Hill, Paddy Power and Betfair (12/5 with Bet365 and take up to 7/4) Eastbourne 2pts @ 6/5 with Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair, Coral, Betfred and Ladbrokes (13/10 with Hills and take up to 10/11) Peterborough Sports 1pt @ 7/4 with Skybet, BetVictor and Betfred (9/5 with Hills and take up to 6/4) Herne Bay 2pts @ 11/10 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 10/11) Potters Bar 1pt @ 14/5 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 2/1)
  15. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Bedlam in Non-League Predictions > 20th August   
    Went to Bromsgrove  v Alvechurch  on Tuesday night, it was a cracking game in monsoon conditions with Bromsgrove winning 3-1... They rode their luck early doors as Alvechurch could have been two or three up early doors but after that Bromsgrove played really well. Alvechurch  are a decent side despite two back to back defeats and I fancy them at evens to beat a struggling Rushden side today at Lye Meadow.
     
  16. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions > 20th August   
    Went to Bromsgrove  v Alvechurch  on Tuesday night, it was a cracking game in monsoon conditions with Bromsgrove winning 3-1... They rode their luck early doors as Alvechurch could have been two or three up early doors but after that Bromsgrove played really well. Alvechurch  are a decent side despite two back to back defeats and I fancy them at evens to beat a struggling Rushden side today at Lye Meadow.
     
  17. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Gidds in Darren knows his stuff   
    Waiting for his tips for tomorrow ?
  18. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions > 13th August   
    Needham Market are at home to my side Bromsgrove Sporting. We lost 2-1 last Saturday at home to perennial strugglers St Ives which doesn't bode well although it's still very early days. It was a poor game tbh,not much quality.
    Needham are 10-11 which is worth a small bet imo
     
     
  19. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from buga00 in Non-League Predictions > 13th August   
    Needham Market are at home to my side Bromsgrove Sporting. We lost 2-1 last Saturday at home to perennial strugglers St Ives which doesn't bode well although it's still very early days. It was a poor game tbh,not much quality.
    Needham are 10-11 which is worth a small bet imo
     
     
  20. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from York Carrsi in Non-League Predictions > 13th August   
    Needham Market are at home to my side Bromsgrove Sporting. We lost 2-1 last Saturday at home to perennial strugglers St Ives which doesn't bode well although it's still very early days. It was a poor game tbh,not much quality.
    Needham are 10-11 which is worth a small bet imo
     
     
  21. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Bedlam in Non-League Predictions > 13th August   
    Needham Market are at home to my side Bromsgrove Sporting. We lost 2-1 last Saturday at home to perennial strugglers St Ives which doesn't bode well although it's still very early days. It was a poor game tbh,not much quality.
    Needham are 10-11 which is worth a small bet imo
     
     
  22. Like
    bromsgrovegreen reacted to Darran in Non-League Ante Post 2022/23   
    National League South I am astonished that Havant are still available at a double figure price. They certainly under achieved last season given their squad and their budget as they should have been in the play-offs at the very least. In the end they missed out on a spot by two points and it was mainly their home form which was to blame as they only picked up 29 points at home. Before Covid hit in 2020 they were just 3 points behind Wealdstone in 2nd place in their first season under Doswell. They still have one of the highest budgets in the division and Doswell has signed really well over the summer. Signing Muhammadu Faal on Tuesday looks a really good bit of business as he was a scoring machine for Enfield last season and if he can take that form into the league above then he could end up being the best signing of the summer for any team. 16/1 is a mad price and the only doubt about them I have is the manager as I just wonder if he was the reason they underperformed last season, but he knows how to win this league so hopefully they can bounce back and have a strong season. I think they should be 2nd favourites myself.    Worthing are the 2nd bets. They won the Isthmian League at a canter last season which wasn't really a surprise as they put together one of the best sides seen at that level. It was already a side that looked capable of challenging at Step 2 and with the recruitment made over the summer they can kick on again and bid for a 2nd promotion on the bounce.    The final bet is obviously a bit of a flyer as they are the outsiders, but Welling are way too big at 80/1. A change of manager at the back end of last season led to improvement and that kept them in the division. A change of the pitch has helped has well as the recruitment over the summer has been strong. I just can't see them being in a relegation battle again and really with the squad they have they should be looking at the play-offs and just maybe they can go even higher than that. Granted we are probably looking at a value loser, but I can't let them go unbacked at such big odds.   Ebbsfleet are favourites and they were so close to beating Dorking in the play-off final last season. I think they are the right market leaders, but Havant should be just behind them so it is clear where the value is. Dover have had extra cash to spend this season given they would have saved plenty last season when they were doomed to relegation before a ball was kicked. The problem they might have though is that the club is used to losing and although there are plenty of new players you it might just take a little bit of time to break that losing habit at the club. I thought David Oldfield did a hell of a job at Oxford City and I was surprised he went to Weymouth as they already looked set for relegation when he took over. They have had a huge turnover of players and whilst I like the manager I want to wait and see how they get on early doors. Dartford started the season off really well and went short for the title. After that they just struggled a bit as Steve King seemed to lose the plot a bit. They ended up going out of the play-offs at the first time of asking and King duly left. I think Alan Dowson was a good choice of replacement and they should be in contention again. The other team worth a mention are my local side Dulwich. They have by far the biggest support in the league and that has clearly led to an increase in budget based on the players they have signed. They barely won in the 2nd half of the season last term though and I still wonder if Gavin Rose is the right manager to take them to the next level. I think if they don't finish in the play-offs this season then it will surely be time for a change at the top.   National League North Clearly it is wrong that James Rowe found another job so soon after leaving Chesterfield and Fylde are the only club who would possibly have given someone like him a job. As much as I hope it ends in failure for him they are the right favourites for the title and I think they are worth backing. Usually the North is strong, but I am not sure there is much depth in the division this season and they look to have the best squad. What Rowe needs to control is his temperament as he will surely come in for abuse at away grounds this season and when he went to Gloucester last season it clearly affected him and the players as they performed poorly and lost the game. That is the only doubt I have about them winning the title as they really ought to.   If Tommy Widdrington had been in charge of Kings Lynn earlier, then I reckon they might have stayed up because they weren't too far away in the end. They look to have a strong side for this level and they could easily get a top 3 spot so they look a solid e/w bet. The other bet at a big price is Buxton. Anyone who was able to beat South Shields last season were going to have a very good side and Buxton duly did that. They are a side that is well backed and the fact they were able to get Jamie Vermiglio in as manager from Chorley says a lot for me as well. As I mention above, I don't think there is much depth in the division this season so they look well placed to challenge straight away for another promotion.   Kidderminster are 2nd in the betting which is understandable. They clearly have plenty of cash after the FA Cup run last season and although they have lost some key players they still look strong after recruiting the new ones. I did notice last season their xG was rather low given how high up the table they were and they relied on wonder goals in a few games. They will need to create better chances this season to be possible title winners for me as they can't keep relying to wonder goals. Brackley finished 2nd last season thanks to a superb defence. They have lost a lot of players though which isn't going to help, but they are nearly always in the play-offs and they can manage that again. Boston would be my 4th pick at the odds as I am a huge fan of Paul Cox and he did well to get them to the play-off final last season. They should be in the mix again.   As for the others there will be plenty of sides who hope they can get into the top 7. Darlington, Spennymoor, Alfreton, Peterborough Sports (signed surprisingly well) and possibly even my own side Gloucester look the most likely to do so for me. Chester look a bit high in the betting and I think Chorley might struggle a little after Vermiglio left.    Northern Premier League I thought South Sheilds would win this easily last year, but Buxton beat them to the title. It was their away form which really cost them as they dropped some silly points on their travels. If anything, their squad looks even better this time around and they really ought to win the title. Like Wrexham though they look short enough, but they are worth putting in some multi bets like the Welsh side. I'm going to have a couple of e/w bets and hopefully one of them can get in the top 3. The first of them is Radcliffe. They were only 15th last season, but they have made some really impressive summer signings and they really ought to improve on that this season so they look a big price. The other team I like at the prices is Warrington Town who are always contenders and look in a good position to hit the top 3 this year with the squad they have.   Isthmian Premier League I can understand why Hornchurch are favourites as they look to have a decent side yet again and can build on their 4th place finish from last season. At the prices though I prefer Bishops Stortford who finished 2nd to Worthing last season and although they never looked like catching them, they managed to score 89 goals whilst conceding just 33 which was the fewest in the division. They look to have strengthened the side well over the summer and I am surprised that they are available at a double figure price. The other team worth backing for me are Bognor Regis. They finished in 9th last season as they just lacked for consistency. I like the signings they have made over the summer and they ought to be in a position to challenge for the play-offs at least.   Southern Premier League Central Ilkeston have been heavily backed for the title and are now a pretty short price at the head of the market. I was going to put them up, but they aren't value at the current price as much as they look set to go very well in what doesn't look the strongest division. What that does mean though is that Tamworth look a good price and we can back them e/w. They had a really poor season last time around which was surprising as they looked most likely to win the title win Covid hit back in 2020. Andy Peaks came in as manager from AFC Rushden which just highlights the potential Tamworth have because they were near the bottom at the time whilst Rushden were in play-off contention. They were unbeaten under Peaks and with the signings they have made they really ought to finish top 3 at the very least. The other team I will cover are Rushall. They finished 4th last season, but only got 6 points from their last 10 games which was shocking. They look stronger this season and clearly they weren't far away last season so I am happy to get involved this term.   Southern Premier League South Hayes are favourites having gone close to winning the title last season and whilst they can go well again they look too short in the betting for me. There are two teams I like here both at double figure prices. I have put Weston-Super-Mare up for the last couple of seasons and they underperformed in the Covid season and it was looking like being more of the same last season, but then they really hit form later on in the season. Indeed, you only have to take the opening 12 games off their total and they would have finished 2nd behind champions Taunton. If they can carry last season's form into this one and they have evolved the squad nicely over the summer, then just maybe this is the year they can finally get promoted. The other team I like is Gosport who clearly have plenty of money to spend this season. They were originally put in at a stupidly big price and whilst that has long gone, I still think they are value because they have one of the best squads in the division and the odds don't reflect that.   NB As far as I know only Bet365 and William Hill have priced up the Step 3 divisions.   Solihull Moors 1pt e/w @ 11/1 with Bet365 Southend 0.75pts e/w 22/1 with Skybet Woking 0.25pts e/w @ 61/1 with Skybet and 50/1 everywhere else (sadly the 80/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair is win only) York 0.25pts e/w @ 40/1 with everyone Ollie Palmer to be top goalscorer 0.5pts e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365   National League South Havant & Waterlooville 1pt e/w @ 16/1 with Betfred Worthing 0.75pts @ 12/1 with William Hill Welling 0.5pts @ 80/1 with Betfred   National League North AFC Fylde 2pts @ 4/1 with Skybet Kings Lynn 1pt e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365, Coral and Ladbrokes Buxton 0.5pts e/w @ 33/1 with Coral, Ladbrokes and Bet365   Northern Premier League Radcliffe 0.75pts e/w @ 25/1 with Bet365 Warrington Town 0.75pts e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365   Isthmian Premier Bishops Stortford 1.5pts e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365 Bognor Regis 1pt @ 8/1 with Bet365 Southern Premier Central Tamworth 2pts e/w @ 6/1 with Bet365 Rushall 0.5pts @ 13/2 with William Hill   Southern Premier South Weston-Super-Mare 1pt e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 Gosport 1pt e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365
  23. Thanks
    bromsgrovegreen reacted to Darran in Non-League Ante Post 2022/23   
    Yes all the others will be covered. Been on holiday which has delayed things but will be up Thursday or Friday.
  24. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Bedlam in Non-League Predictions > 21st August   
    Agree 100 per cent with Needham Market, shame the price has gone from 5-4 to 4-6. The start of the season and the bookies haven't got a clue really until form patterns emerge. I would take Needham minus 1 but can't find any markets at the minute 
    I was liking the look of Hayes and Yeading 11-10 at Yate, they've scored 9 goals in their first two games. Also South Shields 10-11 at Witton, they've won both games comfortably so far and as Darran said in the ante posts strong favourites for the league. 
     
     
  25. Like
    bromsgrovegreen got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions > 21st August   
    Agree 100 per cent with Needham Market, shame the price has gone from 5-4 to 4-6. The start of the season and the bookies haven't got a clue really until form patterns emerge. I would take Needham minus 1 but can't find any markets at the minute 
    I was liking the look of Hayes and Yeading 11-10 at Yate, they've scored 9 goals in their first two games. Also South Shields 10-11 at Witton, they've won both games comfortably so far and as Darran said in the ante posts strong favourites for the league. 
     
     
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