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DanV89

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  1. Like
    DanV89 reacted to Trotter in RACING CHAT - Thursday 26th November   
    Congratulations to Hollie Doyle who has been named 'The Sunday Times Sportswoman Of The Year'
    Bit of a boost for Racing as well which doesn't get many of these kinds of awards, gets the sport in the limelight
  2. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Monday 23rd Nov   
    7.15 Chelmsford - Big Time Maybe - 22/1
    Quite an eye-catching jockey booking on this one tonight with Tom Marquand in the saddle for the first time on this 5yo gelding. Last 3 runs have been on the turf on various different ground conditions from soft to good to firm, he has been well beaten on all 3 occasions. Wouldn't be too disheartened by that though as he is clearly a better horse on the AW and his mark reflects that. His last run on the artificial surface was back in June when 3rd at Kempton over 5f (beaten 1.75 lengths) off a mark of 67. He also has a number of good runs to his name at this track with 3 placed efforts off marks of 74, 66 & 73; he runs off 65 tonight so should is clearly capable at this sort of level. He has also had wind surgery since his last run so hoping that the combination of that, a return to the AW and Marquand can spark some sort of revival.
  3. Thanks
    DanV89 reacted to MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Monday 23rd Nov   
    I don't normally follow trainers as such but according to my statistics P Hobbs is the most profitable trainer in November and there are 2 selections that pass my other tests, both at Ludlow.
    1.35 WILDLIFE WARRIOR 9/4
    3.20 PILEON 13/8
     
  4. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Monday 23rd Nov   
    7.15 Chelmsford - Big Time Maybe - 22/1
    Quite an eye-catching jockey booking on this one tonight with Tom Marquand in the saddle for the first time on this 5yo gelding. Last 3 runs have been on the turf on various different ground conditions from soft to good to firm, he has been well beaten on all 3 occasions. Wouldn't be too disheartened by that though as he is clearly a better horse on the AW and his mark reflects that. His last run on the artificial surface was back in June when 3rd at Kempton over 5f (beaten 1.75 lengths) off a mark of 67. He also has a number of good runs to his name at this track with 3 placed efforts off marks of 74, 66 & 73; he runs off 65 tonight so should is clearly capable at this sort of level. He has also had wind surgery since his last run so hoping that the combination of that, a return to the AW and Marquand can spark some sort of revival.
  5. Sad
    DanV89 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Saturday 21st November   
    Completely missed the break and was out the back early. Wide around the final turn and stayed on well but not in the money unfortunately. 
  6. Like
    DanV89 reacted to The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Saturday 21st November   
    Very true Chris, this is Bristol's Gold Cup for sure and lets not forget last year the ground was officially good to soft though as we all know the softer the better for him. Personally I'm in the Lost In Translation camp - its going to be cracker
  7. Like
    DanV89 reacted to Bathtime For Rupert in Racing Chat - Saturday 21st November   
    All prices Bet365:
    11.35 Lingfield - 2pts win At Ease @ 9/2
    Bit surprised by the uneasy nature of At Ease here - out to 9/2 but is totally unexposed after 2 starts and beat an 84-rated horse last time with the pair a long way clear (receiving 5lbs). Third start on handicap debut off 74 looks more than achievable and is from a family of nice types so looks worth staying on the right side of.
    12.40 Haydock - 1pt e/w Saint Xavier @ 12/1
    A few of these will have long-term projects in mind and may not be fully tuned up for this contest so I'm willing to take a chance on Saint Xavier, who wasn't disgraced at 250/1 in the Charlie Hall when last seen. Has ability without being the easiest as seen when running away with a hurdle last year and following that up with a solid second. Has had excuses over fences so far but his mark is coming down as a result and this looks to suit a bit more so things could fall into place this afternoon. 
    1.50 Haydock - 1pt e/w Flash The Steel @ 14/1
    Still looks a bit of scope left in this one and conditions suit - was always staying on for 2nd behind Tea Clipper last time but had too much to do. Before that, ran a rock solid race in a competitive handicap at Cheltenham - a mistake at the last saw to his chances but still went pretty close and conditions suit here. A good gallop looks likely and that will suit so it looks a good each-way option. 
    1.58 Huntingdon - 1pt e/w Dorking Boy @ 17/2
    Flopped at Ascot over fences when last seen but was in form prior to that, running an excellent 2nd behind a better treated rival in a novice chase on seasonal debut. Has plenty of hurdling form last year so reverting back to this sphere after a poor jumping display looks a good move. Only 1lb higher than a comfortable win last year, has an amateur claiming 7lbs on board and should go well.
    2.25 Haydock - 2pts win Relegate @ 5/1
    Choosing the favourite in a competitive race but he's a healthy price for a jolly and surely is up to winning a race of this nature when the cards fall right. Stays this trip well but is typically ridden from off the pace as when getting a long way back at the Cheltenham festival before storming home from 2 out. Shaped well over 2m4f in a good race on seasonal reappearance to set him up for this and if getting the breaks (looks sure to get a solid pace to aim at) can get a deserved success.
    3.17 Ascot - 2pts win First Flow @ 9/2
    The favourite will have it tougher today off a higher mark just a week on from his win at Cheltenham and I like Kim Bailey's progressive charge. Hasn't had a run yet this season but I'm not too concerned about that with this one's connections and did very little wrong over fences last year. His rating hasn't got out of hand but conditions suit and I'm sure he can win races off marks in the 140s so will hope he can pick up where he left off. 
  8. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Saturday 21st November   
    3.30 Lingfield - One To Go - 9/1
    Has had 4 runs since a break and admittedly has been poor but all those 4 runs have been on turf (latest on heavy when beaten 20 lengths) and all have been partnered by amateur lady jockeys. Prior to his break he'd been running consistently on the AW including over course and distance when a neck 2nd to Crimewave off 70. That day One To Go carried 3lb less than the winner, today he re-opposes on 5lb better terms off 67. Has been held up recently but from a plumb draw in stall 1 with Adam McNamara on board who has won on him before i'd expect him to go forward.
  9. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Saturday 21st November   
    3.30 Lingfield - One To Go - 9/1
    Has had 4 runs since a break and admittedly has been poor but all those 4 runs have been on turf (latest on heavy when beaten 20 lengths) and all have been partnered by amateur lady jockeys. Prior to his break he'd been running consistently on the AW including over course and distance when a neck 2nd to Crimewave off 70. That day One To Go carried 3lb less than the winner, today he re-opposes on 5lb better terms off 67. Has been held up recently but from a plumb draw in stall 1 with Adam McNamara on board who has won on him before i'd expect him to go forward.
  10. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Saturday 21st November   
    5th in a bit of a blanket finish where the winner got first run. Ran keen early on and I could be wrong but Kirby didn’t look like he went for the full drive either. One for another time I think. 
  11. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from vikki37 in Racing Chat - Saturday 21st November   
    11.35 Lingfield - Stay Classy - 8/1
    I backed this one last time at around 16/1, there was a bit of money around for her that day and she was backed into around 10/1 at one point. That race was over 7f at Wolves, she got a very wide trip under 5lb claimer Angus Villiers and then finished really well into 2nd. Steps back up to a mile here today which looks sure to suit and has Adam Kirby up this time which can only be a positive. Looks a good ew price and would be surprised if she wasn't involved in the finish.
  12. Like
    DanV89 reacted to The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Friday 20th 2020   
    Ascot stage an enthralling card on Friday and here are my early thought’s :-
    12.20
    A no play race from a punting perspective but it’s the chase debut of Nicky Henderson’s Chantry House who has schooled excellently and despite the fact he is rated a 3lb officially inferior horse to danger Pic D’Orhy his stable will be very disappointed if he doesn’t win this. A race not to miss.
    12.55
    It could be Nicky Henderson’s day at the Berkshire track with TIME FLIES BY the most likely winner. A Cheltenham bumper winner he ran twice over hurdles last season with his trainer stating in a recent Racing Post stable file that he ‘does everything right and should go far’ He’ll do for me here. Paul Nicholls’ Danny Kirwan has undoubted ability and apparently needed his season re-appearance when 3rd at Aintree but he’s seven now and has yet to win a race. Kim Bailey’s The Edgar Wallace is an interesting hurdles debutant , the trainer has been in top form this season and this is the most expensive young horse he’s ever bought winning a bumper for him last season and by all accounts he jumps well.  Time Flies By is a confident selection on a day that may be dominated by the master of Seven Barrows Nicky Henderson. 
    TIME FLIES BY 2 points win @ 4/5 bet365
    1.30
    An intriguing contest with four potentially smart lightly raced horses. Nicky Henderson called his French recruit GIPSY DE CHOISEL very nice in a recent Racing Post stable file and now in the double green colours of Messr’s Munir & Souede could be the one. Harry Fry unleashes Metier who impressed when winning at Newton Abbot 3 weeks ago whilst Paul Nicholls saddles the JP owned Nimix De Juilley, another ex French horse but without a run for 792 days (never mentioned in his recent RP stable tour) with the biggest danger to Henderson’s coming from the Tizzard horse Amarillo Sky, an expensive purchase from the Irish pointing field and a highly promising fourth to Henderson’s Dusart at Newbury when the Tizzard horses weren’t really firing. The vibes are good for Henderson’s and he’s the bet.
     
    GIPSY DE CHOISEL 1 point win @ 2/1 william hill
    2.05
    Espoir De Guye has had a wind op since we last saw him following a lack lustre effort at the Festival last season in the Novices’ Handicap Chase. A 255 day absence doesn’t usually bother a Venetia Williams trained horse and despite racing here off of a 14lb higher mark than when winning at the course last December he should run well.
    Deauville Dancer starts out for the first time for Olly Murphy having previously been trained by David Dennis and although you could arguably classify that as a trainer upgrade the Murphy yard are not really firing at the moment (despite a nice bumper winner on Tuesday). An outsider I think is worth backing is the Paul Henderson trained 11 year old DOITFORTHEVILLAGE who has tumbled down the handicap to a very low mark. Forget his latest run when his trainer stated afterwards the ground wasn’t soft enough for him, surprisingly he was dopped 6lb for that run. Rated as high as 140 only four runs ago he races here off of 129 and could be value despite been the oldest member of the 9 strong field
    DOITFORTHEVILLAGE ½ point ew 16/1 bet365
    2.40
    BUZZ stands out here and will take some beating. Nicky Henderson’s six year old was a highly credible third in the Welsh Champion Hurdle last time at Ffos Las with Ecco some 28 lengths behind him that day and only 1lb better off here. That form looks very good now with the winner Sceau Royal winning at Wincanton and Ballyandy who placed second that day running the same position in last weekend’s  Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham even  the 5th  Mario De Pail has won since. Only a pound higher here he stands out like a sore thumb. I can see him being very well backed. The opposition look weighted upto their ability and Buzz is the days nap bet.
    BUZZ  3 point win @ 6/4 bet365
    3.15
    Dr Newland has had a good Autumn with his small string at his Worcestershire yard and can take this with MR MULDOON who won at Sedgefield on his chasing debut in a 9 runner novice event. Lack of experience is unlikely to be a problem as he has had 6 runs in Irish points and has failed to miss the frame in six outings under rules. The handicapper reacted by rising him 2lb for that run but the step up to 3m is much more to his liking and he holds a strong chance. Paul Nicholls’ Favorito Buck’s won this event two years ago and can race off of a 1lb lower mark so also comes into calculations though his last run was poor. Top weight Wandarin Star has won first time out the last two seasons and has had his wind tinkered with since last season so is another with some potential if fancied for the Kim Bailey yard.
    MR MULDOON 1 point win 3/1 william hill
    3.45
    A tough handicap with the first show being 9/2 the field. The most interesting contender being the top weight Enqarde an ex French 6 year old having his first run for Dr Newland. The market will tell us what’s expected here no doubt.
    Apple Rock flopped last time but that may have came too soon following his facile victory at Carlisle 8 days earlier and could be in with a chance despite a rise in the weights. It may be worth a speculative ew bet on Paul Henderson’s HATCHET JACK who may well have needed his well beaten 5th to Metier (runs in 2nd race) at Newton Abbot. He has some good handicap form in better company than this in the past and has dropped to a mark 10lb lower than when he was back then. He’s still a maiden and has obviously been hard to train so we’ll need a big price and small stakes but it’s that type of race!
    HATCHET JACK ½ point each way 11/1 bet365
     
     
     
     
     
  13. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Friday 20th 2020   
    7.15 Newcastle - Be Proud - 8/1
    Notable that decent claimer Oli Stammers is on Be Proud for the first time this evening. This gelding is a frequent visitor at Newcastle and often runs well here. His two career victories have come over this course and distance off marks of 54 & 62. His last two runs have been here, over 5f in October when 5th off 69 (only beaten 1 length) and then over 6f a couple of weeks ago also off 69, was beaten a good 4 lengths that day but I wouldn't take too much notice of that as 5f is his trip. He's been dropped another 2lb for that down to 67 and Stammers takes off a further 5lbs so is effectively back on a winning mark. His running style means he will probably need some luck in running but he's well drawn in 12 and should go well in a competitive race where there are plenty of consistent Newcastle performers.
  14. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from vikki37 in Racing Chat - Friday 20th 2020   
    7.15 Newcastle - Be Proud - 8/1
    Notable that decent claimer Oli Stammers is on Be Proud for the first time this evening. This gelding is a frequent visitor at Newcastle and often runs well here. His two career victories have come over this course and distance off marks of 54 & 62. His last two runs have been here, over 5f in October when 5th off 69 (only beaten 1 length) and then over 6f a couple of weeks ago also off 69, was beaten a good 4 lengths that day but I wouldn't take too much notice of that as 5f is his trip. He's been dropped another 2lb for that down to 67 and Stammers takes off a further 5lbs so is effectively back on a winning mark. His running style means he will probably need some luck in running but he's well drawn in 12 and should go well in a competitive race where there are plenty of consistent Newcastle performers.
  15. Like
    DanV89 reacted to Striker in Racing Chat - Friday 20th 2020   
    Well done Dan, good post keep them coming
  16. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Saturday 21st November   
    11.35 Lingfield - Stay Classy - 8/1
    I backed this one last time at around 16/1, there was a bit of money around for her that day and she was backed into around 10/1 at one point. That race was over 7f at Wolves, she got a very wide trip under 5lb claimer Angus Villiers and then finished really well into 2nd. Steps back up to a mile here today which looks sure to suit and has Adam Kirby up this time which can only be a positive. Looks a good ew price and would be surprised if she wasn't involved in the finish.
  17. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from BBBC in Racing Chat - Friday 20th 2020   
    7.15 Newcastle - Be Proud - 8/1
    Notable that decent claimer Oli Stammers is on Be Proud for the first time this evening. This gelding is a frequent visitor at Newcastle and often runs well here. His two career victories have come over this course and distance off marks of 54 & 62. His last two runs have been here, over 5f in October when 5th off 69 (only beaten 1 length) and then over 6f a couple of weeks ago also off 69, was beaten a good 4 lengths that day but I wouldn't take too much notice of that as 5f is his trip. He's been dropped another 2lb for that down to 67 and Stammers takes off a further 5lbs so is effectively back on a winning mark. His running style means he will probably need some luck in running but he's well drawn in 12 and should go well in a competitive race where there are plenty of consistent Newcastle performers.
  18. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from Nigwilliam in Racing Chat - Friday 20th 2020   
    7.15 Newcastle - Be Proud - 8/1
    Notable that decent claimer Oli Stammers is on Be Proud for the first time this evening. This gelding is a frequent visitor at Newcastle and often runs well here. His two career victories have come over this course and distance off marks of 54 & 62. His last two runs have been here, over 5f in October when 5th off 69 (only beaten 1 length) and then over 6f a couple of weeks ago also off 69, was beaten a good 4 lengths that day but I wouldn't take too much notice of that as 5f is his trip. He's been dropped another 2lb for that down to 67 and Stammers takes off a further 5lbs so is effectively back on a winning mark. His running style means he will probably need some luck in running but he's well drawn in 12 and should go well in a competitive race where there are plenty of consistent Newcastle performers.
  19. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Saturday 21st November   
    11.35 Lingfield - Stay Classy - 8/1
    I backed this one last time at around 16/1, there was a bit of money around for her that day and she was backed into around 10/1 at one point. That race was over 7f at Wolves, she got a very wide trip under 5lb claimer Angus Villiers and then finished really well into 2nd. Steps back up to a mile here today which looks sure to suit and has Adam Kirby up this time which can only be a positive. Looks a good ew price and would be surprised if she wasn't involved in the finish.
  20. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Friday 20th 2020   
    Yeah said to a mate this morning I noticed him at about 12s last night but hadn't looked at the race properly so didn't back him and then saw some decent money for him this morning!
  21. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Friday 20th 2020   
    7.15 Newcastle - Be Proud - 8/1
    Notable that decent claimer Oli Stammers is on Be Proud for the first time this evening. This gelding is a frequent visitor at Newcastle and often runs well here. His two career victories have come over this course and distance off marks of 54 & 62. His last two runs have been here, over 5f in October when 5th off 69 (only beaten 1 length) and then over 6f a couple of weeks ago also off 69, was beaten a good 4 lengths that day but I wouldn't take too much notice of that as 5f is his trip. He's been dropped another 2lb for that down to 67 and Stammers takes off a further 5lbs so is effectively back on a winning mark. His running style means he will probably need some luck in running but he's well drawn in 12 and should go well in a competitive race where there are plenty of consistent Newcastle performers.
  22. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from Zico10 in Racing Chat - Thursday 19th November   
    NR & 3rd
  23. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from vikki37 in Racing Chat - Thursday 19th November   
    NR & 3rd
  24. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from Striker in Racing Chat - Thursday 19th November   
    NR & 3rd
  25. Like
    DanV89 got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Thursday 19th November   
    4.50 Newcastle - El Hombre - 18/1
    Has drifted so far today which is an obvious concern but looks a decent price nevertheless. Hasn't been beaten far at all in his last couple of starts at Wolves & Kempton respectively, both over 6f and weakened slightly late on. Was only 6th at Kempton last time but was only beaten 2 lengths so the result isn't reflective of the run. Has a good record at Newcastle overall and on his last start here was 4th to Caspian Price only beaten 1.75 lengths off 90. Runs off 84 today back in trip to 5f and should be capable off that mark as his last win came off 88.
    5.30 Chelmsford - Merhoob - 12/1
    Bit of a speculative one this as he has been well beaten in 4 starts since a break. However there should be plenty pace on in this race which will suit the hold-up style of Merhoob. Returned to action off 96 at this track in September and after more uninspiring runs he runs off 86 tonight. 2 time course and distance winner off 77 & 90 so could be good enough if on a going day and returning to any sort of form.
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