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buga00

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  1. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from btugero in Primeira Liga Predictions > Jan 17th - 19th   
    Porto - Braga     19:00h in Portugal
    Porto have won 13 of their 16 games in the Portuguese top-flight, including a 2-0 win at their title rivals. In recent games, they have won six and drawn one of their last seven games in the Primeira Liga.
    Only Benfica have scored more goals than the home team this season. Their prolific form in front of goal was been on full show of late, as Porto have scored at least two goals in four of their last five league outings.
    Porto have been simply formidable on home soil in the Primeira Liga, winning their last 12 league games at the Estadio Do Dragao.
    Pepe central defender and Nakajima midfielder are out for the game today.
    Braga they need to win points  to go to Europa League . They are currently five points outside the top-four in the Portuguese top-flight.
    They had a new coach in 2 games they won both , but is a coach without experience very young .
    So Porto is forbidden to loose points because they´re on second place 4 points behind the leader Benfica,  and i think they will win for 2 goals or more.
    Porto to win  @ 1.66   ( bookmaker in Portugal i don´t know odds on bet365 because we portugueses are forbiden  yes it´s true to bet on bet 365 )
    Sporting - Benfica   21.15h in Portugal
    Sporting is my team and tonight as a supporter i´ll be there but without any confidence.  Sporting are 16 points behind Benfica on 4 th place i hate the coach i hate the president and tonight central defender from Sporting , uruaguay international Coates is out  from the game suspended du red card on last game. Also argentinian player and very good player for me the 2 nd best behind Bruno Fernandes , Luciano Vietto is injured and out also .
     
    Benfica have been strong away from home in recent months, winning their last 16 league games on their travels in the Primeira Liga.
    The visitors are currently four points clear of rivals Porto at the top of the table, having won 15 of their 16 league games so far this season. Their only blip was a 2-0 defeat against their title rivals in August.
    For me tonight e see easy victory for Benfica maybe for 2 or more goals and i don´t understand the odds 1.96 for Benfica victory is crazy for me 1.40 for Benfica it was fair.
     
    Benfica to win @ 1.96   ( bookmaker in Portugal i don´t know odds on bet365 because we portugueses are forbiden  yes it´s true to bet on bet 365 )
     
     
  2. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from Sterphyle in Primeira Liga Predictions > Jan 17th - 19th   
    Porto - Braga     19:00h in Portugal
    Porto have won 13 of their 16 games in the Portuguese top-flight, including a 2-0 win at their title rivals. In recent games, they have won six and drawn one of their last seven games in the Primeira Liga.
    Only Benfica have scored more goals than the home team this season. Their prolific form in front of goal was been on full show of late, as Porto have scored at least two goals in four of their last five league outings.
    Porto have been simply formidable on home soil in the Primeira Liga, winning their last 12 league games at the Estadio Do Dragao.
    Pepe central defender and Nakajima midfielder are out for the game today.
    Braga they need to win points  to go to Europa League . They are currently five points outside the top-four in the Portuguese top-flight.
    They had a new coach in 2 games they won both , but is a coach without experience very young .
    So Porto is forbidden to loose points because they´re on second place 4 points behind the leader Benfica,  and i think they will win for 2 goals or more.
    Porto to win  @ 1.66   ( bookmaker in Portugal i don´t know odds on bet365 because we portugueses are forbiden  yes it´s true to bet on bet 365 )
    Sporting - Benfica   21.15h in Portugal
    Sporting is my team and tonight as a supporter i´ll be there but without any confidence.  Sporting are 16 points behind Benfica on 4 th place i hate the coach i hate the president and tonight central defender from Sporting , uruaguay international Coates is out  from the game suspended du red card on last game. Also argentinian player and very good player for me the 2 nd best behind Bruno Fernandes , Luciano Vietto is injured and out also .
     
    Benfica have been strong away from home in recent months, winning their last 16 league games on their travels in the Primeira Liga.
    The visitors are currently four points clear of rivals Porto at the top of the table, having won 15 of their 16 league games so far this season. Their only blip was a 2-0 defeat against their title rivals in August.
    For me tonight e see easy victory for Benfica maybe for 2 or more goals and i don´t understand the odds 1.96 for Benfica victory is crazy for me 1.40 for Benfica it was fair.
     
    Benfica to win @ 1.96   ( bookmaker in Portugal i don´t know odds on bet365 because we portugueses are forbiden  yes it´s true to bet on bet 365 )
     
     
  3. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Jan 17th - 19th   
    Porto - Braga     19:00h in Portugal
    Porto have won 13 of their 16 games in the Portuguese top-flight, including a 2-0 win at their title rivals. In recent games, they have won six and drawn one of their last seven games in the Primeira Liga.
    Only Benfica have scored more goals than the home team this season. Their prolific form in front of goal was been on full show of late, as Porto have scored at least two goals in four of their last five league outings.
    Porto have been simply formidable on home soil in the Primeira Liga, winning their last 12 league games at the Estadio Do Dragao.
    Pepe central defender and Nakajima midfielder are out for the game today.
    Braga they need to win points  to go to Europa League . They are currently five points outside the top-four in the Portuguese top-flight.
    They had a new coach in 2 games they won both , but is a coach without experience very young .
    So Porto is forbidden to loose points because they´re on second place 4 points behind the leader Benfica,  and i think they will win for 2 goals or more.
    Porto to win  @ 1.66   ( bookmaker in Portugal i don´t know odds on bet365 because we portugueses are forbiden  yes it´s true to bet on bet 365 )
    Sporting - Benfica   21.15h in Portugal
    Sporting is my team and tonight as a supporter i´ll be there but without any confidence.  Sporting are 16 points behind Benfica on 4 th place i hate the coach i hate the president and tonight central defender from Sporting , uruaguay international Coates is out  from the game suspended du red card on last game. Also argentinian player and very good player for me the 2 nd best behind Bruno Fernandes , Luciano Vietto is injured and out also .
     
    Benfica have been strong away from home in recent months, winning their last 16 league games on their travels in the Primeira Liga.
    The visitors are currently four points clear of rivals Porto at the top of the table, having won 15 of their 16 league games so far this season. Their only blip was a 2-0 defeat against their title rivals in August.
    For me tonight e see easy victory for Benfica maybe for 2 or more goals and i don´t understand the odds 1.96 for Benfica victory is crazy for me 1.40 for Benfica it was fair.
     
    Benfica to win @ 1.96   ( bookmaker in Portugal i don´t know odds on bet365 because we portugueses are forbiden  yes it´s true to bet on bet 365 )
     
     
  4. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > January 18th   
    Kettering's late late winner was very welcome last Saturday to win at 5/1 and with Gainsborough and the 4pts Nap Havant also winning it was a profitable afternoon. Tuesday saw the only bet Stratford win to keep things ticking over. I have 6 bets across Step 2 and Step 3 this weekend.
    Southport v Boston (National League North)
    Southport's run towards the play-offs has hit the rails of late as they have lost 4 games on the bounce. Granted 2 of those were against Chester and one against York, but they have been very leaky at the back conceding 12 goals in that spell. Their wins in their last 10 games have come against some of the weaker sides in the division as well, Leamington, Kidderminster, Gloucester and Blyth so coming up against one of the better sides like Boston I expect it to be a task they aren't up to. Boston were a bit disappointing to only draw with Curzon last time out, but there only 3 defeats in their last 10 games have come against Kings Lynn twice and Spennymoor when they were in flying form. I think Boston should be favourites to win this so they look a good price.
    Slough v Dartford (National League South)
    When Steve King first took over at Dartford I mentioned on Twitter that it was a great appointment and they would soon be flying up the table. Why I didn't keep backing them I don't know, but I have hardly put them up for one reason and another yet the have won 6 of their last 7 games. They now look a play-off side and it is no surprise to me as Steve King is a fantastic manager especially at this level. Obviously Slough are flying as well, but they are 4 without a win and they were fortunate to get a point at Billericay last week as they went 2-1 up against the run of play. I don't think there is much at all between these two sides and Dartford are value at 12/5.
    Witton Albion v Atherton Collieries (BetVictor Northern Premier)
    I opposed Witton last week and they duly lost 3-1 to Gainsbororugh and I am happy to take them on again here. Atherton really co look a big price given they have only lost one of their last 7 league games. They gave Barrow a fright in the FA Trophy as well and have beaten Lancaster and Stalybridge in 2 of their last 3 league games. The slight concern is Atherton's away from as they have only won twice on the road, but I think that is factored into the price here given Witton are in woeful form at the moment.
    Stafford v Warrington Town (BetVictor Northern Premier)
    I am surprised Warringotn aren't odds on for this. Warrington have drawn 5 of their last 10 games, but have also only lost once in that spell as well. They won their first game in 7 last Saturday and hopefully they can kick on again. This game looks a perfect one to pick up another 3 points given how bad Stafford are. They have lost 9 of their last 10 games and look in a desperate shape. I think any odds against price is good value.
    Hendon v Gosport Borough (BetVictor Southern Premier South)
    I put up Hendon 4 games ago when they played Harrow and managed to find the game Harrow bounced back to form and they have gone unbeaten since after losing 5 games on the bounce. Hendon then lost to Chesham, but have had two good wins over Weston and Met Police in their last two games. Given they are at home, and 5 of their 6 league wins have been at home, I struggle to see why they should be over 2/1 to beat Gosport here. Gosport have lost their last 2 and have only won one of their last 7 games now. The 4 draws have been against some of the weaker sides in the league as well so they aren't in great form and for me this game is much closer than the bookies have it.
    Rushden & Diamonds v Stratford Town (BetVictor Southern Premier Central)
    Stratford's win against Redditch was their first away win of the season and obviously this is a risky bet, but as I wrote on Tuesday they look a much improved squad and they could be about to do a Leiston and go on a much improved run. They battered Redditch and should have scored more and did really well against Stourbridge last Saturday. Speaking of Leiston Rushden beat them 3-2 last week, but that was down to a late winner and I do think Stratford have a sporting chance of picking up another 3 points on the back of the Redditch win.
    Boston 2pts @ 19/10 with BetVictor (Betfred/Hills)
    Dartford 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365, BetVictor and Betfred
    Atherton 1pt @ 12/5 with BetVictor (Marathon)
    Warrington 2pts @ 133/100 with Marathon
    Hendon 1pt @ 117/50 with Marathon
    Stratford 1pt @ 19/5 with Marathon
  5. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Predictions > January 13th/14th   
    thanks @Darran  Stratford dominated the game
  6. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > January 13th/14th   
    Redditch v Stratford
    I was close to putting up Stratford anyway, but I have made them a bet now because of the signings they made at the weekend. These two sides are rubbish, but Stratford have got Dan Sweeney in on loan from Solihull and he has done well when on loan in the National League North this season. He is going to be the best player on the pitch in this game and to be fair apart from the 5-0 hammering against Banbury they have only lost by 1 goal in their last 6 games. Redditch have conceded 32 goals in their last 10 games losing them all and scoring just 6. Stratford have only picked up 2 points on their travels, but they will know this is a must win tonight and I struggle to think they will be cautious. I really do think Stratford are the better side and at 8/5 with Betway I am happy to back them. This game is on a 3G pitch so it should get the go ahead.
    Stratford 1pt @ 8/5 with Betway
  7. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > January 13th/14th   
    Not that many games this mid-week but I like 3 bets in the BetVictor Southern Premier Central over the next two nights.
    Hitchin v Leiston
    This game is tonight (Monday) and I am backing Leiston again here as I have done a few times of late. I thought they were on the short side for Saturday's game against AFC Rushden & Diamonds and they ended up losing 3-2 although they were 2-1 and only lost it in the 90th minute. It was another good performance though and it was more proof that they have improved a hell of a lot in the last 2/3 months. Hitchin should have won on Saturday as their opponents, Needham Market, goalkeeper was given man of the match as the game ended 0-0. I don't think there is much between these two sides at all and Leiston have been the better of late for me. Bet365's 21/10 about an away win looks value for me.
    AFC Rushden & Diamonds v Needham Market
    In a strange twist of fate the two teams who played the teams in the above bet also play each other this week and I like the home side here. Granted Needham have drawn 5 of their last 10 games, but they have only won twice and as I mention above they ought to have lost on Saturday. In their previous game they only beat Stratford 1-0 and they have picked up only 1 point in their last 9 games. Rushden have won their last 3 and have only failed to win in 3 of their last 10 games. I would make them a shade of odds on myself so 5/4 with Bet365 looks good.
    Alvechurch v Kings Langley
    This division has got some poor sides in it this season who have been losing plenty of games which is one of the reasons why it has been a profitable section for me this term. The home side are one of those sides having lost 8 of their last 9 games with the win a 3-2 victory over bottom of the table Redditch. Langley are in good form only losing 1 of their last 6 and they played really well on Saturday in a 2-2 with Peterborough Sports. They look a good price at 5/4 with Bet365.
    Leiston 1pt @ 21/10 with Bet365
    AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2.5pts @ 5/4 with Bet365
    Kings Langley 2pts @ 5/4 with Bet365
  8. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 11th January   
    Given the 3 losers last week had 9pts bet on them between them it was a relief to come out with just a small loss on the day as at one stage it was looking like it was going to be a huge loss. With Darlington winning on Wednesday that covered the loss on Saturday (at best prices available) I will take that going into this Saturday's action. I have 7 bets this week with 6 in the league games and 1 in the FA Trophy.
    Previews to follow
    Billericay v Slough
    Granted they have only played 9 home league games this season because they have had issues with their pitch, but Billericay are yet to lose at home have won 5 and drawn 4. That is some going baring in mind the upheaval they have had this season and the fact they have struggled on the road. Having said that they were much improved at Bath last Saturday despite losing 2-1 and then on Tuesday night they beat the league leaders Wealdstone 3-1 at home. Slough are having a good season and are in 4th, but in their last 6 games they have won just twice and one of those was against Braintree so I think Billericay are more than capable of beating another promotion hopeful here. In my view they shouldn't be as big as 11/5
    Hemel Hempstead v Havant & Waterlooville
    Havant have still yet to lose away from home and have only lost 3 league games all season which is the fewest in the division. They are the best side in the division, but as they did at Braintree the other week they have dropped silly points. They lost last week at Maidstone when they should have really picked up a point at least and they should be odds on to beat a Hemel side who are struggling. The home side have only managed 1 win in their last 10 games and although they ought to have won at Chippenham on Tuesday night they let in 2 careless goals against a team who were also in poor form. In their last 10 games Havant have scored in all of them and in 7 of them have scored 2 or more goals so Havant don't need any gift wrapped goals to score. This should be an away win
    Wealdstone v Welling
    Wealdstone are in a bit of a dip at the moment which isn't a surprise as they were always going to struggle to keep up their strong start. As mentioned above they deservedly lost to Billericay on Tuesday and they also lost to Oxford City on Saturday. This game though does look the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways and I think they can cover the -1 handicap. Welling have lost 5 of their last 6 games and have been conceding goals for fun as well. They have a new manager, but I am not sure how much difference that is going to make especially as they have been losing players, including two to Glenn Tamplin's Romford this week. The home side really ought to be winning this by at least 2 goals.
    Weymouth v Dulwich Hamlet
    I am hoping Dulwich are now showing the quality they should be showing and did show in August. They have scored 9 goals in their last two games putting 3 past Hampton and 6 past Braintree last Saturday. Travelling to Weymouth is obviously a step up, but Weymouth have lost 2 of their last 3 at home and Dulwich have been strong away from home all season, picking up plenty of draws in their long spell between victories. They also travelled to Havant and beat them in the FA Cup. I think this game is much closer than the bookies suggest as I would have Hamlet around 2/1 so they rate a value bet.
    Spennymoor v Kettering
    I am backing Kettering again here as they look a big price at 5/1 to win this. I have tipped up Kettering enough of late that I don't really need to repeat about them, but they won for us last Saturday. Spennymoor are in another dodgy spell and have only won 2 of their last 7 games and have lost 3 of their last 4. Granted going to Kings Lynn and having a man sent off is always going to be hard, but in my view there isn't a great deal between these two sides at the moment and given Kettering are clearly in a false league position they just shouldn't be a 5/1 chance. I would have them no bigger than 2/1 myself.
    Gainsborough Trinity v Witton
    Trinty have improved for their new manager and are now unbeaten in 5 games. Like Kettering I think they are in a false position at the moment and with Witton only picking up 1 point in their last 5 it looks a nice chance for the home side to continue their rise up the table.
    Barrow v FCUM
    I was hoping Barrow were going to put out the same side they did on Tuesday in the FA Trophy replay, but it seems it will be more like they one they put out against Ebbsfleet last Saturday. They won that game 7-0, but I think in many ways this will be a tougher game for them. For a start Barrow's main task is winning the National League so this Trophy tie is not a priority. FCUM are a much better side than Atherton so they will be in for a tougher game as well. FCUM are also in flying form winning 7 of their last 9 league games and drawing the other two. In that spell they have score 30 goals and although they have only kept one clean sheet in that spell there has to be a chance they can outscore a Barrow side in a game they will be more motivated to win. I still think a price of 21/4 is a value price about an away win.
    Billericay 1pt @ 11/5 with BetVictor
    Havant & Waterlooville 4pts @ 21/20 with Betfred and BetVictor
    Wealdstone -1 2pts @ 17/10 with Betfair, Paddy Power, Betfred and Betway
    Dulwich 1pt @ 27/10 with BetVictor
    Kettering 1pt @ 5/1 with Bet365
    Gainsborough 2pts @ 31/20 with BetVictor 
    FCUM 1pt @ 21/4 with BetVictor
  9. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > January 7th & 8th   
    Sorry didn't see this before but well done with the winner.
  10. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from Shep65 in Non-League Predictions > January 7th & 8th   
    2-1 for leatherhead
  11. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from yossa6133 in Non-League Predictions > January 7th & 8th   
    @Darran  what you think about Leatherhead victory ?
    In their last 12 games in Isthmian League, Leatherhead have managed to  win a total of 9
    Wingate & Finchley have been defeated in their last 6 home matches in Isthmian League
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
    '
  12. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > January 7th & 8th   
    Not many games over the next two days but the two teams I backed in the FA Trophy first time around are worth backing in their replays.
    Atherton were unlucky to only draw in the first match against Barrow and if they had kept 11 men on the pitch I suspect they would have held on. Obviously that could be their best chance gone now they have to travel to Barrow, but I would imagine we will see plenty of changes from Barrow's win in the league on Saturday as they did in the first game. At 12/1 it seems a sporting play to me.
    On Wednesday Darlington host Solihull and again I am expecting Solihull to rest players especially after a tough encounter at Yeovil on Saturday. The home side again were more than a match for Solihull in the first game and I am not surprised their price has already come in a little bit. I still think though the price is too big and they are worth backing.
    Atherton 0.5pts 12/1 with BetVictor
    Darlington 1pt @ 107/50 with Marathon
     
  13. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > January 4th   
    Leiston got us off to a good start on New Year's Day, but the 3pm kick offs weren't as kind and there was a small loss on the day in the end. There look to be some good bets on Saturday mainly at Step 3.
    Kettering v Farsley Celtic
    I am leaving the National League alone this weekend as it looks a tricky set of fixtures so I start with this game in the National League North which has already seen the home side being backed. Quite why they were 2/1 I don't know, but I still think there is some juice in the price. In my view they should be favourites. As I wrote last Saturday they were unbeaten under Paul Cox going into the Boston game which they were unlucky to lose. They then went to Brackley on Wednesday and got a very good point against an in form side. Farsley seem very in and out and although they beat Bradford 5-0 over Christmas they did lose both games to Guiseley. I think Kettering are the better side and I would have them around 5/4 so the 9/5 available is a big price for me.
    Leamington v Altrincham
    On the face of it Leamington are in good form having lost just 2 of their last 8 games, but they have lost George Carline who was on loan from Solihull and he was a key player in their good run of form. By all accounts he bossed the game against Gloucester on Boxing Day and without him Gloucester beat them 2-1 on Wednesday. Altrincham's overall form is good as they have only lost once in their last 9 league games, but their away form isn't as good as it should be with their win at Curzon on Boxing Day being their only away win in the league so far. They did lose at Bradford which isn't great, but prior to that they had got a very good 2-2 at Kings Lynn so it suggests they are improving on the road. I wouldn't want to chase the price down too much, but I do think the 19/10 is too big.
    Cheshunt v Kingstonian
    Into the Isthmian Premier Division and I am very keen on Kingstonian here. Their only defeat in their last 10 league games was against Bognor and they have certainly found their form compared to earlier in the season when they were drawing too many matches. They have only lost 4 league games so fr and whilst they might be a bit too far behind to be winning the title they certainly have every right to be thinking they can get into the play-offs. Meanwhile Cheshunt have only won 4 games all season and have only picked up 4 points in their last 10 games. The only points they have been picking up have been against either teams in poor form or the teams around them in the table and it is hard to see them being up to getting anything from this game against a bang in form team.
    Corinthian Casuals v Leatherhead
    Kingstonian are 4th in the 10 game form table which Leatherhead currently top having got 25 points out of a possible 30. That is some run of form and interestingly their last 7 victories have all been by a single goal including when they won the reverse fixture 2-1 back in November. What that means is they are very strong defensively whilst they are able to get the crucial goal or goals down the other end. Take out the 3-0 defeat to East Thurrock and they have only let in 4 goals in the other 9 games. Casuals have picked up 4 points in their last 2 games, but they were playing Wingate & Finchley and Cheshunt so that doesn't really amount to a great deal and this match is a big rise in class of opponent. Leatherhead look a big price at odds against.
    Alvechurch v Royston
    The BetVictor Southern Premier League Central has been pretty kind to us and hopefully Royston can add to the profits on Saturday. They should be well odds on for me to beat one of the weakest sides in the division. They did manage to win on Wednesday, but that was against Redditch who are detached at the bottom and then they only won 3-2. Royston have only lost one of their last 10 games and they have put 5 past Lowestoft and 4 past Peterborough Sports in their last 3 games. A shade of odds against looks a good bet to me.
    Hendon v Weston Super Mare
    At 90 minutes Weston were losing 2-1 to Truro on Wednesday, but 3 minutes later they were 3-2 in front as they scored 2 goals in injury time to take the points. Having beaten Taunton on Boxing Day as well Weston have now won 4 on the bounce and they finally seem to be showing the form they ought to have been showing all season. They have added to the squad in the last 2/3 weeks and they look even stronger because of it. Hendon cost us on Boxing Day when losing to Harrow and they not surprisingly lost to Chesham on New Year's Day. If Weston continue in the vein the have they ought to be making it 5 on the bounce.
    Kettering 2pts @ 7/4 with BetVictor
    Altrincham 1pt @ 19/10 with Bet365
    Kingstonian 4pts @ 31/20 with BetVictor
    Leatherhead 3pts @ 11/8 with BetVictor
    Royston 3pts @ 21/20 with Marathon
    Weston Super Mare 2pts @ 141/100 with Marathon
     
  14. Like
    buga00 reacted to BillyHills in New LMS Competition - Starts Dec 28th: Week 1 Selections (Deadline Sat 3pm)   
    A reminder that the next round is on Wed Jan 1st
    @Advisor @AK1979 @allyhibs @Astleavista @Balearic_Beats @bluemal @Bossie13 @Boulder5111 @bymatrix
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    @LIKE2FISH @MABS @MacPhisto @Marek76 @Marmalade @Mindfulness @MrForce @Paperclip @Peter York

    @Puntermk @Redno2009 @RUG @Saddlesore @Skittle @Soi Bongkot @skyblues88 @terminator1 @thebestthere
    @Trotter @tonythepaint @u1905068 @v3rn0n @vicsuna @waggy @Wishy @Xtc12 @buga00
  15. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to BillyHills in New LMS Competition - Starts Dec 28th: Week 1 Selections (Deadline Sat 3pm)   
    Not sure why, anyway just put your week 2 selection down mate and i'll sort it
    @buga00  
  16. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > New Year's Day   
    3 winners on Saturday and the Nap won again although the day pretty much summed up what has been a very tough December. Kettering were well backed in the end and they were involved in a game which could have gone either way so the bet was spot on, but sadly it wasn't a winning one. There looks to be plenty of value around on New Year's Day and I have 7 bets.
    Torquay v Yeovil
    The 3 goals Yeovil gave away on Saturday against Sutton were all shocking from a defensive point of view and I certainly hope they defend better on Wednesday against a Torquay side who bounced back to form against Woking on Saturday. Having said that there was some fortune in 3 of of Torquay's goals against Woking and Woking were down to 10 men when it was only 2-1. I'm not sure we can use that match as proof they are fully out of their slump and given Yeovil gave them a 6-2 hammering on Boxing Day this is clearly going to be a much tougher game. When betting opened prior to Saturday's games Yeovil were 13/8 and that's the sort of price they should be. I think the markets have massively overreacted to Saturday's results and no way should Yeovil be as big as 5/2 to do the double over Torquay.
    Hampton & Richmond v Dulwich Hamlet
    Dulwich should be doing so much better than they are. They have a strong squad yet for some reason it just isn't happening on the pitch and they have won just one league game since August against Hungerford just before Christmas. They are massively under performing and they are in a relegation battle they ought not to be in. They lost 2-1 in the reverse fixture on Boxing Day and Hampton have really improved in recent weeks having picked up 20 points in their last 10 games. I would make the home side a shade of odds on to win this so they look value at 13/10.
    Hemel Hempstead v St Albans
    I put up St Albans on Saturday and they could easily have won although Wealdstone scored the only goal in the game in the end. That is their only defeat in their last 6 league games and as I mentioned in that preview they have been improving in recent weeks. They ran out comfortable 2-0 winners in the Boxing Day match between these two sides and although Hemel performed better on Saturday against Slough when picking up a point, that did make it 7 league games without a win. I can't have St Albans being as big as they are and I would have them under 2/1 let alone around the 5/2 mark that they are.
    Boston v Kings Lynn
    I took a chance on Kings Lynn on Saturday because they were playing a poor team in Alfreton and in the end their class got them a point, but to me it proved that they are struggling with the injuries and the kick turnaround of games. As I mention above there wasn't much between Boston and Kettering on Saturday and fair play to Boston for putting in a performance after their tough game on Boxing Day. Boston were unlucky to lose at Kings Lynn as well and they nearly held out after playing with 10 men for most of the match. I would make them nearer even money shots to win this given the situation so at 8/5 they look a solid bet.
    Hereford v Kidderminster
    Hereford haven't won in the league since they beat Leamington on October 1st and despite a change in manger Russell Slade has made very little difference to things. He really needs to freshen up the squad as they don't look good enough at the moment. Kidderminster on the other-hand have improved for a change of manager and have been putting in some decent performances of late. In the last 4 games they have beaten Guiesley and Hereford and drawn with Altrincham. Granted they did lose at Brackley on Saturday, but they performed really well especially in the first half. Given Brackley have only lost 1 in their last 10 league games that bodes well for this match as well. It makes no sense to me how they can be as big as 13/5 as they should be at least a point shorter in my view and I make them the best bet of the day.
    Leiston v Needham Market
    I'm annoyed with myself for not putting up Leiston on Boxing Day as they were a big price to win at Lowestoft which they duly did. That backs up my thinking that they are a much improved side and I think they are the right side of value to beat Needham Market. Market have only won once in their last 7 league games (although it was a surprise win against leaders Tamworth) and they drew with a poor St Ives side on Boxing Day. Leiston have only lost once in their last 5 now and that was when they had a chest infection going through the team so I think they can pick up another 3 points here.
    Stratford Town v Rushall Olympic
    How on earth Stratford beat Hednesford when I put up Hednesford I will never know as they have been poor apart from that. In their last 10 league games they have only picked up 1 more point and that was a draw against St Ives. Rushall maybe aren't quite in the form they were at the start of the season, but they have only lost 3 of their last 10 games and they were against Tamworth, Stourbridge and Coalville so 3 of the better sides in the division. They ought to be too good for their hosts here.
    Yeovil 1pt @ 5/2 with Bet365
    Hampton & Richmond 2pts @ 13/10 with Bet365
    St Albans 2pts @ 129/50 with Marathon
    Boston 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365
    Kidderminster 2.5pts @ 13/5 with Betfred and William Hill
    Leiston 1pt @ 161/100 with Marathon
    Rushall Olympic 2pts @ 117/100 
  17. Like
    buga00 got a reaction from BillyHills in Division 5 - Week 1 Selections   
    Torquay United - Woking  -  BTTS   yes  @1,57
    Chorley FC - Harrogate Town - BTTS yes @1,66
    Plymouth  to win @1,83
     
    15 pts on this treble please.
     
    thanks
    regards
    happy new year :)
     
  18. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 28th December   
    I rarely regret bets, but I certainly made a few wrong decisions on Boxing Day, but I had such a big shortlist I had to cut some out and I left the wrong ones out. I should have known putting 5 National League bets in wasn't going to work out although at least Yeovil were easy winners to land the Nap. I have 8 bets and just some brief reasons for them due to time.
    Torquay v Woking
    Fairy self explanatory this one. Woking weren't great on Thursday either, but at 177/10 they have to be a bet against a Torquay side who are struggling really badly.
    Alfreton v Kings Lynn
    Alfreton have been well backed despite being terrible because of Kings Lynn injury issues and they had a tough game on Thursday. Still Alfreton lost 3-0 to Telford and Kings Lynn might still have too much for them so with the drift I am happy to back them.
    Boston v Kettering
    I was already planning on backing Kettering, but there has been a huge amount of money put on Boston which is crazy in my view. Boston had to play over 70 minutes on Thursday on a pitch described as a quagmire. Kettering are unbeaten in the league since Paul Cox took over and they didn't have to play on Thursday. That is a massive advantage for me and the only slight concern is Kettering had just 3 subs when they won at Alfreton last Saturday. 7/1 is way too big as I would make them about 2/1 myself.
    Gloucester City v AFC Telford
    Telford are very inconsistent, but I am happy to back them here to beat my own side. City were woeful on Thursday and were so bad that people who went to the game are being offered free entry to this match. They could barely string two passes together and I would make Telford favourites myself.
    Braintree v Concord
    I don't oppose Braintree on Thursday as I didn't trust Chelmsford, but of course in the end they ran out easy winners. Concord are in decent form and look a strong bet as I would make them odds on.
    Dartford vTonbridge
    Dartford have struggled at home all season and with Tonbridge not having played on Thursday I think there is some value in going for the away win.
    Wealdstone v St Albans
    St Albans have improved massively in recent weeks and although they play top of the table Wealdstone here I think the teams are much closer together than the odds suggest.
    Hungerford v Havant & Waterlooville
    Havant had their game called off on Saturday and I am going to try them on the -1 again. In theory they should cover this with ease and hopefully they go and prove their dominance on the pitch.
    Woking 2pts @ 177/100 with Marathon
    Kings Lynn 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365, William Hill, Betfred and Betway
    Kettering 2pts @ 7/1 with Betfair, Paddy Power and BetVictor
    AFC Telford 1pt @ 177/100 with Marathon
    Concord 2.5pts @ 31/20 with Marathon
    Tonbridge 1pt @ 5/2 with Bet365
    St Albans 1pt @ 9/2 with William Hill, Marathon, Betfred and BetVictor
    Havant -1 2pts @ 7/4 with Betfair and Paddy Power
  19. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > Boxing Day   
    Saturday was not great with only Weston winning and Havant really should have covered the handicap with ease instead of only drawing which was especially frustrating. Anyway onto Boxing Day and I have 7 bets including 5 in the National League.

    Dagenham & Redbridge v Ebbsfleet
    Dagenham did manage to get pass Sutton in the FA Trophy, but they have lost 8 of their last 9 league games and as I mentioned when tipping Sutton up the 6-1 beating of Aldershot sticks out like a massive sore thumb. I just can't have Ebbsfleet as big as 13/5 for this given they have only lost one league game in their last 8. Granted they have drawn 4 of them, but they have been playing well and are unfortunate not to have picked up more wins.
    Chesterfield v Solihull Moors
    Solihull's away form nearly put me off this as it isn't as strong as it should be, but I think the Rotherham loss was to blame for the poor performance at Wrexham in their last away match and then prior to that they had picked up 7 points in their last 3 games on the road. Chesterfield beat Torquay on Saturday, but the home side pretty much gifted them the victory given they conceded in the first minute and then had a man sent off. That was their first win in 8 games and given they are playing the team I think are probably the best in the division it ought to be an away win.
    Dover v Bromley
    Bromley blew it big time on Saturday by gifting Eastleigh 3 goals and 3 wins in their last 9 league games is a bit of a concern, but it sums up the league that they are still bang in contention. I have to back them here though given Dover's poor home form which I have often spoken about on here and I would have them as favourites.
    Harrogate v Hartlepool
    Got to try again with Hartlepool after the FA Trophy game which should have been a winner. They are the better team for me and they should be wanting to prove a point after blowing a 2 goal lead.
    Yeovil v Torquay
    6 league losses on the bounce for the away side and I just don't see how they can suddenly beat Yeovil who have lost just once in 9. It was an impressive effort to come from 2 down to draw 2-2 at Fylde on Saturday and given Torquay are conceding goals for fun at the moment I can see Yeovil's impressive strike force causing them all sorts of problems. They should be odds on for me.
    Guiseley v Farsley Celtic
    The last time I opposed the home side was when they beat Gateshead which is their only victory in 9 league games! Hopefully we can get paid out this time as I think Farsely are the better team. Their away form is the 3rd best in the division only behind the top two in the table and I was impressed with their win against a Leamington side who have been showing a fair bit of improvement. They look value at 19/10.
    Hendon v Harrow Borough
    Hendon have proved they can do well against the teams around them in recent weeks and they look a good bet to beat a Harrow side who are badly out of form. They lost 4-0 to Weston on Saturday and have only picked up one point in their last 7 games. Hendon are much better at home than away as well having lost just one of their last 5 on the own patch.
    Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365
    Solihull Moors 1pt @ 34/25 with Marathon
    Bromley 1pt @ 161/100 with Marathon
    Hartlepool 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365
    Yeovil 3pts @ 107/100 with Marathon
    Farsley Celtic 1pt @ 19/10 with Bet365
    Hendon 2pts @ 129/100 with Marathon
     
    I hope everyone has a great Christmas with whatever you have planned and that we can have a profitable Boxing Day.
     
     
     
     
  20. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 21st December   
    Given the weather we could see a few of these called off so I will be fairly brief with the previews.
    Torquay v Chesterfield
    Both sides have been in dreadful form, but at least we know Torquay were in bad form because of the fact they had injuries. The bounced back to hammer Aldershot in the FA Trophy last weekend and that is a sign that they are ready to get their league form back on track. They should have too much to beat a Chesterfield side who continue to struggle and you have to begin to wonder if they might even go down.
    Sutton v Wrexham
    Sutton have improved although they weren't great in either FA Trophy match against Dagenham who of course had been in poor form themselves. Wrexham's first team had the Saturday off last weekend so they will be fresher coming into this given Sutton had to play the replay as well. They may have played Eastleigh and Solihull at the right time given their FA Cup exploits, but it does suggest they are about to move up the table having been bottom prior to those wins. They are the better side in my view and I make them value to win this if they can continue with their improved form.
    Gloucester City v Kings Lynn
    Been a while since Gloucester last won, but I am actually putting them up here. I mentioned in my ante-post update that Kings Lynn are struggling with injuries at the moment and they were like the walking wounded against Dover in the FA Trophy win last weekend. That could hinder their league form especially with such a busy period coming up. Even if they get something out of this I think they could be in for a tough Christmas period if the games go ahead. I'd still have them as favourites, but in the circumstances Gloucester should be shorter than 5/2.
    Braintree v Havant & Waterlooville
    Slough didn't cover the handicap a couple of weeks ago against Braintree despite the fact they were all over them. Havant should be more than capable of covering the -1 handicap given how good a side they are and it should be a comfortable away win.
    Cheshunt v Bowers and Pitsea
    3 wins on the bounce for Bowers and Pitsea and they include impressive victories against Enfield and Folkestone. Cheshunt are nowhere near their level and they have lost 8 of their last 10 matches. The only points they have picked up have been against Merstham and Brightlingsea Regent, two teams who are also struggling. Bowers should be favourites in my view and look a big price.
    Harrow Borough v Weston Super Mare
    Harrow have just one point in their last 6 games and have lost 4 on the bounce. As I have mentioned before Weston have dropped silly points this season, but if they play as they are capable off then they should pick up 3 points here.
    Hitchin v Leiston
    I know Leiston failed to beat a 10 man Peterborough last weekend, but one of their players mentioned on Twitter after the game that a chest infection was going through the team. They should be over that now and we should see an improved performance which gives them a chance of beating a Hitchin side who have been disappointing in their last 2 games.
    4 fold
    We get a rare chance to back Maldon & Tiptree in the league as they are playing at Tilbury on Friday night so they go in the bet. Havant just to win make up the 2nd leg. Truro are top should have no trouble picking up another 3 points against Yate. Nuneaton did lose their last home league game, but they have been superb at home on the whole and given St Ives struggled to beat Redditch last weekend it is hard to see them getting anything at Nuneaton. The bet pays 5/1 with Bet365.
    Torquay 2.5pts @ 107/100 with Marathon (game on)
    Wrexham 1pt @ 199/100 with Marathon (Game will be on as it is on a 3G pitch)
    Gloucester City 1pt @ 5/2 with Bet365 (game off)
    Havant -1 2.5pts @ 15/8 with Betfair (game on)
    Bowers and Pitsea 2pts @ 2/1 with BetVictor (game off)
    Weston Super Mare 1pt @ 34/25 with Marathon (game on)
    Leiston 1pt @ 137/50 with Marathon (Game off)
    Maldon & Tiptree/Havant/Truro/Nuneaton 1pt 4 fold @ 5/1 with Bet365 (Maldon and Truro are off)
  21. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 21st December   
    Saturday is the last day of fixtures before Christmas and the 3 National League divisions play Boxing Day, Saturday 28th, New Year’s Day and Saturday 4th. The step 3 divisions have spread their fixtures across those dates. 
    As regards to previews there is a chance that Boxing Day tips will go up Sunday but chances are it will be Monday night. 28th tips will be be up Friday night but chances are it will be tips and no previews. New Year’s Day should be up Monday 30th at some point. Finally the 4th will most likely be up on the 3rd. Obviously a bit depends on when bookies price up but they should be up by those dates and of course they account for my plans over Christmas. Let’s hope we get some games on at the weekend and get a few quid for Christmas.
  22. Like
    buga00 reacted to BillyHills in LMS Consolation Competition - Week 8 (Deadline Sat 3pm)   
    4 gone out, 3 waiting on Man Utd
    Consolation Comp will continue next week, the new main comp will start in 2 weeks.
  23. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 14th December   
    The FA Trophy steps up another gear this weekend with the National League sides joining the competition, although as usual I suspect some won't want to be staying in the competition for long as they will have other matters on their mind. I am going with 6 bets in the Trophy. In the league's I have 2 singles and a double.
    Atherton Colleries V Barrow
    Barrow are surprise leaders in the National League at the moment and it isn't hard to think that with the focus being firmly on promotion that they will be putting out a weakened side here. The National League sides have to play 4 games in 9 days over Christmas and with such a busy and crucial period coming up it is easy to imagine that Ian Evatt will rest a few key players for a tie like this. That doesn't mean they won't still win, but I am not sure there is a too much depth in the side and that gives the home team a sporting chance of winning. They managed to upset Boston in the previous round and are unbeaten in their last 3 league games so they are coming into this in decent nick. I'd still make Barrow favourites, but at 6/1 if they face a weakened Barrow side then it is worth an investment.
    Dorking v Bromley
    Like Barrow I can see Bromley resting players ahead of the busy Christmas period. They got the final a couple of years ago when losing to Brackley, but they now want to get into the Football League and there is every chance this is going to be their best chance of actually winning the title given how weak and open the league looks. Dorking are having a good season in the National League South and are currently unbeaten in 5. They look over priced and even if Bromley were at full strength I wouldn't rule out them causing an upset anyway.
    Harrogate v Hartlepool
    I know Harrogate's home league form is strong, they are unbeaten in 9 and have won 7 of them, and Hartlepool had to play extra time against Exeter on Tuesday, but I still think Hartlepool are over priced at 31/10 with BetVictor. They should have held on for the win at Woking last week, but maybe Tuesday's night game crept into the players minds. They showed how good they are when beating Exeter and I think they are a better side than Harrogate. Given Dave Challinor won the Trophy with Fylde last season I think there is a strong chance he will want to try and win it again with his new club. Id have preferred if they hadn't gone to extra time on Tuesday, but I still think they are too big a price. If they are this sort of price on Boxing Day for the league version of this fixture then I will be backing them again.
    Maidenhead v Hemel Hempstead Town
    Alan Devonshire has already raised how annoyed he is with the fact the National League are making them play 4 games in 9 days and survival in the National League is probably more important than winning the FA Trophy. Hemel owe us one after a couple of surprise defeats when I put them up in recent weeks and they have lost 3 league games on the bounce. Even so I don't think there is a great deal between these two sides if Hemel play at their best as they have a good side and thus at 18/5 they are a value play here.
    Solihull Moors v Darlington
    Again like Barrow and Bromley I can see Tim Flowers resting some of the 1st team here. One line of theory is that he will want the 1st team to bounce back after losing to Wrexham last Saturday, but I think it would be more sensible to give them a longer break ahead of the busy period to come especially after the mentally tough to take loss to Rotherham in the FA Cup. Darlington proved in their FA Cup run they have a strong team on their day and they are more than capable of causing an upset especially if we see a weaker than usual Solihull side.
    Sutton v Dagenham & Redbridge
    Dagenham are in terrible form going into this tie with the 6-1 win over Aldershot sticking out like a sore thumb as they have lost their other 7 of their last 8 games. Peter Taylor must be feeling the pressure and they must surely be thinking about a change of manager if results don't improve soon. They have a tough game here though against an improving Sutton whose only defeat in their last 6 was against Bromley and they played well in that defeat. They look the best bet of the weekend to me.
    Leiston v Peterborough Sports
    The price available on Leiston is way too big for this game. As I mentioned last week they are a side who are now much better than their league position suggests. They duly bolted up against Redditch and although this is game is tougher they just shouldn't be 5/1 shots to win this. I would still make Sports favourites and they are having a good first season at this level, but the market hasn't caught up with Leiston's improved side and I am hopeful that even if we don't collect here we will get more opportunites to back them in the upcoming fixtures.
    Weston-Super-Mare v Wimborne Town
    Weston have been a bit disappointing this season and they have dropped silly points. They should really be in promotion contention and not near the relegation zone. I like the signing of Vincent Harper in the week as Gloucester had him on loan earlier in the season and I was very impressed with him. He will improve the side for sure and on paper they have a much stronger side than Wimborne. Hopefully they can make it show on the pitch.
    St Ives v Redditch and Swindon Supermarine v Dorchester
    Speaking of Redditch they have to be opposed again. They had quite a few academy players playing against Leiston and they then had another heavy defeat to Evesham in the League Cup. This is the only fixture St Ives will be odds on for all season because they aren't great either and they have only picked up 2 points in their last 9 games. This though is a must win for them and they really ought to be capable of doing so. Dorchester drew 4-4 against Gosport on Tuesday in a crazy game that Gosport were a man down for a lot of. This game is much harder for them as Swindon Supermarine are flying this season and look possible title contenders. This should be a home win and it looks a double well worth having.
    Atherton Colleries 1pt @ 6/1 with BetVictor
    Dorking 1pt @ 12/5 with BetVictor
    Hartlepool 1pt @ 13/10 BetVictor
    Hemel Hempstead Town 1pt @ 18/5 with BetVictor
    Darlington 1pt @ 4/1 with BetVictor
    Sutton 2pts @ 117/100 with Marathon
    Weston-Super Mare 1pt @ 34/25 with Marathon
    Leiston 1pt @ 5/1 with BetVictor
    St Ives/Swindon Supermarine 2pts double @ 1.94/1 with Marathon
     
  24. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > December 10th   
    The Nap selection on Saturday landed with ease as Leiston hammered Redditch 6-0 and it was good to get Boreham Wood over the line as well. Slough should have been a winning bet as well as they had 20 shots to Braintree's 2 and yet could only score 1. There isn't much on this week, but I have a treble and a strong bet on Tuesday night.
    Alvechurch v Coalville
    Coalville are having a good season and were unlucky not to win on Saturday as only a late penalty gave Stourbridge a share of the points in a 1-1 draw. That means they have lost just twice in their last 10 games and they face a poor Alvechurch side who are really struggling this season after losing their manager to Stourbridge. They were well beaten by Lowestoft 4-0 on Saturday which made it 5 defeats on the bounce and they have conceded at least twice in all of them. They have only won 3 games all season and with Leiston looking set to climb the table they are going to be struggling to survive. In my view Coalville should be odds on so more than happy with the 11/10 with Bet365 and BetVictor.
    Treble
    All these 3 are home teams who look worth putting together in a treble which pays 3.2/1 with Marathon. Gosport host Dorchester who have been in awful form and they sacked their manager after losing yet again on Saturday. Truro are top of their league at the moment having lost just 3 times in 18 games. They host Merthyr and should be too strong for them. Tamworth look like they are walking away with their league and it should be another 3 points for them as they host Needham Market.
    Coalville 3pts @ 11/10 with Bet365 and BetVictor
    Gosport/Truro/Tamworth 1pt Treble @ 3.2/1 with Marathon
  25. Thanks
    buga00 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > December 2nd/3rd   
    Great to have a easy win for the big price Nap's Hampton and also the 5/1 shots Stockport on Saturday to make it a profitable afternoon. There aren't too many games this mid-week, but one on Monday has caught my eye.
    Hitchin v Lowestoft (BetVictor Southern Premier League Central)
    Lowestoft are having a bit of an injury crisis at the moment and they had another player injured on Saturday in their 4-1 defeat at Tamworth. You add this to their shocking home record and it really ought to be a comfortable win for the home side. Lowestoft have lost all their away games apart from beating Stratford. Not only that but they have conceded 25 times in those 7 defeats and just one of those was by less than 2 goals and that came back on 10th August. Hitchin have only lost 1 of their last 9 although strangely it did come against bottom side Leiston, but otherwise they have been good and were impressive in beating Barwell 4-1 on Saturday. Hitchin should be able to cover the handicap and if they come out of the blocks like they did on Saturday I can also see them winning at HT and FT.
    Hitchin -1 2pts @ 8/5 with BetVictor
    Hitchin HT/FT 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365