EuroDream

I am playing on Friday in Levante - Girona Over 2.5, in Espanyol - Leganes Under 2.5...
Saturday and Sunday I havent analysed yet but I fancy Betis win, Valencia not to lose at Alaves, Real Madrid game over 2.5, Eibar - Villareal BTTS and Sevilla DNB...
Sorry I don't have much time to write previews...but who reads those anyways
GL!

I am playing on Friday in Levante - Girona Over 2.5, in Espanyol - Leganes Under 2.5...
Saturday and Sunday I havent analysed yet but I fancy Betis win, Valencia not to lose at Alaves, Real Madrid game over 2.5, Eibar - Villareal BTTS and Sevilla DNB...
Sorry I don't have much time to write previews...but who reads those anyways
GL!

I was also on Celta...it ruined my parlay...Leganes was so lousy with their defending...otherwise it would be 4:1 for Celta.

Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen BTTS&OVER 2.5 @1.95 7/10
Yes, Dortmund played 0:0 with Club Brugge and 0:2 at Monaco. The truth is Club Brugge also played 0:0 against Atletico Madrid and Monaco is poor this season and didn't have interest in that game. In this game I see both teams pushing forward, at first place Dortmund going for the title, but Werder is nasty and agressive and they will not give up without shots fired no matter who is their opponent. They lost 1:2 against Bayern and even though Dormtund is first I rate them to be similar with Bayern. Dortmund rested Reus and Sancho against Monaco probably for this game but they also have Pulisic, Alcacer etc. imo if Leverkusen scored 6 goals against Werder and M'Gladbach 3 goals then Dortmund surely can score two goals. And as I said Werder is very agressive and for example in the game against M'Gladbach even though they lost they had more chances. This season playing at home Dortmund didn't concede a goal only against Nurnberg and Freibrug while Augsburg scored 3, Frankfurt 1, Leipzig 1, Hertha 2 and Bayern 2. After two clean sheets for Dortmund it is time for Werder who managed to score in it's all away games this season. In last 4 season at Westfalen Arena there was BTTS&OVER 2.5 and in last game Werder even went away with a win. I see 3:1 in this game.
Hoffenheim - M'Gladbach BTTS&OVER 2.5 @1.6 7/10
Well this is obvious isn't it? Both attacking teams with huge offensive potential with huge desire for 3 points. Hoffenheim to climb up to the European spots and M'Gladbach to keep their second position or even attack Borussia Dortmund if their appetites are big enough. In Hoffenheim games BTTS is inevitable but I just hope it doesn't end in a 1:1 draw since the odd is poor. Over 2.5 is only @1.35 and BTTS is at the same price, so only one goal more to double the price I had to take it.
In this game I expect tons of counter attacks, going back and forth across the field, just like it was in Hoffenheim-Shaktar game and the result should be similar if everything goes as expected. M'Gladbach could not score against Leipzig even though they have 3-4 goals a game in them but Leipzig has somewhat better defense and game control than Hoffenheim. The goal will come in this game and the other side will have to push forward. I just hope M'Gladbach for some reason scores the first goal and decides to protect it. I see 3:3 in this game so if you like it OVER 3.5 is @1.85 what is also poor but it is a huge probability and bookies know it. I rather take lower odds on at least three goals, I can hardly imagine one team will have 3:0 result in this matchup.
BTW something is fishy in Stuttgart - Hertha game because Hertha WIN seems obvious and those odds don't make sense. They know something I don't so I will avoid it.
And I think Dusseldorf might take all three points against Freiburg, they have goals in them and they need points. Freiburg seems to play better against top teams.

None of the Saturday games seem appealing to me so I will probably not bet but Atletico Madrid should take a win, maybe even with a few goals difference like in last round against Alaves, Valladolid seems like they will be playing open football and Atletico might punish it although Valladolid rarely loses with two goals difference but they did in their last home game against Leganes. In the past meetings it was also this kind of scenario.
Also I think Valencia will not lose at least if they will play like they did against Sevilla, sure Eibar is dangerous especially considering Real Madrid lost there 3:0 but so did they lose the same way in CL to CSKA. Valencia really needs points and they will be very determined and that is what is important in sports and their defense is not bad so 1:2 could be enough.

I was also on Celta...it ruined my parlay...Leganes was so lousy with their defending...otherwise it would be 4:1 for Celta.

My parlay for EL today...
Akhisar - Standard Liege AKHISAR DNB @3.2 7/10
Who watched the last game between Akhisar and Fenerbahce will surely know why I am taking this bet. Akhisar won that game 3:0 and believe me when I say that Fenerbahce is not playing that bad at all in terms of offense. On other side is Standard who drew a game against St.Trudiens(offensive side) and lost before that 3:0 to Club Brugge without a shot fired, they were impotent, invisible or whatever you wanna call it(I had BTTS in that game)...Standard has still chances to progress the group but they need a win here and hope for Sevilla not to win. This will all fit just perfectly to Akhisar(what an exotic name, right?:)...it will be just like the game against Fenerbahce who needed points badly since they are in relegation zone. I expect the home team to win but not lose for sure. Why would they finish the competition without points and help Standard?? The odds are great!!!
Rapid Vienna - Glasgow Rangers RANGERS DNB @2.0 5/10
Rapid won both games against Spartak Moscow so they only need a point from this game. All group phase Rangers games when they were on the road were having lots of goals but when they were qualifying for EL there were not many goals. At UFA it was 1:1, at Maribor it was 0:0 and at Osijek it was 0:1. I think Gerrard will turn back to this approach, after all it is what is recognizable for Rangers playing in Europe, rather than risking an open game. Both teams are having problems scoring lately in their domestic competitions. Also Rapid lost all games against teams from top of the standings in their league(Austria Vienna, LASK Linz and St.Polten) and all without a goal scored. And all their home EL games were UNDER 2.5. Since Rapid needs only a point it is always in such games that somehow either they end a draw or the other side gets what they want(Rangers). I believe that Gerrards side will get what they want in a low scoring game. Everything points out for an UNDER 2.5 so why I will not bet UNDER...it is because if Rapid somehow scores Rangers will need two goals and something tells me they will win it so I am going for Rangers DNB. Lower confidence since Rangers didn't collect points in domestic competition when needed and lost the leading position to Celtic...will they lose what they want on both fields?!
Villareal - Spartak Moscow VILLAREAL OVER 1.5 goals (Home team) @1.55 7/10
Even though Villareal is at the bottom of the Primera standings I really dig this team and believe they will climb up. They have goals in them, they could have scored two goals at least against Barcelona but both teams were for some reason not interested in that game. After that they won in Copa Del Rey against Almeria 8:0...to score 8 goals surely means something even though it is a second league team(which few seasons ago was in the first division). Anyway in their last home game they lost 2:3 to Celta Vigo. They were losing 0:3 and in few minutes managed to score 2 goals which was also my bet in that game. Another reason is that Villareal managed to beat Betis 2:1 and Betis is known for solid defense in most of their games. On other hand Spartak games always have goals, they concede a goal in almost every match. They lost at Vienna 2:0 and it is most likely result I see in this game, but it could be 2:1 or 2:2 since they need a win. Villareal is ok with a draw in this game but I believe they will seal the deal with two goals. If they managed to score 3 goals in Moscow I expect at least two at home. Also Spanish teams are very motivated for this competition.
Genk - Sarpsborg 08 BTTS @1.85 6/10
Genk only needs a point from this game to qualify but with a win they would surely be first so I expect them to go for a win and score a goal. Genk scored a goal in all of their home games this season. Out of 15 home games there were BTTS in 9 of them. Besiktas scored there and Sarpsborg 08 by performance is similar to Besiktas. Sarpsborg 08 created more chances in Istanbul than home team and they won against Genk 3:1 at home. If Sarpsborg wins with two goals difference here then Genk would probably be out of the competition. I expect from Norvegian team to attack and eventually score a goal here, after all they play attacking football and it is their only chance here. Genk defense is not that solid lately. Sarpsborg scored a goal in all of their away EL games. Over 2.5 is only @1.55 but I expect a result 2:1 or 3:1 in this game.
Besiktas - Malmo HOME WIN @1.6 8/10
The thing is that Besiktas wins this kind of games when they need it even when they do not perform well. For example in Norway they were 2:0 down what meant they would be probably out of the competition and they turned it around to FT 2:3 in one halftime. I had Besiktas DNB for that game. Besiktas needs to win this because if Sarpsborg wins at Genk they would all be with the same number of points(8) and Besiktas would be out because of a goal difference. Malmo in away games in EL was pretty bad in most of their games but one win over Midtjyland stands out a bit, I think Danish team is playing nicely. They drew at Sarpsborg out of few chances and lost at Genk again with not many chances created. Even though Besiktas drew their last game it was 0:0 and they won over CL team Galatasaray at home 1:0. So they can win against good teams and their defense seems good in last games. I expect a low scoring nerve wrecking late goal win for Besiktas. After all Besiktas played CL last season and it is expected from them to participate in European competition and I rate Turkish championship more competitive than Swedish. Babel is out but there is Quaresma who will grind it out with assist or a goal
Sevilla - Krasnodar OVER 2.5 @1.5 7/10
Sevilla is at the very top of the Primera and this season they lost at home only to Getafe and drew one game with Villareal at 0:0. But the important thing is that they perform very well at home in important games. They won all games in EL by huge results 5:1 against Standard, 6:0 against Akhisar, 3:0 against Sigma and one 1:0 against Zalgiris at the start of the season but they had 27(10) chances in that game. They also beat Real Madrid by 3:0. This game is important because if they win they will be first in the group and if they draw they have to hope that Standard will not win their game, so basically they need to win...ALL IN! ON other side is Krasnodar who plays nice attacking football this season and they scored a goal in all of their away games this season. I am sure they will play the same way here. They scored at Zenit St.Petersburg and they won against CL team CSKA Moscow. So Krasnodar is surely a serious task for Andalucians. BTTS&Over 2.5 seems tempting at @2.1 but Sevilla game against Real Madrid is a proof it could go wrong as it is all about how much they will score. This competition is really important to Sevilla and they won it few times already so it is expected from them to go further with a style, with first position. I expect something like 3:1 in this game. I just hope it does not end 1:0 or if both Standard and Sevilla draw their games.
Rennes - Astana HOME WIN @1.6 5/10
Risky bet. Rennes needs to win to go through while Astana is fine with a draw. In this group all teams seem similar and this could be a pure gamble. All though Rennes was more dangerous in their game against Dynamo Kiev they lost it, I expect them again to be dominant and this time to win. They also have two wins in French championship in last games, one of those was against Lyon where Lyon was a huge favorite. This is the reason why I am taking this bet, also Rennes scored against PSG, they won against Bordeaux which played 2:2 against PSG, they score in almost all of their home games etc. On other side Astana drew both away EL games and they are pretty equal in strength to Jablonec so I am expecting a similar result 2:1 or 1:0 for Rennes in this game. Astana also lost to APOEL and Dinamo Zagreb in CL qualifications and they lost their last two away games in domestic championship. I doubt Rennes is much worse. They can score from few chances and do not concede goals(Lyon).
Slavia Prague - Zenit St.Petersburg HOME WIN @1.7 8/10
Zenit is first in the group whatever happens while Slavia Prague needs to win to be sure they will go through. In Copenhagen - Bordeaux game everything can happen so I will focus on this game. I believe Home win is a must take here. True they lost 1:0 in St.Petersburg(I have not watched the game) but check out the statistics...Zenit 6(2) vs Slavia 25(11)...if someone watched the game please tell me that it was not Barcelona there rather than team from Prague. It is also pointing out they can not score, but in Czech league they do, and they won against Copenhagen and Bordeaux and in all of those games they created more chances. Since Zenit will not be interested into this game this is a clear bet imo. Also Zenit picked up few losses in a row in Russian league in last couple of rounds. Unlike Rennes game where there is no value at those odds to risk anything even though Rennes win is expected this one is a must take.
Olympiakos - AC Milan OLYMPIAKOS DNB @1.85 6/10
Olympiakos does not play great but they are determined and that is what is important. Both teams once played in CL and now they are here in EL. Olympiakos drew their last game away to Xanthi even though it was expected that they will win(I was on Oly:) and in the game before that they beat Panionios but what is worrying is that they also conceded a goal. All in all Olympiakos will be very motivated. The trick here is that Milan can lose but not with two goals difference and as I was saying in my Rapid - Rangers preview in this kind of games most of the times it ends up just on that line between win or lose scenario. Since Olympiakos is at home and Milan is not a great traveler and they also come from a scoreless draw against Torino I think it is worth a shot, Oly could just do it enough for the bet to go through but not succeed in passing the group phase. Olympiakos played an equal game against Betis at home and lost by only one goal in Spain. And Betis won in Italy while drew at home to Milan so Betis and Milan might be similar in strength. Since Olympiakos had their chances against Betis at home I will go against very popular AC Milan in this one.
Leipzig - Rosenborg HOME WIN @1.15
Combined odds for this parlay is  @255...I once won @244 so this would be my new record
Anyway...this are my suggestions...
GL...y'all!

My parlay for EL today...
Akhisar - Standard Liege AKHISAR DNB @3.2 7/10
Who watched the last game between Akhisar and Fenerbahce will surely know why I am taking this bet. Akhisar won that game 3:0 and believe me when I say that Fenerbahce is not playing that bad at all in terms of offense. On other side is Standard who drew a game against St.Trudiens(offensive side) and lost before that 3:0 to Club Brugge without a shot fired, they were impotent, invisible or whatever you wanna call it(I had BTTS in that game)...Standard has still chances to progress the group but they need a win here and hope for Sevilla not to win. This will all fit just perfectly to Akhisar(what an exotic name, right?:)...it will be just like the game against Fenerbahce who needed points badly since they are in relegation zone. I expect the home team to win but not lose for sure. Why would they finish the competition without points and help Standard?? The odds are great!!!
Rapid Vienna - Glasgow Rangers RANGERS DNB @2.0 5/10
Rapid won both games against Spartak Moscow so they only need a point from this game. All group phase Rangers games when they were on the road were having lots of goals but when they were qualifying for EL there were not many goals. At UFA it was 1:1, at Maribor it was 0:0 and at Osijek it was 0:1. I think Gerrard will turn back to this approach, after all it is what is recognizable for Rangers playing in Europe, rather than risking an open game. Both teams are having problems scoring lately in their domestic competitions. Also Rapid lost all games against teams from top of the standings in their league(Austria Vienna, LASK Linz and St.Polten) and all without a goal scored. And all their home EL games were UNDER 2.5. Since Rapid needs only a point it is always in such games that somehow either they end a draw or the other side gets what they want(Rangers). I believe that Gerrards side will get what they want in a low scoring game. Everything points out for an UNDER 2.5 so why I will not bet UNDER...it is because if Rapid somehow scores Rangers will need two goals and something tells me they will win it so I am going for Rangers DNB. Lower confidence since Rangers didn't collect points in domestic competition when needed and lost the leading position to Celtic...will they lose what they want on both fields?!
Villareal - Spartak Moscow VILLAREAL OVER 1.5 goals (Home team) @1.55 7/10
Even though Villareal is at the bottom of the Primera standings I really dig this team and believe they will climb up. They have goals in them, they could have scored two goals at least against Barcelona but both teams were for some reason not interested in that game. After that they won in Copa Del Rey against Almeria 8:0...to score 8 goals surely means something even though it is a second league team(which few seasons ago was in the first division). Anyway in their last home game they lost 2:3 to Celta Vigo. They were losing 0:3 and in few minutes managed to score 2 goals which was also my bet in that game. Another reason is that Villareal managed to beat Betis 2:1 and Betis is known for solid defense in most of their games. On other hand Spartak games always have goals, they concede a goal in almost every match. They lost at Vienna 2:0 and it is most likely result I see in this game, but it could be 2:1 or 2:2 since they need a win. Villareal is ok with a draw in this game but I believe they will seal the deal with two goals. If they managed to score 3 goals in Moscow I expect at least two at home. Also Spanish teams are very motivated for this competition.
Genk - Sarpsborg 08 BTTS @1.85 6/10
Genk only needs a point from this game to qualify but with a win they would surely be first so I expect them to go for a win and score a goal. Genk scored a goal in all of their home games this season. Out of 15 home games there were BTTS in 9 of them. Besiktas scored there and Sarpsborg 08 by performance is similar to Besiktas. Sarpsborg 08 created more chances in Istanbul than home team and they won against Genk 3:1 at home. If Sarpsborg wins with two goals difference here then Genk would probably be out of the competition. I expect from Norvegian team to attack and eventually score a goal here, after all they play attacking football and it is their only chance here. Genk defense is not that solid lately. Sarpsborg scored a goal in all of their away EL games. Over 2.5 is only @1.55 but I expect a result 2:1 or 3:1 in this game.
Besiktas - Malmo HOME WIN @1.6 8/10
The thing is that Besiktas wins this kind of games when they need it even when they do not perform well. For example in Norway they were 2:0 down what meant they would be probably out of the competition and they turned it around to FT 2:3 in one halftime. I had Besiktas DNB for that game. Besiktas needs to win this because if Sarpsborg wins at Genk they would all be with the same number of points(8) and Besiktas would be out because of a goal difference. Malmo in away games in EL was pretty bad in most of their games but one win over Midtjyland stands out a bit, I think Danish team is playing nicely. They drew at Sarpsborg out of few chances and lost at Genk again with not many chances created. Even though Besiktas drew their last game it was 0:0 and they won over CL team Galatasaray at home 1:0. So they can win against good teams and their defense seems good in last games. I expect a low scoring nerve wrecking late goal win for Besiktas. After all Besiktas played CL last season and it is expected from them to participate in European competition and I rate Turkish championship more competitive than Swedish. Babel is out but there is Quaresma who will grind it out with assist or a goal
Sevilla - Krasnodar OVER 2.5 @1.5 7/10
Sevilla is at the very top of the Primera and this season they lost at home only to Getafe and drew one game with Villareal at 0:0. But the important thing is that they perform very well at home in important games. They won all games in EL by huge results 5:1 against Standard, 6:0 against Akhisar, 3:0 against Sigma and one 1:0 against Zalgiris at the start of the season but they had 27(10) chances in that game. They also beat Real Madrid by 3:0. This game is important because if they win they will be first in the group and if they draw they have to hope that Standard will not win their game, so basically they need to win...ALL IN! ON other side is Krasnodar who plays nice attacking football this season and they scored a goal in all of their away games this season. I am sure they will play the same way here. They scored at Zenit St.Petersburg and they won against CL team CSKA Moscow. So Krasnodar is surely a serious task for Andalucians. BTTS&Over 2.5 seems tempting at @2.1 but Sevilla game against Real Madrid is a proof it could go wrong as it is all about how much they will score. This competition is really important to Sevilla and they won it few times already so it is expected from them to go further with a style, with first position. I expect something like 3:1 in this game. I just hope it does not end 1:0 or if both Standard and Sevilla draw their games.
Rennes - Astana HOME WIN @1.6 5/10
Risky bet. Rennes needs to win to go through while Astana is fine with a draw. In this group all teams seem similar and this could be a pure gamble. All though Rennes was more dangerous in their game against Dynamo Kiev they lost it, I expect them again to be dominant and this time to win. They also have two wins in French championship in last games, one of those was against Lyon where Lyon was a huge favorite. This is the reason why I am taking this bet, also Rennes scored against PSG, they won against Bordeaux which played 2:2 against PSG, they score in almost all of their home games etc. On other side Astana drew both away EL games and they are pretty equal in strength to Jablonec so I am expecting a similar result 2:1 or 1:0 for Rennes in this game. Astana also lost to APOEL and Dinamo Zagreb in CL qualifications and they lost their last two away games in domestic championship. I doubt Rennes is much worse. They can score from few chances and do not concede goals(Lyon).
Slavia Prague - Zenit St.Petersburg HOME WIN @1.7 8/10
Zenit is first in the group whatever happens while Slavia Prague needs to win to be sure they will go through. In Copenhagen - Bordeaux game everything can happen so I will focus on this game. I believe Home win is a must take here. True they lost 1:0 in St.Petersburg(I have not watched the game) but check out the statistics...Zenit 6(2) vs Slavia 25(11)...if someone watched the game please tell me that it was not Barcelona there rather than team from Prague. It is also pointing out they can not score, but in Czech league they do, and they won against Copenhagen and Bordeaux and in all of those games they created more chances. Since Zenit will not be interested into this game this is a clear bet imo. Also Zenit picked up few losses in a row in Russian league in last couple of rounds. Unlike Rennes game where there is no value at those odds to risk anything even though Rennes win is expected this one is a must take.
Olympiakos - AC Milan OLYMPIAKOS DNB @1.85 6/10
Olympiakos does not play great but they are determined and that is what is important. Both teams once played in CL and now they are here in EL. Olympiakos drew their last game away to Xanthi even though it was expected that they will win(I was on Oly:) and in the game before that they beat Panionios but what is worrying is that they also conceded a goal. All in all Olympiakos will be very motivated. The trick here is that Milan can lose but not with two goals difference and as I was saying in my Rapid - Rangers preview in this kind of games most of the times it ends up just on that line between win or lose scenario. Since Olympiakos is at home and Milan is not a great traveler and they also come from a scoreless draw against Torino I think it is worth a shot, Oly could just do it enough for the bet to go through but not succeed in passing the group phase. Olympiakos played an equal game against Betis at home and lost by only one goal in Spain. And Betis won in Italy while drew at home to Milan so Betis and Milan might be similar in strength. Since Olympiakos had their chances against Betis at home I will go against very popular AC Milan in this one.
Leipzig - Rosenborg HOME WIN @1.15
Combined odds for this parlay is  @255...I once won @244 so this would be my new record
Anyway...this are my suggestions...
GL...y'all!

Here is my take on the last round...and my CL parlay...
Barcelona - Tottenham OVER 2.5 goals @1.5 local
Since Suarez is back in the team Messi seems also interested to play actively, they won against Espanyol with ease and Espanyol is having a good season. Since Espanyol managed to create 15(4) chances in that game so should Tottenham if not more. The thing is Barcelona can score 4 goals themselves but since Tottenham will be determined to win I doubt they will let them score as much as they did to Espanyol. True Tottenham got 4 goals at Arsenal what also goes into our favor and I believe they will score at least once here. Imo the most probable outcome is 2:2. I watched Barcelona - Villareal game and it was completely false Barca, and Villareal had few chances to score even though they also seemed like they didn't even try to win...they played just to finish the game, Messi unmotivated, Barca holding the ball for long time, slow passes etc. against Espanyol is the Barcelona I believe we will see against Tottenham. So for those looking for higher odds I believe OVER 3.5 goals is @2.3 ...Who knows maybe Tottenham somehow will win this and pass the group...and Inter can surprise us with bad performance since PSV will be playing attacking Dutch football I would not touch that game. Inter lost 4:1 at Atalanta, the team that somehow lost to poor Sarajevo at the start of EL campaign.
Monaco - Dortmund AWAY WIN @1.7 local
These teams are on opposite sides in term of their shape so this seems logical. Monaco got some points in last round of French championship but it is all hardly won against weak team. Dortmund on other hand plays nice football and they have beaten another CL team Schalke in the last round of Bundesliga. Schalke is not that bad at all. I doubt Dortmund will calculate here and they will go for a win to try get the first spot in the group and I doubt Monaco will play defensive style football what should fit well to Germans. I like this game more than Atletico to win in Belgium. Most likely outcome 0:2. Dortmund -1.5 is @2.8
Liverpool - Napoli HOME WIN @1.65 local
Nice match up in this one and it might be tricky to play this bet since both teams can score but I think the final result could look as if it was an easy job. Liverpool at home is always a favorite, they will dominate the game, opposite of what it was in Italy. And Napoli is not really a defending team so I believe Liverpool will score at least two goals in this game. Tricky to predict the final result but I would go for 2:1. Liverpool is really lucky to have this last game at Anfield since they are poor away from home this season in CL. I am also picking this bet since Liverpool are legendary club in this competition while Napoli if I am right never got further in CL from Group stage. Ancelotti imo is just a sham.
Parlay:
Barcelona - Tottenham over 2.5 @1.5
Monaco - Dortmund Away Win @1.7
Liverpool - Napoli Home Win @1.65
Crvena Zvezda - PSG Away Win @1.2
Combined Odd @5.1
GL y'all!
 
 

Here is my take on the last round...and my CL parlay...
Barcelona - Tottenham OVER 2.5 goals @1.5 local
Since Suarez is back in the team Messi seems also interested to play actively, they won against Espanyol with ease and Espanyol is having a good season. Since Espanyol managed to create 15(4) chances in that game so should Tottenham if not more. The thing is Barcelona can score 4 goals themselves but since Tottenham will be determined to win I doubt they will let them score as much as they did to Espanyol. True Tottenham got 4 goals at Arsenal what also goes into our favor and I believe they will score at least once here. Imo the most probable outcome is 2:2. I watched Barcelona - Villareal game and it was completely false Barca, and Villareal had few chances to score even though they also seemed like they didn't even try to win...they played just to finish the game, Messi unmotivated, Barca holding the ball for long time, slow passes etc. against Espanyol is the Barcelona I believe we will see against Tottenham. So for those looking for higher odds I believe OVER 3.5 goals is @2.3 ...Who knows maybe Tottenham somehow will win this and pass the group...and Inter can surprise us with bad performance since PSV will be playing attacking Dutch football I would not touch that game. Inter lost 4:1 at Atalanta, the team that somehow lost to poor Sarajevo at the start of EL campaign.
Monaco - Dortmund AWAY WIN @1.7 local
These teams are on opposite sides in term of their shape so this seems logical. Monaco got some points in last round of French championship but it is all hardly won against weak team. Dortmund on other hand plays nice football and they have beaten another CL team Schalke in the last round of Bundesliga. Schalke is not that bad at all. I doubt Dortmund will calculate here and they will go for a win to try get the first spot in the group and I doubt Monaco will play defensive style football what should fit well to Germans. I like this game more than Atletico to win in Belgium. Most likely outcome 0:2. Dortmund -1.5 is @2.8
Liverpool - Napoli HOME WIN @1.65 local
Nice match up in this one and it might be tricky to play this bet since both teams can score but I think the final result could look as if it was an easy job. Liverpool at home is always a favorite, they will dominate the game, opposite of what it was in Italy. And Napoli is not really a defending team so I believe Liverpool will score at least two goals in this game. Tricky to predict the final result but I would go for 2:1. Liverpool is really lucky to have this last game at Anfield since they are poor away from home this season in CL. I am also picking this bet since Liverpool are legendary club in this competition while Napoli if I am right never got further in CL from Group stage. Ancelotti imo is just a sham.
Parlay:
Barcelona - Tottenham over 2.5 @1.5
Monaco - Dortmund Away Win @1.7
Liverpool - Napoli Home Win @1.65
Crvena Zvezda - PSG Away Win @1.2
Combined Odd @5.1
GL y'all!