aliando
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Posts posted by aliando
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Gutted.
Not here very often these days but always attached. I know I'm not the only one with similar feelings but have many, many good memories from the meet-ups and met lots of like-minded lunatics on here! All of it was the result of Paul's hard-work and he went out of his way to look after everyone. His place was the only home I've ever been into where I was on a running machine at whatever time in the morning - a JD in one hand and a tree in the other ?
Thought we would get a chance to have another meet up, shocked to see he was taken so soon. Few people will leave as many positive memories with so many others.
Have raised a JD, with the Mighty Townsend. ?
RIP mate.
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21 hours ago, Sir Puntalot said:
@aliando confirmed for No Limit - anything could happen now!
? I just need a magic hat....
- Sir Puntalot and avongirl
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Really struggling to see beyond a Norwich/Brighton double being decent value. 2 sides who should be fighting out for play off places, if not automatic spots, playing home against two clubs in decline. My club Cardiff, look set for a looonnng season. Despite the signing of Ricky Lambert, we look painfully shy up front and dodgy at the back. Brentford have struggled on the road already this season. With promotion hopes, both teams should be looking for comfortable home victories after losses, last time out.
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On 16/08/2016, 15:35:59, StevieDay1983 said:
I've had a shocker of a first week. Scraped to 38 points. Bar Aguero and Ibrahimovic the most points any of my players got was 2!
The best always start off steady. Its a marathon, not a sprint. Repeat the cliches after me....
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9 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:
Aliando, I am a big fan of Sean Dyche and Burnley. I actually think he's a future England manager. I'd have probably given him the job now and given him time to get things right. However, I think they have made the same mistake as last time by not investing nearly enough in their squad as they should have done. The board is too conservative. I suppose that is a good thing in the fact that the finances are always under control but if they want to progress and move to the next level they need to take a calculated risk. Otherwise they will be like 2000s West Brom and just yo-yo between the Premier League and Championship. Dyche is a class manager but the squad he has right now is not good enough to stay up even with his nous.
Yep, good English manager but unlikley to be considered for the national job for another 5 years at least. I think it would take a good start from Burnley coupled with a sacking from a better team not owned by a stupidly-rich foreign owner for him to step up to a bigger team this season and would then have to build from there. He would have to be frustrated with being unable to add to the squad, which is clearly needed - otherwise, he's got too much loyalty to the current group and not showing enough ambition himself. If they don't start well, their odds for a second quick return will plummet.
Incidently, Williams has officially left Swansea, therefore Burnley's chances have definitely increased imo. It's not just his ability that will be missed but the leadership also. If he's not replaced with quality by Sept 1st, Swansea's odds to go town may be too tempting...
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3 potentials for me, with evens or better odds.
Leicester showed no signs of a team that feel they've completed the job, in the defeat againt Man Utd. Despite losing the little big man in Kante, they've held the squad together (for now, at least) and made a few interesting signings. Hull look nothing short of a disaster, with no proper manager and poor squad riddled with injuries. It would be difficult to understand how any of the players could start this game with confidence.
Agree with Palace. I like Pardew but he cannot get his teams out of a slump easily and they died a long death last season. The summer break will give Palace new impetus but I'm still thinking they look a little blunt up front and really need a targetman. That said, West Brom havent exactly improved their squad and, even with Pulis, they'll struggle this term unless they bring in reinforcements quickly.
And I think Burnley could be being overlooked. New teams to the prem will always feel the need to start quickly and get points on the board, before the smaller squads get stretched. Sean Dyche has done a great job with Burnley, on little budgets, he has the experience from last time and has his players behind him. The whole club will be buzzing for this game. On the other hand, Swansea seem to be losing influential players at a crucial time and new players aren't going to have a great deal of settling in time. If Williams does leave, this could be a long, hard season for the Jacks.
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Peek-a-boo!
Manager: Alex Drohan
Team Name: WeGounongbePromoted
Forum Username: Aliando -
I'm sure I can be learnt how to do it!
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Any news on an app update for lazy welshmen who have become accustomed to simply tapping a button to open a site, rather than putting in usernames and passwords...?
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Seems quiet in here with under a week to go... wolves27 - you look set to sign Adam Le Fondre from us (Cardiff). He never really had a chance to play for us, given the fact that we had about 75 professional, thanks to OGS's "buy everyone now" plan! He wasn't a signing that exited me at the time, but he's reasonable at this level, not a 25-goal man, but decent enough. For anyone looking at Cardiff, I'd have to advise caution and avoidance!! A very brief overview: Manager Russell Slade has the almost impossible task of keeping the fans and the chairman happy, last year, he only managed to please the chairman. People who never moan about the team, were moaning about the team, the way we played and the lack of tactics and entertainment. His remit last season appears to be to have been to minimise costs and rebuild, following Solsjaer's abysmal reign. Whilst pre-season has been ok, it really wouldn't suprise me to see a new man in charge, come May. If he doesn't start well, keep an eye on the sack market... Team David Marshall has been heavily linked with WBA, beyond him, I'm not convinced that we have a keeper that would justify a promotion push. It's reasonable to expect that, if Marshall does move, we'll get someone else in, but I'm not sure Slade has the pulling power to get a quality replacement. The squad continues to be trimmed, and re-shaped, although there is a fear that he's building a quality League 1 team, rather than a Championship team. There is strength in depth throughout the squad but, imo, we could benefit from a smaller squad with better quality, rather than a large squad of decent/reasonable players. If the squad remains the same, then I'd say that we could cope better with a large injury list than most other teams, I wouldn't simply bet against us on the basis of us having injuries. The pre-season games have seen a markedly improved unity from the players, tbf to Slade, this isn't something we've seen since Malky had us in the prem. Again, unless we start well and get the crowd back behind the team, expect us to be more backable away from home and layable when in Wales. Off the pitch Tan has taken a little more of a back seat, possibly through his invovlement in buying other clubs around the world, however, his impact on the team should not be completely forgotten. He has won some fans back with the return to blue but the relationship remains fragile, and is unlikely to improve dramatically. The other distraction to be aware of is the old Sam Hammam story. His involvement with the group who loaned money to the city for the new stadium remains unknown and is heading to the courts. Whilst I'd like to think that this won't have an impact, it continues to rumble on without any sign of being resolved. All in all, I'd expect a top 10 finish, as things stand. We have a decent enough squad, we have the capability to buy, if required. The manager still has't convinced. At best, I'd say we could target the play offs.
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > April 10th & 11th I've purposely avoided betting on/against Cardiff for a long while. To say slade is better than solskjaer is like saying eating cardboard is better than eating glass. There's been media publicity over Leeds refusal to allow Cardiff more than 500 tickets for away fans, when we can often take a couple of thousand and Leeds aren't getting sold out grounds! The board have backed the decision to seems them all back and we won't take any fans! It's disgruntled the club and I think (and hope) it'll add extra fuel to the motivation. There is massive negativity around the club and, what the media haven't said, is that the lack of city fans will probably help our cause. Slade is getting slated from fans and ex-players, the players are being derided as not being good enough, we lost (again) 3-0 at home to Bolton last week and they all have something to prove, as well as playing for their place in next seasons squad. We've not got any major injuries (and a big enough squad to cope anyway!) and we are Leeds bogey team, having not lost in our 13 meetings over the part 10 years. Leeds have also had a season to forget. Cardiff +0 AH is 1.90 on betfair and that looks like value today.
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > Saturday August 16th Cardiff played a predominantly 2nd string team in midweek, so, despite the extra day's rest for Huddersfield, we have a big enough squad to cope with any tired legs. I'm gonna go for over 2.5 goals again, as this is available at evens/slightly above. Similar reasoning to last week, I think that we are set up to attack and I've not spoken to many city fans who have faith in Solskjaer's defensive set up. I'd settle for a point at Blackburn, in the opening game but this will be a big crowd today and will expect the team to make home advantage pay, with an added expectation that we can hit 3 or 4, given our attacking depth. Again, I'm not convinced that we will have that many clean sheets this season and I'd not be surprised to find that we keep them against the stronger clubs as I can see Solskjaer trying to out-score the so-called lesser teams. Over 2.5 goals.
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > August 8th - 10th
Stopped just short with 2 goals. However, both sides managed just 2 shots on target each, in the entire game, which doesn't give a great picture for the keeping aspect. I'd expect (and hope) that solskjaer will be addressing the central defence depth issue for us. Not sure about Blackburn though - hell, if Kenwyn Jones can score past them, they could be worth backing on the goals coupons in coming weeks! :rollin Sent from my GT-I9300 using PL ForumBlackburn - Cardiff Too early to say how solskjaer's reign will go/end. The expected departures have happened and we are still left with a strong championship squad (many of which were present in the promotion season the year before last) plus several new players brought in. We've also got a handful of youth players who are going to have a chance to prove themselves this year. I don't think Blackburn will be easy to beat this season and could be play of contenders if things fall right for them (although with their owners, this may be more of a possibility than a probability) - they will need to be respected. Our favourites tag will mean many games will be made that much harder. I've read a number of things saying about our defensive "crisis." My take on this is that we have injuries and suspension (along with departures) but there's adequate sort term cover. Hudson is our only recognised first team Centre back at present who is able to play tonight. He is likely to be partnered by connolly - although his main position is full back, he often covered at CB 2 years ago. Elsewhere, we seem fairly strong in all areas, particularly attack, which was am issue last season. For tonight, I think there is a element of dice rolling, if trying to pick from the 1X2 markets. Personally, I'm looking more at the under/over market. I'd have expected around 1.75-1.80 for over 2.5 goals but some sites currently offering evens. I'd struggle to argue for either side to keep a clean sheet here and both have goals in them. Over 2.5 goals. -
Re: Sky Bet Championship > August 8th - 10th Blackburn - Cardiff Too early to say how solskjaer's reign will go/end. The expected departures have happened and we are still left with a strong championship squad (many of which were present in the promotion season the year before last) plus several new players brought in. We've also got a handful of youth players who are going to have a chance to prove themselves this year. I don't think Blackburn will be easy to beat this season and could be play of contenders if things fall right for them (although with their owners, this may be more of a possibility than a probability) - they will need to be respected. Our favourites tag will mean many games will be made that much harder. I've read a number of things saying about our defensive "crisis." My take on this is that we have injuries and suspension (along with departures) but there's adequate sort term cover. Hudson is our only recognised first team Centre back at present who is able to play tonight. He is likely to be partnered by connolly - although his main position is full back, he often covered at CB 2 years ago. Elsewhere, we seem fairly strong in all areas, particularly attack, which was am issue last season. For tonight, I think there is a element of dice rolling, if trying to pick from the 1X2 markets. Personally, I'm looking more at the under/over market. I'd have expected around 1.75-1.80 for over 2.5 goals but some sites currently offering evens. I'd struggle to argue for either side to keep a clean sheet here and both have goals in them. Over 2.5 goals.
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Outright Betting I've also backed columbia with view to laying them off in the knock out stages. I think the location will be a huge advantage to the lesser spoken of teams and columbia appear massively overpriced imo. Will they win it? I doubt it. But I believe they could emulate the south korean effort, a few cups ago, and should mean there's a profit to be locked in. Given the relatively weak group plus the lack of focus, they should have a good tournament.
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Would be in some agreement with above. Both teams are lacking in points despite some arguably decent displays and both will head into this game with a belief that they can take all 3 points. Neither look defensively solid enough to back a clean sheet and the BTTS bet does seem to have some attraction. I've heard in the press that we have a full strength squad to choose from -we're actually still missing cornelius (although he's perhaps not been involved enough to be classed as missing? ). Fulham do have the experience but the game will tell whether they still have the quality and hunger to be avoiding relegation, come May...
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Spurs will rightly be the favourites here but it'll be a tight affair. I'd be expecting malky to park the bus in front of goal again, given spurs multiple attacking options. Spurs have been business like under AVB and, I believe, would be happy to take a 1-0 win. They'll be wary of how we beat man city and may not be prepared to try and score asap. Quite surprised to see under 2.5 goals close to evens (1.95 with marathon) and this looks good value imo. Out of the 8 games from both sides, only our 3-2 win over man city has gone over this line.
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Early thoughts: both sides will view this game as a realistic chance to gain 3 vital points, early in the season. I'd be expecting both teams to press forward with the ball and BTTS could look a good bet. As it stands, its looking like both teams first choice keepers may be injured, which could either increase goal chances or force the teams into more defensive tactics to protect the lesser keeper. Marshall looks more likely to be out, which may see us be a little more hesitant, with Lewis (formerly of defensive geniuses peterbro) and Moore (signed from Brentford this summer) both pretty much untested in our first team. Hull's macgregor has also been reported to have suffered a knock but has more of a chance of playing. As usual, team news will be important, as well as views from any tigers fans?
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Probably already in your thinking too, but that sample size is very small to be basing probabilities on, to a reliable degree.
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Can't see anything other than a serbian win tonight. Wales, at full strength, would be underdogs. Unfortunately, we're nowhere near full strength. And I don't rate Chris Coleman as a manager. Having seen the line up for wales, my money is firmly on serbia for the straight win :-(
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Even better. The game last Sunday would have taken a lot out of the players and similar level of effort will be required to take something out of this game. Very much liking the look of your manager' date=' the Chilean CM and CB partnership.[/quote'] 'El Pitbull' in defensive midfield looks to be a cracking signing, for the games that he's not banned! Turner and Caulker have started well and Hudson will be hard pressed to get in the team in the next few games, without any injuries forcing changes. That said, Malky added another signing yesterday, a somewhat unknown Uruguay U20 international CD, so I'm not sure how this will affect things in coming weeks. I can't see any changes to the starting 11 vs man city, for this game. Our only injury concern is Cornelius who hasn't been with us long enough for it to make a significant impact. Everton haven't started convincingly and, as said above, will surely be affected to some degree with the ongoing saga with fellani and baines. I can't see either risking injury this weekend and may not be 100% focussed :hope The city fans will be just as vociferous as last week - probably not too inviting for an ex-Swansea player and manager to visit! However, it might just deflect the fans off the Everton players? Almost completely irrelevant but the last time we met them in the league (1961/2), we drew 0-0 in Wales but then Lost 8-3 up there! I'm still thinking the draw seems likely but can't help feel that we can get something here. Our home form has been identified by Malky as crucial to our survival hopes and would expect him to cautiously target 3 points here, as everton seem vulnerable. A few possible bets for me: - 32 red go 2.50 for cardiff with +0 AH - I'd believe that malky would recognise playing for draws will see us relegated and will cautiously attack. However, this will leave us open at the back and I'm not convinced we're solid enough to be keeping many clean sheets. Martinez, too, doesn't have a good record of keeping clean sheets (just 6 out of last 38 away games with Wigan) and VCbet go 1.83 for both teams to score - and similar reasoning would suggest over 2.5 goals looks value at 2.10 with marathon If I had to pick a final score, I'd say 1-1 but also believe that 2-1 is possible :hope
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Probably already in your thinking but just for people to be aware that Cardiff fielded a completely different team against Accrington. There may be some argument in the mentality of the squad but, effectively, the games vs Manchester city and Accrington involved 2 different sides. Sent from my GT-I9300 using PL ForumImpressed by Cardiff yesterday. Can’t work Everton out yet. Back to back draws, one in a four goal thriller the other a drab 0-0. Everton 10/25 (last 5 season data) games away at bottom 5 oppositions end in a draw so it seems to carry some value. I very much like what I am seeing from Mackay so wouldn't be surprised if Cardiff hounded Everton the same way they did City. Would rather go home win but still keep the draw onside. Might be worth considering that Fellaini/Baines may not be in the right frame of mind to play v Cardiff if United get their way. Cardiff DnB 2.20 Cardiff double chance 1.70 -
Hadn't finished writing that :unsure Was just gonna add that a draw looks the safer option atm but, for me, its a no-bet.
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Not sure that overall history can be used in the analysis here. Liverpool's record against top half teams was simply abysmal for a man claiming we could target the top 2. Im still not convinced that Rodgers is tactically competent against real quality and our main hope will be that United are still adjusting under moyes. A draw, aI will say the old "rule" (if you can call it that) that Liverpool up their game against so-called bigger sides.
BillyHills - R.I.P.
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Saddened to hear the loss of one the nicest guys you could ever wish to meet. Would help anyone, new or old. I'll list myself under the uncountable people here, who he took time out to help.
Condolences to Suzy.
Another sad day.