Grass Cash

Jan Lenard Struff/Filip Krajinovic @+369 with William Hill
Being that I don't rate Quentin Halys, and German blacklisted player is already through the qualifying here.. I'll increase the payout on Krajinovic. I do not believe that if Krajinovic wins, struff will lose.. This is psych ward logic, but I am enslaved by this. I've already wrote about Krajinovic chances, and I guess he will probably lose, but if i'm deciding to back him then I'd rather have much better odds such as this which I actually think is a fair line to be gambling with.  I do think Wells can favor taller atp players and hard hitters. This is my reasoning for liking Struff's chances here. GL

@CzechPunterand tennis punters. What kind of chances are you giving Krajinovic today?
He has results at this tournament, and is coming in fresher than Mcdonald. I think the talent level is pretty similar, and no one here would doubt that it's going to be a close match. For me I just felt that Krajinovic could outserve him for whatever reason. He's been at Indian wells since atleast 5 days ago training and preparing for the tournament.  
I thought Filip looked in form vs Rublev in his last match, and I can't speak much on Mcdonald's form because I"m out of the tennis loop, and not paying attention. 

McDonald is pretty good, especially in the US. I dare to say we'll see 3 sets.

@CzechPunterand tennis punters. What kind of chances are you giving Krajinovic today?
He has results at this tournament, and is coming in fresher than Mcdonald. I think the talent level is pretty similar, and no one here would doubt that it's going to be a close match. For me I just felt that Krajinovic could outserve him for whatever reason. He's been at Indian wells since atleast 5 days ago training and preparing for the tournament.  
I thought Filip looked in form vs Rublev in his last match, and I can't speak much on Mcdonald's form because I"m out of the tennis loop, and not paying attention. 

Thanks.. I think Zverev will win, but I haven't decided about betting it. 

Agree with you guys on Dimitrov, though not sure that's a good sign given the way things have been going for me lately (fingers still crossed for Pegula!). @money44 Giorgi hasn't really been tested yet, not sure how she deals with her first real opponent of the season.

I'm not really on his side, haha! Just wouldn't want to be on Khachanov, but the H2H would scare me from backing Tiafoe. 

I'd side with Tiafoe if pressed.

Paula Badosa/JJ Wolf Parlay: odds 5.5
first meeting matches for both players, and I think I have the more talented player both ways.. Collins beat Trevisan on hard, and tired player now Garcia. I am not impressed with these results at all, and the only advatange for Collins is the home country imo. Badosa traveled from Ostrava to here, and seems to be in form with more work to do. 
GL Gents, and stay humble my friends! I've already place the wager clearly in bold text!
ALSO WANTED TO ADD THAT JJ WOLF is an indoor specialist. if you look at his record it's something like 55-26. I don't the exact reason for his success here but it is pretty clear. I think the wrong American is favored to win their match. Albeit. they are some tricky betting lines I will admit.. but should be a hell of a watch. 

Agree about the Collins vs Badosa match, disagree on the other. Ymer is on fire.
Meanwhile, Iga opened a new bakery in San Diego lol.

Paula Badosa/JJ Wolf Parlay: odds 5.5
first meeting matches for both players, and I think I have the more talented player both ways.. Collins beat Trevisan on hard, and tired player now Garcia. I am not impressed with these results at all, and the only advatange for Collins is the home country imo. Badosa traveled from Ostrava to here, and seems to be in form with more work to do. 
GL Gents, and stay humble my friends! I've already place the wager clearly in bold text!
ALSO WANTED TO ADD THAT JJ WOLF is an indoor specialist. if you look at his record it's something like 55-26. I don't the exact reason for his success here but it is pretty clear. I think the wrong American is favored to win their match. Albeit. they are some tricky betting lines I will admit.. but should be a hell of a watch. 

Only got to the odds now, can't see anything for the rest of the day honestly, Wang over NPD comes the closest for me.

Parma: Mathilde Paoletti +650 (50% insurance)
I am parlaying the above picks, and taking some insurance if I'm wrong about them. Paoletti is not serving great yesterday, but as I mentioned that I have her rated very high talent. She hits heavy ball with alot of spin, and I think Begu could have trouble finding some timing there. I thought the betting line looked off at these odds, and maybe something like +300 is more accurate.

Sofia: Grigor Dimitrov -105 
Parma: Elisabetta Cocciaretto +100 
I saw glimpse of Ivashka in Sofia yesterday vs Ymer.  I thought the guy wasn't moving well or uncoordinated. I couldn't remember the problem, but I'm not seeing a player that I want to back indoors vs former champion, and higher regarded player Dimitrov coming in to this tournament with plenty of rest. 
Cocciaretto I am rating as the more technical ball striker, and I think both of them dealt with some leg injuries, and Elisabetta had knee surgery, but now she has won two itf events since then, and if you watch her last match.. You wouldn't know she has any problems. I think Paolini took advantage of some easy short balls sitting up in the court from Niemeier. I don't think she's going to see those same balls this match. I would say of the two .. I feel better about Dimitrov now, but initially I was always considering Italian. 

Just a small quad  for me.
Basilashvilli to beat Verdasco . If Basilashvilli is half on form and focused he wins here against a player who is just hanging on. Why doesn't Verdasco just retire?
Sonego to beat Zapata Miralles. Ok low priced but I think he has too much form.
Adrian Mannarino to beat Constant Lestienne
Bencic to beat Boulter. Again low price but way to much quality on Bencic's side, and she already played a match yesterday.
 
Just some interest on the laptop (1 unit) while I am pounding keys .
 

Well, I don't think the current odds (below 3.00) offer any value there. She's up and coming, and she's had plenty of promising results recently, but she's still below Haddad Maia, and the latter is having what seems to be the best season of her career so far. She also has a match win under her belt here, so it's not the same situation as with Parry.

I've been very impressed with what I've seen from Linda Noskova on these indoor courts in Tallinn, Estonia. Czech Punter was the first to bring this girl's name to my attention. I guess she is ranked 105 singles right now which is higher than I would expect, but she's only 17 years old turning 18 in November. 
She really seems adapted to the indoor courts, and is hitting the ball hard with good margin over the net also.  I am curious if anyone thinks she pulls the upset over Haddad Maia. From what I saw Parry looked to be in fit form, and she dispatched her? Especially directing that question at Czech if he can offer any info. 
Haddad Maia is not a indoor player. She has a career 9-8 record, and stuggled with lower ranked player in her last match. I do realize she played close match vs Kudermetova at Tokyo indoor tournament, but I do believe those courts were playing similar to fast outdoor courts. 

Have been taking a little break from the tennis betting ... just working too hard to really focus on it. Just too hectic to put in 3 hours after a full day. But I do notice a few new things. My feeling is that there is money to be made betting on the right low priced favorites.
But there are definitely advantages to be gained in the following situations;
1) Find those players playing well below their station. Sometimes players are building confidence. Other players don't like to train, but they like to build fitness by playing matches. And there is no substitute for match fitness. Perfect example is Irena Begu. Goes to play Tiriac Foundation Trophy. Slaughters everyone. 5 matches, wins 10 sets, and 7 of those sets are hidings (+2 serve breaks or more). 
2) Look for players who have not played in a long time (+2.5 weeks). These are vulnerable, especially if they are/have just travelled. Perfect example here is Madison Keys yesterday. Plays Golubic and gets wiped out (6-3, 6-2), yet she was big fav and #4 seed. Flattened in about 45 minutes.
3) Look for players who collapse after losing a close 1st set. Today in a match just finished, Sara Sorribes-Tormo played Martina Trevisian. Close 1st set won by Tormo, who wins 2nd set 6-0. It shows you how weak her opponent is, basically collapsing in the 2nd. That mental weakness, lack of fortitude will repeat over and over, 
If you are looking for a decent site to web scrap and get scores from I think  http://www.espn.com/tennis/dailyResults is excellent. Go to Fivver and get someone to make you a webscrapper for 10$. Put the resulting flat file in excel at worst, or your own database. Having the lastest data cannot hurt you, and is well worth the tiny investment.
Begu will go deep again this week, and Niemeier also. 
Got Niemeier wrong. She was cruising and just went right off the boil. Still a work in progress, but I was impressed with her against Swiatek at the US open.
 
Good luck everyone.
 

Mathilde Paoletti -120
Mariusz Copil +225
I don't have big reasons behind these, and explained about copil. I've already placed these bets if my text in bold. I think Paoletti is the bigger talent maybe by alot, and this is home match for her. The other girl I think I saw she's playing doubles also. Paoletti already beat her opponent earlier touranment Palermo 2022 7-5 6-2. maybe she wins in 3 sets this time in closer match.. No idea about it.  
Anyways the goal of this post is to win 1 out of 2 of these bets, and avoid all big losses. then have chance for medium profit with Copil, and big if they both win.  Catch you guys later because as much as I'd like to watch these matches.. I'll probably go to sleep, and I will sweat something else out tomorrow.. These ones got me a bit nervous as you could imagine. 
 

Mathilde Paoletti -120
Mariusz Copil +225
I don't have big reasons behind these, and explained about copil. I've already placed these bets if my text in bold. I think Paoletti is the bigger talent maybe by alot, and this is home match for her. The other girl I think I saw she's playing doubles also. Paoletti already beat her opponent earlier touranment Palermo 2022 7-5 6-2. maybe she wins in 3 sets this time in closer match.. No idea about it.  
Anyways the goal of this post is to win 1 out of 2 of these bets, and avoid all big losses. then have chance for medium profit with Copil, and big if they both win.  Catch you guys later because as much as I'd like to watch these matches.. I'll probably go to sleep, and I will sweat something else out tomorrow.. These ones got me a bit nervous as you could imagine. 
 

Mathilde Paoletti -120
Mariusz Copil +225
I don't have big reasons behind these, and explained about copil. I've already placed these bets if my text in bold. I think Paoletti is the bigger talent maybe by alot, and this is home match for her. The other girl I think I saw she's playing doubles also. Paoletti already beat her opponent earlier touranment Palermo 2022 7-5 6-2. maybe she wins in 3 sets this time in closer match.. No idea about it.  
Anyways the goal of this post is to win 1 out of 2 of these bets, and avoid all big losses. then have chance for medium profit with Copil, and big if they both win.  Catch you guys later because as much as I'd like to watch these matches.. I'll probably go to sleep, and I will sweat something else out tomorrow.. These ones got me a bit nervous as you could imagine. 
 

I've just started to look things over but I did manage to get a stake on Chun Hsin before he broke serve in first set. O'Connell later retired.

Good spot there with Jarry! Today, you feel like Kontaveit should finally get a good win on the board on home soil, but the odds are a bit too short really, her opponent is no pushover.

Nicolas Jarry -200 Seoul
Jarry has won his first two matches in straight sets here. He looks to be in same form as usual, and serving well. I don't rate Peniston as much.. Ryan will be consistent and knock balls bock in the court. but I think you will need something more to force errors from Jarry. gl

Nicolas Jarry -200 Seoul
Jarry has won his first two matches in straight sets here. He looks to be in same form as usual, and serving well. I don't rate Peniston as much.. Ryan will be consistent and knock balls bock in the court. but I think you will need something more to force errors from Jarry. gl