Grass Cash
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Posts posted by Grass Cash
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Jule Niemeier to beat Cristina Busca @ odds -135
I am trusting my instincts as to who will win this. I think one of these players is more talented, and I'm going to trust that principle. They have never met before, but imo Jule is coming back into form a little bit. She's hitting cleanly from what I've seen. Although, I have missed out on her recent matches.. I understand the Pegula loss in San Diego and that does not concern me. I think she blasts serves in Bogota and essentially wins the match by outserving Busca.
I would say medium confidence with this.
Good pick on Errani Czech Punter. Seemed free from start to finish. Tormo was just bad.
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I cashed out of the bet Torque a long time ago.. I would say Fabio has a chance but I refuse to let him mope around the court with my money.. he looks tired from previous matches. Even if he wins .. I'd say it wasn't the smartest idea.. Djere's level is better than I expected as well.. So no bueno for me.. I might permanently blacklist Fognini.. i have a problem betting him.. Thanks for your guys help though.
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Having said that. I still haven't found myself able to bet him yet.. I would prefer do in play I guess. Atleast see which Laslo shows up
Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynets - This match intrigues me and is the battle of the 22 year old American phenom players that on occasion are epically underrated.
Katie just won the longest match of the wta season vs Rus who was playing okay. She's also playing with a wrap around her leg but still seems relatively healthy. Ultimately I do like the way she's playing, but I cannot back her because of the long grueling match vs Rus, and the mere fact that Navarro consistently peforms very well, and I refuse to bet against her. So with those two reasons I would pick Navarro to win the match, but I would never the lay current price on her to win. Nor would I consider it for any type of serious parlay. Katie has been hitting nicely though.
- ThunderDan9 and CzechPunter
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Well that was a challenger match that he dropped the match to Gea. He does things like that all the time.. He's not a safe person to back in the slightest, but the read is to against Djere who is with an injury in march davis cup, and is absolutely not in any form this season. Just 3-6 overall, and coming from hard courts in Miami.
I like the fact that Fabio has matches under his belt here, and there could be a huge crowd supporting him.
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Errani is ragdolling Sorribes Tormo.. Sara looks injured, and has already called for medical timeout.. She doesn't seem to have her legs, and she is also not striking the ball well. Errani seems to be fit and fine.
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One comment I can make about the match is Italians are getting alot of support in Morocco, and they were chanting Fabio's name via song in the last match. This has to be good, but still unsure if it means he wins the match.
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6 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
@Smiles Tennis She injured herself off-court I believe, and Cristian came out firing, like she did against Keys in the second round.
Sara Errani (+1.5 sets) to beat Sara Sorribes Tormo at 1.60 with Unibet
Errani leads the H2H 6-0 here, and SST hasn't been doing well so far in this season. She should still outlast Errani on paper, and I wouldn't fancy Errani in a potential decider, but the 1.60 for her to win a set looks good to me.
Errani was in great form for the Linz tournament. I will not be the slightest bit surprised if she wins the match outright. Maybe Tormo is struggling like you said.. It's smaller tournament and maybe Tormo is taking some rest here, and she's also playing the doubles as well
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@CzechPunter any opinion on Fognini today. 3 straight matches all 3 set wins.
I know he's not a trustworthy player, but the price is off on the match. Can go either way.
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7 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Anastasia Potapova to beat Elisabetta Cocciaretto at 1.57 with Bet365
Potapova, the defending champion, seemed to lack a bit of match practice against Errani, but the quality of her play was still above what Cocciaretto showed against Stefanini. The conditions give her a natural advantage in this match-up, and I fancy her to convert it to a win.
I watched both Potapova and some of Elisabetta match.. Errani is playing in her top form, and pushed Potapova. I think the match up is much different now for the Italian, and Potapova will win the match even though her opponent got an easy score line last time out. Fair shout in my opinion, and I think the betting line is pretty accurate considering Potapova is the defending champ, and she looks to be in good enough form to me without injuries.
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It's possible but I have noticed some big improvements in his game. The evolution of Struff is quite impressive because his game elevated to a tipping point in which he is now extremely dangerous with all the big weapons.. You have improved baseline game on both wings, incredible net play that is almost unmatched, and maybe most importantly of all.. A far improved first and second serve which was one of his biggest problems. Can't say exactly what happened over the past couple of years, but I think his confidence improved quite a bit.
- CzechPunter, Robinnho, four-leaf and 1 other
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Good shouting @StevieDay1983. I am very interested in MLS betting. I am not exactly sure why, but I think it is a thriving league that is almost becoming like a super league in America. I don't understand it, because I didn't realize they are that many football fans here in America, but there is certainly no shortage of players, cities, and space.. I think it's great that they can organize these teams, and was once a league of what seemed to be a handful of teams is no more.
I used to bet football all the time years ago, and I think there is definitely money to be made on it.. Never seemed to get the right grasp for the European sides.. There is just too many teams, and they don't have enough coverage here.
I hope to see this active, and I will try to provide some information through betting Asian betting filter research or start watching some of the scores. Good luck guys, and sounds like a tough one over there Fader, but I am certain you will find glory again.
- StevieDay1983 and Fader
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Someday when Zeus comes down and baptizes a lightning bolt on all of our foreheads.. This forum will be bananas.. We will have betting tips, and conversations about fighting.. Start a watch party, and do meet up groups with real human made alcohol. "These are the days of the last" they uttered while building space capsules and terraformed superstructures. We once breathed air of the ocean, and had light from a distant world.
Place any betting tips or information for this card or any relevant mma event around this time. Great Luck!
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Book: William Hill
Tallon Griekspoor to win Libema Final @ -155
Jan Lenard Struff to win Boss Final @ Even
Go ahead and book, cook, and bake these, and burn them if you need to.
Please only like this post if you agree with both of the picks. I'm not going to write analysis on these.. We have some great punters here that are very cool to talk matches with. Maybe this is the varsity team, because we got a cheerleading squad also. Post your picks regularly, and give some analysis if you want. In my opinion I'd rather you post the picks with some organized format, and don't worry about being wrong everytime. We are all responsible for our own betting decisions.
I don't want my posts to be about whether you like me or my writing. If you agree with me.. This gives information in certain cases that could be helpful. So, this is why I ask for specific request of this.
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I disagree.. There is quite a few times when the number gets imploded.. The bookies use cute tricks for a long time I saw. They will actually line the person they think is going to win @+110 odds, and then the general Joe Public will assume that the -130 is going to win because they are favored.. I know this because I did it myself one too many times years ago. And alot of times these lines can inflate bigger.
Watson will be under fire all match in my opinion having to defend everything and being at a serving disadvantage also. not something I would feel good about.
I didn't realize the match had started. I'm gonna check it out.
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3 hours ago, Smiles Tennis said:
WTA Nottingham - Watson to beat Boulter - 2.42 with Betfair
Both players playing very well this week. Boulter beat Dart, who probably beat herself with her bad attitude, and Watson beating some very capable grass players this week. Three Brits in the SF's means motivation is high as they all chase the coveted British #1 spot and Wimbledon WC's.
Watson has the experience here as she has played in 11 WTA semi finals before with this being Boulters first. Boulter is in better recent form but this week Watson has been on fire and with her experience, I think 2.42 is a value pick.
I think Watson is prime for a deep run somewhere soon.. Grass or American hard courts. There may be value on this for you, but atleast 5/10 times .. I'm seeing Boulter get the result here.. So the value is pretty slim. I'm looking for something with more margin. Good luck on Watson. I usually only watch her matches when I"m ready to bet her.
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@Smiles Tennis You are a good man. I like you, and reading what your beliefs. I think you are a great addition to this place, and I'm sure you've been here for a long time also because I have recalled your name a time or two. You probably saw I picked Watson yesterday. I was extremely confident in her winning vs Golubic because I know that Swiss was dealing with an injury, and Watson would beat her on pure athleticism.
I don't have a strong opinion about that match, and I think Boulter is one of the most dangerous players I've ever seen on grass courts. I also think Harriet Dart has played that role in the past, and I guess Boulter ran right through her. I am suspicious of Dart being in top form. So for me.. I cannot bet that match because I am a fan of Heather Watson, and I believe she has a chance to win.. Boulter scares me alot.. I see the match like 48% Watson 52% Boulter, and I am really confused even just saying those numbers. So I would say I have no opinion on the match whatsoever as to who will win.
As for the other matches going on. - I guess I would say that I believe Griekspoor is extremely dangerous in Holland right now.. He is getting huge support, and he is playing quiet well.
Ruusuvuori was one of my top bet considerations yesterday, and I played too safe with a couple of matches.. But I handled myself well in other sports market.. So, I am content and confident with my bankroll yesterday. I know for a fact that CzechPunter would not bet on Emil Ruusuvuori because I understand his betting style.. But, I do know he likes to bet favorites.. Frankly, I will say that I am fan of both players being Tallon and Emil. But, this is a situation in which you can only consider betting the underdog or leaving the match entirely. I promise you that is good advice regardless of what happens. Good luck on your bets today, and I look forward to seeing some more of those spreadsheets, hopefully with some of the more relevant matches.
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update above ^
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I'm also picking Cornet to win the match. I just don't like the odds much on it to risk anything.
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Heather Watson, to win at odds +126
I love this bet because I think that Heather is going to track down every ball. She seems motivated and moving well and she’s also striking the ball. Well as for Golubic. she’s playing with tape on her leg and looks out of shape and forcing shots on the grass but I think that Heather will outlast her with consistency probably -
29 minutes ago, Smiles Tennis said:
I would expect Sakkari's flat hitting to cause massive problems for Cornet, did Cornet win or did Maria lose? I haven't seen any highlights.
I saw some highlights of the match, and I think it was a bit of both.. Sakkari is clearly not in form on grass, but what I saw of Cornet looked pretty solid.. I was considering to back USA player because she seems overlooked, and I don't even know who she is. She's also playing really well, but I am afraid to go against Cornet.. It should be a clear dog or pass situation. I would never consider backing Cornet at that price, and I thought both women looked equally strong with maybe a slight edge to Cornet.. But, it's hard to tell from the highlights.
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7 hours ago, Smiles Tennis said:
Jeanjean pulled out so it's void. The rest resulted in a loss of 0.32 points so nothing major.
Totals currently:
Staked: 124
Profit: 22.52
ROI: 18.2%
I will do tomorrows picks in the morning.
It seems this is not your style, but I would really like to see matches for larger events.. There is huge grass court tournaments going on right now, and many good betting options away from the lower ranked tournaments. I have done this strategy before also, but the lines should be soft enough on grass to provide some information rather than betting itf matches where you have players withdrawing from injuries, and betting options for those are not available for some people. Thank you if read!
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I found betting on it a long time ago. I used to play poker at a friends house many years ago, and my friend was training Jiu JItsu and following UFC events in the very early years and fighting tournaments in Japan. 5 years or so went by having been introduced into the sport, and it gained more popularity worldwide. Being an avid sports bettor. I liked the angle of only relying on one person to win, and I've also been interested in martial arts off and on throughout my own life. Eventually, it can relate to gathering as much information as possible. So, If i'm betting American football "NFL" and they are only playing one game a week.. Well I have an idea of where to place money if I'm following the sport closely, and there isn't much research even to be done if you are watching scores and live match studying. The same thing happened in fighting as you broaden your knowledge base to find lucrative betting opportunities.
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3 hours ago, Fader said:
How do you find betting on it? lots of value or normally always the fav wins or?
I would say it varies, but far more underdogs winning than boxing for example. There is alot more fights though in general, and the fights are much shorter than a boxing fight which makes it all that more efficient and interesting to gamble on. If there is a card of for example 12-15 fights total right. Then a realistic possibility is for 3-4 of the underdogs to win. There will be times 5-7 dogs win, and there will be cards where only one underdog wins. There is quite a few mma promotions, and there is usually a wait for the weekend when the events happen, but if you have other interests.. This would suit your needs perfectly as you'll have ample time to do any desired research.
Tennis Tips - April 15 - April 21
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted · Edited by Grass Cash
Selling my previous bets I wrote, and looking for something else.