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Grass Cash

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Everything posted by Grass Cash

  1. Harriet Dart to beat Cristina Busca @ odds 2.75 I was going to post a bet her yesterday, and I was mad that I didn't. My initial top pick was Dart. She already upset Sasnovich in qualies coming from behind , and throttling her 7-1 in the third set tiebreak. I decided it was too risky, and didn't even bet it which was a terrible decision. I went with Medjedovic instead which turned out to be a more sure win, but I didn't care because I wanted the Dart win, and shouldn't talk myself out of it. Dart was training at Rafa's academy last month, and could be in the best form of her career. She made semi-finals in Romania for the first time just a couple months ago. I have posted here recently going against Busca and that was a bad decision, but I was backing Niemeier. She's a totally unreliable, and non technical player compared to Dart in my opinion. I think a couple matches already in Madrid play in her favor against Busca who has never made it out of the first round here. She did play tight three sets vs Masarova Rd1 last time, but I am throwing that out the window because Masarova is another hot/cold player, and have no idea what happened in that match. It was very windy in Madrid yesterday, and Dart double faulted 4 times in the first set, and only once there on. I find that to be decent enough to rely on. I don't think Busca has a good serve, and Dart could capitalize on it if it's windy again. She also hits the ball pretty hard, and it might be tricky for Busca to hit her normal great shots. The only caviat I have with this.. For some reason if Vekic beats Siegemund. I might stay away from Dart because I'm on the wrong player.. But if Siegemund wins.. I'm going to risk it. In my opinion Harriet has atleast a 50% chance to win the match. So I haven't placed this yet, but if Laura wins. I'm going to be aggressive. Good luck guys, and I apologize in advance if it loses.. This is my best information. I also think Nakashima beats Bagnis, but the odds are not nearly as good and I don't fully trust that bet. I know that Dart is trending right now, and has won last two matches at big odds. This would not be a surprise if that continues, and the linesmen are wrong once again. Update: Being that Vekic is currently winning her match. Next up on the same court is Dart/Busca. I think it's going to be a great match. I am not going to bet Dart Pre-match if Donna wins as I've stated. I do believe that Dart has a legitimate chance either way, but I've already told myself that if Vekic wins.. Then I may be wrong about the Dart match, and I'm going to look for something else. Update #2: I am watching the Vekic match now, and she is playing well. I am also watching Shevchenko/Rinderkech. I am surprised with the quality of Arthur today. There is alot of people cheering for him. As it turns out Shevchenko is also getting some crowd support. I think this a higher anticipated match than I expected.
  2. I'll be back next week guys.. Good luck on your Madrid punts. Looks like a fun tournament! Let's get all the money!🤑
  3. popped another one.. This was excellent.. I didn't bet on her but was really tempted to do it.. Great information.. I look forward to see what you have for tomorrow's qualies. There is so many options to choose from. I also think it's cool that you are specializing in women's tennis. This was a perfect tip because the odds on Errani must have been huge after losing the first set. I was at the casino playing blackjack during the match.. so I had no idea what was going on.
  4. I am watching the Tirante - Droguet match in Madrid. I've never seen this guy before. He's 23 years old from Argentina 6'1. He hits the ball pretty huge, and seems like a good clay player. He has a fairly big following of fans cheering him. Next match he plays Lukas Klein. Klein won easily in the first round but never advanced past R2 qualifications in Madrid. Klein is 26 years old, and has a good amount of experience on clay courts. Was surprised to see Tirante ranked ATP 90 holds the higher ranking than Klein. I have seen Tirante's name before, but never really seen his matches. I was going to set the betting line as Klein being the favorite, and I'm still going to do that. I will say Klein -145. Let's see how close it is. As for who's going to win.. I would have to see Klein play his match in Madrid also. Because I have not seen him on clay that I recall or in the last 3-4 months either.
  5. I am copying my report on WTA Stuttgart that I mentioned. I think it might be helpful in the years to come if the tournament doesn't change.. The strategy would have proved very effective allowing for an easy upset bet of Swiatek at the large odds offered. I thought surely Czech Punter might take some interest. I actually saved money using the strategy because I was really confident that Vondrousova was going to win, and I matched her up with Swiatek in the finals which was another mistake. I avoided losing any money on both of them because in the back of my head.. I knew about the tournament conditions, and it just wasn't worth a punt. (Particularly on Marketa Vondrousova) I wasn't very interested betting Iga at like -400. But, I nearly had them paired up together in a parlay. Would have been a double whammy. There is some evidence about the the(WTA Stuttgart) tournament favoring taller players. The tournament has been played on Indoor clay since 2009, and before that was Indoor hard 1978-2008. I believe the indoor hard court tournament could have played at a similar speed, and the tournament is just designed in this way by German Organization. It's always a nice tournament in my opinion, and you typically get the best female players going there. I would compare it to Monte Carlo.. The first huge clay event of the year. So here is the past winners that I noted, and alot of these are the big hitters and taller women. I won't name all the winners who don't qualify, but I did notice a pattern. Julia Goerges won in 2011. She is 5'11 height. Maria Sharapova won the tournament three times in a row 2012-2014. Pliskova 2018 Kvitova 2019 (Additional taller players who made the finals since 2009. Sabalenka three times, Coco Vandeweghe, Mladenovic, Wozniacki, Ivanovic, and Dinara Safina).
  6. Ok here's my leans on tomorrow's final matches.. Maybe you guys can chime in with your opinions or if you agree with anything. Rouen: Stephens for me. I was leaning towards Linette in the semi-finals as a dog, but I've seen some of Stephens earlier in the tournament, and I knew that I would probably not go against her for the duration of the tournament. Now that she is in the finals.. that logic still holds. I am not tempted to bet her much, but I will include her in some parlay potentially for lower stakes. Munich: I saw Fritz in the quarterfinals, and he was playing extremely well. I had backed him to beat Garin, and I imagine this was a comfortable win. I do think Struff is tougher competition especially on home soil, but I am still leaning Fritz to win the match with low confidence. Bucharest: I have not watched these matches, but I know that Fucsovics and Navone have both been dominating. It feels like a home tournament for Marton. I wonder if Navone has run out of gas but his clay court runs have been impressive. He is clearly skilled, and is a nice competitor. I have lean with Fucsovics low confidence. Stuttgart: I have backed Kostyuk in the quarterfinals, and liked her odds in R16 also vs Zheng.. This has been my primary tournament of focus, and wrote extensive analysis in another forum regarding the court conditions in Stuttgart favoring taller players. That proved true in the semi-finals when both underdogs won at nice odds. I predicted Vondrousova to beat Kostyuk there, but was lucky enough to stay away from betting Marketa. I have lean on Rybakina to win the match with low confidence. Barcelona: One of the few European cities I've visited, and had a great time. I have watched some of these matches but not either of the semi-finals. I have sneaky feeling that Ruud would like some revenge clearly from Monte Carlo Final. This is not match I feel good about betting, and have no real opinion as to who will win.. I do think this is the most exciting match out of the five tournaments, and would love to have a bet. Unfortunately, it feels like I'm doomed to lose with whoever I select. ☝️
  7. solid .. looked ez on the scoreline.. great pick. I never heard of the person Mladenovic is playing tomorrow but it looks like money was coming in Kristina's opponent.. little bit scary to bet her again, but the line did catch my eye.. I'll probably pass unless you know something about the match.. I felt like you were fading Lepchenko in the last match.
  8. Selling my previous bets I wrote, and looking for something else.
  9. Jule Niemeier to beat Cristina Busca @ odds -135 I am trusting my instincts as to who will win this. I think one of these players is more talented, and I'm going to trust that principle. They have never met before, but imo Jule is coming back into form a little bit. She's hitting cleanly from what I've seen. Although, I have missed out on her recent matches.. I understand the Pegula loss in San Diego and that does not concern me. I think she blasts serves in Bogota and essentially wins the match by outserving Busca. I would say medium confidence with this. Good pick on Errani Czech Punter. Seemed free from start to finish. Tormo was just bad.
  10. I cashed out of the bet Torque a long time ago.. I would say Fabio has a chance but I refuse to let him mope around the court with my money.. he looks tired from previous matches. Even if he wins .. I'd say it wasn't the smartest idea.. Djere's level is better than I expected as well.. So no bueno for me.. I might permanently blacklist Fognini.. i have a problem betting him.. Thanks for your guys help though.
  11. Having said that. I still haven't found myself able to bet him yet.. I would prefer do in play I guess. Atleast see which Laslo shows up Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynets - This match intrigues me and is the battle of the 22 year old American phenom players that on occasion are epically underrated. Katie just won the longest match of the wta season vs Rus who was playing okay. She's also playing with a wrap around her leg but still seems relatively healthy. Ultimately I do like the way she's playing, but I cannot back her because of the long grueling match vs Rus, and the mere fact that Navarro consistently peforms very well, and I refuse to bet against her. So with those two reasons I would pick Navarro to win the match, but I would never the lay current price on her to win. Nor would I consider it for any type of serious parlay. Katie has been hitting nicely though.
  12. Well that was a challenger match that he dropped the match to Gea. He does things like that all the time.. He's not a safe person to back in the slightest, but the read is to against Djere who is with an injury in march davis cup, and is absolutely not in any form this season. Just 3-6 overall, and coming from hard courts in Miami. I like the fact that Fabio has matches under his belt here, and there could be a huge crowd supporting him.
  13. Errani is ragdolling Sorribes Tormo.. Sara looks injured, and has already called for medical timeout.. She doesn't seem to have her legs, and she is also not striking the ball well. Errani seems to be fit and fine.
  14. One comment I can make about the match is Italians are getting alot of support in Morocco, and they were chanting Fabio's name via song in the last match. This has to be good, but still unsure if it means he wins the match.
  15. Errani was in great form for the Linz tournament. I will not be the slightest bit surprised if she wins the match outright. Maybe Tormo is struggling like you said.. It's smaller tournament and maybe Tormo is taking some rest here, and she's also playing the doubles as well
  16. @CzechPunter any opinion on Fognini today. 3 straight matches all 3 set wins. I know he's not a trustworthy player, but the price is off on the match. Can go either way.
  17. I watched both Potapova and some of Elisabetta match.. Errani is playing in her top form, and pushed Potapova. I think the match up is much different now for the Italian, and Potapova will win the match even though her opponent got an easy score line last time out. Fair shout in my opinion, and I think the betting line is pretty accurate considering Potapova is the defending champ, and she looks to be in good enough form to me without injuries.
  18. It's possible but I have noticed some big improvements in his game. The evolution of Struff is quite impressive because his game elevated to a tipping point in which he is now extremely dangerous with all the big weapons.. You have improved baseline game on both wings, incredible net play that is almost unmatched, and maybe most importantly of all.. A far improved first and second serve which was one of his biggest problems. Can't say exactly what happened over the past couple of years, but I think his confidence improved quite a bit.
  19. Good shouting @StevieDay1983. I am very interested in MLS betting. I am not exactly sure why, but I think it is a thriving league that is almost becoming like a super league in America. I don't understand it, because I didn't realize they are that many football fans here in America, but there is certainly no shortage of players, cities, and space.. I think it's great that they can organize these teams, and was once a league of what seemed to be a handful of teams is no more. I used to bet football all the time years ago, and I think there is definitely money to be made on it.. Never seemed to get the right grasp for the European sides.. There is just too many teams, and they don't have enough coverage here. I hope to see this active, and I will try to provide some information through betting Asian betting filter research or start watching some of the scores. Good luck guys, and sounds like a tough one over there Fader, but I am certain you will find glory again.
  20. Someday when Zeus comes down and baptizes a lightning bolt on all of our foreheads.. This forum will be bananas.. We will have betting tips, and conversations about fighting.. Start a watch party, and do meet up groups with real human made alcohol. "These are the days of the last" they uttered while building space capsules and terraformed superstructures. We once breathed air of the ocean, and had light from a distant world. Place any betting tips or information for this card or any relevant mma event around this time. Great Luck!
  21. Book: William Hill Tallon Griekspoor to win Libema Final @ -155 Jan Lenard Struff to win Boss Final @ Even Go ahead and book, cook, and bake these, and burn them if you need to. Please only like this post if you agree with both of the picks. I'm not going to write analysis on these.. We have some great punters here that are very cool to talk matches with. Maybe this is the varsity team, because we got a cheerleading squad also. Post your picks regularly, and give some analysis if you want. In my opinion I'd rather you post the picks with some organized format, and don't worry about being wrong everytime. We are all responsible for our own betting decisions. I don't want my posts to be about whether you like me or my writing. If you agree with me.. This gives information in certain cases that could be helpful. So, this is why I ask for specific request of this.
  22. I disagree.. There is quite a few times when the number gets imploded.. The bookies use cute tricks for a long time I saw. They will actually line the person they think is going to win @+110 odds, and then the general Joe Public will assume that the -130 is going to win because they are favored.. I know this because I did it myself one too many times years ago. And alot of times these lines can inflate bigger. Watson will be under fire all match in my opinion having to defend everything and being at a serving disadvantage also. not something I would feel good about. I didn't realize the match had started. I'm gonna check it out.
  23. I think Watson is prime for a deep run somewhere soon.. Grass or American hard courts. There may be value on this for you, but atleast 5/10 times .. I'm seeing Boulter get the result here.. So the value is pretty slim. I'm looking for something with more margin. Good luck on Watson. I usually only watch her matches when I"m ready to bet her.
  24. @Smiles Tennis You are a good man. I like you, and reading what your beliefs. I think you are a great addition to this place, and I'm sure you've been here for a long time also because I have recalled your name a time or two. You probably saw I picked Watson yesterday. I was extremely confident in her winning vs Golubic because I know that Swiss was dealing with an injury, and Watson would beat her on pure athleticism. I don't have a strong opinion about that match, and I think Boulter is one of the most dangerous players I've ever seen on grass courts. I also think Harriet Dart has played that role in the past, and I guess Boulter ran right through her. I am suspicious of Dart being in top form. So for me.. I cannot bet that match because I am a fan of Heather Watson, and I believe she has a chance to win.. Boulter scares me alot.. I see the match like 48% Watson 52% Boulter, and I am really confused even just saying those numbers. So I would say I have no opinion on the match whatsoever as to who will win. As for the other matches going on. - I guess I would say that I believe Griekspoor is extremely dangerous in Holland right now.. He is getting huge support, and he is playing quiet well. Ruusuvuori was one of my top bet considerations yesterday, and I played too safe with a couple of matches.. But I handled myself well in other sports market.. So, I am content and confident with my bankroll yesterday. I know for a fact that CzechPunter would not bet on Emil Ruusuvuori because I understand his betting style.. But, I do know he likes to bet favorites.. Frankly, I will say that I am fan of both players being Tallon and Emil. But, this is a situation in which you can only consider betting the underdog or leaving the match entirely. I promise you that is good advice regardless of what happens. Good luck on your bets today, and I look forward to seeing some more of those spreadsheets, hopefully with some of the more relevant matches.
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