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** September Nap's Competition Result: 1st Boulder5111, 2nd Craig Bluenose, 3rd Barnsley Chop, 4th Zilzalian KO Cup: Bathtime For Rupert, Most Winners: Waggy**
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Kenton Schweppes

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  1. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from Pick7 in Reporters & their STUPID questions!   
    Home form is the most important thing in football, if you can't win your home games.....you're going nowhere, probably down, as you won't win enough points on the road to negate bad home form!!
    I just think journalists have a book of footballing cliche questions that they pass round to each other.
  2. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Euro 2020 Qualifier Predictions > Mar 21st - 26th   
    Should Luxembourg be 7/1 against Ukraine? Be interesting to see how this one plays out, think Luxembourg are worth a double chance here.
  3. Thanks
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Feb 26th - Mar 2nd   
    Lincoln are a crazy 2/1 at Forest Green, nothing to suggest Forest Green are any great shakes on recent form. Unless Lincoln have an injury crisis I'm baffled at the price.
  4. Thanks
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from cluelessG in L1, L2, and Scottish Predictions > Feb 26th - Mar 2nd   
    Lincoln are a crazy 2/1 at Forest Green, nothing to suggest Forest Green are any great shakes on recent form. Unless Lincoln have an injury crisis I'm baffled at the price.
  5. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > September 25th   
    Another injury time goal goes against me! Still Maidenhead more than covered it so good to get a big priced winner.
  6. Haha
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to bartonbank in Non-League Predictions > September 22nd   
    Here's a deal...just don't back us again...it's obviously your fault.
  7. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > September 22nd   
    I seem to be finding those teams who decide to have horror shows. Wrexham won't have a first half like that for the rest of the season. Sutton made 6 changes from Tuesday night and that seems to have been the key. At least Solihull have been good.
  8. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions > September 22nd   
    Just with Wrexham I think it's worth coupling them up with Hartlepool and Leyton Orient. Hartlepool are at the fast fading Halifax, Pool's, although not scoring many don't concede many either and have been picking up wins lately so at 13/8 they are worth it. Leyton Orient are at Harrogate who have been all conquering but I reckon that Orient could well get 3 points here today, they'll be quietly confident I would have thought.
    Wrexham 12/5, Hartlepool 13/8, Leyton Orient 17/10 pays 24/1.
  9. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions > September 15th   
    Good to see the Tamplin Circus is continuing at Billericay, the club's up for sale, no it's not, he's in charge of the team, the club's not for sale I'm staying, come back Wheeler, no I'm off Maidstone, new manager dismissed after 2 hours for something he said last year!! Jeez you couldn't make it up.
  10. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from MangoTheThird in UEFA Nations League Predictions > Sep 6th - 11th   
    Are countries going to take these games more seriously now there is a competitive competition to it? I'll be honest bit confused about the format but from what I can tell there appears to be a mini 4 team finals next summer from the group A league, which contains England and somekind of qualification for the next European Championships.
  11. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > September 8th   
    Tuesday wasn't great with only Sutton winning and it was a losing night. The FA Cup means there are no Step 3 matches this weekend so the focus is on the National League's and I have 8 bets in the 3 divisions. It's a little more than I usually like, but there does seem some good bets and hopefully a profit to be had.
    Barrow v Dagenham & Redbridge (National League)
    I got Barrow wrong on Tuesday night and by all accounts they played well in the 2nd half and deserved to pick up at least a point. They have been performing well at home so far this season and Tim Flowers the Solihull manager admitted that Barrow were better than Solihull despite the fact they had beaten the home side 2-1. Dagenham may well have won their first game of the season on Tuesday night, but that did come against the worst side in the division in Braintree and this game is a much stiffer test for them. I think a shade of odds against (53/50) with Marathon is value about the home side and I would still be happy with the even money available with a few bookies as well.
    Eastleigh v AFC Fylde (National League)
    Eastleigh only managed 4 subs on Tuesday night against Maidenhead and one of those was the sub keeper such is their injury crisis at the moment. That is worrying at this stage of the season and they have managed just one win at home losing their other 4. Fylde were beaten by Salford on Tuesday night, their first loss of the season, and by all accounts Salford were really good. Fylde have drawn 3 of their 4 away games and that is a slight concern, but after a good performance at Ebbsfleet last week you would expect them to be more than up to winning this. Marathon's 38/25 is too big in my view and they should be nearer even money.
    Harrogate v Havant & Waterlooville (National League)
    I can't believe BT Sport chose to broadcast Havant v Aldershot on Wednesday night. Given there was no other football on they had a great chance to showcase the league and draw people in. Instead floating viewers were served up with a really poor game of football between two sides struggling for wins. Havant won 2-1, but they didn't deserve to win although Aldershot struggled to defend two set pieces and that was their downfall. Aldershot were the better side, but they were clearly lacking confidence in the final 3rd. Havant now travel to a Harrogate side who are top of the table after beating Gateshead on Tuesday night. They remain unbeaten as well and it is hard to see how Havant can beat them given what I saw on Wednesday night and the general form of the two sides. Evens is available with Skybet, Marathon and Betfred and I think it should really be nearer the 4/6 mark.
    Ebbsfleet v Gateshead (National League live on BT Sport at 5.15pm)
    Strangely Ebbsfleet's away form has been much better than their home form so far this term having won once and lost 3. They haven't had the easiest matches though and they have performed well in the games they have lost. It could be claimed that this is a tough game as Gateshead have started better than people were predicting before the season started, but after winning their first 3 games they have only one once in the following 6. That came last Saturday when beating mangerless Maidstone. They did push Harrogate close on Tuesday night with Harrogate scoring the winner late on, but they have been better at home and given I think Ebbsfleet's performances have been better than their points tally at home suggest, I think they can win the live game on Saturday. Marathon are 51/50 and I would have it around the 4/5 mark myself.
    Dartford v Eastbourne (National League South)
    I did not expect Eastbourne to be doing so well so far this season and it is a surprise for me to see them sitting in 3rd place in the table. Fair play to them though as the only game they have lost so far is against top of the table Woking so they deserve to be there on merit at this early stage. Key for them is the fact they have the 2nd best defence in the league having conceded just 6 times so far and 2 of those came in the 2-1 defeat to Woking. This probably won't be a game of many goals as they have only scored 9 times and Dartford have scored just 5 and conceded 9. The 7/2 on offer though with Bet365 and Marathon is huge on an away win. Dartford look a shadow of the side who nearly won the title last season and currently sit in 16th place 5 points behind their opponents on Saturday. I put Wealdstone up at a big price to beat them on their own patch a couple of weeks ago and they lost 3-0 that afternoon. Granted that is their only defeat at home so far, but how on earth can a team in 3rd after 8 games having lost just once be 7/2 against a team who are 5 points worst off and have only won 3 out of 8 games having lost 4 of them? 
    Gloucester City v Truro (National League South)
    Speaking of mean defences and teams who don't score many in Gloucester we have another one I am going to back. They have scored just 6 and conceded 8, but that doesn't tell the full story as they have only conceded once in their last 4 games. I was at the game against Dulwich a couple of weeks ago and I was really impressed with the way City defended and on loan keeper Matt Yates looks a keeper destined for better things and he is arguably the best keeper in the league at the moment. At the other end scoring goals has been an issue and three of their 4 wins have been 1-0 so far. They did score 2 against Hungerford last week, but since that game City have re-signed Harry Williams who scored 10 goals in 16 appearances for the club spread over the last 3 seasons. He should add plenty to the forward line and with a mean defence they will be hard to beat. Truro have got a new manager from Taunton and he obviously did a great job to get them promoted last season, but he will surely need longer than a few days to sort a team out who have yet to win so far this season. Marathon's 123/100 looks a huge price about a home win in my opinion.
    Torquay v Chippenham (National League South)
    Torquay's 8 matches so far this season have seen just 8 goals! They have conceded 3 and scored 5 and their performances so far have been pretty average. As I wrote last week when opposing Chippenham they look capable on their day of beating anyone in the league and then they duly went and beat Concord 4-1. They have a form sequence of LWLWLWLW so on that they should lose on Saturday, but sequence will end at some point and they could be just the sort of side to take a big price about in matches this season as like I say on their day they can beat anyone in the league. They arguably have a better side than Torquay and I just don't see how they can be as big as 14/5 with Marathon and Bet365.
    Darlington v AFC Telford (National League North)
    Just the one bet in this league on Saturday, but I am really keen on Telford. Darlington have not had a good start to the season having won just once and losing 4 times. They have quite a few injuries at the moment although to be fair to them they did keep Alfreton down to just the 1 goal last week. Telford have surprised me so far this season in the same way Eastbourne have and they have yet to be beaten. They sit in 2nd place in the table and are 12 points in front of their hosts on Saturday. Telford should be favourites for this so to be getting 177/100 about an away win looks cracking value to me.
    Barrow 2pts @ 53/50 with Marathon
    AFC Fylde 2pts @ 38/25 with Marathon
    Harrogate 2pts @ Evs with Marathon/Betfred/Skybet
    Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 51/50 with Marathon
    Eastbourne 1pt @ 7/2 with Bet365/Marathon
    Gloucester City 2.5pts @ 123/100 with Marathon
    Chippenham 1pt @ 14/5 with Bet365/Marathon
    AFC Telford 2.5pts @ 177/100 with Marathon
  12. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in UEFA Nations League Predictions > Sep 6th - 11th   
    Are countries going to take these games more seriously now there is a competitive competition to it? I'll be honest bit confused about the format but from what I can tell there appears to be a mini 4 team finals next summer from the group A league, which contains England and somekind of qualification for the next European Championships.
  13. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to Teodore in EFL Cup 2nd Round Predictions > Aug 28th & 29th   
    Today 4/4 ✔️
  14. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in EFL Cup 2nd Round Predictions > Aug 28th & 29th   
    Anyone thinking of back my team Huddersfield, don't, our record in this competition is lousy and we've had a woeful start to the season. I genuinely think we'll probably lose to Stoke, although I hope we don't, we're desperate for somekind of positive result. Back Stoke.
  15. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions > August 25th   
    Called in the bookies on my way home from work but my god have they reigned in a few of them prices, Ebbsfleet in to 10/11, Chorley in to 10/11 too.
  16. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions > August 25th   
    Darron, you say you were expecting Salford to be around 11/10, were you looking to back them as Sky Bet are offering them at 13/8? Havant are strangely are favourites here at 6/4, which as Salford have started to find some form but still shipping goals, they need to stop shipping that many goals if they want to win promotion, I find strange  but I'd expect a bit better price on them. It could go either way could this one.
    Two other good prices are Halifax at 11/5 and Chesterfield at 11/10 against Barnet. I'm not overly convinced by Halifax but that's a big price for a team who are early pacesetters.
  17. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > August 25th   
    Yeah I was hoping to back Havant at around 15/8 or 2/1 as I can see amy of the three results happening and was expecting Salford to be put in short so they would be decent value. At the prices though that over 2.5 goals looks a really good bet 
  18. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to harry_rag in Non-League Predictions > August 25th   
    @Kenton Schweppes I think @Darran was looking to back Havant but was hoping that Salford would be shorter so he could get an acceptable price. With it being closer to a coin toss in terms of the prices, he's preferred the overs bet.
    Might be worth using the "@" option as I have above to improve the chances of you getting a response (e.g. someone might not see the post in time otherwise). Only just cottoned onto it myself! 
  19. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > August 25th   
    Another good day last Saturday with 4 of the 7 winning although there were a couple of very close misses with Slough and Welling. On the other side of the coin though Hartley Witney scored a very late winner. I have 6 bets for Saturday.
    Maidenhead v Maidstone (National League)
    A bit of a strange choice for a live game by BT Sport this, but I think the away team offer value. I don't think either team are that good and can see both being involved in a relegation scrap, but I do think that Maidstone have shown more than their hosts so far this season. Maidenhead have only got 1 point so far and that was in a draw against Dagenham who also have only picked up a point. That sums both teams up for me and Maidenhead were again comfortably beaten by Hartlepool on Saturday 2-1. I took on Maidstone last week, but they did well to see off an in form Barrow 1-0 and they managed to beat Dagenham earlier in the season as well as picking up a point against Hartlepool. For me Maidstone have the edge here and I am surprised they are as big as 57/25 for this. It probably wont be a classic, but hopefully we can come away with a profit.
    Dagenham & Redbridge v Hartlepool (National League)
    Ironically given these two teams feature heavily in the above preview they also play each other this weekend and again I fancy the away team. It isn't a great surprise to see Dagenham struggling given they have no money and I have my doubts about manager Peter Taylor. They will do well to stay up this season whereas Hartlepool should really be looking at trying to get into the play-offs. They have had a frustrating start, but they have only lost one of their first five games (to Ebbsfleet) so it hasn't been a total disaster. They also hadn't won until that win over Maidenhead last weekend though which will disappoint the fans. They do however look a better side than their hosts and I would make them favourites for this so the 191/100 with Marathon makes plenty of appeal.
    Ebbsfleet v Aldershot (National League)
    Aldershot look a long way from the teams who reached the play-offs in the last couple of seasons. They have only scored twice this term and both of those came in their only victory against Dagenham. I am sure Gary Waddock will turn it around, but it may take a bit longer yet and I think Ebbsfleet can beat them on Saturday. I put Ebbsfleet up last week and they beat Barnet 3-0 and Barnet have been every bit as disappointing as Aldershot. Ebbsfleet have lost their two home games so far, but they came against Chesterfield and Sutton and they probably deserved something from both matches. This match should be easier and on current form you would make them odds on to win this so the 11/10 with Betfred is fair enough.
    Havant & Waterlooville v Salford (National League)
    Regular readers will know it is fairly rare to look outside of the win/draw/win market and I don't often tip up at odds on either. I am however doing both with this game. I did have Havant down on my shortlist to back as they can score goals and Salford still look ropey at the back. However I thought Salford would be around 11/10 and they aren't so it makes it a no bet for me on that side of things. What does appeal though is over 2.5 goals at 5/6 with Marathon. Both teams have scored in all of Salford's games so far and they look rather suspect in defence at the moment. 3 of their games have finished 2-1 and they were the right side of a 5 goal thriller against Chesterfield last week. Havant on the other hand have been involved in two 4-3 games the last twice as well as a 3-0 defeat on the opening day of the season. Both sides have goals in them and both sides concede for fun thus I think the over 2.5 goals price should be shorter (cue a goalless draw!).
    Blyth Spartans v Chorley (National League North)
    Chorley are now favourites for the title and I am not surprised.They have been really impressive so far winning 5/5 and they are yet to concede a goal. Apart from beating Chester 8-1 Blyth have really struggled this season and have only picked up a point from their other 4 games. They lost 3-1 at Alfreton last week and they have a bit of an injury crisis in defence at the moment. Given Chorley's defence you would think 1 would be enough and Blyth have already conceded 10 goals this season. 133/100 with Marathon looks a very attractive bet.
    Wealdstone v Concord (National League South)
    Probably the game of the day in the division and although the Concord price has come in I still think the current price is attractive enough. Sportingbet are 31/10 and then Bet365 are 14/5. Obviously we are talking about two really good sides and the home side did us a big favour last week when beating Dartford 3-0. Concord though have won 4 and drawn 1 of their five games and that draw came against Billericay. It obviously is no gimmie, but Concord should be more like 15/8 so in a game they are more than capable of winning I have to back them.
    Maidstone 1pt @ 57/25 with Marathon
    Hartlepool 1.5pts @ 191/100 with Marathon
    Ebbsfleet 2pts @ 11/10 with Betfred
    Havant v Salford over 2.5 goals 2.5pts @ 5/6 with Marathon
    Chorely 2pts @ 133/100 with Marathon
    Concord 1pt @ 31/10 with Sportingbet
  20. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > August 18th   
    So the mid-week action was superb with 5 out of 6 winners. Obviously it was frustrating to be so close to all 6 winning given Havant were 3-1 up at one stage, but at the end of the day singles are were the day to day money is to be made and anything else is just a very nice bonus. Hopefully the good start to the season can be continued on Saturday and I have 7 bets across 3 of the 7 leagues.
    Barnet v Ebbsfleet (National League)
    Two teams I put up ante-post and I have been really disappointed with how Barnet have performed so far. They should be doing better than they are and as much as I think John Still will turn it around at some stage, I don't see how they can be odds on to win this game. Ebbslfeet have had a solid start to the season and have been playing better than their results suggest. They have only won one of their first 4 games, but they have been a bit unfortunate not to add to their points tally and they look in better shape than their hosts on Saturday. Marathon have an away win at 147/50 and that looks value to me.
    Maidstone v Barrow (National League)
    Barrow have had a superb start to the season especially given they were one of the market leaders to go down this season. To beat Chesterfield 3-2 on Tuesday night was a superb result even allowing for the fact Chesterfield went down to 10 men when they were 2-1 up. Their other 3 games have seen them beat Havant 3-0, get a fully deserved 2-2 draw at Leyton Orient and the one blip so far was a defeat at Halifax. Given that form I am not surprised to see they have been backed already for this, but at 13/5 (Marathon) I still think there is plenty of value to be had. I opposed Maidstone on Tuesday night with Orient and although they got 1 back late on to make it nervy, Orient were very comfortable for most of the evening. Barrow have certainly been the better of the two sides so far this season and they should be at least 74-15/8 for this in my view.
    Dartford v Wealdstone (National League South)
    Wealdstone may have needed a late penalty to see off Woking on Monday night, but they were good value for the victory and I am going to continue backing them at the weekend because they look a big price at Dartford. It will be a tough game, but for me there is noway they should be as big as 14/5 with Marathon as the teams are much closer together than the prices suggest. Dartford have had a tough start to the season fixture list wise and have done well enough to come away with 2 wins, a draw and a defeat. That defeat came on Tuesday night against Concord who have started the season in really good shape, but it showed that Dartford might not be quite up to the heights they achieved last season and with Wealdstone looking stronger I think they are more than up to picking up another 3 points here.
    Truro v Welling (National League South)
    To be fair to Truro they haven't done quite as badly as I thought they would after their management team left just before they played their 2nd game. They suffered their 2nd defeat of the season on Tuesday against Chippenham and they are yet to win this season, but picking up a couple of points is a fair achievement given all the off the field issues. Welling are favourites for this, but they should be. They did loose 3-0 against Billericay on Tuesday night, but they played better than the result suggests and they were playing the best team in the division. Truro are going to be in a relegation scrap this season and Welling should be looking at the play-offs and they should be up to winning this. Marathon go 131/100 about an away win.
    Slough v Torquay (National League South)
    Torquay were unbeaten in their first 3 games, but then lost on Tuesday night when losing to Oxford City 1-0. That is not a good result and as I wrote on here last weekend, they had been lucky to beat Bath in their 2nd game of the season. Beating East Thurrock in between those two games doesn't say a great deal given they have lost 4/4 and I think Slough can beat them. Slough made slightly harder work of it than I was hoping for when beating Weston on Tuesday, but crucially once they got 1 they added the 2nd pretty quickly to turn things around. This game will be tougher, but I think Slough have enough to see off a Torquay side who I think might be looking at mid-table obscurity this season.
    Hartley Wintney v Frome Town (Southern League South)
    The home side have got off to a cracking start in their first ever season at this level and it seems for now they are continuing on their form from last season when winning promotion. They have already beaten Poole and Gosport and this would look an easier game on paper. Frome drew with Hendon on the opening day and then lost to Tiverton on Tuesday. They were in all sorts of issues at the back end of last season and although they aren't as bad as that I certainly don't expect them to be in the top half of the table. The home side might drop away as the season progresses, but at the moment they are looking strong and Marathon's 27/20 is well worth taking.
    Kings Langley v Taunton (Southern League South)
    Taunton were only beaten late on by Weymouth on Tuesday night and that is a good effort against the favourites for promotion. As I wrote in my ante-post preview Taunton were really impressive when winning the league last season and they should be up there this time around as well. Kings Langley struggled badly last season and I fully expect them to be near the relegation zone this time around. Taunton at 11/8 with Marathon looks worth taking.
    Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 147/50 with Marathon
    Barrow 1pt @ 13/5 with Marathon
    Wealdstone 1pt @14/5 with Marathon
    Welling 2pts @ 131/100 with Marathon
    Slough 1pt @ 29/20 with Marathon
    Hartley Wintney 1pt @27/20 with Marathon
    Taunton 1pt @ 11/8 with Marathon
  21. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from Marek76 in Non-League Predictions > August 13th-15th   
    Apologies for my lack of etiquette. I am a small stakes gambler myself and my use of monetary amounts was not meant to cause offence. Apologies.
  22. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > August 13th-15th   
    Cheers everyone always nice to make people money and as much as we were all close to a big pay day at least we all made money and that it the important thing. Things won’t always go as well as that so important to enjoy it when it does. Saturdays stuff should be up tomorrow evening.
  23. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in EFL Cup 1st Round Predictions > Aug 14th - 16th   
    I'd avoid out right betting in these games, it's got to be over 2.5 goals. Which ones? Take your pick, probably the higher league teams over the lower league ones.
  24. Like
    Kenton Schweppes reacted to 10lengthsclear in Non-League Predictions > August 13th-15th   
    had the 4 folds and 5 folds.
    Top work Darran
  25. Like
    Kenton Schweppes got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Predictions > August 13th-15th   
    I had £2.50 on the 6 fold and at 3-1, although Slough hadn't turned it round at that point, I thought my £485 was in my pocket. Just have to make do with the £125 off the 4 fold.
    A great nights betting and excellent tipping there Darran.
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