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Blazing Bailey

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Everything posted by Blazing Bailey

  1. Hamilton 4.05 - Jacbequick 7/1 Betfair Sportsbook (6/1 Betvictor if they arent allowed)
  2. Newmarket 2.40 - Weld Al Emarat 6/1 William Hill BOG
  3. Ponty 3.40 - Fendale 10/1 Bet365 BOG This horse is by no means a certainty as I am taking a punt on some back form from when he first joined this yard last season when running two big races at Thirsk and York. He was well below form in the Ayr Gold Cup which is a race I am always happy to forgive a poor run and likewise he was below form on his return on soft ground 23 days ago. He has plenty of room of this mark if all is well and in truth this isnt the strongest race either, depending on whether the favourite confirms his LTO form.
  4. Carlisle 4.40 - Jolievitesse 10/1 EW Bet365 Backing a horse that has only won once in 15 starts isnt usually my thing but this horse has had a couple of excuses for not winning or finishing closer on his last two starts when he has found trouble at crucial moments, on the last occasion narrowly going down by half a length. Stepping back up in trip will suit and this track will also suit the horses running style and the trainer also seems in decent knick.
  5. Well played chaps, great totals! Thanks for running the comp BH!
  6. Ayr 5.25 - Off The Scale 25/1 Betvicor EW This horse flopped last time but had placed and won before that looking a progressive type in the meantime. The horse bled when flopping last time so does have a valid excuse and whilst this is a step up in class the price is far too big to leave alone especially for a trainer as wily as Ellison.
  7. 2.30 As: Cunco 3.05 As: Pacify 3.40 As: Simple Verse 4.20 As: Twilight Son 5.00 As: Buckstay 5.35 As: Oriental Fox
  8. Just the one today but at least it was a decent price! Elite Army looked the winner until a few hundred yards before the line as well. The two 2yos were very disappointing and even more annoyingly I had the winner as joint top selection with Romantic View but decided against her because the yard were so strongly behind Cuff. Also annoyingly is that Qemeh came out officially 2nd on my ratings behind Jet Setting (whom I had reservations about) but I got a little greedy with the price of Besharah who was disappointing. Quiet Reflection was impressive in the Commonwealth but Donjuan
  9. Ascot 2.30 Typically competitive renewal and whilst Cuff looks strong on paper, her big improvement came on good ground and that is unlikely to be the case tomorrow so considering the price I have looked elsewhere. Romantic View (10/1 Skybet) and Perfect Madge (25/1 EW Coral - 1/4 odds & 4 places) are the two I will side with. I really like the Ascot race that Romantic View debuted in as it looked good at the time and the form has worked out. She then went on to bolt up in another decent enough race at Goodwood showing a smart turn of foot which isnt always easy to do at that tra
  10. Ascot 5.00 Elite Army 6/1 Bet365 Backing a 6/1 shot in a 19 runner field isnt normally my cup of tea but I think this horse is really well in off 105 especially when you look at his last two RPR's of 112 and 109. Those figures were gained either side of a break from the track and on good to firm at Ascot and whilst the ground appeared to be an immediate concern, the horse has already won on GS (respectable RPR at that stage of his career) and having looked at his sire stats, his progeny have a better record on soft/heavy than they do on GF so that really shouldn't pose a problem.
  11. 2.30 As: Romantic View 3.05 As: Humphrey Bogart 3.40 As:Donjuan Triumphant 4.20 As: Nathra 5.00 As: Elite Army 5.35 As: Ormito
  12. 2.30 As: Red Lodge 3.05 As: Abdon 3.40 As: Achitecture 4.20 As: Mizzou 5.00 As: Out & About 5.35 As: Primitivo
  13. 2.30 As: Ribchester 3.05 As: Spiaggia 3.40 As: Jazzi Top 4.20 As: Found 5.00 As: Donncha 5.35 As: Dolce Strega
  14. 2.30 As: Belardo 3.05 As: Mokarris 3.40 As: Profitable 4.20 As: Galileo Gold 5.00 As: silver Concorde 5.35 As: Kananne (sorry not sure how this is spelt! It's the Godophin runner!)
  15. Salisbury 2.45 - King Crimson 7/1 Betvictor This horse has been in good form recently winning at Brighton and going close at Newmarket behind an improving type. He flopped next time out but he has an excuse having missed the break but still ran well enough in the circumstances. I expect him to show that he is still in form and whilst the short priced favourite is likely to improve, he hasnt done anything to suggest that he has shown form above his current mark meaning that the selections price looks a lot bigger than it should be.
  16. Thanks Boulder, the race couldn't have worked out any better!
  17. York 5.20 - Pomme De Terre 22/1 Corals EW I am not sure this is the strongest race and I think this horse has been markedly overlooked in the market. He flopped last time out when he reportedly ran flat but his two runs before that, a win on soft at Thirsk and a 2nd at Ayr on good show him to be an improving type. He must get back to that form and this is a step up in class to those races but conditions will suit, I am confident he is well handicapped, and if all is well then the horse should go close.
  18. I think is sure to run well in this and backed him myself. GL.
  19. Newbury 3.40 - Iconic 22/1 Paddy Power EW I just get the feeling this horse is being a little overlooked by the market, for all that she is in a very competitive race. She ran some really nice races last season, putting up some decent figures in the process. She had excuses at both Pontefract and Kempton when she disappointed and therefore comes here a much bigger price that she should be.
  20. Hamilton 8.45 - Final Venture 11/4 Bet365 BOG
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