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Fedar

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Everything posted by Fedar

  1. Re: International Friendlies 1st June - 7th June Good win for us on Chile, guys! :D But to be fair, it was a lucky shot and the -1.5 handi on Chile wasn't good value, especially after starting lineup without Sanchez and Vargas was announced. Before the 65th minute when Valdivia hit the crossbar with a header, Chile couldn't make a single good scoring chances, their game lacked any penetration and urgency, and was showing some poor passing. This NI team is disgustingly frustrating - I watched them against Uruguay as well and I don't remember the last time I saw a team playing so ugly and
  2. Re: Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Rwanda - Libya 3-0 (1-0) Sierra Leone - Swaziland 1-0 Both picks failed. Rwanda-Libya was close to winning, as the first goal came in 5 mins before half-time, but Sierra Leone seem to have underperformed heavily and only managed to win by a single goal from penalty.
  3. Re: Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Rwanda - Libya First leg finished 0:0 on neutral venue (due to safety concerns) and with little scoring chances according to reports. Libya is one of the most under-ish teams not only in Africa, but in the world. Currently, they are in a series of 4 consecutive 0-0s and 12 "unders" in the last 13 matches. In their group phase for WC 2014, 5 of the 6 games were under 2.5 goals, with two of them 0-0s. Rwanda are not a scoring machine and they will struggle to score a goal against solid Libyan defense, but they are decent at home and will be very h
  4. Re: Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Sierra Leone - Swaziland Bet of the weekend for me. First match in Swaziland finished 1:1, hence the good odds on home handicap today. Swaziland is one of the weakest teams not only in Africa but in the world. They are 178th in the world ranking and there is only one African team which is behind them - Mauritius. Their teams consists only of local players - they not only don't have any player in European league, but they even don't have any player in any other African league. In March 2013, they lost a friendly against Egypt with 10-0. They play
  5. [TABLE=class: table-main] [TR=class: center nob-border] [TH=class: first2 tl, colspan: 3]Today, 31 May - Qualification[/TH] [TH]1[/TH] [TH]X[/TH] [TH]2[/TH] [TH]B's[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: table-dummyrow] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: odd] [TD=class: table-time datet t1401541200-1-1-0-0]16:00[/TD] [TD=class: name table-participant, colspan: 2]Uganda - Madagascar [/TD] [TD=class: odds-nowrp]1.24[/TD] [TD=class: odds-nowrp]5.79[/TD] [TD=class: odds-nowrp]9.79[/TD] [TD=class: center info-value]9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: table-time datet t
  6. Re: Serie B > Friday May 30th Bari - Novara 4-1 FT Bet won. It didn't come as easy as the score suggests - Novara took the lead in the beginning of the second half and Bari equalized 25 minutes before the final whistle. However, as it become obvious that Novara has nothing to play for, because their competitors were achieving good results, the visitors totally lowered their guard and got hammered by the home team.
  7. Re: Serie B > Friday May 30th Bari looks like a solid bet tonight. They are chasing play-off spots and need only the victory. Bari are showing terrific form in the last 2 months and they are very strong at home. Novara is in relegation play-off places, with no chances to go down in the table and some remote chance to reach safety places. For this purpose, they need to win in Bari, while Cittadella loses their match and Varese doesn't win. All this events together are very unlikely and Novara are the 2nd worst visitors in the league with only 10 points collected on the road. I think th
  8. Re: Liga Adelante > Sunday June 1st Sorry, wrong copy-paste....I was trying to post something, but the forum seemed not to be functioning well, so I copied it, in order to paste it 20 mins later when the forum starts functioning, but then I copied something else.... I will try briefly to re-write it. I am considering the game Real Madrid B - Sabadell. There should be some goals here, because this is a win-or-die match for both teams. Real is fighting for salvation, they are currently one spot below safety zone with two games to go. However, there are too many teams within a narrow rang
  9. Re: Liga Adelante > Sunday June 1st Matosinhos
  10. Re: French Open 2014 But isn't actually beating Vesnina and Schiavone an accomplishment for the young Croat?! They are both better ranked than her and if I am not mistaken, Tomljanovic was underdog in both encounters. So, she seems to be doing quite well so far... Also, Radwanska can be a little shaky and unconvincing against lower class opponents. I am not sure if the value here is not on Tomljanovic handicap.
  11. Re: Bulgaria>A PFG>2013-2014 Levski Sofia - Lazio Rome This friday Levski is celebrating their 100 anniversary and for this occasion they have invited Italian team Lazio Rome. Lazio is arriving without their NT players and with many younger players in the squad. Still they should have more quality than Levski it was a competitive game, but it isn't. This is a big holiday for Levski and the stadium has been sold out. Lazio is considered a friendly club for Levski (friendship between the supporters' fractions). Moreover, game is completely meaningless for Lazio as the season is ove
  12. Re: International Friendlies 13th May - 26th May I agree with you guys. I have watched Ecuador several times in SA qualifiers, as well as in one of their last friendlies - against Argentina. A very solid outfit, which is very good defensively. They are strong physically and they prefer to sit deeper and counter-attack. Ecuadorians have strong flanks. Against Argentina (it finished 0:0 as far as I remember) Ecuadorians outplayed the gauchos (they were without Messi) and should have won I think the Dutch may be in trouble here. Moreover, the normally very physical game of Ecuador might distu
  13. Re: Southampton v Everton > Saturday April 26th Southampton without very important Schneiderlin in central midfield, also their left wing seems weak with inexperienced Sam Gallagher replacing Ward Prowse who had very poor game at Villa Park. Everton's lineup looks very offensive and I think they will nick the 3 points here.
  14. Re: Europa League > Thursday March 20th Nobody is arguing that Valencia is the much more class team - they showed in Sofia where they won 3:0, playing with 10 men for most of the match. But I think you are heavily underestimating the motivation factor. We have seen this millions of times in two-leg games: the stronger team destroys the opponent in the first leg and they surprisingly draws/losses in the second. Just remember Uruguay-Jordan (the World Cup playoff) and how many people around the world lost their money on the "secure" home win in the second leg. There are countless simil
  15. Re: Europa League > Thursday March 20th Simeon, I don't agree much. I watched Valencia second leg at home vs Dinamo Kyiv (had X2) and I was glad to see that nobody in Valencia actually cared about winning that match - empty stands, slow football, little attacking. The situation on Thursday is similar - Valencia have sealed the qualification and their thoughts will be completely on the weekend La Liga match. As about Ludogorets, they will surely be very motivated to get a result. From their potential missings there could arise some problems in the center of defense, but if Motsi sta
  16. Re: Australian Open 2014 But then maybe he should have tried handicaps, not directly heavy upsets, right?! Handicaps for very heavy favorites like Novak are way too low against lower ranked players, and often at such tournaments he might spare energy and make at least one out of the three sets competitive, which in most cases is enough to beat the handicaps. So, in this respect, backing handicaps makes sense. But betting Mayer to bet Djokovic in Grand Slam is just way too lavish and extraordinary.
  17. Re: Manchester United v Swansea City > Saturday January 11th Lol, sorry for off-topic, but you are definitely a fervent United supporters. I objectively didn't see any diabolical anti United refereeing, just saw a clueless team with no winning mentality anymore. You better think twice before putting your bets on the team you love so much.
  18. Re: Manchester United v Swansea City > Saturday January 11th Are you being serious, mate, or just making fun of United misery? :D
  19. Re: Manchester United v Swansea City > Saturday January 11th Do not say that, mate! I think u are too much United fan and this may interfere with your betting judgment.
  20. Re: Placing a high volume of low limit bets at online bookmakers? But doesn't Betfair also limit you if you are winning on their fixed odds market (of course, they don't on the exchange)?!!!
  21. Re: AC Milan v FC Barcelona > Tuesday October 22nd Backing Milan without Balo, Sharaawy, Abbiati, Pazzini, and in poor form, against Barca, is simply not sensible. At the moment they are at the level of Udinese at best. The question is whether it is worth it (it has value) to back Barca at current prices (1.60 at best). Hard to say, if it wasn't for El Classico, I would have no doubts to back visitors, but now probably the price is close to its real value. But I strongly disagree with saying that Barca will be happy with a draw because it would keep them at first place. The only reason
  22. Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Final Score: CSKA - Levski 3:0 :nana:cigar It seems I have overestimated Levski pathetic mugs by expecting just a small loss - they are actually relegation material at the moment, KZL!
  23. Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Today there is the big match in our league. The derby of Sofia and Bulgaria, the match between the two fierce enemies - CSKA against Levski This is the big derby of Bulgaria and although the teams are yet far away from the first places this is the game that everybody is looking for. The Crisis in Levski Levski have been doing their worst start in the whole history and it is happening in a very special season - their 100 anniversary. The team is seriously threatened of falling below the first seven at the end of the regular season. They already c
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