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ElPrincipito007

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  1. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to Fader in English Open   
    English Open qualifiers get started tomorrow. 6 days of qualifiers for the event, which gets underway November 1st. Looking through the qualifiers, over the coming days, there are a few I like the look of.
    I've gone against 3 chinese guys here and partly that's just the form of the other guy. It's also a matter of distance that these guys will be having to travel and past results at the British/English events. I think Devlin has a chance against Stevens at small stakes. I'll also chuck in a point accy.

    5.5pts D.Dale to beat C.Bingyu 8/11 paddypower
    5pts J.O'Connor to beat P.Junxu 4/5 paddypower
    6pts O.Lines to beat Z.Anda 5/6 paddypower
    2pts P.Devlin to beat M.Stevens 7/2 paddypower
    --------------------------------------------------------------
    1pt accy - Dale / O'Connor / O.Lines & Holt & Heathcote 18/1 paddypower (1 loses, money back)
  2. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - August 9 - August 15   
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Jenson Brooksby at 2.97 with Pinnacle
    Well, Brooksby is good, but he's coming here after a tiring week and Basilashvili always has that upset potential. All about the odds here, Basilashvili at almost 3.00 is hard to pass in this spot.
  3. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2021   
    Steve Johnson to beat Taylor Fritz at 2.35 with Pinnacle
    Taking this with Pinnacle, wouldn't be shocked by Fritz retiring. Anyway, Fritz looked good against Nakashima, way better than expected, but let's not take things for granted. Playing a second match in two days can take its toll if his fitness isn't there, which it shouldn't. Also, Johnson tends to fare well against guys with big serves and has a good record against both Isner and Fritz himself.
  4. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 21 - June 27   
    Cori Gauff to beat Elise Mertens at 1.83 with Pinnacle
    Mertens lost here first match on grass, while Gauff is yet to play on the surface. This will actually be her second grass court season and the first one was fantastic, so chances are that she'll continue her RG form here. She lost against Krejcikova in the French Open, no shame in that. Her aggressive style is a better fit for the surface than what Mertens brings to the table, she only needs to keep her UE count low, just like Tomljanovic. It's a similar match-up, after all.
  5. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 21 - June 27   
    Cid Subervi to beat Huesler at 5.31 with Pinnacle
    Wimbledon Qualification
    Subervi has never played a match on grass as a professional while Huesler has only played 4 matches on this surface and he has only won one of them (1-3). That victory was in Antalya in 2019 and it was against Ante Pavic (7-6, 6-7, 7-6), a doubles player whose best ranking ever on singles is 132 (2014). After that, he lost easily against Aragone (6-1, 6-4). The other 2 matches he has played on grass are from this year. He lost in 2 sets against Tiafoe in Nottingham and then he lost in a 3 set match against Peniston, a 25 years old player whose best ranking ever is 359. Subervi is 13-14 this year while Huesler is 11-18. It's true that Subervi has never played a match on this surface but Huesler has only played 4 and his results are awful. Both players' best surface is hard, they have a similar ranking and they only have played once before, that was in 2018 and Subervi won in straight sets (7-5, 6-2). IMO this match can go either way so I'm happy to take Subervi at odds above 5.00.
  6. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to darko08 in French Open 2021   
    Mertens is 22-8 this year. She played 2 finals and she won the first WTA event of the year. SFs in Dubai and QFs in Madrid. Mertens is always a candidate to reach the last rounds of every single GS. The only reason why she's out is cause she faced Sakkari in the third round. I haven't seen all the matches but that match (Mertens-Sakkari) has been the most high quality match I have seen so far in the women's draw this edition. You can't say that she's not a real candidate only cause she lost 1 match. In the AO Barty won the first against Muchova 6-1 and she was leading the second one 2-0 but she finally lost that match (6-1, 3-6, 2-6). I guess that means Barty is not a real candidate to win any other tournament this year, right? Well, she has won 2 tournaments (Stuttgart and Miami) and reached the final in Madrid after that defeat... Nadal lost against Tsitsipas 3-2 in the AO when she was leading the match 2-0. That means Nadal is not a candidate anymore? I don't think so, cause he has won 2 titles (Barcelona and Rome) since that defeat. Kenin' year is awful. I said in a previous post that she's miles away from her best form. I said that she was playing with no confidence and I also said the she knew she wouldn't reach the finals round here. That been said, she's still the world number 5 and the current finalist here. I repeat, comparing Sakkari's draw with Badosa/Gauff's draw is a bad joke.
  7. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to Lekker in French Open 2021   
    Quick introduction, I'm starting new on this forum and thought it would be a good place to share with my friends whatever knowledge I've acquired over the past so many years. I'm South African as my username indicates. Good Luck to us. 
     
    Andujar to beat Delbonis@2.3 on Bet365
    Pablo on a high after beating Thiem and you just don't beat any version of Thiem by not playing well. He took the game on aggressively and went for his shots when the pressure was high in Set 5. Delbonis on the other hand is really not playing as well as he can, he struggled against Albot, possibly one of the worst clay court players on tour and kept choking time and again against Molcan in the Serbian tournament. Moreover the H2H is 6-1 in favour of Spanish Pablo. 
    Opelka to beat Munar@1.8 on Bet365
    Medvedev made some interesting remarks about the balls and conditions here @RG 21. He said he can play like he does on a hard court and the balls are flying through. Opelka has been very impressive in the clay season surprisingly, made a very good run in Rome and historically the courts in Rome and RG are very similar. Also, one again Munar was very unconvincing in his win against a total no clay courter in the Australian Jordan. Opelka has a definite serve advantage and even in rallies, he's holding his own as seen against a very decent clay courter in Martin, striking the ball early and with confidence. 
    Bencic to beat Kasatkina @1.72 on Bet365
    Contrasting displays in Round 1 make me want to play Bencic here. Completely demolished last year finalist in her Round 1 while Kasatkina barely got through Doi in a very topsy turvy match. Kasatkina played with no confidence whatsoever and seems to have put on a few kilos. Although she's a more natural clay courter, I don't see form and confidence on her side. 
    Kalinina to beat Collins@1.72 on Bet365
    Collins is back from a surgery and just about won R1. Kalinina on the other completed a demolition of Kerber, it's very rare to see Kerber getting demolished. Kalinina has been on quite some run, winning a lower level tournament and qualifying with ease. Form and confidence on her side, moreover willing to go against Collins because the lack of matches should be telling. 
     
     
  8. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
  9. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - May 24 - May 30   
    Well, Cerundolo wins 6-7, 6-4, 7-6. Kwiatkowski was leading 5-3 the third set and he even had 4 match points. These qualification matches are quite open, anybody can beat anybody.
  10. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - May 24 - May 30   
    Not that surprised by Seyboth Wild honestly, he's a total head case. 
  11. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - May 17 - May 23   
    Cazaux to beat Pablo Cuevas at 2.83 with Pinnacle
    Cuevas hasn't been playing well this year. In Munich he was destroyed by Ruud (6-3, 6-2) after beating Sandgren in a 3 set match. After that, he lost against Nishioka (6-4, 6-4) in Madrid and then he lost against Norrie (6-1, 6-3) in Rome. He has beat Jakub Paul, Giustino and Opelka in his 3 matches here. The match he won against Opelka did not impress me at all cause Opelka came here after reaching the SFs in Rome. Besides, Opelka lost the first set in a tight TB and then he lost easily the second one, which is understandable after his long run in Rome. What makes me think that he is gonna lose this match besides his poor form is the fact that he could have lost his first match here against another young promise, Jakub Paul (6-3, 4-6, 6-3). Cazaux has won his first match here against Mannarino (6-3, 6-7, 6-3). He beat Korda in straight sets in Madrid and then he lost in 2 tight sets against Popyrin (7-5, 7-6). I have seen Cuevas in some of his previous tournaments and I got the feeling that anybody can beat him, so why not a young promise who has beat 2 top 60 players in the last 2 weeks...?
  12. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - May 17 - May 23   
    Monfils @2,16 (Marathonbet)
    Monfils did more than okay against Sonego in Rome and I think he makes a good chance to grab his first victory of the year against Seyboth Wild, who lost in the qualification against M. Ymer. Although Monfils is struggling with injuries, he is more than a class above Seyboth Wild, so I am more than happy to pick him at these odds.
  13. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - May 17 - May 23   
    Monfils @2,16 (Marathonbet)
    Monfils did more than okay against Sonego in Rome and I think he makes a good chance to grab his first victory of the year against Seyboth Wild, who lost in the qualification against M. Ymer. Although Monfils is struggling with injuries, he is more than a class above Seyboth Wild, so I am more than happy to pick him at these odds.
  14. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 26 - May 2   
    Benjamin Bonzi to beat Jiri Lehecka at 1.71 with Pinnacle
    Two years ago or so, I had Lehecka to beat Zopp at 4.00+ in this event. Since then, he hasn't exploded as expected. He did crush Lestienne in the first round, but the performance was only average and this should be a dfferent challenge. I'd have Bonzi at 1.57 max.
  15. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 19 - April 25   
    Angelique Kerber to beat Ekaterine Gorgodze 2-0 at 1.83 with William Hill
    Kerber has gone through all sorts of trouble since her big triumphs, but this should be an easy match to target. Gorgodze qualified as the lucky loser and is ranked below 200+ for a reason. When facing players of slightly better quality in Zarazua and Buyukakcay, Kerber won 6-0 6-0 and 6-4 6-2 this year.
  16. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 19 - April 25   
    Andrea Petkovic (+6.5) to beat Maria Sakkari at 1.76 with Unibet
    I haven't bet on the WTA for quite a while now, but this price I don't understand. Petkovic is worse than Sakkari now, I get that, but Petkovic is a competent player and she'll have the home conditions on her side as well. The 6.5 line implies a difference of two classes and I just don't see that.
  17. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to Fader in World Championships (inc Qualifiers)   
    I suppose the first couple of days is the most likely time that it fails as more matches and less quality but it's worth a few points at 12/1.
    Selt won with ease in the end. Couple of big priced selections with chances today for the final Qualification day.
    4pts C.Wakelin to beat X.Guodong 13/8 bet365
    4pts S.Hallworth to beat G.Wilson 13/8 betfred
    ------------------------------------------------------------
    1pt accy - Wakelin, Hallworth & Walden 12/1 betfred
    0.5pts outsider accy - Langning, Wakelin, Walden, Hallworth & Craigie 120/1 bet365
    wc bets +11.5pts
     
  18. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to Fader in World Championships (inc Qualifiers)   
    I am going to go with Hallworth again tomorrow. He has Jordan Brown in the morning. Hallworth looked calm and composed in and amongst the balls and I think if he can make use of a good start, he could come through that match. The other I like, is Ursenbacher to beat O'Donnell. Ursenbacher looked really good in his last round match against the impressive Kleckers. 
    2.5pts S.Hallworth to beat J.Brown 11/5 betway
    5.5pts A.Ursenbacher to beat M.O'Donnell 10/11 willhill
    1pt treble - Hallworth, Ursenbacher, Woollaston & M.Stevens 12/1 betway
    WC Tips -2.5pts
  19. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to iknow in Tennis Tips - April 5 - April 11   
    Cool, I'll try to post with the odd indication.
    About what we do: I own a tech company with different products and investments.
    And sports prediction for betting is one of the things we've been doing.
    So there are algos for tennis and football.
    The algo for tennis is in production not for long: completed 3 full weeks of production after 5-6 months of testing.
    The results have been very good so far, with ROI of 19% for more than 150 bets, which is a lot (I guess).
    So that is the thing. 
  20. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to Fader in World Championships (inc Qualifiers)   
    Yeah, one to leave alone in future, I think. One for tonight, for me. Jamie O'Neill to beat Jamie Clarke. I watched alot of Clarke's last match and it was an absolute slog against a 15 year old. Boiko is a good prospect but he didn't play well atall and Clarke couldn't hit more than one 50 break. Aslong as the moment doesn't get in his head, then 6/4 on O'Neill looks big in the battle of the Jamie's.
    4pts J.O'Neill to beat J.Clarke 6/4 bet365
  21. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 5 - April 11   
    @iknowIt would be nice if you'd tell us a bit about what this is all about. Also, we require picks to include odds and ideally bookies that offer the odds as well!
    Federico Delbonis to beat Roberto Carballes Baena at 1.90 with Unibet
    I'm going to start the week with a bet on Delbonis, who I quite liked during the swing in South America. Of course, he did nothing earth-shattering there, but I saw bits of RCB there and he was pathetic most of the time. He also had two bad losses two last times out, so I'm not sure why we're getting such a good price, especially given that Delbonis also leads the H2H record 3-0. 
  22. Sad
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - March 29 - April 4   
    Picked Pegula against Mertens and yesterday against Sakkari, I think I will skip it
  23. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to martsman in Tennis Tips - March 22 - March 28   
    Hi guys, first post here.
     
    Taking Pedro Martinez to beat Sandgren at 2.37 on B365. 
     
    Sandgren has been struggling over the past year or so. Pedro, on the other hand has been on the rise. While his favourite surface is clay, he has an aggressive game that can be adapted to hard, something we saw in the Australian Open. At this price, definitely worth a shot, I think. 
     
     
  24. Thanks
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from Olymp in Tennis Tips - March 15 - March 21   
    Lapko @2,28 (Marathonbet)
    She hasn't play much tis and last year, that's why she is ranked so low, but she took a set against Golubic and Martic recently. So I give her definitely a chance against Garin who is  below the level of her recent opponents. Garin won 2 qualy's here, but against weak opponents.
  25. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - March 15 - March 21   
    MC Osorio Serrano vs. Juvan Over 19.5 Games at 1.84 with Pinnacle
    Both players comes from the qualy. Camila has won against Xiyu Wang (7-6, 4-6, 6-2) and Dart (6-4, 7-5). Juvan has won against Govortsova (6-2, 4-6, 6-2) and Nara (6-1, 6-1). I don't think the difference between them is as big as the odds suggest. There is only 1 year difference between them and Camila is a GS girl champion (USO 2019). In Guadalajara Juvan won against Bolsova in a tight match (7-6, 7-5) at similar odds. Then, she was beat by Bouchard in 2 sets (6-4, 6-3). I expect Camila to fight this match more than the odds suggest.
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