Simeon Borisof

Excuse me for going off topic here but there's another event going on in Belgium this week and I've noticed a clear wrong priceing in Goffin v Shelbay. Goffin still goes around on his name and has been put as a quite heavy favorite tonight.
I dare to say Shelbay has a pretty good chance of upsetting the local favorite at 3.45. 
So Abdullah Shelbay to beat David Goffin at 3.45 with Coolbet 

Carter to beat Ronnie @  3.30 with a local. Ronnie is yet to be tested this tournament withhis opponents all crumbling at some point. He is far from his best while Carter has been on fire since now and i rate his break building better than Ronnie's atthat moment. The h2h doesnt sound good for Carter ofc, but i think that is the perfect opportunity to make it 17:2. A couple of quids on 10:7 @ 17 with a local

Your bets are looking good at 5-3 ahead, I'm still hoping that Ali crumbles tonight but he's got a great chance to lift his first major.

Gone in with the Hills odds boosted bet builder now as the game I have chosen (KC Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins) starts in the early hours Sunday morning UK time.
Four legs to this one as follows:
Kansas City Chiefs To Win
Patrick Mahomes Over 1.50 Passing Touchdowns
Tua Tagovailoa Under 230.5 Passing Yards
Tua Tagovailoa Over 0.5 Interceptions
 
Odds boosted to 8.80
🤞

Allen is there for the free tea while Higgins is playing.

wahey, 22/1 both hit 170

Here's what I'll be going with tonight. Have a few bets on the outright so purely for tonight:
2pts Humphries to win and throw 20+ 180s 5/2 Paddypower
2pts Both to hit 17+ 180s and 3+ 100+ checkouts each 5/1 Skybet
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1.5pts Humphries to hit 2+ 180s in each set 10/1 Paddypower
1.5pts Humphries to win 7-5 or 7-6 and over 40 180s in the match 12/1 WillHill
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0.5pts Littler 8+ D10 checkouts 16/1 Skybet
0.5pts Each player 20+ 180s and 5+ 100+ checkout each 25/1 Paddypower
 

13/10, 6/4, 10/3 and 10/1 wins today. I thought Humphries was going to hit that 120 with the last 3 darts like MVG did with the 130 yesterday. Interested in the Barney vs Williams match tomorrow. 

I think De Sousa is vulnerable today. He hasn't been with it for a while now and to be honest, whilst unlikely, if De Graaf repeated the performance against Edhouse, that would probably win this match. In my opinion, a 92-95 average would win it. We haven't seen the 180s of old from De Sousa which means the 9/1 is also something I'll gamble on. De Graaf hit 5 180s in his win over Edhouse.
DVD is another one that isn't hitting the 180s nearly as much. He has an excuse though with the shoulder blade issue. That means that the win with the most 180s is another one worth my gamble on. If it is as bad as people say, Krcmar should win this one. We'll see.
2.5pts De Graaf to beat De Sousa 11/5 Bet365
2pts Krcmar to beat DVD and have the most 180s 7/4 Bet365
0.5pts De Graaf to beat De Sousa and hit most 180s 9/1 Bet365
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1pt afternoon 4-fold - Dolan, Ratajski (-1.5 handicap), De Graaf (+1.5 handicap), Krcmar 7.5/1 Bet365

finally a couple of winners

My quarter final bet was let down by Bunting 180s.
Onto the semis this afternoon, and based on current and season form, the two favourites Humphries and Cross should progress to meet in tonight’s final. I actually quite like the two Skybet boosts they have put up:
Humphries to win, hit 10+ 180s and checkout 128+ @ 4/1
Cross to win, hit 7+ 180s and checkout 127+ @ 11/4
Having the two singles and a double that pays just shy of 18/1.

Aussies through to the last two bats now and they look desperate and the crowd are silent.
still Aussie are available at evens and I cannot see why hence I recommend 
Australia at evens
nine wickets down now and nowhere near a winning target Australia must be backed here
 

Fair play to Cray but Charlton did it easily in the end as I suspected they would. May different class and should be playing at a higher level.

Bayern Munich-Partizan
Date: 15.11.2023.
Sport: Euroleague
Start time: 20:30 cet
Pick: Partizan -1 @1.943
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 1 unit
 
Teamnews: adv Bayern 1, total -1, if Bonga and Obest will play(Lucic out, Bonga quest, Obst quest / Punter out, Koprivica out)
Model: Partizan  3.4   162
Robo number:  Partizan   4   162
Final number: Partizan   3   161- Bonga in, Obst in
Picks: Partizan -1 @1.943 (min price Partizan -1.5 @1.90)
Comment: Bayern without Lucic (starter, not play this season). Bonga (starter, key defensive player, 1st game out) and Obst (starter/bench player, 1st game out) are questionable. Panter (starter, 2 games out) and Koprivica (support player) are unavailable for Partizan. Partizan will have strong support from the fans, home-field advantage will be negligible.

I’m on Ratajski -1.5, Humphries -1.5 and Dobey to win tonight, the treble pays just over 7/2.
Van Duijvenbode’s shoulder injury is clearly still an issue, so tempted to back Humphries to win 5-0 tonight, priced at 10/1 with Bet365.

Philadelphia-Boston
Date: 08.11.2023.
Sport: NBA
Start time: 01:00 cet
Pick: PHI +2.5 @1.943
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 1 unit
 
Schedule: neutral
Teamnews: neutral (PHI no injuries report / White prob)
Model: BOS  0.8    219.8
Robo number: BOS   1   220
Final number: BOS   1   220
Picks: PHI +2.5 @1.943 (min price +2.5 @1.92)

Atlanta-Minnesota
Date: 30.10.2023.
Sport: NBA
Start time: 00:30 cet
Pick: ATL +2.5 @1,934
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 1 unit
 
Schedule: adv MIN 1, ATL b2b, blowout
Teamnews: adv ATL 1, total +1, if McDaniels wii not play (Matthews out / McDaniels quest)
Model: ATL  0   230.7
Robo number: ATL   0    230.5
Final number: ATL   0    230.5- McDaniels in; ATL   1.5   231.5- McDaniels out
Picks: ATL +2.5 @1.934 (min price ATL+2.5 @1.90)
Comment: Matthews (support/bench player) is unavailable for Hawks. McDaniels (starter, 2 games out) is questionable.

I think it’s a great time for Hawkins to beat Trump tomorrow. Gilbert gave it a good shot and made it to the decider but Trump is getting closer and closer to losing round by round and is grinding down wins. I just feel like Hawkins is playing better out of the two this week. 

2pts Hawkins to beat Trump 7/4 Bet365

I think the bet tomorrow is Van Veen to beat Gurney. Rock didn’t turn up tonight and with Van Veen I wasn’t sure if his doubling would be that great on the big stage. He looked really good though and calm.
5pts Van Veen to beat Gurney 4/5 bet365

Ostapenko to beat Vekic at 1.58 with Pinnacle.
Both players are inconsistence but Osta is fresh and physically ready. Vekic is demoralised after yesterday long-match loss and could mentally and physically affect her performance today.

Seyboth Wild +1.5 set to beat Griekspoor @1.91 with Pinnacle.
Griekspoor is in low form. SW has equal ability and much better condition........ except he is a more of a claycourt player.

all three underdogs picked out won last night and two in a deciding frame, which I rarely win with, so I'll take that.
3pts M. White to peat Perry evens Bet365
2.75pts Wakelin (-1.5 frames) to beat Burden 8/11 Bet365
2.5pts Sijun (-1.5 frames) to beat J.Clarke 4/5 Bet365
-----------------------------------
1pt accy - Wakelin / Burns / M.White / Sijun / Jak Jones 11/1 Will Hill

Ben Shelton to beat (-1.5 sets) Aslan Karatsev at 3.10 with Coolbet
No brainer, Shelton comes with an enormous confidence. Can't see anything than a straigt set here for Shelton. 1-0 h2h since USO two months back where Shelton won quite easily 3-1 after taking set 3 and 4 by 6-2 and 6-0. I've been expecting Shelton to get to this point where he finds himself in a final of something as this 500.

Ok that went quicker than I expected so Hill -1.5 frames at 2.25 is a green ✔️

Mai Hontama to beat Nadia Podoroska at 1.90 with Unibet
Hontama managed to beat Podoroska in straight sets not that long ago in Osaka, and I can definitely see a repeat of that here. Hontama is just too patient for Podoroska, who oftentimes errors herself out of the contention by pushing too hard.