amity

he's absolutely done my 4-fold there. Useless.

Yeh I could barely believe what was happening. Completely crumbled, absolutely shocking capitulation. 😮

what on earth was that last leg!? seriously, MVG is losing his bottle!

4pts Cross to beat Wright and hit most 180s 5/4 Paddypower
3pts Humphries and Littler both to hit 100+ checkout 4/1 Skybet
2pts Cross, Price, Littler and MVG all to win 9/2 Skybet
1pt Price v Littler final (tonight) 7/1 Skybet
0.5pts Smith and Humphries to hit most 180s in their matches / MVG and Littler to win the matches and hit the highest checkout 50/1 Skybet

The thing is, with Rock, he hasn't threatened to win anything. He won that Players Championship floor event when he was on fire for a good few months, but he doesn't get close in the bigger events.
I did think about him in this but much like a Heta or Searle, for me, it doesn't matter how good they play, they find a way to lose in the latter stages.

1pt Littler to win PL and Worlds 2025 - 20/1 boosted with PP
yes, it seems ridiculous, but I did a similar bet with Humpries to win multiple tournaments and i can't see Littler NOT making the final four in this event. Therefor, 20/1 for him to win 2 matches in this and then go on to win a Worlds? hmm, I'll take it with small stakes.

It's never really been a favourite of mine for betting on but the thread is up and it will be interesting with Littler in, this year.
Can't see past a final four of Littler,Humphries,MVG and Price though personally.

Surety 5-2 , still cant believe bookies offered such odds , pity i didnt have the balls to go very big stakes on it 

Lin Zhu (-1.5 sets) to beat Taylah Preston at 1.90 with Unibet
Good price I think, Preston is usually well out of depth against top 50 opposition, and Zhu typically does well in Asia. She hasn't actually been doing all that poorly so far in 2024 either, beating Collins and Dolehide.

Those three (Humphries, Littler, MVG) seem to stand out right now... the draw should be important in future tournaments, as whoever of these three has a "clear" bracket to the finals would be in advantage compared to the other two.
Or am I overthinking it, lol.

You'd have thought so alright, but MVG upped his standard for the final and for once Littler didn't match the ridiculously high levels he's shown us in recent months, especially on the checkouts. Glad I didn't bet on Littler now (was doing housework!(😆

It’s amazing when I was on MVG last week, he was utter rubbish but not this week ofcourse. 

J.Sinner/D.Medvedev - Over 3.5 sets at 1.63 with Pinnacle
I don't really see much happening in the women's final, but I am going to go for the "obvious" bet in the men's showdown. I get that Sinner is the favorite, but it's very difficult for me to see him winning 3-0, and the reverse result is even more improbable. Both have shown a lot of fight in Melbourne, and I reckon the pressure will manifest itself once one of them comes within the reach of winning the trophy. Let's hope for a good one!

Hoping for Sinner tonight, and I fancy Medvedev in the second match, though the odds are probably right.

C. Gauff to beat A. Sabalenka - 2.92 with Betfair
Gauff can win ugly if needed and Sabalenka has huge problems in Slam semi finals. Little bit of value for me here. 

Back Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? - No at 1.82 with Pinnacle
I'm going to go against most of the forum here, but I'm just not that convinced by Novak. He struggled big time ahead of the Australian Open, and, before that Mannarino beatdown, he had some issues as well. It's going to get tougher from now on, and there are some solid candidates in Sinner, Alcaraz, and co. I'd be surprised, but not shocked, to see him lose against Fritz in the very next round.

D. Yastremska to beat V. Azarenka - 3.60 with Betfair

Watched the Kalinskaya v Stephens match. Kalinskaya was down 3-4 3rd set, and faced 2 break points. SHe kept her head, survived and landed up winning the last 3 games. She is an excellent athlete. Strong and very well balanced. She has an excellent backhand that she hits up the line, which just kills opponents.  I think she wins against Paolini.
I think tommorow's 4th round mens matches are all in the balance. Medvedev is not convincing. I don't know how he got past Ruusuvouri because its a match he should have lost. Ruusuvouri didn't believe he could win. It was pretty odd. His opponent Nuno Borges was certainly not expected to beat Dimitrov, so I feel this will be a lot closer than people expect. A close match here and I think over 30.5 games is worth a bet at 1.90
I think Hurkacz has his hands fully with Cazaux. For me Rune a much better player, yet Cazaux just put him away easily. I think it will be a relatively long match (both have excellent serves), but I'm taking Cazaux to win here. The kid has that bullet proof confidence of youth and I give him the edge when it comes to serving, which could prove the deciding factor in the breakers.
I gave Norrie no chance to beat Ruud. I didn't see the game. I don't know if Ruud just had a bad day, but it is a surprise result. Norrie is better than he looks. He has this weird style ... like a far more physically capable Mannarino. I think if he gets his tactics right against Zverev he can win. For me, Zverev has a terrible transition game (moving off the baseline, and hitting a midcourt volley or half volley). He can't hit through that ball, and he can't get his tall frame low enough.
On the baseline he looks amazing ... that 2 handed backhand is as good as Djoko's. But in transition play, he can't get his big frame low enough to hit those shots effectively. Its a glaring weakness in his game. Over 38.5 games at 1.83
I have not been impressed with Alcaraz. He has so much talent and physicality, but I don't see the expected improvements in his game. He still looks like an unpolished diamond. I watched the Kecmanovic match against Paul. Paul had 2 match points in the 4th set break, yet still lost it 9-7. 5th set Kecmanovic destroyed him. This is a very strong, underrated opponent who can give plenty of problems.  Over 30.5 games at 1.83
 

Exactly... I had that weird feeling too that MVG is playing "the man", not the dartboard so to speak... so with all his experience he seemed to have much more of that nervous tension. It has been a trend now that he almost always has a bad game in a tournament, but... this one looked different.

Good call. Every time I watch Mirra Andreeva playing I see her becoming a good player… but the “next big thing”? I don’t think so… she might find some space in the contemporary WTA, which is in general very low quality in comparison with the past decades, but nothing more

For me a very difficult, unpredictable Aussie open.
How many people see Dimitrov losing to Borges, or Norrie beating an in form Ruud?
Regardless of how well Tsitsipas plays, his 1 handed backhand is just such an average shot. Fritz can more than match him, and the key matchup between his 2 handed backhand and Tsitsi's 1 hander may be the difference.  Serving wise, Fritz has the edge, and I think he just comes out on top.
I fancy de Minaur to beat Rublev. Andre is just too emotional. He gets so infuriated on the court, and it distracts and wastes energy. The crowd will largely be against Rublev, and I think this 'Davis Cup' type atmosphere will have an effect. Two very similar players, but for me de Minuar has the edge physically. He has also played 9 sets, dropping more than 3 games in a set just once. So he should be a lot fresher. He cleaned up Arnaldi and Coboli, and was done quickly with Raonic in a W/O in 1st round.
 
 

I know none of these guys are going to win and probably won't make the semis either but still these are higher odds being offered than I would have expected from Paddy Power, when you consider they're all into the fourth round now. Mannarino for instance, I know Djokovic is up next but I still wouldn't have a seasoned campaigner who won an atp title a few weeks ago at such long odds. 

I know none of these guys are going to win and probably won't make the semis either but still these are higher odds being offered than I would have expected from Paddy Power, when you consider they're all into the fourth round now. Mannarino for instance, I know Djokovic is up next but I still wouldn't have a seasoned campaigner who won an atp title a few weeks ago at such long odds. 

Anyone like the look of Sinner this year?

AO WTA - of the 32 seeds that started the tournament on Monday only 6 has survived. Only 3 of them are top 10 players. I can’t remember anything like this happening before, at least in a GS