** November Poker League Result : 1st Danshot, 2nd Rivrd, 3rd Elliott Sutcliffe **
** November Naps Competition Result: 1st adamross, 2nd andellio, 3rd Craig bluenose, 4th Redphil57. KO Cup Winner vangovin. Most Winners MCLARKE: **
amity reacted to Fader in Scottish Open Qualies
Yeah, such a big match for him though. If he won that then he was looking at a real chance in that tournament. When Wilson plays O'Connor in a final you know it's wide open lol. Jealous you were there mate, would have been a good evening of Snooker, that.
amity reacted to daveg in 2023 World Championships
With a week to go until the big one, thought I'd post my thoughts and a few bets ahead of the World Championship that starts on Thursday December 15th.
Top 7 in the betting
Michael van Gerwen (11/4 Betway, 5/2 General)
Van Gerwen comes into the World Championships as favourite, and in my eyes is the most likely winner of the event. His form towards the back end of the season has been excellent, winning the Grand Prix and Players Championship Finals and reaching the quarter-finals of the Grand Slam. Earlier on in the year he also captured the Premier League and World Matchplay, and having looked a bit vulnerable for the last couple of seasons, he looks like he is on his way back to his best. His record at the World Champs is impressive, three titles (2014, 2017 & 2019) and runner-up twice (2013 & 2020) in the last ten years. The last six players to beat him at Ally Pally have had to average in excess of 100 to beat him – so you have to play very well to defeat him in this event. Van Gerwen had to withdraw from the event 12 months ago due to Covid, I reckon he takes all the beating this time around.
Gerwyn Price (6/1 General)
Gerwyn Price comes into Ally Pally as the second favourite and number one seed, but I’m finding it a bit difficult to read his form right now. A finalist at the Matchplay earlier on in the year, he reached the semi-finals of the Grand Prix but exited in the first round of the European Championship and Players Championship Finals. As a former winner, the ‘Iceman’ has to be respected, but I don’t think he’s playing his best right now. I suspect Price will go fairly deep in the tournament, but I don’t see him winning it this year.
Michael Smith (8/1 Unibet, 15/2 General)
‘Bully Boy’ finally captured his first TV Major at the Grand Slam of Darts last month, and his second might not be too far away. Even before the Grand Slam, Smith was having a decent season, reaching the final of the UK Open and European Championships as well as winning three Players Championship events and one European Tour event. His record at the World Championship over the last four years has been feast or famine. Early exits in 2020 and 2021 are sandwiched by appearances in the final in 2019 and 2022. In last year’s final he averaged over 99 and led Peter Wright 5-4, before Wright played some spell-binding darts to reel off the final three sets. With the added confidence of his first TV major, Smith has every chance of going all the way this year.
Peter Wright (11/1 General)
It’s not been the best of years for Peter Wright, and that’s before we take a look at his results on the dartboard. An operation over the summer ruled him out of World Series events in Australia and New Zealand, and whilst he bounced back to win on the European Tour in September, he’s been hit by further setbacks with the health of his wife. As a result ‘Snakebite’ pulled out of the Players Championship Finals so his preparation hasn’t been ideal, and with matters off the oche rightly his priority at the moment, Wright doesn’t appeal this time around. As defending champion Wright could make the 11/1 quotes look massive come the New Year, but equally it wouldn’t be the biggest shock if he lost on the opening night and prioritised his personal life over Christmas.
Luke Humphries (14/1 General)
Luke Humphries comes into the World Championships as a major threat in my opinion. ‘Cool Hand Luke’ won four European Tour titles earlier in the year and has followed that up with semi-final appearances at both the Grand Slam and Players Championship Finals. His record at the World Championships is also pretty good, a quarter-finalist in three of the last four seasons – and he’s arguably playing much better coming into the tournament this time around than in previous years. Unfortunately, Humphries is in the same quarter of the draw as Michael Smith, but Humphries is up to number five in the World now, you don’t get there without performing consistently well in the big events.
Josh Rock (16/1 General)
I’m a big fan of Josh Rock and what he’s achieved this year, but can’t help feel the hype surrounding the young Northern Irishman has bought his price in too far, and he’s become unbackable for me now. This has been Rock’s debut season on the PDC Pro Tour and in the second half of the year he’s played some incredible darts, consistently averaging in the high 90’s. Parallels are being drawn to when Rob Cross burst onto the scene in 2017, but in that season Cross reached the final of the European Championship, two European Tour events and won four Players Championship events. In comparison Rock has won one Players Championship and didn’t progress past the second round in any of the big tournaments towards the back end of the year. There’s no doubt ‘Rocky’ has had a great debut season, but at odds of 16/1 he’s not for me this time around. (Nathan Aspinall, Rob Cross and Danny Noppert have all reached major TV finals and plenty of floor finals this year, and can be backed at twice the odds of Rock).
Jonny Clayton (18/1 General)
Jonny Clayton has had another decent season in the non-ranking events, but he’s disappointed in most of the big ranking events recently, losing out in the second round of the Grand Prix, European Championships and Grand Slam. In the most recent tournament, the Players Championship Finals, he made it through to the semi-finals, but his level seems to have dropped compared to the last couple of years. His record at the World Championship doesn’t inspire confidence either, having never made it to the quarter-finals in six attempts.
A few others at bigger prices
Rob Cross (33/1 General)
It’s been a bit of a mixed bag this season for Cross, disappointing in most of the big TV majors, but then last time out making the final of the Players Championship Finals. Away from the big stage, he’s reached the final of three European Tour events and picked up two titles on the floor in the Players Championship events – so there are signs Cross could do some damage at Ally Pally. He seems slightly over-priced at 33/1, but being in the same quarter as van Gerwen has dampened my enthusiasm for ‘Voltage’.
Nathan Aspinall (40/1 Unibet, 33/1 General)
Aspinall has had some injury concerns over the last 18 months, so it’s pretty impressive that he’s bounced back to reach two major finals this year; runner-up to van Gerwen at the Grand Prix and to Michael Smith at the Grand Slam. Aspinall has also reached five finals on the floor this season, more than any other player, winning two of them. ‘The Asp’ has also reached the semi-finals at Ally Pally in two of the last four years, so knows what it takes to go deep in this tournament. The draw could have been kinder to Aspinall, Rock or Callan Rydz in round three, and then seeded to play Clayton in round four and Wright in the quarter-finals, but I’m not ruling out another good showing from Aspinall.
Beau Greaves (400/1 PaddyPower)
I won’t be backing Beau Greaves, even at 400/1, but I’m hoping she can shake things up a bit at Ally Pally this year. The 18-year-old has been sensational in the PDC Women’s Series this year, she’s won the last eight events in the series to qualify for this event, a total of 52 consecutive matches. Whilst the quality of opposition clearly isn’t as good as on the main PDC Pro Tour, that takes some doing. Across those 52 matches she’s averaged 85.8, but in many of those games her average would probably have been higher if she’d have been pushed a bit more. An indication of how she can perform was seen in final of the penultimate Women’s Series event, where she beat Fallon Sherrock 5-3 and averaged close to 108. She’ll surely have the Ally Pally crowd behind her, and whilst she won’t be carrying my money, she will have my support – until she faces Michael Smith in the semi-final 😉.
So it’s Michael van Gerwen and Michael Smith to win the title. I can’t ignore the chances of Luke Humphries to have a deep run, and will take a chance on Nathan Aspinall to see off the highly fancied Josh Rock early on and reach the semi-finals.
Michael van Gerwen to win Outright 5 pts @ 11/4 Betway
Michael Smith to win Outright 3 pts @ 8/1 Unibet
Luke Humphries to reach Quarter-Finals 5 pts @ 6/4 PaddyPower
Nathan Aspinall to win the Third Quarter 2 pts @ 9/1 BetVictor
amity reacted to StevieDay1983 in Quarter-Finals Predictions > Dec 9th & 10th
The 2022 World Cup Quarter-Finals have been confirmed now. It's been a tournament of shock results but only one team is a surprise package in the last 8 of the competition after Morocco knocked out Spain on penalties in the last 16. Can they now knock out Spain's neighbours Portugal? Croatia were a team looking dead on their legs in the group stage but seem to be growing into the tournament. Will they stun pre-tournament favourites Brazil who dismantled South Korea in the last round? Netherlands take on Argentina in a game that will evoke memories of the 1998 World Cup Quarter-Final epic that saw Dennis Bergkamp score that iconic goal in the dying embers of the game. Then it's England versus France. Some are saying that is the game that will produce the eventual winner of the tournament. Others will say the other 6 teams also left in the competition will have something to say about that! It's set to be a cracking closing stages of this tournament. Hit us with your predictions down below!
amity got a reaction from Foo_Fighter in Scottish Open Qualies
Watching some of Craigie's match. He's so impetuous, takes on way too many difficult long pots, missing them more often than not. Walden is playing pretty well but he doesn't have to be amazing to win this as he just has to wait for Craigie to miss another difficult long pot, then Walden steps in and cleans up. Frustrating to watch such novice play from Craigie. He gave away that last frame to go 3-1 behind instead of 2-2.
amity reacted to Fader in Scottish Open Qualies
also will throw out there an outright e/w bet that I've had. Sam Craigie. In brilliant form at the moment and his path would probably consist of Patrick, Anda, Day, Ding and then Robertson to make the final. Obviously not that simple but what I'm saying is he has a nice round until the latter stages and more importantly, his scoring is really good. Made the Quarter Finals of the UK Championship and was 4-2 up against eventual winner, Mark Allen. Believe he's won 8 of his last 9. The other outright I was tempted with was Jack Lisowski. Again, did well at the UK Championship and made the semi-final. Also losing to eventual winner Mark Allen. He was 5-3 up against Allen in a "first to 6" His only downside to the bet is his lack of bottle but once he gets over the line that could change.
1pt e/w Lisowski to win Scottish Open 20/1 bet365
0.5pts e/w S.Craigie to win Scottish Open 66/1 bet365
amity reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - November 21 - November 27
I'm gonna throw myself into the challengers today a bit with going for Facundo.
Facundo Bagnis to beat (-1.5 sets) Nicolas Kicker at 2.38 with Unibet
I've seen Bagnis play lately, he's been impressive on the clay in South America and should be the favourite here even on hardcourt and I think this price feels very likely to come in since Bagnis already has won his 2 opening matches in Temuco by 2-0 and leads the head to head here by 3-1 and has won the last 2 matches 2-0 in this matchup without much fuss albeit on clay and this is hardcourt.
First of all Facundo is a better player than Nicolas now and has been for most of their careers and when seeing Facundo play in the semi last week on clay in Brazil he served really good all match and especially the last 2 sets and the brazilian Felipe Meligeni choked pretty heavily after he had taken first set. But this time Facundo wont lose first set because this isn't a semifinal therefore less nerves for Facundo and I feel no worries firstly because Nico had troubles beating Nico Alvarez and Lucas Reis Da Silva the first two rounds and Facundo has been cruising first two rounds and third if you serve well on hard it matters even more than on clay and Facundos serve is so much better than the one of Nicolas (he may be named Kicker but I've not seen much kick in his serve so far). So I expect this to go Facundos way more or less without any bigger fuss again. This is quarterfinal of Temuco in Chile on hard.
amity reacted to Fader in Players Championsips Final
This gets underway tomorrow morning. It's a big old tournament with 64 players but still spread over just 2 days. I think most people will have their mind on the Worlds now but here is what I'm going for. 10pts staked. Looking for a big price finalist here.
3pts Rock 16/1 bet365
1.5pts e/w R.Smith 33/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w Van Barneveld 66/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w Bunting 80/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w Rydz 125/1 bet365
0.25pts e/w Barry 150/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w Soutar 200/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w S.Williams 200/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w Van Veen 500/1 skybet
amity reacted to Foo_Fighter in Tennis Tips - November 21 - November 27
Davidovich Fokina is a young, talented and fearless tennis player. And he happens to be one of the very few Spanish players who actually prefer to play on fast surfaces... I would have gone with him as I said on my initial post about the DC quarterfinals.
amity reacted to Swiss Maestro in Tennis Tips - November 21 - November 27
You have a really good eye for tennis players! Fokina is one of the most talented players we have had in the last decade. If tennis was all technique, Fokina would be a Top 10 player. The problem with him is his mentality and his physical conditions.
He relapsed from his knee injury, that's why he's not here.
@CzechPunter When I and @Foo_Fighter made our initial posts, USA was at 1.61 (bet365). Now, odds have dropped to 1.28 (bet365).
amity reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - November 21 - November 27
I'm pretty much the same as you guys, though the home conditions could do it for the Spaniards, Coric can be a bit of a headcase still. Canada and the USA look the best to me overall, with the USA being a bit more balanced and perhaps having more team chemistry as well.
amity got a reaction from Foo_Fighter in Tennis Tips - November 21 - November 27
Paddy Power have the US at 9/2 outright, with the cash out option open currently.
They might close off the cash out option though, not sure, but if they don't and the US beat Italy, then their odds will shorten and we could already be in profit. Going to throw something on this (not the house mind you!) 😁
amity reacted to Swiss Maestro in Tennis Tips - November 21 - November 27
Good choices. This is how I see the matches.
Spain vs Croatia. I think the only way for Spain to win this is winning the 2 single points, which is unlikely to happen. Mektic/Pavic are so much better than Granollers/Pedro..., so if Cilic or Coric get a point then Mektic/Pavic should finish the job with ease.
Italy vs USA. Tiafoe and Fritz are the favorite against Sonego and Musetti. They even are the favorites for the doubles point... cause I think Sock/Paul are better than Fognini/Bolelli.
Germany vs Canada. Shapo and Auger are the favorites against Struff and Otte. Germany has a really good doubles pair (Krawietz/Puetz), so things can get ugly for Canada if the germans get a point in the singles. If that happens, I expect Shapo and Felix to play the doubles cause they have demonstrated a really good chemistry. As I said, the germans will need to get a point in the singles but that won't be easy. If they can do that, then I think it will be a 50/50.
Australia vs Netherlands. 50/50.
amity reacted to Foo_Fighter in Tennis Tips - November 21 - November 27
what's your thoughts on this year's DC in Malaga?
Italy vs USA
Germany vs Canada
Australia vs Netherlands
Croatia vs Spain
My picks in bold. I leave the tie between Australia and Netherlands as a pure toss-up.
I think Germany without Zverev has less than 15% chance to advance to the semifinals. Canada with FAA on its squad is an awfully strong team, especially on indoor hard, which is the surface this tournament is played on. It's a shame Sascha is unavailable, I'm sure many fans would anticipate a blockbuster match between him and FAA.
Spain has been hit hard by the withdrawal of Alcaraz due to his latest injury. Can Carreno, RBA, Fokina(?), Ramos(?) defeat the likes of Coric, Cilic and Mektic/Pavic? I highly doubt it. RBA's decline is massive. Carreno Busta is a reliable player, but I don't think he fancies these fast indoor hard courts... Fokina might actually be a better choice for the hosts.
Italy won't have Berrettini and Sinner as they're both injured. Their team consists of Sonego, Musetti and Fognini/Bolelli. Now, unlike Italy, Team USA has plenty of extremely formidable players. Tiafoe, Tommy Paul, Taylor Fritz & Jack Sock will probably be on their final squad. Tommy Paul, Frances Tiafoe and Taylor Fritz have had career-best seasons. Sock is one of the best doubles players in the world. It's just hard to imagine the current Italian team defeating this team of America.
amity reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - November 14 - November 20
Well, he has certainly improved tremendously, and he wasn't lacking in the mental fortitude department against FAA. The conditions suit him here as well, and, if he keeps his first serve percentage high throughout the match, he certainly has a chance. Is meeting Djokovic different than meeting this version of Nadal or FAA? Yeah, unfortunately, I'd say it is. Let's see what the bookies throw us in terms of odds/handicaps.
amity reacted to Foo_Fighter in Tennis Tips - November 14 - November 20
Been saying for quite some time now that Taylor Fritz has become such an elite tennis player, so advancing to the semifinals came as no surprise to me. He won the match fair and square. Can he beat Novak and reach the final? Well, he's gonna face the best out there, a player who loves playing in front of the Italian crowd and who has won this event multiple times in his career. Also, tennis is about match-ups, and clearly, this isn't a favorable one for Taylor Fritz. Djokovic leads 5-0 and has only dropped 2 sets so far. Taylor Fritz has evolved tremendously ever since their last encounter (QF - Paris Masters 2021) though. Djokovic won 6-4, 6-3 in their lone indoor hardcourt match so far (3 more wins on clay & 1 win on outdoor hard for Novak).
As much as I want Taylor Fritz to proceed, I still predict a Djokovic win here. It all comes down to mental fortitude, and that's where the Serb is miles ahead of his rival; I'd dare to say that their backhand ability is now on par. Is it a blasphemy, folks? Don't attack me please. 😂 Seriously, Fritz does some serious damage with his backhand these days and only a few are even noticing. I mean, how else can I justify the odds on the FAA vs Fritz match? It's as if they're afraid to see the reality. Ok, enough with my praise to Fritz. It's just exciting and refreshing to watch an outsider slowly becoming part of the elite, you know what I mean?