Jump to content
Download the PL Forum App!

anaconda69

New Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,231

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by anaconda69

    1-1 premiership system

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: 1-1 premiership system

    Gameweek 5 qualifiers Saturday 21st September Norwich City vs Aston Villa 0-1 West Brom vs Sunderland 3-0 West Ham vs Everton 2-3 Sunday 22nd September Man City vs Man Utd! 4-1 7 picks 1 won +68 points 6 lost -60
    all losers update on scores and this weeks picks imminently.

    1-1 premiership system

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: 1-1 premiership system

    Gameweek 5 qualifiers Saturday 21st September Norwich City vs Aston Villa 7.4 West Brom vs Sunderland 7.6 West Ham vs Everton 7.2 Sunday 22nd September Man City vs Man Utd! 7.6 7 picks 1 won +68 points 2 lost -20 4 outstanding -40
    Odds update looks like 1 in 6-7 picks needed on a level playing field - more than the 12% average that 1-1 occurs, perhaps a lay profit situation here if this doesn't workout lol

    1-1 premiership system

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: 1-1 premiership system

    Gameweek 4 qualifiers odds to be added near matches Saturday 14 Aston Villa vs Newcastle Utd 1-2 lateish goal newcastle Fulham vs West Bromwich 1-1ft Sunday 15 Southampton v West Ham Utd 0-0 ft
    Fulham vs West Bromwich sp 1-1 was miserable 7.2...so figures... rematch won't be included so can tick that one off... 3 bet 1 won +68 after commission 2 lost -20 = +48 points

    "Sports-Betting as a Business" (108 picks +38% yield)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: "Sports-Betting as a Business" (108 picks +38% yield) My tipsters one is up from £100 - £100,000, one is up 200 points from 400 selections (all horses the 2nd one, first mix of horses, cricket and that). 1st tipster finished his challenge (took 4 years from £100 to £100,000!) so it is possible but he was doing it full time like a job and you could earn that in four years, I'm on not far... Still, not many expenses sitting at home on the computer lol. 2nd tipster is current and going well still last 49 picks showing 20 points profit on wins and places on horses. 2nd tipster could disappear at any time and posts near afternoon for obvious reasons with the most important going. Question is with your model - given 400 picks give 200 points profit with 1 point level stakes, what would you estimate this could mean in terms of real profit (£10 stakes for example which is sensible to start) and best betting model to use? If it was an increasing level stake, of 1% after a week, this could go up and down all the time so I'm not sure what is best and your really good at models? I'm doing tennis tipping at the moment and did well on greyhound laying and horse trading, tennis trading easy to translate to your models but the lays and horse trades are a bit harder ;-s

    1-1 premiership system

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: 1-1 premiership system

    Hi Anaconda' date=' good luck with this but why would you not use the top three, United, City and Chelsea had 20% of the 1-1 draws last season.[/quote'] I meant top three in that particular gameweek hope that clears it up. I'll check the records but this is a test, see what we can make. Once a two teams have 1-1, they aren't played again so it eliminates as we go along.

    1-1 premiership system

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    30 games are over and only 3% were 1-1 so far compared to average 10% over the years, so a good time to start the system. Rules: Play teams that are closely matched in terms of relative place in table at least within 4 places either side. Any odds for 1-1 correct score. 10 points per game to increase to 15 points if necessary Odds on betfair - 5% commission taken. Lets see if this can be profitable or at least breakeven!

    Solving the US Open Tennis

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: Solving the US Open Tennis Frank Dancevic 2/1 Robin Haase v Frank Dancevic 26/08/2013 To Win Match To Run Carlos Berlocq 1/1 Santiago Giraldo v Carlos Berlocq 26/08/2013 To Win Match To Run Jiri Vesely 4/6 Jiri Vesely v Denis Kudla 27/08/2013 To Win Match To Run Jurgen Melzer 1/3 Jurgen Melzer v Evgeny Donskoy 27/08/2013 To Win Match To Run Tim Smyczek 8/15 Tim Smyczek v James Duckworth 27/08/2013 To Win Match To Run My 5fold today

    Solving the US Open Tennis

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: Solving the US Open Tennis

    I'm going to try and see if I can make a profit opposing some of the favourites in matches at the US Open. I'll be concentrating on the Men's Tournament' date=' placing one unit bets on players whose price I think is bigger than it should be. I will use Betfair for these bets, and will deduct 5% commission from any winners. Bets will be posted ahead of play on each day of the tournament, when I will also settle bets from the previous day. I think it's possible to be successful with this kind of strategy if you're prepared to go against some of the better known players, and hopefully the results during this tournament will show that. All questions/comments welcome.[/quote'] do you want some picks I have compiled 6 for first day and done study ;)

    anacondas 0-0 picks.

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: anacondas 0-0 picks. Nothing today few later goals for Burnley ruined it. Stakes now raise to 2 points. I may consider a trade out feature in future where its 70+ mins 0-0 and pays for all outstanding points spent to back the other way

×
×
  • Create New...