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jinxy

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Posts posted by jinxy

  1. Re: BBOTD - Saturday 15th June

    19.35 Leicester: Tatlisu @ 12/1 Bet365 Thought Tatlisu ran a much better race than the bare form suggest lto at Ripon. He was unsettled throughout the race but looked to mount a big challenge approaching the 2f marker. He was then short of room there, tried to quicken again but was stopped abruptly again. I think he would have gone pretty close with a clear run. He's down to a very low mark now and could be better than this. A 5lb claimer on board is interesting too, and it wouldn't be a surprise it Tatlisu would make use of his low weight.
    Well Done Rob! You are on Fire bud. 2 bets and 2 winners both from your personal thread on top of your recent winners. I dont know how you do it??
  2. Re: BBOTD - Saturday 25th May

    2.15 Curragh: Coach House @1/1 Paddy Power 10/10 Inexperience beat him first time out at the curragh but made no mistake next time by bolting up at tipperary beating a subsequent winner of Bolgers who is Ascot bound by 6.5lengths easily. Stubbs also has potential as has the bolger horse but my selection is the choice of the stable jockey and will win tomorrow enroute to Ascot. The horse of Deegans who beat him fto also reopposes but I am confident that the selection will deliver. 3.20 Curragh: Magician @5/2 Boylesports 5/10 On his 2yo form Van Der Neer wins this. He ran well in the English equivalent staying on to finish 3rd to Dawn Approach. He will stay further than the mile in time and I rate him as a danger. What puts me off is that Hughes was never going to ride him in the Guineas. His form on the track is the best by some way however. So why Magician? Well he won a very good maiden in the curragh over a mile eased down last year albeit on heavy ground and looked good and was well backed to do so when bolting up at chester over 10 furlongs. O' Brien has a fantastic record in this race and I hear that this horse has been beating Cristoforo Columbo at home who had better 2yo form and who was not far behind the Hannon horse in the Guineas. Taking everything into consideration Magician has to be the pick. I don't rate the other horses as good enough. Murtagh's horse is the only other one with potential. 3:55 Curragh: Was @ 9/2 BetVictor 4/1 generally 3/10 This concerns Camponata, Was and Chigun. I rule out Camponata due to the ground and the stable's dreadful record in the Curragh. Chigun has won in this grade, will love the trip and is improving. If my selection does not run up to par, expect this filly to capitalise. Was won the Oaks last year and although her best trip is probably 10 furlongs I expect her to be equally effective here over the mile. For the first time in a year she has her ground and last year competed at the highest level in every race. Back down in grade today I expect her class to win out. Nap Coach House. If you must have a bet in the other 2 races go for my ones!
    Read the rules before 1 of the mods goes through you like a dose! 1 horse. 1 race. 1pt win or 0.5 e.w.. And they DEFO dont like bold writing. Apart from that GOOD LUCK!:welcome
  3. Re: BBOTD - Friday 17th May 2.15 York SAPTAPADI 20/1 Coral 1pt win I went in baw deep on this 1 in the Ebor 2 years ago when the bold Ellison highlighted him as his BBOD on the morning line only for his 2nd string to stoat at 25's. He ran well and was in amongst the placers about 2 out over 1m 6f at York but ran out of puff off a mark of 105. I bet him each way that day but I was on the only bookie NOT to pay 5 places! His only win came over 12f at Donny off a mark of 100 after a break. He races off 95 with a 3lb claimer on board tomorrow with a long absence. Revenge might be sweet?

  4. Re: BBOTD - Tuesday 14th May scampi boy 5.50 southwell 1pt win 9/2 p/power He was running a cracker of a race at cheltenham in the national hunt chase won by the classy Back in focus. He unseated that day not far from home and i believe he would have been in the mix for a place. A similar run would see him in the shake up at the business end. both jockey and trainer in reasonably good form.

  5. Re: BBOTD - Monday 13th May Roseini 5.25 tow 1pt @ sp Ill take a chance on Roseini in the amateur riders handicap hurdle. The horse was given too much to do on its previous 3 starts when finishing well. Riden more positively it could be in with a shout. Mr P Shoemark has a 27% strike rate in chases and an 8% strike rate in hurdle races however he has been there abouts with a 2nd, 2 x 3rd and 2 x 4th's also. Roseini has won on the course and its form at Tow reads 1.3.UR.5.4.4 but off its current mark of 83 it could be fairly handicapped.

  6. Re: BBOTD - Sunday 12th May Rifleman 2.40 Wor 0.5 e/w @ SP Ill side with the old boy in this handicap chase. He is now 13 but im hoping off this mark he may be in with a shout if he aint too old for the game?. 3 x Course winner including 2 CD wins off marks of 103 and 89. Today races off a mark of 84 with Jake Greenall taking off a further 3lb.

  7. Re: BBOTD - Saturday 11th May Cross Kennon 1.50 Haydock 0/5 e/w bet365 25/1 Ill get off the mark yet? Ill have an e.way punt on Cross Kennon in the long distance hurdle. He has been competing at the highest level over timber and finishing well. Although not winning a gr 1 he has won a class 1 gr2 over CD. His record at Haydock reads 1.2.3.14. the 14th carrying top weight off a mark of 150. today he races off 140 and I think he is a good each way bet. In saying all that I could be completely wrong and it could be my typical Sat donation to the racing game! GOOD LUCK GUYS!

  8. Re: BBOTD - Friday 10th of May Balty Boys 1.45 Chester 0.5 e/w 25/1 bet365 Balty boys has only won the once during its career over 6f in a class 4 maiden for 2y/o's. It was with barry Hills then and the style in which it won suggested it would go on to better things. Im refusing to believe it cant win again and I firmly believe he is better than he has shown since that last win. He has now switched trainer and im hoping that can rekindle the fire in him. He won staying on at Newbury and the 7f should not be a problem. Ill take a chance on him at 25's e/w to get on the board.

  9. Re: BBOTD Saturday 2nd February ALFIE SPINNER 2.40 FFOS LAS 4/1 BET 365 ill side with this usually solid jumper off a mark of 134. races off a mark tomorrow only 1lb higher than its last winning mark which came on heavy ground also over 3 miles and i think he has yet to show his best. D.jacobs is under estimated to say the least and Nick Williams has had 2 winners and 1 place (the other 4th of 10) from 4 runners recently.

  10. Re: BBOTD Saturday 6th Captain Bertie 3.35 Ascot 14/1 stan james 1pt win Ill side with the 4 y/old as they have a good record in the race. He has winning form over 8f which may play to his strengths given the soft ground. He is drawn low as were 10 of the last winners drawn 1-11. He has won a race worth over 12k and also a race with over 14 runners. Captain Bertie has won only the 1 won h.cap and the fact that 9/10 winners won between 1-3 handicaps is a big positive also. He absolutely flew home a few starts back in a cavalry charge to beat Fury and i feel we have yet to see the best of him. The other of interest from a trends view was Imperial guest who also has competed at gr level but ill side with the Captain due to the ground.

  11. Re: BBOTD Thursday 2nd of August Run with the wind 4.50 Galway 18/1 coral 1pt win Ill side with this nag as he fits the trends on most for the race having Won 2 hurdle races of no more value than 15k. Won at least 1 of 2 last starts. Placed on last start. 5y/o to 9 y/o. 4 of the last 5 winners were aged 6. Has posted a rpr high on 1 of his last 2 starts. 10/10 had run in no more than 15 hurdles and that loses a good few! 10/10 had won 2 - 4 times over hurdles. 8/10 had run in fewer than 5 heap hurdles. 9/10 had raced within 55 days. Horses carrying 10st 7lb + Are (6-7-72). Heres hoping for a better month!

  12. Re: best bet of the day sat 28th july Fast shot 3-45 York 1pt win @ 20/1 bet 365 Tim easterby is in red hot form And apart from the draw fast shot fits the trends. Won a class 2. Won during season. Placed at York over course and distance and being a 4y.old having raced more than 3 times during season. Won't bore you with the rest.

  13. [h=2][/h]

    Here's what I wrote back on the 6th July where he finished 2nd to the fav! Noted as being unlucky in running on its latest outing I'll side with drinmoy lad to bounce back over the minimum? Won off a mark of 51 over 5f on Soft going 3 runs ago which should be similar to conditions tomorrow and is running off Only 54 but could still be open to improvement. his last 2 runs we're over 6f @ 7f but the 5f will see the best Of him. (hopefully) Ill stick With him over the minimum as he ran a cracker LTO and was only just collared on the line. DRINMOY LAD 6.15 naas 1pt win @ sp

  14. Re: saturdays bbotd Sea moon 4.35 ascot. 10/3 boylesports Ill stick with the trends in this race. Forget. 5y/o plus- take out dunaden/ St nicholas abbey 9/10 finished top 3 LTO. Take out reliable man. (no gr 1 win also)/ Robin hood ( no gr 1 win) Danedream 9/10 ran within 50 days- take out deep brilliant 10/10 having 1st run in race- take out nathaniel 8/10 won a gr 1 or Hardwicke by 3L +. Forget, reliable man/ brown panther/ robin hood/ sea moon won the Hardwicke as did 2/10 last winners by 3l + 8/10 won 1m 4f only or 1m 2f gr 1- take out masked marvel Left with sea moon who has notwon a gr 1 but has a similar profile to 2 of the last 10 winners in winning the Hardwicke in good style coming into the race. Paddy power giving refund up to £100 if 2nd to nathaniel for an extra bit of insurance!

  15. No joy yesterday. again! I like the look of 2 tomorrow in Bated Breath and Jamsie. They both ran well at Ascot LTO and I think Jamsie will love the ground tomorrow. I won't bore anyone with the trends but he is a clear trends choice as is Bated Breath in the July cup. I had it down to 2 for the bunbury cup but the other Stevie Thunder is drawn 9 and I feel may be disadvantaged. Jamsie has finished 2nd twice in his last 2 starts in big handicaps and I'm hoping for 1 better tomorrow. I'll have money down on both though! Jamsie 1pt win @ 7/1 stan James 2.40 newmarket

  16. Muamarra 0.5 pts e.w 25/1 paddy p 1.50 newmarket I fancy Golden Lilac to hose up but at evens it's of no interest for this competition so I'll leave it for Wizzkid! Lol Ill side with Muamarra as he Won 2 starts back over 6f in very easy fashion of a mark of 85. He then raced over The minimum on his latest start. A distance he's never won over and appears to be too short. He has won 2 of his 3 starts at 6f and with Martin Harley back on board I feel he could go well at a price! :hope

  17. Re: BBOTD Thursday 12th of July Sorry billy did the trends on the wrong race. Try again 8/10 winners had run 1 - 3 times Out goes Joshua tree and red cadeaux 10/10 ran in last 50 days. Out go Harris tweed, modun, sea of heartbreak 9/10 ran in gr race LTO. Out goes Dandino 9/10 won a gr race. Out goes fiorente 9/10 won over 1m4f+. Previous winning course form is a plus if they have ran at Newmarket. Quest for peace was 2nd at Newmarket and jackal berry has never raced here. Jakkalberry 1pt win 13/2 stan James. 3.00 Newmarket

  18. Re: BBOTD - Wednesday 11th July 2012 Sorry billy. found it is a non runner. Ill side with heezagrey. Rated 71 in this and has previously won over course and distance of a mark of 76. Mark quinlan takes a handy 3lb off and is good value for his claim with a very respectable win and place rate. Heezagrey. 18.40 Worcester. 0.5pt e.way 14/1 bet 365. Thanks!

  19. Re: Key race ; July Cup Have it down to 2 IMO Bated breath. Soul Forget those never to won a gr race. Take out- dandy boy, hawkeyethenoo,Sirius prospect reply, genki (8 year old) Forget horses not placed LTO. except at royal ascot take out- elnawin, Hoof it 10/10 previous winners raced between 19 and 26 days- take out- after, fire Lilly, libranno, mayson, sepoy. Forget horses beaten more than 6L LTO including ascot- take out- strong suit, the Cheka, ortensia, power. 8/10 had between 1 and 4 runs that season. Take out krypton factor with 7 runs Forget 7 year olds. Sack hitchens Did have society rock in there but Irish breds are 1 from 48. Out he goes. Sorry its so messy and if I've missed any! Bowles I'm a big fan of your trends and I'm NOT stealing your thunder! That leaves Bated Breath 7/2 and soul 20/1. I think.?

  20. Re: BBOTD - Wednesday 11th July 2012 Found it. 4.15 Wexford 1pt win @ sp Im going to side with the unexposed 5y old mare given she receives nearly a stone from most of these in this beginners chase. Won her latest PTP over 3m on soft going by 27L and could improve on that given its only Her 6th career start and 1st start under rules. 60/1 betfair but no idea what price it will start.

  21. Re: bbotd monday Keys of Cyprus 9.20 ripon 20/1 bet 365 Won of a mark Of 76 over course and distance and runs of 66 tonight. I'll take a chance on the jockey who has placed in 4 of her last 5 starts and claims a handy 7lb. Still trying for my first winner!

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