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wellarmy

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About wellarmy

  • Birthday 10/02/1988

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  1. Re: William Hill World Championships > December 18th - January 4th John Henderson over 3.5 180s evens bet365 A nice price offered for Hendo to hit a few maximums tonight, as much as the Scotsman is an inconsistent player I'd say that his 180 scoring is the best aspect to his game because of his rocking rhythm when he hits the first 60 it gives him a good chance to follow up with the next 2. I think the game will be closer than some may think so there should be plenty of legs to get the 180s on the board and I'd be surprised if this line isn't covered.
  2. Re: Ladbrokes World Championships > Ante-Post Betting Adrian Lewis Outright 14/1 bet365 Looks like the time is right to get the cash on Jackpot to win his 3rd world title. He is a player that has shown inconsistent form throughout the year but he always finds his form at Ally Pally. He won in 2011 and 2012 and was beaten semi finalist last year and was unlucky to beaten in the quarter final v MVG in 2013. Last night against Chisnall he showed glimpses of what we all know he can do and in the previous tournament at Minehead in the UK open in March he was unstoppable on his way to the title. Another similar showing throughout this weekends tournament will see his World Championship odds tumble to around 8/1 so the I believe that the 14/1 on offer at the moment is outstanding value. Out of the other main candidates for World Championship glory I'd assess their chances as follows:- MVG - Went through a sticky patch in the last month or so and has been missing far too many doubles. Hard task winning the title 2 years on the trot. Taylor - I think he'll be desperate to win it and will end up putting too much pressure on himself leading to an early exit. Anderson - 2 months ago I would have said he'd of been bang in line to win but after his Grand Prix collapse, the missed doubles have crept back in to his game and he'll be punished if that trend continues. Wade - Has been playing fantastic in the last few months and has a really good chance to get his name on the title but psychologically it may be too much for him given how he collapsed when cruising the semi final 3 years ago against Lewis. Best outside chance would be Mervyn King for me. He has been there or thereabouts in most of the tv tournaments this year and even when he has not played well he has fallen over the line. At 66/1 he is good each way value.
  3. Re: Grand Slam of Darts - 8-16 Nov Brendan Dolan to win Group F 9/2 Boylesports The Irishman may be the outsider to be top of the table in a group consisting of Smith, Whitlock and Wright but I believe that Dolan has a very good chance of making it through to the last 16 and winning the group. He has been in fine form in recent tv tournaments and he took MVG to a last leg decider in the European Championship last month and was beat by the eventual winner in James Wade in the Masters last week. I've never rated Dolan that highly in the last few years but he has increased the pace of his throw slightly and this seems to have helped him find a more consistent rhythm along with a new found confidence. Of his opponents he has played Smith on 5 occasions winning easily each time and although he doesn't have a better head to head record against the Wizard or Snakebite he does seem to be on the up whilst the aforementioned appear to be on the decline therefore the 9/2 price could be very nice come the close of play in the group stages.
  4. Re: European Championship 24-26 Oct Klaasen v King - Over 7.5 180s 11/10 skybet The 180s have being flying in at Euros and I don't see why that will change this afternoon. Klaasen hit 10 180s in his win over Caven yesterday afternoon and looked in excellent form. King is a quick player along with the Dutchman therefore I do not see either player losing their rhythm in what should be a close match. King only hit 4 maximums against Ronny Huybrechts last night but the Belgian is a slow player and the pace of the game today will suit both players. Van Gerwen v Chisnall - Over 10.5 180s 5/6 bet365 Dave Chisnall usually pushes MVG close when they meet each other and I don't seeing this being too different this afternoon. MVG hit 11 180s in his victory over the unlucky Dolan last night but missed a lot of doubles in the process which should give Chizzy plenty of chances to win legs and give a better opportunity of more 180s being hit. Chisnall had 7 maximums in his win over White and, along with the game above, the pace should suit both players bringing out the best in each other with plenty of high scores.
  5. Re: Scottish Football > Saturday August 9th 5/6 is pretty good value. In our 2 European games we drew them both 2-2 in 90 minutes before going out in extra time against Stjarnan, a semi-professional, of Iceland. We've came out the blocks very well early on in these games but tend to struggle the longer a game goes on which was a common trait of last season. 2-0 up against St Mirren, Hibs and Celtic and end up 3-2, 3-3 and 3-3 in these games in 2014 without winning any of them. The older heads in the team have came back from preseason looking unfit and we've replaced a poor goalkeeper with another poor goalkeeper in Twardzik who is far too small to be successful in my opinion. There are injury concerns ahead of Saturday and our main playmaker, Vigurs, is out suspended. I think we'll be good enough to score but very much doubt we're capable of keeping a clean sheet. St Mirren tend to cause us problems at Fir Park and should get a lift with the new boss in charge. St Mirren at 4/1 with Boylesports is huge just to win. Both teams to score at 4/5 with 32RED looks appealing too.
  6. Re: Europa League Second Qual Round 2nd Leg - Tues 22 July to Thurs 24 July Motherwell to beat Stjarnan 9/5 Coral Although the first leg finished 2-2 on Thursday night at Fir Park I was surprised to see Motherwell as outsiders for the return leg in Iceland. Motherwell were very comfortable at 2-0 and looked like sewing up the tie before the second leg when 2-0 up early on last week. However a penalty for the visitors prior to half time gave them the confidence to improve in the second half and snatch a draw at the death from the penalty spot. Stjarnan are well into their season and this was Motherwell's first competitive game of the season last week so I'd expect an improved and more professional performance from Motherwell as they were a bit off the pace in the second half last week. I'd expect Stuart McCall to have the team fully focused for this game as it is crucial in terms of finances to qualify for the next round. Stjarnan are a semi professional team and I feel that Motherwell should have enough class to get over the line.
  7. Re: Premier League - Week 1 Robert Thornton to beat Dave Chisnall 7/5 betway Quite surprised to see The Thorn odds against in this match against Premier League debutant Dave Chisnall. Some may be asking why Chizzy is in the ten man line up this year but he had a very good 2013 up until his 6-0 defeat to Phil Taylor in the World Grand Prix in Dublin in October. Ever since then he seems to have been devoid of confidence, missing match darts in the first round of the World Championship against John Henderson and performing below par in other tournaments such as the Grand Slam in November. Tomorrow night will be a new experience for him but I don't think playing in the party atmosphere of the Premier League will suit him. On a few occasions he has stepped away from the board when on a double for the crowd to quieten down and this could work against Chizzy. This is Thorntons second year in the PL and if he can produce his normal steady game he should have too much for the new boy. Wes Newton to beat Peter Wright 2/1 various I like the look of Newton in the repeat of the quarter final clash at the World Championships which went to a deciding set with Snakebite prevailing. In the World Championships Wright tended to start his matches slowly going behind against Newton, MVG, Smith and Laursen in the early stages of theses matches. With it being a best of 12 encounter tomorrow night it doesn't give Wright much time to find his rhythm and Newton can take advantage of this and punish him early on. At the German Darts Championship at the weekend Wright appeared to have changed his darts setup again and this didn't help when averaging 81 in defeat to Wayne Jones. Similar to the match above Newton has the advantage of playing in the PL last year whereas this is Wrights debut and it could take a few weeks for him to get in his stride.
  8. Re: Grand Slam of Darts - 9-17 Nov Bet365 have a 9 dart finish in the Taylor Lewis game as 22/1 at the moment. Tremendous price considering the way that Lewis is playing at the moment and when these 2 meet it normally brings out the best in Taylor so definitely worth a small punt if you can get on at 22s.
  9. Re: Grand Slam of Darts - 9-17 Nov Phil Taylor (-6.5 legs) to beat James Wade 8/11 bet365 There's only one winner in this match tonight but by just how much will it be? Taylor destroyed a pathetic Wade 10-1 2 weeks ago in Edinburgh and won handsomely in the World Grand Prix 5-1 (in sets) last month. In both of these tournaments Wade had been playing well until he encountered Taylor in the semi finals and then went onto put in well below par performances. To cover the line tonight Taylor has to win 16-9 or better which I believe to be quite a kind line by the bookies. If Taylor gets off to a storming start we could see Wade giving up early on and struggle to win a handful of legs. Taylor has averaged over 100 all tournament whereas Wade has averaged 92,94,94 and 97 in his 4 games. If the averages go the same way tonight there should be more than 6 legs between the 2 as it is hard to see Wade taking out the pressure shots against Taylor. Agree with the posts above with regards to the overs in the 180s market in the Lewis Huybrechts game. Both players are playing lovely darts at the moment and should feed off each other like they did in Edinburgh 2 weeks ago in a thrilling contest. It is hard to see the game not going over 26 legs so there should be ample time for plenty of 180s to be hit. In addition it would be advisable for anyone thinking of having a punt on Huybrechts for the World Championship next month to get on him early as I can only see the price drop. At 40/1 with a few bookmakers he looks a very good value each way bet. He's playing better than Van Gerwen at the moment in my opinion. MVG is 5/1 and Huybrechts 40/1, with a good performance tonight I am sure we'll see the odds tumble again.
  10. Re: Communities League Cup > Tuesday October 29th St Johnstone to beat Morton 8/11 StanJames This game is on Wednesday night and although Morton saw off Celtic last round after extra time they are rooted to the bottom of the Scottish Championship having not won in their last 10 league games. St Johnstone beat the league leaders Hamilton Accies comfortably in the last round away from home and I'd expect them to proceed with ease again. They are good side and have a lot of quality going forward that should be far too strong for Morton. Stevie May has been impressive this term having spent time out on loan to the lower leagues the last 2 seasons but he's taking his goal scoring form into the SPFL and this game should be right up his street. Morton have lost 5 of their last 6 and were hammered 5-1 by fellow strugglers Cowdenbeath last week. I'd expect the price on St Johnstone to fall before Wednesday so the 8/11 on offer at the moment is good value.
  11. The World Grand Prix begins tomorrow night in Dublin with the double in double out format making it a bit different from the usual proceedings. Last year saw Michael Van Gerwen making his mark in the PDC by winning his first "major" against Mervyn King in a controversial final. Since 2005 only Taylor and Wade had won the tournament prior to last year and I see no reason as to why a top 4 player in the world won't win this time around. Adrian Lewis to win 8/1 (each way) Boylesports The one that I like to come through this tournament is Adrian Lewis. The 2 time World Champion has copped a lot of flak in the past couple of years for being poor in the tournaments outwith the world championships, however in the past few months he has shown more than enough to suggest that his desire and passion for the game is still there. He won the PDC pro tour tournament yesterday in Dublin beating Brendan Dolan, who he plays in the first round, and although he only made it to the last 32 today he'll be more than happy with his weekends work. Yesterdays result indicates he is coming into the event in good form and he should be full of confidence going into his first round game on Tuesday night against the home favourite. Jackpot's last few tv appearances have been impressive including winning the European Championship in Germany and finishing runner up to Phil Taylor in the World Matchplay at Blackpool at the end of July. I don't think there is much between him and MVG so the 8/1 on offer for Lewis is without doubt the value bet.
  12. Re: Scottish Football - 23rd & 24th August Aberdeen to beat Hearts 5/4 ladbrokes Like the look of Aberdeen tomorrow at Tynecastle. The Dons have made a good start to the season with 2 wins out of 3 winning impressively against Kilmarnock at Pittodrie, more than the scoreline suggested, and beating Motherwell 3-1 at Fir Park. Their defeat came last week against Celtic with goalkeeper Langfield being sent off at 0-0. Hearts have won, lost and drawn so far into the season but I feel their lack of experience can be exposed against an Aberdeen side who are very threatening going forward with McGinn and Hayes. The addition of Flood to midfield looks a good move and they seem to be quite strong at the back. Hearts on the other hand have very little experience and the youngsters can't be expected to put in the kind of performance they showed against Hearts 2 weeks ago. There will be a lot of ups and downs for them this season and I think Aberdeen will have too much quality in the final third for Hearts to handle.
  13. Re: Scottish Football > 10th - 11th August With regards to the above post Motherwell play in Russia in the 2nd leg of our Europa League tie against Kuban Krasnodar on Thursday. The Plane doesn't arrive back in Scotland until 6am Friday so we will probably see a tired side on Sunday similar to yesterdays performance v Hibs. There's talk of McCall leaving a few first team players in Scotland this week as we are basically out of Europe which would be good for Sunday. Aberdeen look to be much improved from last season and should of won by more than one on Saturday going by reports/highlights. They will bring a big support down on Sunday and they've knocked us out the Scottish Cup the last 2 seasons at Fir Park. I would say Aberdeen look big at 2/1 at the moment and would expect the odds to come in over the week.
  14. Re: World Matchplay - 20-28 July Phil Taylor -3.5 legs to beat Adrian Lewis 10/11 bet365 Last night we witnessed a very impressive display from Adrian Lewis in defeating Michael Van Gerwen averaging 102 and having a 40% checkout success rate in the process. I would expect tonight to be different though now that he is playing Taylor who is a lot slower than MVG. Lewis has averaged 87,97 and 96 against Huybrechts, Dolan and Hamilton respectively who all have similar throwing speeds to Taylor. Taylor however has averaged 103,103,104 and 108 in his matches against Kellett, Jenkins, Pipe and Wade. If Lewis averages under 100 tonight it is hard to see him push Taylor to the very end in this length of match. In the 2011 Grand Slam the pair met in the semi finals with Taylor winning 16-9 with Lewis putting on a very impressive display in the process including a perfect 10 darter (one bounce out). It is no coincidence that Taylor has won the last 5 matchplay titles at Blackpool and he should have enough in hand tonight to see Lewis off by more than 4 legs.
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