KavkaZ
-
Posts
1,347 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by KavkaZ
-
-
Re: Ukraine 2014-2015 27.07.2014 Hello, today first forecast we made on the championship of Ukraine. Recall the 2013/14 season 75 picks +240 profit +63% yield Hoverla - Karpaty If you ask me to recommend you a iron stake on Sunday, then I will answer immediately, put on Karpaty Asian Handicap -0,25. Hoverla this summer has lost 80% of its primary structure. The team did not become stronger in this offseason. And, apparently, at the beginning of the Premier League this team would fail. Due to financial problems left more than half of the most important players. If you take part of the spring season, the optimal composition of Hoverla only three or four guys. Designed to replace the departed mostly young, who just will need the support of experienced players, which left very few. The leader's role will take the same Maksim Shatskikh, who last season was held in the shadow of his teammates. Now the importance of veteran increases significantly. In general, Hoverla very bad. Coach frankly do not know how the team will play in the championship. Reason for leaving many artists lies primarily in the inability of the owner of the team to ensure a stable financial future. Future very foggy. Karpaty have every chance to beat them today. First, the team go to Uzhgorod (Lviv and Uzhgodskaya areas are in the western part of Ukraine). So Karpaty provided significant support to the stadium. Secondly, Karpaty spent this summer is much quieter. Balanced team preparing for the new season. Does not have the problems like Goverla. You know, the situation in Goverla reminds me of a situation in which Karpaty were at the beginning of last season. Then the team left the amount of the principal performers in Premier, well made. It seemed that one of the main contenders for relegation. But just then the club relied on professional head coach, which was a drop of time to put together a team of young guys. Relevant conclusions coach did after each game, and by the middle of the season and Karpaty began to show a cool football. Ultimately, coach ensured Karpaty in the midd table. Although initially Lviv no hope aroused. Played very bad. Karpaty, of course, not a grand Ukrainian football, but a team that must win Goverla. Karpaty fit for the new season in a good mood.Coach Sevidov Alexander remained in place. So, wait for the previous fit , which clearly will not fight for survival, but for, the top eight. In this situation, I think it would be logical to put against Goverla. The team lost 80% of the principal players and would almost certainly be considered a top contender for relegation (of course along with Olympique Donetsk). Karpaty -0.25 AH @ 1.77 188Bet ------------------------------------------------------------- Dinamo Kiev - Vorskla Poltava Oleg Meydanovych Babayev was a Ukrainian politician and an owner of two professional football clubs in the Poltava Oblast. In 2010, he was elected Mayor of Kremenchuk. Babayev was shot dead on July 26, 2014. According to the Ukrainian Interior Ministry, he was killed in his car in front of his house when an unidentified person fired three shots from a gun with a silencer from another car. What's the conection with the match Dinamo Kiev - Vorskla Potlava? That Oleg Babayev was also president of Vorskla. Not in the sense of head, but in terms of the sponsor, which included paying salaries of team of his own pocket. Vorskla, what will happen next - is unknown. This uncertainty be passed players, because now they do not know what will happen next - whether the money paid, would not delay, etc. In short, Vorskla players simply do not know what lies ahead, and this situation does not add motivation. In general, a good team Vorskla Poltava, talented players, coach last season did a good job. But this event greatly changes the point. In addition, Dinamo will play their home games in their own stadium, than so far in Ukraine can boast not all teams. The composition of Kiev certainly at times better, so need only motivation. And will be with Kiev, and probably it will be a problem for Vorskla Poltava. Last season, Dinamo in 7 of the 15 home games won 2 goals or larger, but if we ignore the matches against Shakhtar and Dnipro, then we have 7 out of 13, which is more than half. I believe Dinamo Kiev win with minimum 2 goals difference. Dinamo (- 1.5 ) AH @ 2.05 188Bet
-
Re: Serie B > Tuesday May 13th Brescia - Modena Today will be played the 39th round in the Italian Serie B (2nd largest division in Italy). Consider one of the matches in which Brescia (penultimate 15th place with 50 points) in their stadium will host Modena (6th place with 56 points). Match is very important for both clubs , as each of the clubs carry out its tasks in season. Play total more than 2.5 goals in this match. Full- fights between the clubs are not impressive - only 7 of the last 15 effectively breaks the total 2.5 goals, the match 1st round completed minimum Brescia 1-0 away win. But let's not panic and run , look at the facts. So once say that Brescia for four rounds before the end is 7 points off the play-out zone , so relax club in any case not. In turn, the playoff zone Modena closes (6th place), but , for example, the gap between 11th place is only 3 points. As you can see , the density in the standings. And what to say if Brescia and Modena shares in the standings just six points, but between teams 8 other teams (!). Important for us to learn from all this that the clubs are motivated for this game and will play to win. Now look at the numbers. Clubs are sufficiently productive teams in Serie B. So , Brescia this season in 38 games scored 49 goals (average 1.29 goals per game) and conceded 50 goals (average 1.32 goals per game) , and total over 2.5 goals played 19 of 38 matches. With regard to Modena , the club in 38 games scored 61 goals (average 1.61 goals per game) and missed 41 (average 1.08 goals per game) , and total over 2.5 goals also played 19 of 38 games. But it is important to note that much of Brescia effective play on home ground: 19 games , goal difference 28-31 , on the total over 2.5 goals played last 3 matched in a row ; Modena effective play on the road: 19 games , goal difference 21-25 , in the last 5 matches in a row on the road took place total over 3.5 goals (!). As for personnel losses , then for Brescia today do not take part in the match defenders Zambelli (27 games , 1 goal), Di Cesare (25 games , 3 goals) and Mori (1 game) , midfielders Lasik (10 games), Sodinha (24 games, 3 goals) , and forwards Caracciolo (32 games, 18 goals) and Mitrovic (7 games, 1 goal). Do not play Modena striker Bruno (7 games) , midfielder Dalla Bona (15 games ) and defenders Thiago (27 games , 1 goal), Potenza (15 games). Highlight gives the fact that Modena from 1 May 2007 can not beat Brescia , since it was played between the clubs 11 matches in which Modena lost 8 matches that will once again whip guests. Put in today's match on the total over 2.5 goals. Over 2,5 @ 2.04 Sbobet
-
Re: May 12 - May 18 Milos Raonic vs Simone Bolelli Bring you the forecast for the second-round match at the tournament in Rome , Canadian Milos Raonic (? 10, 23 years) and the Italian Simone Bolelli (? 162, 28 years ). If you watch long tennis , it must be remembered that once Bolelli was decent tennis player who once clung to the top 50. But is not very fine day in his health interfered injury and then his speech became unstable and very low rating. But the talent is still here. This year, Simone has won three tournament series "Challenger" , 2 of them in a row. In the first round of Rome had pretty sweat against compatriot Travaglia , who had a fantastic qualification. But whatever it was , and the second round of tennis deservedly broke through. In the second round from the beginning it was waiting for Milos Raonic , who, missed the initial stage of the competition. And for the Canadian is not an advantage. Indeed, in light of what the charge was Simone after his victory , serving today must be very difficult. Bolelli - tenacious, and that plays before the home crowd , but Rao will have to rely on the pitch and not the fact that servce it will help him. In Rome cover clearly slower than in Oeiras or even Madrid, and this fact is also not in his favor. Bolelli win in two sets. Estimated score 0:2 (4:6, 6:7) Simone Bolelli +3.5 games @ 2.04 Sbobet 8/10 Category: Tennis - ATP 10 picks +4 profit uds +15% yield Win-Loss-Void: 6-2-2 Win rate: 75% Stake avg: 3.1 Odd avg: 2.02 Staked: 26 Returned: 29.82 ------------------------------------ Category: Tennis - WTA 10 picks +38 profit uds +48% yield Win-Loss-Void: 8-2-0 Win rate: 80% Stake avg: 8.0 Odd avg: 1.88 Staked: 80 Returned: 118.45
-
Re: Ligue 2 > Tuesday May 13th I think a draw is likely, both happy and can start celebrating different goals they've reached! 2-2 @ 19.0 Betway 7/10 3-3 @ 150.0 Betway 2/10 4-4 @ 400.0 Unibet 1/10
-
Re: Ukraine > Premier League > 2013/14
0-1 King :cowCategory: Football - Ukraine 37 picks +222 units profit +102% yield Win-Loss-Void: 19-18-0 Stake avg: 5.9 Odd avg : 5.38 Staked: 218 Returned: 440.07 Met. Zaporozhye - Vorskla Poltava I am convinced that for such price Vorskla win must take necessary and not even think about. Explain what was happening. Vorskla @ 2.15 Sportingbet 8u -
Re: Ukraine > Premier League > 2013/14 Category: Football - Ukraine 37 picks +222 units profit +102% yield Win-Loss-Void: 19-18-0 Stake avg: 5.9 Odd avg : 5.38 Staked: 218 Returned: 440.07 Met. Zaporozhye - Vorskla Poltava I am convinced that for such price Vorskla win must take necessary and not even think about. Explain what was happening. The main argument is, of course , motivation, which in Vorskla actually like order more. Poltavites among all applicants for places in the Europa League (in fact, there was only six competitive lines since 5 place for sure and will remain for Chernomorets) , the team is now in 8th place , and the coveted line nothing - 2 points. So Vorskla only need a victory , and any other result would be considered a failure. Before the final segment of the Ukrainian championship Vorskla lucky twice to play against outsiders: first reception Tavria , then a visit to Metallurg. What could prevent the team claiming the EL does not beat last championship team in his field ? It seems elementary underestimation. Did you know that the team lost points with the underdogs it is even good for the bet, because to fight with Metallurg, Vorskla clearly will be better prepared. It turns out that this week - perhaps the main season for Vorskla. The second misfire , especially against the outsider gives up all ambitions of the club at the moment. Victory realistic chance to take three points in the remainder of the calendar as in the last two rounds have to play with Dnepr and Metalist (!). Hardly can pick up something. In the last round Metalurg team drew 2-2 with Carpathians , the Cossacks had twice the loss during the fight. But , no need to sprinkle ashes , because Metallurg poorly played. In short , does not see me that Metallurg was playing at least as something better. In 9 games in 2014 , 7 matches were lost , all without scoring. I do not see due to what the team will be able to catch hold of the points in the match against Vorskla motivated. Last season Vorskla won the Cossacks 4-0. I will not insist on this account , already three points green and white just have to take. Vorskla @ 2.15 Sportingbet 8u
-
Re: Ukraine > Premier League > 2013/14
1/1 8-5 Corners03.05.2014 Shakhtar Donetsk - Mariupol 2/1 Half Time / Full Time @ 34.0 Sportingbet - 2u Asian Total - Over 10.5 Corners @ 1.90 Bet365 - main bet 7u -
Re: Ukraine > Premier League > 2013/14 03.05.2014 Shakhtar Donetsk - Mariupol The main thing in this pair, in my opinion, not even the fact that Shakhtar are incredibly motivated to become the champion of Ukraine. And then , who will confront the team. Ilyich confident middle spot in table. But Ilichevets - "farm club" of Shakhtar. And what does it mean? This means that Shakhtar Ilichevets and , in fact, the team shortstop. Shakhtar annually gives all the most talented youth in Mariupol , so that gain experience. And when the time takes the finished material , well, or even a year gives time to play in the great farm club. Even teamwork philosophy of head coach Nikolai Pavlov meets Shakhtar's because Ilichevets , in fact, the only club in the League , which plays entirely youth. And I must say the team is playing somewhere , though fragile, but its rightful place in the 9th spot. By the way, the team owner (Illyichevets) Vladimir Boiko is a fan of Shakhtar. In short , simple words Illyichevets to Shakhtar, in fact, considered companionship. Not that would be a farm club Shakhtar bowled dog, just a team knows his worth. Task is often elementary lose, well, or if you want to call it simply does not interfere with Shakhtar to play his football. Once Dnepr began to lose points , anyone who saw the calendar Shakhtar in the remaining games at once said that only a miracle will not dial 9 of 9 points. Who left to play Shakhtar in the last 3 games ? Ilichevets home , on the road Zorya, again home match against Volyn. The first two commands are from Donbass zone... So that about any intransigence Donetsk regional derby matches speech can not go. In principle , even in equal fight rivals Shakhtar chances simply fade , and then the real fight for the championship in the most important representative of the Donbas region. And then do not assume that a minimum of 2 Miners fight in his pocket, so purely because of geography. Well Volyn no longer alive, actually can not normally play , pockets - streak , and hardly motivation. 2/1 for the sake of spectacle. Of course... You will want more compelling argument, right? Eloquent statistics. 19.10.2013 16:00 Mariupol - Shakhtar 1-3 (1-0) ,, owngoal Shakhtar 1-0, then after break 2 penalties awarded and miners took it in a very speedy way. Not enough, last year in Donetsk, 19.10.2012 19:00 Shakhtar - Mariupol 2-1 (0-1). WHo can blame those two sides for the show? Steep statistics. Or not? Talked about "motivation" game with miners. And now let's talk about the real problems of Mariupol team. The fact that will miss Kulach , Dovgiy and Targamazde. The first two played almost all of matches of team, and the last is a very interesting player , but he still , something is not set in Mariupol. Given all this , I think is worth playing Half Time / Full Time. My predictions: First Match 2-19 Corners. Shakhtar avg. 12 corners (wins!) in the last 3 home games, they got a total of 35 corners and opponents painted only 7. Mariupol inflicted 4 to Dinamo and the same amount to Dnepr, both away matches, can see them getting 2-3 today and Shakhtar making the normal 9-10. 2/1 Half Time / Full Time @ 34.0 Sportingbet - 2u Asian Total - Over 10.5 Corners @ 1.90 Bet365 - main bet 7u
-
Re: Ukraine > Premier League > 2013/14
0-203.05.2014 Sevastopol - Zorya Category: Football - Ukraine 34 picks +212 units profit +105% yield Win-Loss-Void: 17-17-0 Stake avg: 5.9 Odd avg : 5.3 Staked: 201 Returned: 412.53 I propose here to put guests with a handicap 0. I think that there is unlikely victory Sevastopol. After a long break Sevastopol began as something very bad. First, they lost 3-0 Dnepr , and then even Karpaty 2-0. They did not think about the championship and want to play Russian championshio , so playing without any motivation , but after two games, they seem to have gathered and scored 10 points from a possible 15 , a good result for the team 10th place. This number of points they scored due to the fact that they became closer to play defense (of the 5 games they missed only one). So to say that they have no motivation and just see off season it is a lie , they will come out and will fight , but win ? I think not. To oppose them will be well organized team Zorya, which is fighting for sixth place, giving the right to participate in the qualification Europa League. I think Zorya will be here to play to win , because the next two games they will take with Shakhtar and Dynamo , while rivals for the sixth calendar so they will be easier opponents need three points in this match. In the second I think Sevas could not develop the game so well in defense, they already do not miss three games , and a series of clean sheets was not there, they missed all but three games so here I think this Zorya prick them 2 goals. Third in Sevas losses. Just do not play Brazilian Farley (very technical and creative player) probably still recovered midfielder Karnoza (from it also very much depends on creativity) say probably because the coach did not want to call Sevas names of injured players. Hosts favorites because of their good form, but look who they played a more or less good opponents they won only Vorsky 1-0 and lost 3-0 Methadone , and won against dead Zaporozhye well and rolled up draw with Mariupol. Good odds on Zorya with 0 , it is fighting for Europa train and need 3 points, because then the final matched with Shakhtar and Dynamo , and quite long for Sevas dry series of three matches. Zorya (0) at 1.78 Marathonbet -
Re: Ukraine > Premier League > 2013/14 03.05.2014 Sevastopol - Zorya Category: Football - Ukraine 34 picks +212 units profit +105% yield Win-Loss-Void: 17-17-0 Stake avg: 5.9 Odd avg : 5.3 Staked: 201 Returned: 412.53 I propose here to put guests with a handicap 0. I think that there is unlikely victory Sevastopol. After a long break Sevastopol began as something very bad. First, they lost 3-0 Dnepr , and then even Karpaty 2-0. They did not think about the championship and want to play Russian championshio , so playing without any motivation , but after two games, they seem to have gathered and scored 10 points from a possible 15 , a good result for the team 10th place. This number of points they scored due to the fact that they became closer to play defense (of the 5 games they missed only one). So to say that they have no motivation and just see off season it is a lie , they will come out and will fight , but win ? I think not. To oppose them will be well organized team Zorya, which is fighting for sixth place, giving the right to participate in the qualification Europa League. I think Zorya will be here to play to win , because the next two games they will take with Shakhtar and Dynamo , while rivals for the sixth calendar so they will be easier opponents need three points in this match. In the second I think Sevas could not develop the game so well in defense, they already do not miss three games , and a series of clean sheets was not there, they missed all but three games so here I think this Zorya prick them 2 goals. Third in Sevas losses. Just do not play Brazilian Farley (very technical and creative player) probably still recovered midfielder Karnoza (from it also very much depends on creativity) say probably because the coach did not want to call Sevas names of injured players. Hosts favorites because of their good form, but look who they played a more or less good opponents they won only Vorsky 1-0 and lost 3-0 Methadone , and won against dead Zaporozhye well and rolled up draw with Mariupol. Good odds on Zorya with 0 , it is fighting for Europa train and need 3 points, because then the final matched with Shakhtar and Dynamo , and quite long for Sevas dry series of three matches. Zorya (0) at 1.78 Marathonbet
-
Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday May 1st Juventus vs Benfica Juventus stats at home: 10.04.2014 22:05 Juve - Lyon 7-0 13.03.2014 23:05 Juve - Fiorentina 2-2 20.02.2014 20:00 Juve - Trabzonspor 3-3 27.11.2013 21:45 Juve - Copenhaga 4-0 05.11.2013 21:45 Juve - Real Madrid 1-1 02.10.2013 21:45 Juve - GSaray 3-0 Benfica stats away: 03.04.2014 22:05 AZ - Benfica 6-1 13.03.2014 23:05 Tottenham - Benfica 7-4 27.11.2013 21:45 Anderlecht - Benfica 7-0 05.11.2013 21:45 Olympiakos - Benfica 3-0 02.10.2013 21:45 PSG - Benfica 1-1 Definetly, looking at Juventus, they were caught offside 20 times in 6 games. But, our selection mainly on Benfica side, a very good one who play on the offside most of time, been watching them in the past 2-3 years, and most of time the opponents wins more offsides. 24.04.2014 22:05 Benfica 2 - 1 Juventus 0-6 offsides Juventus will try to gain control of the ball in which Benfica will feel comfortable to give possesion and trying to act on the counter. Maybe the best bet for this encounter. High stake! I believe it is too short the line bookies set for this second leg. Total Over 4.5 offsides at 1.75 Unibet 10u ------------- I think a very disproportionate share for scoring goal Arturo Vida, he is a midfielder who already has 20 goals this season. Besides this and what gives it much more value to the bet is pulling his team penalties and in these games and the stakes can whistle one penalty Mr. referee without any problem. A good opportunity to enter with Arturo anytime goalscorer, seeing Juve estimated to score 2 goals and that may well be the one of the players who scores. I think Vidal is the engine of this Juve , not only defending and biting in midfield, but gets in attack too, is the player with the most goals in European competition, in the first leg he was not and his absence was noticed, I hope now he makes the difference. Goalscorer anytime / Vidal (Juve) at 5.0 Interwetten 4u Tevez is always there. That is fine, fine now, and has even broken that annoying spell that made him go zero goals,in European competition since 2009. One of the reasons for the poor display Manchester City had in Europe. Tevez scored in Lisbon and has been so valuable for his team. Carlitos is the man whom cling the Bianconeri, and opponents to overturn the result when the match goes hard. Goalscorer anytime / Tevez (Juve) at 2.3 Interwetten 3u -------- Let's get to the card market, can see central defender Luisao (Benfica) getting one, he already had one designed for the first leg but the referee forgived his mistake. Llorente play today and that will make Luisao have a major aerial battle. Luisao hits with elbows for the plays, sometimes gets late. In my opinion is a player who can get card very easily and for that price have to try it. Luisao (Benfica) get a card at 4.0 Unibet 4u
-
Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday May 1st Category: Football - Europa League 28 picks +53 units profit +37% yield Win-Loss-Void: 17-11-0 Win rate: 61% Stake avg.: 5.1 Odd avg.: 3.55 Staked: 144 Returned: 196.57 Valencia vs Sevilla In today's match Valencia seek a stunning comeback, the fans the team is united despite the bad league tournament due to the great illusion that generated the Europa League. After the defeat in the previous round against Basel , plotted to overturn a 0-3 and they got it , and now can rely on to repeat. Plus after unfair decisions against them by referee in Pizjuan (0-2) where Sevilla scored a goal from offside and showed a non-existing yellow to Valecia star , Paco Alcacer , who will be suspended for today. Big blow. Valencia are a team that generates many corners , was seen on the big comeback against the Swiss where the beginning of the 2nd half had 9 corners. Today I expect a similar game, Valencia looking for bands and meanwhile one enclosed waiting Sevilla to get counterattacks with speedy Bacca. In the spanish league Valencia has an average of 7.1 Corners at home and in 12 of their 18 games took 7 or more corners. Valencia in the first leg pulled five cornes. And in the league match at home v Sevilla, 8. Individual Corners Valencia Over 6.5 at 1.85 WilliamHill 8u ---------- I see value in this bet and I will explain why. Honestly I think Valencia before his public is obligated to make a good game and I think they need more to attack, but have to analyse each team playing. Sevilla is specialist to counterattack with playmaker Rakitic and fast wings like Vitolo and up strikers Bacca and Gameiro. In contrast, Valencia are playing something else, like to have the ball, players that love to touch the ball most fo time and passing. Sevilla they fall back and try to counterattack without risking the tie. In the spanish league Valencia avg 53.18 % of possession and despite Sevilla go much higher on the table they are just 47.4 %. Not going far , if for example we look at the last games, we see the following: * Valencia 0-1 Atletico Madrid. 59.13 to 40.87% * Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Sevilla. 60.19 to 39.81% As we see, this pick would have been green on both sides. Valencia Total Possession %: Over 57.5 at 1.70 Marathonbet 8u ---------- I think this match tends to be hot, if Sevilla scores, wich I give some real chances, frustration will get higher and higher among Valencia players. I can see the line Over 5.5 at Bet365 too short. The referee is suitable for this kind of encounter, saw his stats and the last games went ok for this selection. One direct red counts as two yellows, this is perfect. For exemple can see Valencia's Pereira (right defender) booked, mainly because Valencia have to play only to attack and he might make some tactical fouls to cover Feghouli, who doesnt defend well on that side. 2.7 for a card Over 5.5 yellow cards at 1.85 Bet365 7u ------- Not much faith in here, but can see a bit of value. May Sevilla not getting too many corners or freekicks close the area for crossing, but Fazio is a real danger for a maybe distracted Valencia side, focused on attacks mainly. Unai Emery is a great coach, on this kind of actions, all balls fly to Fazio, search him, and we could notice it in the first match. Goalscorer anytime / Fazio (Valencia) at 13.0 Bet365 1u
-
Re: Chelsea v Atlético de Madrid > Wednesday April 30th Offering to play on the number of fouls made by Chelsea players, Over 13.5 pieces , believing that here bookmakers obviously got excited after yesterday's game. Yes, Bayern and Real Madrid for two yesterday broke the fouls only 20 times , however, as in 1st match. But opposition Chelsea and Atletico held entirely different manner. For example, in the 1st match for two clubs broke 32 times , with 18 fouls on the side of the players of Chelsea. As for Atletico important goal scored today , and for Chelsea is equally important not to miss today, as in the case of a missed goal Londoners have to score 2 goals. Think that this fact will not press today at Chelsea players , especially in the absence of the suspended players in midfield, Frank Lampard and Obi , plus do not forget about the injured Petr Cech and Terry - all these guys are the major players , without which Londoners have , oh, hard job today , the load is not only for defense but also for the whole team a tremendous fall , which would lead to fouls , especially when you play against great team technically equipped. Now look at the averages for teams in the UEFA Champions League. Chelsea makes an average of 15.45 fouls per game , and on the "Stamford Bridge" , the figure is 14.4 fouls per game. Well, Atletico average 15.55 times per game in away matches - 16 times per game. As you can see , these figures are well within the scope of our seelction. It remains only to add that today the match would not be an ordinary match , today clubs will fight for the final of UEFA Champions League , the chances before the match Chelsea and Atletico Madrid 50 to 50. In the role of judge for today's match was appointed Italian referee Nicola Rizzoli , which averages in the last 10 games under the flag of Champions League 248 fouls (average 24.8 fouls per game) , 48 yellows and 4 reds. As you can see , the judge is quite suitable for our tip , judges as team play 14 fouls in a football match - 1 foul for 6.5 minutes - seems to us that this is a semifinal match completely punctured the norm. We put on a total of 13.5 fouls on the part of the home team, Chelsea players. Overall total on fouls in the game do not play for the reason that stands in the offices at 29.5-31.5 Total fouls commited by Chelsea, Over 13.5 at 1.75 Unibet ---------------- I really think that Chelsea has many options, not just because of playing at home, with the pressure usually gets well , a real pressure cooker , and players notice it much because of the closeness of the stands to the field , also by experience that should be displayed in such games Chelsea players and their coach Mourinho. The match starts from 0-0 , in the first leg Chelsea accused of putting the bus , still Mourinho he did differently to other coaches who do as they continually came out to pressure , preventing the passes Atletico and making the shots too hasty. Another thing I would like to emphasize is that Ivanovic very important player not only fro how is defending , but as attacks with a powerful shot and additions in the centers and corners , bringing much danger from above, also for this match Chelsea have Etoo and Hazard , the second one very dangerous player able to unbalance any defender. I would like to look a little to Chelsea's statistics against top teams , not only comes from winning Liverpool at Anfield lately, and again in the second half showing how a team need to defend , as for those who did not see the match , Liverpool was continually attacking over the area , and finally did not scored any goal , but if we look at the remaining games , against Arsenal at Stamford Bridge 6-0 , against Spurs 4-0 , 1-0 against Everton , 1-0 against City , so we can see the level of defense Chelsea has, keeping clean sheets before one of the best attacks such as Liverpool and City. Clearly, this can be described as the end , and that playing all out , and the pressure is not the same , but I think that the more pressure the accused Atletico Madrid , as the illusion that it is safe greater , and therefore also nervousness , plus players who do not know what it is to be here and that anxiety can happen in some sections of the match, it is clear that Chelsea not defend as in the first leg, although I do not expect it to tip over on offense , and now with more quality people up like Etoo , Hazard, Oscar and company should have more scoring opportunities. Definitely exciting game to watch. 1-0 Chelsea to Qualify at 2.01 Sbobet --------------- Chelsea defender Ivanovic received yellow in the last 3 home games in each of them: Steaua, GSaray and PSG. He doesnt risk to be suspended for the final, in case Chelsea gets there. Branislav Ivanovic (Chelsea) get a card at 3.25 Unibet Atletico's midfielder Arda Turan, sometimes cannot hold his nerves, no problem to make a tactical foul. Arda Turan (Atl. Madrid) get a card at 3.3 Unibet
-
Re: FC Bayern München v Real Madrid > Tuesday April 29th Let's recapitulate most of the first match, 4W-1L gone! [ATTACH]5949[/ATTACH] 29.04.2014 BAYERN MUNCHEN vs REAL MADRID 5 Tips... Offsides. Bayern will try to gain control of the ball in which Real Madrid will feel comfortable to give possesion and trying to act on the counter. If Bayern gets overcome three quarters and we know how play teams of Guardiola, playing and playing in front of the opponent's area until someone pulls a mistake , and that usually does it at the limit of offside. Bayern accumulates 30 offsides in European competition , averaging a total of 3 per game. So let's try this bet as I believe that the opponent and the type of match is quite affordable to its fulfillment. High stake! How often will Bayern be caught offside? Pick: Over 2,5 at 1.8 Bwin 7u How often will Bayern be caught offside in the 1st half? Pick: Over 1,5 at 2.3 Bwin 6u How often will Bayern be caught offside in the 2nd half? Pick: Over 1,5 at 2.3 Bwin 6u and 2 more tips to come, in short time... The match referee Pedro Proenca from Portugal. Portuguese referee show a lot of cards in the Champions League. This season between all referees he is the most yellow card showing average 5 in this competition. In these 5 games has shown 24 yellow cards and one red card. Therefore average 4.80 cards per game, a high for what you used to see in the Champions League value. Madrid will come out in defense Carvajal, Ramos, Pepe and Coentrao , plus Xabi Alonso, Di Maria , Modric , Bale, CR7 and Benzema. On the right side Carvajal will have to defend Ribery and Alaba, two bullets that can do great damage to Madrid. Carvajal will have to defend well or even better than in the Bernabeu. In fact , in the first leg , Carvajal had a fe actions against Ribery , but Webb refused to show him the card. If this same situation Proenca had lived , he would have painted with yellow card without hesitation. But do not speak of a single action throughout the game from Carvajal , otherwise than in the way he had more than 3 controversial actions where the referee should have booked him. Today we have a meeting where Bayern attack more aggressive and therefore , displaying that Ribery will attempt to overwhelm Carvajal on his band will play to the limit to stop it , I hope do not disappoint us referee Proenca and shows the yellow card. Will Daniel Carvajal (RM) get a card? Yes at 2.7 Unibet 7u Real Madrid can get a counterattack launched by Bale, Ronaldo, Di Maria or Benzema and will be seen with genuine fear by Pep Guardiola after what he received in the first leg at Bernabeu. There in Madrid, Bayern did not stop counters virtually without making foul , which meant that Madrid could finish most of them , being several times near the goal (!) Today I think the slogan is clear: stop any sign of counter from Real Madrid to avoid danger whenever can do away from the area. With a presumably advanced bavarian defense team turned to the comeback, the core will be key to curb these kickbacks. So I think the chances that there are cards in the defense of Bayern Munich are very, very high. Remember that none from defense of Bayern might lose the final, that is, everyone can see a card with relative ease ahead of the hypothetical end in Lisbon. Finally and obviously the player, Dante. The Brazilian has seen 3 yellow cards in the Champions League , which means that it has already lost a match disqualified : it was the first leg against Manchester United. In the Champions League has played 8 games and has 3 important match at the Allianz Arena (City, Arsenal and Manchester United) have seen card in 2 (vs Manchester City and Arsenal). The other card saw in Moscow against CSKA. Therefore , it seems a high rate card considering the amount of games played and the competition that it has. Today will not be worried about the final because he is not warned by what , as I said above, the probability that a card display to Dante is high. Will Dante (Bayern) get a card? Yes at 4.2 Unibet 5u Good Luck! FORZA BARÇA
-
Re: Ukraine > Premier League > 2013/14
1-2 (69' - 11' ; 12')28.04.2014 Volyn - Chernomorets Odessa Category: Football - Ukraine 24 picks +188 units profit +127% yield Win-Loss-Void: 12-12-0 Stake avg: 6.2 Odd avg : 4.78 Staked: 148 Returned: 335.52 The line already significantly bent towards Chernomorets. Motivation guests here certainly need points because club fighting for a ticket to the Europa League , where clearly enjoyed playing this season. Odessa can get there either through the Cup of Ukraine , knocking Dynamo Kiev in the semifinals , either through the championship. Last option seems most appropriate, since now the team is the fifth line , which gives the right to play in the EL. However, there is a strong likelihood that the sixth position will be able to break into this competition. Chernomorets many competitors , because except Metallurg Donetsk, Vorskla Poltava , there is also Zorya Lugansk , which suddenly began to collect points. Calendars difficult for all and include a number of games with the giants , so unmotivated matches against teams acquire special weight. Ahead of the game with Chernomorets stands Metalist, who wants to throw off the pedestal Dynamo Kiev and Ukraine cup tie , so that today need to take points to secure a lead over the competition in front of a possible loss of points. Volyn quite ready now to provide them , as plays lately relaxed. Perhaps blame problems with the composition. But most likely a lack of motivation does not allow really tune in to the game. The last four games Volyn lost all motivated teams. Volyn nothing, because fly to second club just is not threatened, and some local problems also not particularly care about the club. So we can pretty safely take guests , especially for such a good price. Odessa @ 2.25 Marathonbet -
Re: Ukraine > Premier League > 2013/14 28.04.2014 Volyn - Chernomorets Odessa Category: Football - Ukraine 24 picks +188 units profit +127% yield Win-Loss-Void: 12-12-0 Stake avg: 6.2 Odd avg : 4.78 Staked: 148 Returned: 335.52 The line already significantly bent towards Chernomorets. Motivation guests here certainly need points because club fighting for a ticket to the Europa League , where clearly enjoyed playing this season. Odessa can get there either through the Cup of Ukraine , knocking Dynamo Kiev in the semifinals , either through the championship. Last option seems most appropriate, since now the team is the fifth line , which gives the right to play in the EL. However, there is a strong likelihood that the sixth position will be able to break into this competition. Chernomorets many competitors , because except Metallurg Donetsk, Vorskla Poltava , there is also Zorya Lugansk , which suddenly began to collect points. Calendars difficult for all and include a number of games with the giants , so unmotivated matches against teams acquire special weight. Ahead of the game with Chernomorets stands Metalist, who wants to throw off the pedestal Dynamo Kiev and Ukraine cup tie , so that today need to take points to secure a lead over the competition in front of a possible loss of points. Volyn quite ready now to provide them , as plays lately relaxed. Perhaps blame problems with the composition. But most likely a lack of motivation does not allow really tune in to the game. The last four games Volyn lost all motivated teams. Volyn nothing, because fly to second club just is not threatened, and some local problems also not particularly care about the club. So we can pretty safely take guests , especially for such a good price. Odessa @ 2.25 Marathonbet
-
Re: La Liga > April 25th - 28th Elche - Levante Elche 3 points above relegation receives Levante that has nothing to do, 41 points safe and Europe is no longer possible. We will try to take advantage of this and a factor of proximity between the clubs. No bad blood between these neighboring clubs, and I see Levante puting high intensity for the game against a team wich plays at home. Has become almost impossible mission to make a goal in the Martinez Valero to Elche. Tactically we are facing one of the best First Division sides and worked against them only their limited offensive , struggling to avoid relegation. Differeny motivations, and the defensive work of Elche give me enough confidence to enter on home win. Significant losses for Levante: Navarro, Juanfran and striker Barral. Elche at 1.71 Pinnacle
-
Re: Bundesliga > April 25th - 27th Hannover - Stuttgart To be honest, did not expect such line for this match. Too much bookmakers "twisted" them towards Stuttgart. If a good scratch "turnip" , it is necessary to agree with the bookmakers offices. Indeed, in terms of the importance of this game points for guests is of far greater importance than for the hosts. Thus, we consider the current situation. Currently tickets and playout matches still nothing is clear. All three clubs that are in the relegation zone, have a chance to survive. But, Braunschweig and Nurenberg chances are smaller than Hamburg because maximum that they can dial 34 and 35 points respectively. They can only hook Stuttgart, but this goal difference will not give them the right to bypass someone else , and swabians themselves if they gain as much as hardly anyone will be able "to stuff" in this team a dozen goals. This even though Stuttgart will play against Bayern in its field. Thus , the bottom two teams are likely to be able to dream only of the playout. Remains Hamburg, who can score 36 points total , but for this it is necessary to do the impossible - to win all three games. Competitors are motivated , except Bayern, but it is also difficult to beat. And take three points from Mainz and Augsburg in their fields is difficult because they are cut for a third ticket to the Europa League. And in those standard which is now Hamburg, make it extremely difficult and almost impossible. Hence , we can conclude that the 9 points Hamburg not score , which means that Hanover can feel completely safe. Although Hannover in the remaining games could afford to ensure their survival. Remains Stuttgart with 31 points. Besides the away match against Hannover team will have two difficult matches against Wolfsburg (home) and Bayern Munchen (on the road). Calendar heavy because "wolves" have a chance to get into the Champions League and beat Bayern in its field , is given only supermen guys. Certainly , Bayern will be in the final round to put a nice end to the season and will not spare the swabians. Wolfsburg at home can win points with which "wolves" may disagree. So , survival depends entirely Stuttgart from this match , in which must win , and 80% to ensure the survival of themselves without a playout adventures. It is realistic because Hanover is not particularly motivated , and defense of the hosts are not very good. Stuttgart at 2.66 Pinnacle
-
Re: Ligue 1 Orange > April 23rd - 27th In the last rounds in the first places there is the motivation of teams , so all their bets will pass first through this important factor. Despite the fact that Nantes is for Marcel uncomfortable opponent , motivating him for this match is not. The team held a very successful first round , and many even believed that canaries will compete for a place in European competition, but , as often happens with new promoted , the second part "blown away". Very suspicious to France league is the small number of draws of the team. One gets the impression that Nantes "rolls 3 in 3" in many duels. I want to mention one feature - Nantes is not able to play against strong clubs. Pay attention to the "checkerboard" , which implies that although Nantes and won more than half the home games, but all strong teams he lost at home. Almost the same thing happens on the road, other than a draw with Lille and victory over Marseille. But perhaps it was the exception from the rule. We emphasize that Nantes nothing to play for, because the team wont "take off" 95% and catch the European Cups will not 100%. Therefore, can play for fun , but OM need three points today. Just this season in 5th place also gives the right to play in the Europa League. Olympique before them 3 points , and the 4th - 5 points. Chance to get into EL four rounds before the end small , Marseille will fight for it to save completely lost season. Of course, can catch and Saint-Etienne , but the main goal of the club is Lyon, which in the next round Marseille plays at home and has a real chance to catch up. Away Marseille rarely loses - four times , three of them were from the first three teams in France. In general , I believe that the guests do not miss last chance to get into European competition , beating unmotivated Nantes tonight. Marseille (-0.25) AH at 1.95 Pinnacle
-
Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th
42 % :pCategory: Football - Europa League 24 picks +59 units profit +46% yield Win-Loss-Void: 16-8-0 Win rate: 67% Stake avg.: 5.4 Odd avg.: 3.57 Staked: 129 Returned: 187.77 I see value in this bet and I will explain why. Honestly I think Sevilla before his public is obligated to make a good game and I think they win, but have to analyse each team playing. Sevilla is specialist to counterattack with playmaker Rakitic and fast wings like Vitolo and up strikers Bacca and Gameiro. In contrast, the bats of Valencia are playing something else, like to have the ball, even with a double pivot Parejo and Keita leaves us clearly that are players that love to touch the ball mist fo time and passing. Instead presums Sevilla gets with Iborra and Mbia that are quite the opposite. If score Sevilla first no fear for the bet as I think they fall back a little and try to counterattack without risking to kill the tie, otherwise if Valencia take the lead then Sevilla at home would be forced to came above and press a lot more to get something positive. In league Valencia avg 53.18 % of possession and despite Sevilla go much higher on the table they are just 47.4 %. I think the line is overvalued since Seville has 60 % chance to get ahead and this almost certainly would give a green to this selection. Total ball possesion Sevilla (%) Under 52.5 at 2.20 Unibet 4 units -
Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th Category: Football - Europa League 24 picks +59 units profit +46% yield Win-Loss-Void: 16-8-0 Win rate: 67% Stake avg.: 5.4 Odd avg.: 3.57 Staked: 129 Returned: 187.77 I see value in this bet and I will explain why. Honestly I think Sevilla before his public is obligated to make a good game and I think they win, but have to analyse each team playing. Sevilla is specialist to counterattack with playmaker Rakitic and fast wings like Vitolo and up strikers Bacca and Gameiro. In contrast, the bats of Valencia are playing something else, like to have the ball, even with a double pivot Parejo and Keita leaves us clearly that are players that love to touch the ball mist fo time and passing. Instead presums Sevilla gets with Iborra and Mbia that are quite the opposite. If score Sevilla first no fear for the bet as I think they fall back a little and try to counterattack without risking to kill the tie, otherwise if Valencia take the lead then Sevilla at home would be forced to came above and press a lot more to get something positive. In league Valencia avg 53.18 % of possession and despite Sevilla go much higher on the table they are just 47.4 %. I think the line is overvalued since Seville has 60 % chance to get ahead and this almost certainly would give a green to this selection. Total ball possesion Sevilla (%) Under 52.5 at 2.20 Unibet 4 units
-
Re: Real Madrid v FC Bayern München > Wednesday April 23rd
How many substitutions will be made? Pick: Exactly 6 at 1.75 Bwin Will Fabio Coentrão get a yellow card? Yes at 2.90 Betsson Bayern by the number of corner kicks with a handicap of +0.5 at 1.92 Betsson 3-15 Real Madrid (0) at 1.76 Pinnacle 1-0 How often will Bayern be caught offside? Pick: Over 2,5 at 2.0 Bwin 3I think Bayern's victory would benefit us because I think all changes are going to be made. A draw or victory of Real Madrid, likely Bayern could not make 3 substitutions. The fact is that the odds really catch my attention. Honestly, the possibility that 6 changes are made is higher than that are not , at least as I see it , and that 1.75 I think it has tremendous value. How many substitutions will be made? Pick: Exactly 6 at 1.75 Bwin ----------- Bayern frightened everyone last season and the beginning of this season, but then that is a little passed the team. On games in the playoff Champions League they do not look invincible. Draws with Arsenal and Manchester United are ... then and now seemed unimportant. With that, and one other had chances to goals that could turn the outcome of the confrontation with Bayern , but let down. Carries the strongest ? Yes, it is undoubtedly true , but to be more problematic Arsenal and Manchester United even more problematic one thing, but what to do against Real Madrid with this game ? Generally there is a feeling that Bayern dropped out after they tunned early championship win, as it relaxed or something. And in their game trace a certain arrogance , which is unacceptable at this level. Real relax rolls once - the Cup final with Barcelona in the league besides another gallant competitor appeared. But they do not relax , won the Cup final , in the championship also 3 wins in a row with a total score of 13-0. What to expect from today's game ? I think it will be about the same as in the final of the Spanish Cup. Real Madrid will play on the counterattack , which in their performance look just killer , and Bavaria in its style will roll the ball back and forth scaring fans of statistics the number of passes. Bayern general than it is like to Barcelona (surprisingly why?). And Real Madrid in the games with Barsa "eaten a dog". It is also clear that Bayern defense is far from perfect , because this is the defense most of the matches are held in the attack , they just do nothing more , I think that many saw as cartoons Neuer at the gate barbecues or lying in a hammock. But when the defense of Bavaria is a lot of pressure here and they float. Remember the matches with Manchester United. Wow, failures in the defense of the best team in the world. In general, do not see the benefits of Bavaria, a chance to win Real Madrid is much more likely, and it is they need now and for Bavaria and the draw will be a joy. Regard to the composition , the the situation is as follows. Just do not play for Real: Arbeola and Rodriguez. More in question - Marcelo , who likely will start on the bench, Khedira , who is also unlikely to play , well, Cristiano Ronaldo, very high probability to play. In Bavaria will not play: Alaba , Alcantara, Contento and Shaqiri. Neuerr in question , but most likely he will play. Overall losses both teams can not be called critical , although the loss of Alaba , in my opinion , pretty serious. Real Madrid (0) at 1.76 Pinnacle ----------- Offering to play on the winner based on the number of corner kicks. Our favorite Bavaria. In previous Champions League matches this season the German club filed to the opponent's 74 corners and spanish side 47, that is almost half as much. And the result of this is quite natural. Indeed, in most matches Bayern confident playing the first number, not allowing opponents particularly naughty. Bayern on the ball before almost always outnumbered opponents , and with the advent of this football Guardiola index reached values ??which earlier in the world could boast only Barcelona. For example, for today's match odds offered in the area 40 to 60, and it means that the bookies believe that more possession will be on the Bavaria side. Realities in such a situation can only hope to counter what actually is not very likely to be upset. With the arrival of Ancelotti this style of play brings success , and abandon it just silly. Of course , giving the initiative, and the corners Madrid often served less than rivals. That's what happened in the last few games : 16.04.14 Real Madrid - Barcelona 5:7 (2:2) 12.04.14 Real Madrid - Almeria 9:7 (6:4) 08.04.14 Dortmund - Real Madrid 4:2 (2:2) 05.04.14 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 7:8 (5:5) 02.04.14 Real Madrid - Dortmund 6:7 (4:3) Victory over Almeria and Sociedad , and the defeat of the more "cool" Dortmund and Barcelona. I think that the level of Bavaria closer to the latter two Real Madrid lost the corners and win most corners not make much effort. Here are the stats of the last matches of Munich. 12.04.14 Bayern - Dortmund 12:2 (2:1) 09.04.14 Bayern - Manchester Utd 11:3 (5:0) 01.04.14 Manchester Utd - Bayern 3:6 Here seriously worth considering the result against Manchester United. In other meetings , in connection with the early conquest of the championship , relax on the field and were basically the best of the worst , that still did not stop feeding Bavaria corners. For today's match leaders thus have a rest , and hopefully will be given their usual game. And Real losses much more serious. Bale endured week of cold, Cristiano re-enter after a couple of inactive games. All these players for our tip to fly are very dangerous. After all, it is their speed passes and shots often result in a corner kick. Without them 100%, Real Madrid will give even less than it could. Bayern by the number of corner kicks with a handicap of +0.5 at 1.92 Betsson ----------------- I think it will be a fairly open match with chances from both teams , the match that Bayern will try to gain control of the ball in which Real Madrid will feel comfortable to give possesion and trying to act on the counter. If Madrid want to hurt the german team will have to press the ball out , so will need to upload all their lines to avoid the middle to be left unprotected and thus also the defense will have to be advanced. This situation seems to me that can be exploited by fast players having Bayern Munich in the bands as Robben , Ribery promoting offsides. On the other hand, if Bayern gets overcome three quarters and we know how play teams of Guardiola, playing and playing in front of the opponent's area until someone pulls a mistake , and that usually does it at the limit of offside. Bayern accumulates 27 offsides in European competition , averaging a total of 2.7 per game. So let's try this bet as I believe that the opponent and the type of match is quite affordable to its fulfillment. High stake! How often will Bayern be caught offside? Pick: Over 2,5 at 2.0 Bwin -------------- Coentrao, I've never seen him flinching or failing to put the leg. Always gives his all on defense, and could be considered a tough player. By itself this is not enough , will face Robben , who is a super skilled player , very fast , and that always faces one v one and try to escape. I think there will be some occasions where will show up the portuguese, and this will have to stop with a fault. Moreover , the dutch is quite fragile , and are usually quite bulky drops , making it easier to display cards. Another argument , which although not very key if you think that plays Cristiano Ronaldo , from Coentrao's side (!) , and we all know that Cristiano virtually put no defensive help. Decent bet. Will Fabio Coentrão get a yellow card? Yes at 2.90 Betsson Regards and Good Luck ! -
Re: Real Madrid v FC Bayern München > Wednesday April 23rd I think Bayern's victory would benefit us because I think all changes are going to be made. A draw or victory of Real Madrid, likely Bayern could not make 3 substitutions. The fact is that the odds really catch my attention. Honestly, the possibility that 6 changes are made is higher than that are not , at least as I see it , and that 1.75 I think it has tremendous value. How many substitutions will be made? Pick: Exactly 6 at 1.75 Bwin ----------- Bayern frightened everyone last season and the beginning of this season, but then that is a little passed the team. On games in the playoff Champions League they do not look invincible. Draws with Arsenal and Manchester United are ... then and now seemed unimportant. With that, and one other had chances to goals that could turn the outcome of the confrontation with Bayern , but let down. Carries the strongest ? Yes, it is undoubtedly true , but to be more problematic Arsenal and Manchester United even more problematic one thing, but what to do against Real Madrid with this game ? Generally there is a feeling that Bayern dropped out after they tunned early championship win, as it relaxed or something. And in their game trace a certain arrogance , which is unacceptable at this level. Real relax rolls once - the Cup final with Barcelona in the league besides another gallant competitor appeared. But they do not relax , won the Cup final , in the championship also 3 wins in a row with a total score of 13-0. What to expect from today's game ? I think it will be about the same as in the final of the Spanish Cup. Real Madrid will play on the counterattack , which in their performance look just killer , and Bavaria in its style will roll the ball back and forth scaring fans of statistics the number of passes. Bayern general than it is like to Barcelona (surprisingly why?). And Real Madrid in the games with Barsa "eaten a dog". It is also clear that Bayern defense is far from perfect , because this is the defense most of the matches are held in the attack , they just do nothing more , I think that many saw as cartoons Neuer at the gate barbecues or lying in a hammock. But when the defense of Bavaria is a lot of pressure here and they float. Remember the matches with Manchester United. Wow, failures in the defense of the best team in the world. In general, do not see the benefits of Bavaria, a chance to win Real Madrid is much more likely, and it is they need now and for Bavaria and the draw will be a joy. Regard to the composition , the the situation is as follows. Just do not play for Real: Arbeola and Rodriguez. More in question - Marcelo , who likely will start on the bench, Khedira , who is also unlikely to play , well, Cristiano Ronaldo, very high probability to play. In Bavaria will not play: Alaba , Alcantara, Contento and Shaqiri. Neuerr in question , but most likely he will play. Overall losses both teams can not be called critical , although the loss of Alaba , in my opinion , pretty serious. Real Madrid (0) at 1.76 Pinnacle ----------- Offering to play on the winner based on the number of corner kicks. Our favorite Bavaria. In previous Champions League matches this season the German club filed to the opponent's 74 corners and spanish side 47, that is almost half as much. And the result of this is quite natural. Indeed, in most matches Bayern confident playing the first number, not allowing opponents particularly naughty. Bayern on the ball before almost always outnumbered opponents , and with the advent of this football Guardiola index reached values ??which earlier in the world could boast only Barcelona. For example, for today's match odds offered in the area 40 to 60, and it means that the bookies believe that more possession will be on the Bavaria side. Realities in such a situation can only hope to counter what actually is not very likely to be upset. With the arrival of Ancelotti this style of play brings success , and abandon it just silly. Of course , giving the initiative, and the corners Madrid often served less than rivals. That's what happened in the last few games : 16.04.14 Real Madrid - Barcelona 5:7 (2:2) 12.04.14 Real Madrid - Almeria 9:7 (6:4) 08.04.14 Dortmund - Real Madrid 4:2 (2:2) 05.04.14 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 7:8 (5:5) 02.04.14 Real Madrid - Dortmund 6:7 (4:3) Victory over Almeria and Sociedad , and the defeat of the more "cool" Dortmund and Barcelona. I think that the level of Bavaria closer to the latter two Real Madrid lost the corners and win most corners not make much effort. Here are the stats of the last matches of Munich. 12.04.14 Bayern - Dortmund 12:2 (2:1) 09.04.14 Bayern - Manchester Utd 11:3 (5:0) 01.04.14 Manchester Utd - Bayern 3:6 Here seriously worth considering the result against Manchester United. In other meetings , in connection with the early conquest of the championship , relax on the field and were basically the best of the worst , that still did not stop feeding Bavaria corners. For today's match leaders thus have a rest , and hopefully will be given their usual game. And Real losses much more serious. Bale endured week of cold, Cristiano re-enter after a couple of inactive games. All these players for our tip to fly are very dangerous. After all, it is their speed passes and shots often result in a corner kick. Without them 100%, Real Madrid will give even less than it could. Bayern by the number of corner kicks with a handicap of +0.5 at 1.92 Betsson ----------------- I think it will be a fairly open match with chances from both teams , the match that Bayern will try to gain control of the ball in which Real Madrid will feel comfortable to give possesion and trying to act on the counter. If Madrid want to hurt the german team will have to press the ball out , so will need to upload all their lines to avoid the middle to be left unprotected and thus also the defense will have to be advanced. This situation seems to me that can be exploited by fast players having Bayern Munich in the bands as Robben , Ribery promoting offsides. On the other hand, if Bayern gets overcome three quarters and we know how play teams of Guardiola, playing and playing in front of the opponent's area until someone pulls a mistake , and that usually does it at the limit of offside. Bayern accumulates 27 offsides in European competition , averaging a total of 2.7 per game. So let's try this bet as I believe that the opponent and the type of match is quite affordable to its fulfillment. High stake! How often will Bayern be caught offside? Pick: Over 2,5 at 2.0 Bwin -------------- Coentrao, I've never seen him flinching or failing to put the leg. Always gives his all on defense, and could be considered a tough player. By itself this is not enough , will face Robben , who is a super skilled player , very fast , and that always faces one v one and try to escape. I think there will be some occasions where will show up the portuguese, and this will have to stop with a fault. Moreover , the dutch is quite fragile , and are usually quite bulky drops , making it easier to display cards. Another argument , which although not very key if you think that plays Cristiano Ronaldo , from Coentrao's side (!) , and we all know that Cristiano virtually put no defensive help. Decent bet. Will Fabio Coentrão get a yellow card? Yes at 2.90 Betsson Regards and Good Luck !
-
Re: Atlético de Madrid v Chelsea > Tuesday April 22nd I hope a game in the midfield , standing long play without rhythm. It is true that today the referee cost to paint cards but I think there are several players with many options. If there is a player who always plays to the limit and even surpasses many times he is Ramires. The brazilian is a player who likes to drop the sticks and elbows, without going too far in the last match of Chelsea nudged Larsson irrelevantly that he could and must have cost him the expulsion. Today, with all the faults that will be sure to be more than one pass and hopefully get the card. I go with a slightly higher stake than usual in terms of cards that I see is very likely. Ramires get a card at 2.65 Betsson The captain rojibanco Gabi, those entries usually do in the midfield to cut the game, as usual will take it serious and be cautioned. Gabi get a card at 2.90 Betsson Cholo Simeone knows that Chelsea with the ball can not afford to hurt the opposing teams, and I think that play similar to games he had against Real Madrid and Barcelona, tucked back and waiting for opportunities, knowing that there are sections in the that are better than the other team, averages 49% of possession in the league despite being leaders, indicating that it is not a team that loves to play the no 1. Chelsea instead average 54.5% possession in the league and although play at Calderon is in the way and try to score a goal Mourinho out alive and I think I may even have more possession than Atletico Madrid. Already won AC Milan possession in both games vs Atletico and I think Chelsea will do it too. Possession Atletico (%) Under 52.5 at 1.85 Unibet Most ball possession (3-Way) Chelsea at 2.90 Unibet
Paris Saint-Germain v Ajax > Tuesday November 25th
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
Re: Paris Saint-Germain v Ajax > Tuesday November 25th Consider match between PSG and Ajax. With obscure quotes at the statistics of the match came with the line Unibet, exposing the overall totals for offside on this match Over / Under 3.5 for a decent price. With confidence play for the over. Immediately give you the match between the clubs in the current Champions League, which was played in Amsterdam: 17.09.14 Ajax - PSG 1:1 (0:1) (Offsides: 0-4) .. 4 offsides recorded in that match. Why now should be less? Will run on statistics. So, in 4 previous matches of UEFA Champions League PSG themselves caught in the offside 5 times (an average of 1.25 per game offside) and never caught offside trap an opponent. Here the meaning of betting lines and lies, but bookmakers did not consider that 4 out of 5 offsides pleased Parisians in the game just with Ajax. Actually, the bookies have not considered and statistics of Ajax: Ajax in 4 games in this Champions League season, offside never hit, but caught the opponent to the "offside" 15 times (an average of 3.75 per game offside). That is, in fact, putting the total offside more than 3.5 , we hope to catch 4 offside against PSG. And you never know, look and improve its statistics on offside Ajax today. For example, russian bookie Betsiti only on PSG puts the individual totals for offside over 3.5 (!), And Marathon came out with a line of total Over / Under 3.5 for a modest 1.60 ... Do not be surprised if we see in this match a relaxed game on a collision course in which there is a haven in the statistics of the match at least 4 Offsides by teams. Strange to see such a total over by bookmakers and a coefficient so boldly put on total more than 3.5 offsides in the match. Go Go Go! Total Over 3.5 Offsides in the match @ 1.95 Unibet