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** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
** Cheltenham Tipster Competition Result : 1st Old codger, 2nd sirspread, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert **

Bathtime For Rupert

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  1. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.35 Newmarket - 2pts win Iconic Queen @ 6/1
    1.45 Newcastle - 2pts win Fleeting Prince @ 7/1
    2.05 Newmarket - 1pt win Rock Melody @ 11/2
    2.20 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Brando @ 16/1
    3.15 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Duke of Hazzard @ 10/1
    3.30 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Island Brave @ 16/1
    4.25 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Hotspur Harry @ 20/1
  2. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.35 Newmarket - 2pts win Iconic Queen @ 6/1
    1.45 Newcastle - 2pts win Fleeting Prince @ 7/1
    2.05 Newmarket - 1pt win Rock Melody @ 11/2
    2.20 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Brando @ 16/1
    3.15 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Duke of Hazzard @ 10/1
    3.30 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Island Brave @ 16/1
    4.25 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Hotspur Harry @ 20/1
  3. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.35 Newmarket - 2pts win Iconic Queen @ 6/1
    1.45 Newcastle - 2pts win Fleeting Prince @ 7/1
    2.05 Newmarket - 1pt win Rock Melody @ 11/2
    2.20 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Brando @ 16/1
    3.15 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Duke of Hazzard @ 10/1
    3.30 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Island Brave @ 16/1
    4.25 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Hotspur Harry @ 20/1
  4. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.35 Newmarket - 2pts win Iconic Queen @ 6/1
    1.45 Newcastle - 2pts win Fleeting Prince @ 7/1
    2.05 Newmarket - 1pt win Rock Melody @ 11/2
    2.20 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Brando @ 16/1
    3.15 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Duke of Hazzard @ 10/1
    3.30 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Island Brave @ 16/1
    4.25 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Hotspur Harry @ 20/1
  5. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Friday 25th June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.30 Yarmouth - 1pt e/w Pocket The Profit @ 14/1
    1.40 Doncaster - 1pt win Wild Hope @ 7/1
    2.15 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Theotherside @ 14/1
    2.35 Yarmouth - 2pts win Kingsholm @ 9/2
    3.10 Yarmouth - 1pt e/w Neminos @ 8/1
    4.53 Yarmouth - 1pt e/w Shyjack @ 7/1
  6. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Friday 25th June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.30 Yarmouth - 1pt e/w Pocket The Profit @ 14/1
    1.40 Doncaster - 1pt win Wild Hope @ 7/1
    2.15 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Theotherside @ 14/1
    2.35 Yarmouth - 2pts win Kingsholm @ 9/2
    3.10 Yarmouth - 1pt e/w Neminos @ 8/1
    4.53 Yarmouth - 1pt e/w Shyjack @ 7/1
  7. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from cannotbebeat in Racing Chat - Wednesday 23rd June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.00 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Kit Gabriel @ 10/1
    1.35 Salisbury - 1pt win Kick On Kick On @ 13/2
    2.45 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Greenside @ 14/1
    2.55 Carlisle - 1pt win Al Erayg @ 7/1
    3.30 Carlisle - 1pt win Chichester @ 6/1
    4.05 Carlisle - 1pt win Ravens Ark @ 7/1
  8. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Wednesday 23rd June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.00 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Kit Gabriel @ 10/1
    1.35 Salisbury - 1pt win Kick On Kick On @ 13/2
    2.45 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Greenside @ 14/1
    2.55 Carlisle - 1pt win Al Erayg @ 7/1
    3.30 Carlisle - 1pt win Chichester @ 6/1
    4.05 Carlisle - 1pt win Ravens Ark @ 7/1
  9. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Wednesday 23rd June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.00 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Kit Gabriel @ 10/1
    1.35 Salisbury - 1pt win Kick On Kick On @ 13/2
    2.45 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Greenside @ 14/1
    2.55 Carlisle - 1pt win Al Erayg @ 7/1
    3.30 Carlisle - 1pt win Chichester @ 6/1
    4.05 Carlisle - 1pt win Ravens Ark @ 7/1
  10. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing chat - Tuesday 22nd June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.00 Brighton - 1pt e/w Latent Heat @ 8/1
    1.45 Beverley - 1pt e/w Nat Love @ 12/1
    2.00 Ayr - 1pt win Shareef Shareef @ 6/1
    2.10 Brighton - 1pt e/w Global Style @ 8/1
    2.55 Beverley - 1pt win Jean Mary @ 7/1
    3.10 Ayr - 1pt e/w Sound of Iona @ 28/1
    3.55 Brighton - 1pt e/w Zeyzoun @ 11/1
  11. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing chat - Tuesday 22nd June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.00 Brighton - 1pt e/w Latent Heat @ 8/1
    1.45 Beverley - 1pt e/w Nat Love @ 12/1
    2.00 Ayr - 1pt win Shareef Shareef @ 6/1
    2.10 Brighton - 1pt e/w Global Style @ 8/1
    2.55 Beverley - 1pt win Jean Mary @ 7/1
    3.10 Ayr - 1pt e/w Sound of Iona @ 28/1
    3.55 Brighton - 1pt e/w Zeyzoun @ 11/1
  12. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Monday 21st June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.00 Southwell - 1pt e/w Nobel Leader @ 8/1
    1.55 Chepstow - 2pts win Sisu @ 4/1
    2.15 Newton Abbot - 1pt e/w Friendly Princess @ 12/1
    2.40 Southwell - 1pt e/w Time For Timone @ 12/1
    3.30 Chepstow - 1pt e/w El Camino @ 12/1
    4.00 Chepstow - 1pt e/w Hellavapace @ 16/1
    5.00 Chepstow - 1pt e/w Swissal @ 16/1
  13. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Monday 21st June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.00 Southwell - 1pt e/w Nobel Leader @ 8/1
    1.55 Chepstow - 2pts win Sisu @ 4/1
    2.15 Newton Abbot - 1pt e/w Friendly Princess @ 12/1
    2.40 Southwell - 1pt e/w Time For Timone @ 12/1
    3.30 Chepstow - 1pt e/w El Camino @ 12/1
    4.00 Chepstow - 1pt e/w Hellavapace @ 16/1
    5.00 Chepstow - 1pt e/w Swissal @ 16/1
  14. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from Nigwilliam in Racing Chat - Sunday 20th June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.30 Worcester - 1pt e/w Arthur's Reuben @ 8/1
    2.35 Worcester - 2pts win Veiled Secret @ 9/2
    3.25 Pontefract - 2pts win Queen Daenerys @ 5/1
    3.35 Worcester - 1pt e/w Court Royale @ 25/1
    4.05 Worcester - 2pts win Ballyellis @ 5/1
    4.15 Hexham - 1pt e/w Percussion @ 12/1
    5.25 Pontefract - 1pt win Adaay Dream @ 13/2
  15. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Sunday 20th June   
    All prices Bet365:
    1.30 Worcester - 1pt e/w Arthur's Reuben @ 8/1
    2.35 Worcester - 2pts win Veiled Secret @ 9/2
    3.25 Pontefract - 2pts win Queen Daenerys @ 5/1
    3.35 Worcester - 1pt e/w Court Royale @ 25/1
    4.05 Worcester - 2pts win Ballyellis @ 5/1
    4.15 Hexham - 1pt e/w Percussion @ 12/1
    5.25 Pontefract - 1pt win Adaay Dream @ 13/2
  16. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Saturday 19th June   
    All prices Bet365 and all 1pt e/w:
    2.30 Ascot - Great Max @ 9/1
    3.05 Ascot - Tactical @ 14/1
    3.40 Ascot - Sir Ron Priestley @ 18/1
    4.20 Ascot - Glen Shiel @ 7/1
    5.00 Ascot - Ropey Guest @ 10/1
    5.35 Ascot - Foxes Tales @ 8/1
    6.10 Ascot - The Grand Visir @ 7/1
  17. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Saturday 19th June   
    All prices Bet365 and all 1pt e/w:
    2.30 Ascot - Great Max @ 9/1
    3.05 Ascot - Tactical @ 14/1
    3.40 Ascot - Sir Ron Priestley @ 18/1
    4.20 Ascot - Glen Shiel @ 7/1
    5.00 Ascot - Ropey Guest @ 10/1
    5.35 Ascot - Foxes Tales @ 8/1
    6.10 Ascot - The Grand Visir @ 7/1
  18. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Friday 18th June   
    All prices Bet365:
    2.30 - 1pt win Prettiest @ 7/1
    3.05 - 2pts win The Mediterranean @ 9/2
    3.40 - 1pt e/w Fivethousandtoone @ 18/1
    4.20 - 1pt e/w Fev Rover @ 22/1
    5.00 - 1pt e/w Camdeboo @ 20/1
    5.35 - 1pt e/w Win O'Clock @ 11/1
    6.10 - 1pt e/w Popmaster @ 12/1
     
  19. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Wednesday 16th June   
    All prices Bet365 and all 1pt e/w:
    2.30 Ascot - Mas Poder @ 18/1
    Clearly highly thought of having made her debut in a listed race at York, up against some smart fillies with experience and winning form. She was a huge eyecatcher that day, showing good speed throughout and whilst still being inexperienced, knuckled down well late on to not be beaten far. I thought she was the one to take out of the race and with natural improvement for the outing, looks a big price here.
    3.05 Ascot - Arturo Toscanini @ 12/1
    Weak in the market but will still chance the O'Brien second string here. He's run two good races out of three but generally looks pretty slow over 1m2f - staying on having been outpaced for 2nd when last seen in a decent race over in Ireland. Looks very much like he'll come into his own over further (full sibling is a 2 mile winner) and whilst he has to prove himself on quicker ground (flop at Newmarket can't solely be put down to that), I think he's overpriced here.
    3.40 Ascot - Champers Elysees @ 17/2
    Has to bounce back from a low key start to this season but she should be spot on fitness wise now and if returning to the form of last season, she'd have a favourite's chance here. She clearly goes on deep ground but she's got an excellent turn of foot and I just wonder if she doesn't want a slog like she had last time out. This quicker ground and less emphasis on stamina could just suit and I'll chance her based on that.
    4.20 Ascot - Sangarius @ 16/1
    Clearly has a bit to find and things need to drop right for him but he's definitely smart on his day. I think he'll be ridden close to the pace here in a small field and does have the speed to quicken from the front, with his best career performance coming at this track. Not sure he was fully wound up at Chester when behind Armory and floundered having set a quick pace on soft ground at Sandown last time. Was picked up by Euchen Glen there but went like the winner and that horse ran really well yesterday on unsuitable ground so the form looks okay. Could be a bit of a funny race with an uncertain gallop and I just think this horse is worth a small go at the price.
    5.00 Ascot - Irish Admiral @ 16/1 and Ouzo @ 50/1
    Concerned about the draw for Irish Admiral but I think he's sure to win a good race soon - was caught out of his ground at Epsom last time and couldn't ever really get involved but I'm happy to forgive him that considering the promise he showed at York the time before. Travelled all over them over 1m2f that day and although not finding as much as it looked like he might, looked a good horse and the return to a mile on quick ground today should suit. 
    I wouldn't be surprised if high draws dominated, however, and I'm going to give Ouzo a chance each-way from under the stands rail. I hope he returns to front-running tactics here after a no-show when last seen and he's pretty consistent in this sort of race without winning and could just go well at a huge price.
    5.35 Ascot - Spring is Sprung @ 20/1
    The Wesley Ward runner may again prove too speedy but the royal runner looks overpriced to me having won well at Windsor last time with a couple of horses in behind going on to run big races since. This one is a half sibling to Collinsbay and Kings Lynn so ought to be a smart sprinter in time and looks like an improving sort who will come on again for its effort when last seen. 20/1 looks a big each-way price.
    6.10 Ascot - Dalanijujo @ 28/1
    Wide open race which looks to have plenty of pace in it so I expect them to go a good gallop here and that could bring the best out of Mick Channon's runner who has been operating at a lower level but is a free-going sort who looks best over a stiff mile with a strong pace to run off. Has to step up on its latest win but the handicap mark isn't climbing out of reach and at a price I can see it going well.
  20. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Wednesday 16th June   
    All prices Bet365 and all 1pt e/w:
    2.30 Ascot - Mas Poder @ 18/1
    Clearly highly thought of having made her debut in a listed race at York, up against some smart fillies with experience and winning form. She was a huge eyecatcher that day, showing good speed throughout and whilst still being inexperienced, knuckled down well late on to not be beaten far. I thought she was the one to take out of the race and with natural improvement for the outing, looks a big price here.
    3.05 Ascot - Arturo Toscanini @ 12/1
    Weak in the market but will still chance the O'Brien second string here. He's run two good races out of three but generally looks pretty slow over 1m2f - staying on having been outpaced for 2nd when last seen in a decent race over in Ireland. Looks very much like he'll come into his own over further (full sibling is a 2 mile winner) and whilst he has to prove himself on quicker ground (flop at Newmarket can't solely be put down to that), I think he's overpriced here.
    3.40 Ascot - Champers Elysees @ 17/2
    Has to bounce back from a low key start to this season but she should be spot on fitness wise now and if returning to the form of last season, she'd have a favourite's chance here. She clearly goes on deep ground but she's got an excellent turn of foot and I just wonder if she doesn't want a slog like she had last time out. This quicker ground and less emphasis on stamina could just suit and I'll chance her based on that.
    4.20 Ascot - Sangarius @ 16/1
    Clearly has a bit to find and things need to drop right for him but he's definitely smart on his day. I think he'll be ridden close to the pace here in a small field and does have the speed to quicken from the front, with his best career performance coming at this track. Not sure he was fully wound up at Chester when behind Armory and floundered having set a quick pace on soft ground at Sandown last time. Was picked up by Euchen Glen there but went like the winner and that horse ran really well yesterday on unsuitable ground so the form looks okay. Could be a bit of a funny race with an uncertain gallop and I just think this horse is worth a small go at the price.
    5.00 Ascot - Irish Admiral @ 16/1 and Ouzo @ 50/1
    Concerned about the draw for Irish Admiral but I think he's sure to win a good race soon - was caught out of his ground at Epsom last time and couldn't ever really get involved but I'm happy to forgive him that considering the promise he showed at York the time before. Travelled all over them over 1m2f that day and although not finding as much as it looked like he might, looked a good horse and the return to a mile on quick ground today should suit. 
    I wouldn't be surprised if high draws dominated, however, and I'm going to give Ouzo a chance each-way from under the stands rail. I hope he returns to front-running tactics here after a no-show when last seen and he's pretty consistent in this sort of race without winning and could just go well at a huge price.
    5.35 Ascot - Spring is Sprung @ 20/1
    The Wesley Ward runner may again prove too speedy but the royal runner looks overpriced to me having won well at Windsor last time with a couple of horses in behind going on to run big races since. This one is a half sibling to Collinsbay and Kings Lynn so ought to be a smart sprinter in time and looks like an improving sort who will come on again for its effort when last seen. 20/1 looks a big each-way price.
    6.10 Ascot - Dalanijujo @ 28/1
    Wide open race which looks to have plenty of pace in it so I expect them to go a good gallop here and that could bring the best out of Mick Channon's runner who has been operating at a lower level but is a free-going sort who looks best over a stiff mile with a strong pace to run off. Has to step up on its latest win but the handicap mark isn't climbing out of reach and at a price I can see it going well.
  21. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from Zilzalian in Racing Chat - Wednesday 16th June   
    All prices Bet365 and all 1pt e/w:
    2.30 Ascot - Mas Poder @ 18/1
    Clearly highly thought of having made her debut in a listed race at York, up against some smart fillies with experience and winning form. She was a huge eyecatcher that day, showing good speed throughout and whilst still being inexperienced, knuckled down well late on to not be beaten far. I thought she was the one to take out of the race and with natural improvement for the outing, looks a big price here.
    3.05 Ascot - Arturo Toscanini @ 12/1
    Weak in the market but will still chance the O'Brien second string here. He's run two good races out of three but generally looks pretty slow over 1m2f - staying on having been outpaced for 2nd when last seen in a decent race over in Ireland. Looks very much like he'll come into his own over further (full sibling is a 2 mile winner) and whilst he has to prove himself on quicker ground (flop at Newmarket can't solely be put down to that), I think he's overpriced here.
    3.40 Ascot - Champers Elysees @ 17/2
    Has to bounce back from a low key start to this season but she should be spot on fitness wise now and if returning to the form of last season, she'd have a favourite's chance here. She clearly goes on deep ground but she's got an excellent turn of foot and I just wonder if she doesn't want a slog like she had last time out. This quicker ground and less emphasis on stamina could just suit and I'll chance her based on that.
    4.20 Ascot - Sangarius @ 16/1
    Clearly has a bit to find and things need to drop right for him but he's definitely smart on his day. I think he'll be ridden close to the pace here in a small field and does have the speed to quicken from the front, with his best career performance coming at this track. Not sure he was fully wound up at Chester when behind Armory and floundered having set a quick pace on soft ground at Sandown last time. Was picked up by Euchen Glen there but went like the winner and that horse ran really well yesterday on unsuitable ground so the form looks okay. Could be a bit of a funny race with an uncertain gallop and I just think this horse is worth a small go at the price.
    5.00 Ascot - Irish Admiral @ 16/1 and Ouzo @ 50/1
    Concerned about the draw for Irish Admiral but I think he's sure to win a good race soon - was caught out of his ground at Epsom last time and couldn't ever really get involved but I'm happy to forgive him that considering the promise he showed at York the time before. Travelled all over them over 1m2f that day and although not finding as much as it looked like he might, looked a good horse and the return to a mile on quick ground today should suit. 
    I wouldn't be surprised if high draws dominated, however, and I'm going to give Ouzo a chance each-way from under the stands rail. I hope he returns to front-running tactics here after a no-show when last seen and he's pretty consistent in this sort of race without winning and could just go well at a huge price.
    5.35 Ascot - Spring is Sprung @ 20/1
    The Wesley Ward runner may again prove too speedy but the royal runner looks overpriced to me having won well at Windsor last time with a couple of horses in behind going on to run big races since. This one is a half sibling to Collinsbay and Kings Lynn so ought to be a smart sprinter in time and looks like an improving sort who will come on again for its effort when last seen. 20/1 looks a big each-way price.
    6.10 Ascot - Dalanijujo @ 28/1
    Wide open race which looks to have plenty of pace in it so I expect them to go a good gallop here and that could bring the best out of Mick Channon's runner who has been operating at a lower level but is a free-going sort who looks best over a stiff mile with a strong pace to run off. Has to step up on its latest win but the handicap mark isn't climbing out of reach and at a price I can see it going well.
  22. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from Zico10 in Racing Chat - Tuesday June 15th   
    All prices Bet365 and all 1pt e/w:
    Have a good one folks...
    2.30 Ascot - Regal Reality @ 20/1
    Palace Pier is clearly the most likely winner but I'm surprised at the price of Regal Reality. He's 4th in here on official ratings and has done little wrong in recent seasons. Ran well fresh at the meeting last year which alleviates some concerns about the absence this season and a strongly-run mile is ideal for him. Split Kameko and Benbatl when he was last seen - form which would see him in the mix here - and I think has solid claims of making the frame at a price.
    3.05 Ascot - Berkshire Shadow @ 12/1
    Wide open race in reality but I was taken by the performance of Berkshire Shadow on debut at Newbury - blew the start, giving his main rivals a 4 or 5 length head start over the minimum trip but still showed a good turn of foot to get on top late in the day. The fact he went off at 9/2 yet hit 70/1 in running tells you a lot about its winning effort and although some horses haven't franked the form, he had the second favourite for this race in behind him that day. 6f shouldn't be an issue on that evidence and clearly has some tactical speed so looks a lively contender. 
    3.40 Ascot - Stone of Destiny @ 20/1
    Has a mountain to climb on figures but I'm not overly strong on any of those at the head of the market and this looks like it's going to be run at an insane gallop with an abundance of blastaway types in the field. Whilst the competition may be too much for this one, the way the race is run might just help him raise his game as he'll thrive coming off an all out pace. Has been an eyecatcher on just about all of its runs this season, goes well here and could run on late in the day to make the frame.
    4.20 Ascot - La Barrosa @ 20/1
    This horse has been weak in the market but I'm not entirely sure why. He's twice been beaten on soft ground but his dam didn't like the surface either and it's hard to knock his form otherwise. Won pretty impressively on his first two starts before failing on bottomless ground in France but bounced back to be narrowly denied by Master of the Seas at Newmarket on seasonal reappearance. The pair were 3 lengths clear and the winner was short headed out of the 2000 Guineas next time out. On that evidence, there's little between Poetic Flare and La Barrosa (for all the former finished ahead on deep ground in Ireland) on their runs on decent ground so with one at 4/1 and the other 20s, I'll happily put some faith in La Barrosa back on this surface.
    5.00 Ascot - Solo Saxophone @ 33/1
    There's no getting away from the fact that this horse is slow but the extra four furlongs here really ought to suit and he should be staying on at the finish. Could never get involved over 2 miles last time on decent ground (probably needs slow ground over that trip) but was plugging on past beaten horses and should be fully fit now. The ground may not be ideal but stamina will be drawn out even more today and he remains on a decent enough mark on last year's excellent form and just looks an interesting outsider.
    5.35 Ascot - Juan Elcano @ 20/1
    Usually runs his race without winning in decent company but this would be one of its less demanding assignments and could improve for wind surgery. Ran a bit fresh on his seasonal reappearance in the Doncaster Mile but still wasn't beaten that far by Top Rank and bits and pieces of his form from last season would give him solid hopes here. Did best of those on the pace at this meeting last year and if settling a bit better today back at 1m2f, I think he's likely to run his race and potentially make the frame.
    6.10 Ascot - Hochfeld @ 25/1
    Typical Mark Johnston type who can throw in the odd stinker but most of those (including last time out) have come on soft ground and I'm prepared to give him the chance to bounce back on a sounder surface here. Was previously in good form and will relish an end-to-end gallop under these conditions. Is well drawn in stall 5 to get a decent position and whilst he doesn't hold anything from the handicapper, is weighted to be bang there if on a going day and looks a big price if forgiving him his last run. 
  23. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from MCLARKE in ROYAL ASCOT TIPSTERS COMPETITION - Day 1 selections   
    2.30 - Regal Reality
    3.05 - Berkshire Shadow
    3.40 - Stone of Destiny
    4.20 - La Barrosa
    5.00 - Solo Saxophone
    5.35 - Juan Elcano
    6.10 - Hochfeld
  24. Thanks
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Tuesday June 15th   
    All prices Bet365 and all 1pt e/w:
    Have a good one folks...
    2.30 Ascot - Regal Reality @ 20/1
    Palace Pier is clearly the most likely winner but I'm surprised at the price of Regal Reality. He's 4th in here on official ratings and has done little wrong in recent seasons. Ran well fresh at the meeting last year which alleviates some concerns about the absence this season and a strongly-run mile is ideal for him. Split Kameko and Benbatl when he was last seen - form which would see him in the mix here - and I think has solid claims of making the frame at a price.
    3.05 Ascot - Berkshire Shadow @ 12/1
    Wide open race in reality but I was taken by the performance of Berkshire Shadow on debut at Newbury - blew the start, giving his main rivals a 4 or 5 length head start over the minimum trip but still showed a good turn of foot to get on top late in the day. The fact he went off at 9/2 yet hit 70/1 in running tells you a lot about its winning effort and although some horses haven't franked the form, he had the second favourite for this race in behind him that day. 6f shouldn't be an issue on that evidence and clearly has some tactical speed so looks a lively contender. 
    3.40 Ascot - Stone of Destiny @ 20/1
    Has a mountain to climb on figures but I'm not overly strong on any of those at the head of the market and this looks like it's going to be run at an insane gallop with an abundance of blastaway types in the field. Whilst the competition may be too much for this one, the way the race is run might just help him raise his game as he'll thrive coming off an all out pace. Has been an eyecatcher on just about all of its runs this season, goes well here and could run on late in the day to make the frame.
    4.20 Ascot - La Barrosa @ 20/1
    This horse has been weak in the market but I'm not entirely sure why. He's twice been beaten on soft ground but his dam didn't like the surface either and it's hard to knock his form otherwise. Won pretty impressively on his first two starts before failing on bottomless ground in France but bounced back to be narrowly denied by Master of the Seas at Newmarket on seasonal reappearance. The pair were 3 lengths clear and the winner was short headed out of the 2000 Guineas next time out. On that evidence, there's little between Poetic Flare and La Barrosa (for all the former finished ahead on deep ground in Ireland) on their runs on decent ground so with one at 4/1 and the other 20s, I'll happily put some faith in La Barrosa back on this surface.
    5.00 Ascot - Solo Saxophone @ 33/1
    There's no getting away from the fact that this horse is slow but the extra four furlongs here really ought to suit and he should be staying on at the finish. Could never get involved over 2 miles last time on decent ground (probably needs slow ground over that trip) but was plugging on past beaten horses and should be fully fit now. The ground may not be ideal but stamina will be drawn out even more today and he remains on a decent enough mark on last year's excellent form and just looks an interesting outsider.
    5.35 Ascot - Juan Elcano @ 20/1
    Usually runs his race without winning in decent company but this would be one of its less demanding assignments and could improve for wind surgery. Ran a bit fresh on his seasonal reappearance in the Doncaster Mile but still wasn't beaten that far by Top Rank and bits and pieces of his form from last season would give him solid hopes here. Did best of those on the pace at this meeting last year and if settling a bit better today back at 1m2f, I think he's likely to run his race and potentially make the frame.
    6.10 Ascot - Hochfeld @ 25/1
    Typical Mark Johnston type who can throw in the odd stinker but most of those (including last time out) have come on soft ground and I'm prepared to give him the chance to bounce back on a sounder surface here. Was previously in good form and will relish an end-to-end gallop under these conditions. Is well drawn in stall 5 to get a decent position and whilst he doesn't hold anything from the handicapper, is weighted to be bang there if on a going day and looks a big price if forgiving him his last run. 
  25. Like
    Bathtime For Rupert got a reaction from Ironjoe in Racing Chat - Tuesday June 15th   
    All prices Bet365 and all 1pt e/w:
    Have a good one folks...
    2.30 Ascot - Regal Reality @ 20/1
    Palace Pier is clearly the most likely winner but I'm surprised at the price of Regal Reality. He's 4th in here on official ratings and has done little wrong in recent seasons. Ran well fresh at the meeting last year which alleviates some concerns about the absence this season and a strongly-run mile is ideal for him. Split Kameko and Benbatl when he was last seen - form which would see him in the mix here - and I think has solid claims of making the frame at a price.
    3.05 Ascot - Berkshire Shadow @ 12/1
    Wide open race in reality but I was taken by the performance of Berkshire Shadow on debut at Newbury - blew the start, giving his main rivals a 4 or 5 length head start over the minimum trip but still showed a good turn of foot to get on top late in the day. The fact he went off at 9/2 yet hit 70/1 in running tells you a lot about its winning effort and although some horses haven't franked the form, he had the second favourite for this race in behind him that day. 6f shouldn't be an issue on that evidence and clearly has some tactical speed so looks a lively contender. 
    3.40 Ascot - Stone of Destiny @ 20/1
    Has a mountain to climb on figures but I'm not overly strong on any of those at the head of the market and this looks like it's going to be run at an insane gallop with an abundance of blastaway types in the field. Whilst the competition may be too much for this one, the way the race is run might just help him raise his game as he'll thrive coming off an all out pace. Has been an eyecatcher on just about all of its runs this season, goes well here and could run on late in the day to make the frame.
    4.20 Ascot - La Barrosa @ 20/1
    This horse has been weak in the market but I'm not entirely sure why. He's twice been beaten on soft ground but his dam didn't like the surface either and it's hard to knock his form otherwise. Won pretty impressively on his first two starts before failing on bottomless ground in France but bounced back to be narrowly denied by Master of the Seas at Newmarket on seasonal reappearance. The pair were 3 lengths clear and the winner was short headed out of the 2000 Guineas next time out. On that evidence, there's little between Poetic Flare and La Barrosa (for all the former finished ahead on deep ground in Ireland) on their runs on decent ground so with one at 4/1 and the other 20s, I'll happily put some faith in La Barrosa back on this surface.
    5.00 Ascot - Solo Saxophone @ 33/1
    There's no getting away from the fact that this horse is slow but the extra four furlongs here really ought to suit and he should be staying on at the finish. Could never get involved over 2 miles last time on decent ground (probably needs slow ground over that trip) but was plugging on past beaten horses and should be fully fit now. The ground may not be ideal but stamina will be drawn out even more today and he remains on a decent enough mark on last year's excellent form and just looks an interesting outsider.
    5.35 Ascot - Juan Elcano @ 20/1
    Usually runs his race without winning in decent company but this would be one of its less demanding assignments and could improve for wind surgery. Ran a bit fresh on his seasonal reappearance in the Doncaster Mile but still wasn't beaten that far by Top Rank and bits and pieces of his form from last season would give him solid hopes here. Did best of those on the pace at this meeting last year and if settling a bit better today back at 1m2f, I think he's likely to run his race and potentially make the frame.
    6.10 Ascot - Hochfeld @ 25/1
    Typical Mark Johnston type who can throw in the odd stinker but most of those (including last time out) have come on soft ground and I'm prepared to give him the chance to bounce back on a sounder surface here. Was previously in good form and will relish an end-to-end gallop under these conditions. Is well drawn in stall 5 to get a decent position and whilst he doesn't hold anything from the handicapper, is weighted to be bang there if on a going day and looks a big price if forgiving him his last run. 
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