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Shep65

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  1. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 22nd January   
    Maidenhead v Halifax (National League) The home side have a very good record against the top sides as they did last season and they proved that again on Tuesday night when becoming just the 2nd side to beat Chesterfield in the league this season. They were good value for the win and having beaten Halifax on the opening day of the season they are worth a play at landing the double.   Gloucester v Southport (National League North) I have to oppose my side again we just aren't creating much at all and although we have been more solid at home, Southport have been creating plenty of chances of late and I think they are the toughest side that Gloucester have hosted for a while. The prices are all wrong and I would make Southport favourites.   Kidderminster v York (National League North) I just get the feeling Kidderminster are running on fumes at the moment and they created very little in Tuesday night's defeat at Hereford. York on the other hand have had very little football and this will just be their 2nd league game since December 11th and their first this year. They won in the FA Trophy last week over Slough and they look value here with the fresher legs.   Hungerford v Chelmsford (National League South) The home side seem to have lost their way a little and Chelmsford are still creating a fair few chances, although they do sometimes have a problem in actually putting them away. They are clearly playing well though and look a spot of value here.   Morpeth v Buxton (Northern Premier) The home side did us a great turn in the Trophy last week and I fancy them again at big odds to beat Buxton who really seem to have lost their way recently. The 3-3 draw against Warrington last week was their only point in their last 5 games and as we know Morpeth are in really good form at the moment. Hopefully they can keep the momentum going.   Maidenhead 1pt @ 7/2 with Skybet, BetVictor and Betfred (take up to 9/4) Southport 2pts @ 19/10 with Betfred, Betfair, Paddy Power, William Hill and Coral (take up to 5/4) York 1pt @ 17/5 with William Hill and Coral (take up to 9/4) Chelmsford 1pt @ 21/10 with William Hill (take up to 7/4) Morpeth 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365, Betfred and Betfair (take up to 7/4)   Other bets (all National League South) Eastbourne to beat Bath 1pt @ 11/5 with William Hill (take up to 7/4) Dorking to beat Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 7/4 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 11/8)Hemel Hempstead to beat Tonbridge Angels 1pt @ 23/10 with William Hill (take up to 7/4)
  2. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > October 30th   
    Barnet v Aldershot (Live on BT Sport) Barnet were played off the park by Wrexham last Saturday and then went and beat Stockport on Tuesday night whilst Wrexham lost to Maidenhead. Proof that football will always throw up seemingly random results. That was Barnet's worse performance since Dean Brennan took over as manager though and I think it was just unfortunate it came against a Wrexham side who were at their best. I think they have a decent chance of beating an Aldershot side who are struggling for wins even if they do seem to be improving. They were heavily backed to beat Weymouth on Tuesday night and although the price ended up way too short I could see why people thought they would win as the Weymouth manager complained about how tired his players were after the draw against Wealdstone last Saturday. For Aldershot to fail to score against them wasn't great and their xG was low as well. What I will say is they have lost all 6 home league games now and they have performed better away from home, but even so there is no way they should be favourites for this game and Barnet are a massive price.   Weymouth v Kings Lynn Although Weymouth have only won once at home against Maidenhead their 2 defeats came against Boreham Wood and Stockport and they have managed a draw against Notts County as well. I mentioned above that they were looking tired last Saturday, but they rested some key players on Tuesday night so they were able to freshen some players up whilst also managing to win. I think they should be slightly shorter in the betting here. Amazingly Kings Lynn have had more possession in 10 of their 12 league games, but their problem is they often don't have enough quality in the final 3rd to take advantage of seeing so much of the ball. They had nearly 70% of the ball against Boreham Wood on Tuesday night yet could only manage an xG of 0.9 compared to Wood's 1.79 and they lost 1-0. Only 3 times this season has their xG been higher than their opponents and that for me puts things in Weymouth's favour here.   Hungerford v Maidstone (National League South) Just the one bet at Step 2 this weekend and I think the home side are overpriced here. I put Maidstone up last week and they lost 2-0 to Dorking and after a 0-0 draw at Dulwich on Tuesday night that meant they haven't scored in their last 3 league games now. You just get the sense they are in a bit of a sticky patch and this will be a tough game. Hungerford were having a cracking season last time around and they have been able to pretty much carry that into this one as well. 3 of their 4 league wins have come against the weaker sides in the league, but they have beaten Dorking and drew against Havant on Tuesday night. At home I just can't make them anywhere near as big as they are to win this and look fair value.   Barnet 2pts @ 2/1 with Skybet and BetVictor (take up to 11/10) Weymouth 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365 and William Hill (take up to 5/4) Hungerford 2pts @ 11/5 with Betfair, Paddy Power and William Hill (take up to 6/4)
  3. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 21st August   
    Barnet v Notts County (National League) As we saw last week you can get some funny results on the opening day of the season and Notts County themselves were on the end of a poor loss on the opening day last season when losing to Dover. That was clearly a bit of a freak result given what the two teams ended up doing, but I have a feeling County could start their season off with a defeat again. County are clearly going to be going for promotion and I certainly think they will finish in the play-offs at the very least, but I think Barnet are way overpriced here so I am putting them up. Barnet should do much better this season than last and their squad looks pretty useful. As I mentioned in the ante-post preview I am not sure Harry Kewell is the right man for the job, but having Dean Brennan in the background is a big plus as he knows the non-league scene inside out. I think you will see Barnet be capable of beating the better sides in the league this season and I just can't make them as big as 15/4 so they are a value play for me.   Halifax v Maidenhead (National League) Two sides who have very good managers, but also two sides who could be in for a season of struggle. On paper neither squad gets me that excited and I would have them both contenders to go down if it wasn't for their mangers who have done fantastically well. That does mean though that I don't think there is much between these two sides on paper, but the bookies have Halifax as clear favourites. That's not right in my view so I will take my chances on Maidenhead at a big price.   Wealdstone v Woking (National League) Bookies have got this match very wrong in my view. Fairly obvious that I am going to be siding with Woking here given they are my outside bet as possible title winners. Granted that bet will probably lose, but we should be seeing a very different Woking from the team we saw coasting to the end of last season. Wealdstone were poor as well and they have lost their best player in Mendy to Boreham Wood. To me Wealdstone look destined to a relegation battle whereas Woking should be aiming for the play-offs in my view. I have Woking as clear favourites for this and hopefully they can get off to winning start.   Hemel Hempstead v Braintree (National League South) The home side were a bit unlucky against Maidstone last week as they had the lead twice before going down 4-2. They are suffering big time with injuries though and have 12 players missing going into this match including half who would be in their strongest 11. That gives Braintree the edge for me and they are worth backing here. They did well against Oxford City on the opening day and might have held on for the victory if they hadn't had a man sent off with 25 minutes to go when they had a 1 goal advantage. That suggests to me they have enough about them to beat a weakened Hemel side.   East Thurrock v Bognor Regis (Isthmian Premier) Not exactly ideal when your captain gets sent off after 25 minutes in the opening game of the season, but that is what happened to Bognor last week against Bishop's Stortford. To be fair they still had chances to win the game but it ended goalless. This should be a much easier task though as East Thurrock look set to be one of the worst teams in the league this season. Before the season got underway their manager spoke about how tough they would find it to stay up and that was their goal for this season. Bognor should be fighting it out at the other end of the table and should be able to pick up their first win of the season here.   Needham Market v Bromsgrove (Southern Premier Central) It has been an awful start to the season so far for Bromsgrove having conceded 7 goals in two games and they look even worse than last season and even worse than I thought they might be. Needham Market did pretty well in the few games there was last season and I was pretty impressed with them when they played Gloucester in the FA Trophy. They should be capable of doing well again this season and really ought to be capable of beating a Bromsgrove side who look miles off the pace so far.   Poole v Farnborough (Southern Premier South) I have to go with Farnborough again on Saturday. To go a goal down at Chesham and then run out 3-1 winners is pretty impressive and suggests to me that my ante-post tip on them could well go very close. As I said on Tuesday they should have won last Saturday and luckily for us they were able to turn shots into goals on Tuesday. Clearly this is another big test with Poole one of the title contenders, but there is no way they should be 16/5 to pick up another 3 points. Poole blew a 3-2 lead in injury time last weekend against Gosport although they did beat Tiverton on Tuesday night 2-1. The bookies are clearly still pricing the away side up as being awful, but as previously mentioned they look a pretty strong team this season and hopefully they can land the big odds once again here.   Barnet 1pt @ 15/4 with Bet365 (take up to 5/2) Maidenhead 1pt @ 11/4 with Bet365 and William Hill (take up to 7/4) Woking 2pts @ 31/20 with BetVictor (take up to 11/10) Braintree 2pts @ 23/10 with Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 7/4) Bognor 3pts @ 11/10 with Bet365, Betfred and Betfair (take up to 4/6) Needham Market 2.5pts @ 11/10 with Bet365 (take up to 4/5) Farnborough 1pt @ 16/5 with Betfair (take up to 7/4)
  4. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to bromsgrovegreen in Non-League Predictions > August 14th   
    Bromsgrove 0 Leiston 4
    Bromsgrove have lost all their best players and replaced them with mainly kids, be a season of struggle unless a few experienced signings are made. Leistons number 9 who scored two, one a belter looked a very good player. No disrespect to Leiston who played us off the park but if they're walloping us then I fear for us against the more experienced sides who will bully us to death. 
    On a side note, I can't believe the price on Alvechurch to beat Bromsgrove tonight, 12-5!! 
    Definitely value as the bookies seem to be pricing us up on the last few seasons rather than this seasons squad
     
     
     
  5. Like
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 23rd January   
    This could well be the last preview of the season given the situation in the National League at the moment. With the North and South off for at least 2 weeks that leaves just the National League to bet in and I have 3 bets.
    Bromley v Halifax
    I know Bromley haven't been great at home this season, but Halifax were poor against Southport on Tuesday night and they have just taken Tahvon Campbell on loan from Cheltenham. He was on loan at Gloucester and I was glad to see the back of him as he wasn't great. I see the Halifax manager thinks he is in form, but 3 of his 5 goals came against Maldon and one of the others was a goalkeeper error. Bromley have the better side and hopefully they can put in a good home performance as they should be a bit shorter.
    Dover v Solihull Moors
    I know Dover aren't great, but apart from a couple of drubbings by Woking and Aldershot they haven't done that badly at home. They got a good draw in their last home league game as well against Boreham Wood. As I mentioned in midweek Solihull aren't great on their travels and at 9/2 I think Dover are worth an investment as I would probably make them around 5/2.
    Woking v Maidenhead
    In the last 10 games form table Maidenhead are joint top with Torquay averaging 2 points a game. Granted they have only won 2 of their last 6, but they only lost 2 of them and one of those was to Torquay. They have done well on their travels as well and although Woking are quite hard to beat at home they look too big a price. Woking have only won 1 league game in their last 6 as well so the away win is certainly value.
    Bromley 1pt @ 7/5 with Bet365
    Dover 1pt @ 9/2 with BetVictor
    Maidenhead 1pt @ 12/5 with William Hill
     
  6. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 18th-20th January   
    Hampton stopped it from being a blank on Saturday as they scored an injury time winner on another frustrating day. It has been a pretty tough last month or so and I can't help feel that the stop start nature of the season especially since the new variant of Covid has spread across the country has meant it has been harder to get a feel of the teams. Also the amazing run I had from September until mid-December was always going to hit the buffers eventually. You can also tell from my stakes that the confidence isn't as strong as it would often be at this time of the season. Every bet bar 3 in the last month has been 1 or 2 points and those 3 were all 2.5pts. It does mean that the damage done has been minimal though and taking January by itself I am still just in profit after last weekend. Hopefully we can add to those profits on Tuesday night as I have 3 bets.
    Aldershot v Solihull Moors
    I think Aldershot should be favourites for this game. Solihull's manager was quoted in Sunday's Non-League Paper basically saying the FA Trophy was getting in the way of league fixtures and that he could do without it. They have only played 13 league fixtures thanks to Covid and their FA Cup run and they are a side who will be looking to get into the play-offs. I can see them resting players for this and they clearly won't care if they get knocked out. They have done pretty poorly away from home this season as well. Aldershot look like they will finish in a solid mid-table position and the FA Trophy gives them a good chance to give fans something to cheer about after some tough seasons since they were last in the play-offs. 9/5 is too big and I would have them around 5/4.
    Billericay v Chelmsford
    I am going to back the home team here in the Essex derby. Billericay have really struggled, but sacking someone who couldn't manage to save his life and getting a good manager in is a start. They did lose 3-0 to Dartford in their first game under him, but that was a tough start and they were good on Saturday in a 2-0 win over Dulwich. I have a feeling we might see some improvement from them and I make them slight value to beat a Chelmsford side who had lost 5 on the bounce prior to beating Braintree and St Albans. I think they probably played St Albans at the right time so I wouldn't read too much into that.
    Hemel Hempstead v Oxford City
    Hemel put down a 3G pitch in the summer, but I bet they are wishing they had stuck with grass given they have managed to pick up just one point in 6 home league matches. I have written plenty about Oxford City this season and they are a good side. They surprisingly went 2 down against Haringey on Saturday, but in the end ran out 4-2 winners and they will be used to playing on a 3G pitch given they have one themselves. My guess is they will go off odds on so Even money is value for me.
    Aldershot 2pts @ 9/5 with BetVictor
    Billericay 1pt @ 13/8 with Bet365
    Oxford City 2pts @ Evs with Bet365
  7. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in FA Cup Predictions > Jan 8th - 11th   
    Fair play to derby they tried hard but they never really looked like scoring and it was a pretty comfortable watch unlike the Peterborough game! Two double figures price winners in the same season! I doubt I will be repeating that anytime soon
  8. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in FA Cup Predictions > Jan 8th - 11th   
    Chorley v Derby
    Chorley have had some FA Cup journey so far given they got a bye into the 1st Round and then went and beat League 1 sides Wigan and Peterborough. Obviously they did me a huge turn against Peterborough when I put them up at 18/1 and they were superb that night. They have been strong in the league as well since until AFC Fylde beat them on Saturday 4-0. I suspect they may have already had one eye on this huge game so I will let them off that effort. Derby are 22nd in the Championship under Rooney although results wise it hasn't been that bad of late losing just 3 of their last 10. Now this game could be off due to Covid, but if they are forced to play the match we know several first team players and staff have it. They could have to put out a reserve side and to be honest it wouldn't have been a surprise if Rooney rested players anyway given staying up will be more important than an FA Cup run. If they are made to play the game Chorley will not start 12/1 and I am going to get in early.
    Chorley 1pt @ 12/1 with Betfair (10/1 with Bet365 if taken advantage of the 2 goals up offer)
  9. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > December 23rd - January 2nd   
    December was very much a month of 2 halves. From the start until the 12th I had 12/18 winners. From the 15th until the end I have had just 4/21 winners. Still most of the losers have just been 1pt selections so there was little damage done to the great profits from the first half and I was still 36pts up on the month from 61.5 staked.
    The yearly total stands at 197pts staked and 155pts profit.
  10. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from PercyP in Non-League Predictions > 12th December   
    Superb work Darran!!! ??

    4 out of 5!!!

    Amazing tipping again. Thank you.
  11. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 12th December   
    2 winners in midweek which meant we saw a tiny profit. The Marine tip from Tuesday is now on Saturday so we already have one bet and I will be adding 4 more.
    Chesterfield v Barnet
    For obvious reasons I am not a big fan of Chesterfield at the moment given they have taken Gloucester's manager and two players (I am more gutted about the players especially Asante than Rowe), but they look to have a great chance to pick up 3 more points here. Amazingly Rowe has managed to keep two clean sheets already given he only got one in over a year at Gloucester and given how poor Barnet have been up front you would give them a fair chance of keeping another one here. Tuesday's goal against Sutton came from Carline's long throws which will cause havoc for defenders and is probably the main reason Rowe wanted him to leave Gloucester. There will be much tougher challenges to come for Chesterfield, but this should be 3 more points to Rowe's team.
    Dagenham & Redbridge v Altrincham
    I'm still not convinced by Dagenham and they have only won 3 games in the league with the last of them coming against Weymouth on Tuesday night. Given how badly Weymouth defended on Saturday against Halifax it wasn't a great surprise to see Dagenham score 3, but in general they have struggled for goals so far this season. Altrincham are in a really good run of form at the moment winning 4 of their last 5 including a good win against Wrexham 10 days in their last game. I think they have good chance to win this and certainly look a big price.
    Ebbsfleet v Havant & Waterlooville
    Havant going down to 10 men early on in Wednesday's game probably did for them against Slough, but they are a big price to beat Ebbsfleet. Both sides have only lost 2 games in the league this season, but I do think Ebbsfleet have had a pretty kind fixture list on the whole and their last game was on November 21st due to Covid which they lost to Tonbridge. You would imagine both teams will be hoping to be in the play-off picture, but I think Havant have the stronger side and they could easily take advantage of any rustiness in the Ebbsfleet camp. They have only played two away league games so far this season, but last season their away form was superb and it is something to bare in mind here. I can't really work out why the bookies have got them so far apart in the betting.
    Alfreton v Chorley
    I am going with Chorley again as they continue their rise up the table. Alfreton have only won once in their last 9 although a draw against Southport last time was a bit of an improvement. They have been leaking goals for fun though and Chorley ought to be good enough to win this one.
    Marine v Hyde (Same preview as Tuesday night)
    Having tipped up two of the 4 FA Cup 3rd round Non-League sides I am going to add Marine to the list. As their FA Cup run has showed they are a very strong side for a Step 4 team this season and could easily hold their own in Hyde's league. These two sides wont be playing league football until January at the earliest, but the FA is carrying on with the FA Trophy which is why this is being played. Marine were allowed to train during lockdown because they were still in the FA Cup and they then obviously have had the Havant game as well. That should be to their advantage and Hyde have only won 1 league game out of 6 so far this season. Quite why Marine are 13/5 for this I don't know and they can have more cup success.
    Chesterfield 2.5pts @ 21/20 with Bet365
    Altrincham 1pt @ 21/10 with Bet365
    Havant & Waterlooville 1pt @ 23/10 with BetVictor
    Chorley 2.5pts @ 11/10 with Betway
    Marine 2pts @ 21/10 with Bet365 if you haven't backed them already after Tuesday
  12. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Predictions > 12th December   
    Superb work Darran!!! ??

    4 out of 5!!!

    Amazing tipping again. Thank you.
  13. Thanks
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > December 5th   
    A cracking Tuesday with 4 winners out of 5 helped by a late winner from Torquay. Been waiting for the National League fixtures to be priced up which for some reason took until Thursday afternoon. I have just the 3 bets for Saturday, but they are all outsiders (at the time of writing).
    Barnet v Wealdstone
    Barnet performed with credit against MK Dons in the FA Cup last week, but their awful league form showed up again on Wednesday night when they were thumped 5-2 by Halifax. Prior to that game Halifax had only scored 6 goals in the league! Barnet's defence has been an issue all season and they have conceded 24 in their 10 league games. We know that Wealdstone can score goals against the right opposition and Barnet are clearly the right opposition. They performed with credit against leaders Torquay on Tuesday night, but eventually Torquay got that late winner for us. Barnet's 2 league wins have come against Weymouth and Dagenham who are either side of them in the table. The away side may have only picked up 1 point in their last 4 games, but given they have played 4 of the current top 6 in the table I think 1 point was probably as much as they could have hoped for. There is no way they should be 9/4 to win this and I would have them no bigger than 6/4 myself.
    Hartlepool v Boreham Wood
    Boreham Wood are definitely better than their league position suggests and they had a nice confidence boosting win against Canvey Island in the FA Cup on Monday night. In my view they have a better side than Hartlepool. the home side have only won one of their last 7 games and that was against bottom side Yeovil. They also were held to a 0-0 draw at Barnet in their next game. Granted on Tuesday night they ended up with 10 men against Solihull, but they were playing a side who had played 120 minutes on Saturday in their first game for a while. They look lacklustre up front at the moment and apart from the 3-1 at Yeovil they have only scored 1 goal in their last 7. There is every chance 1 will be enough for the away side.
    Hungerford v Dulwich Hamlet
    I mentioned that Dulwich were improving when I put them up to beat Bath a couple of weeks ago and after going a goal down they ran out easy 4-1 winners. They haven't played since so come into this game fresher than their hosts. To be fair to Hungerford they have done amazingly well to be as high in the table as they are and a draw against St Albans and only going down 2-1 to Dartford after being in front were good efforts as well. Tuesday night it came crashing down a bit though as Oxford City beat them 4-1. Given Oxford had played 120 minutes just two days prior you would have thought Hungerford would have done better. I'd still have them as favourites, but I certainly think their is plenty of juice in Dulwich's price.
    Wealdstone 2pts @ 9/4 with Bet365
    Boreham Wood 2pts @ 19/10 with Bet365
    Dulwich Hamlet 1pt @ 23/10 with Betfair
  14. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Predictions > December 1st/2nd   
    Brilliant tips again Darran. Sadly I missed Torquay, as by the time I saw it, the price had collapsed to very short odds-on. Great night though. Thanks mate.
     
  15. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in FA Cup Predictions > Nov 26th - 30th   
    Barring handicaps, where there's team news about one team sending out a weakened side, I don't recall anyone on PL tipping a 14/1 football shot in a 2 horse race - and nailing it. 
    I must confess I was panicking in extra time, thinking it was too good to be true, and I cashed out - for a mere 13/1. ?. Awesome Darran. Even in your illustrious tipping history here, that must rank amongst the best and most satisfying.

    Seperately, the Solihull Moors game was a bit cruel, in that they could and should have been at least two goals up in the first half before Morecambe woke up - which would have been a winner by Bet365's terms - which could have kept the " retirement acca " alive for at least a few more hours. ?

    Whatever happens with the rest of your tips tomorrow, we're healthily in profit already. Form is temporary, class is permanent. Although your form this season so far this season has been off the scale...
  16. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from Darran in FA Cup Predictions > Nov 26th - 30th   
    Barring handicaps, where there's team news about one team sending out a weakened side, I don't recall anyone on PL tipping a 14/1 football shot in a 2 horse race - and nailing it. 
    I must confess I was panicking in extra time, thinking it was too good to be true, and I cashed out - for a mere 13/1. ?. Awesome Darran. Even in your illustrious tipping history here, that must rank amongst the best and most satisfying.

    Seperately, the Solihull Moors game was a bit cruel, in that they could and should have been at least two goals up in the first half before Morecambe woke up - which would have been a winner by Bet365's terms - which could have kept the " retirement acca " alive for at least a few more hours. ?

    Whatever happens with the rest of your tips tomorrow, we're healthily in profit already. Form is temporary, class is permanent. Although your form this season so far this season has been off the scale...
  17. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from Darran in FA Cup Predictions > Nov 26th - 30th   
    Wow!!!  What a shout on Chorley! - Amazing Darran. Thank you.
  18. Like
    Shep65 reacted to Mindfulness in FA Cup Predictions > Nov 26th - 30th   
  19. Like
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in FA Cup Predictions > Nov 26th - 30th   
    Granted I was in the kitchen for some of the game putting dinner together, but I didn't see Brackley put the ball in the net. Was a dire watch, but a quality goal saw Tranmere home. What I will say though is it backs up my thinking that the Football League sides find it really tough in an empty stadium so hopefully we can get at least a couple of the 6 over the line.
  20. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Predictions > November 24th   
    Great tips Darran. It must've galled you going againt your mighty Gloucester, but call it you did.

    3 out of 4. Great night. Thanks mate.
  21. Like
    Shep65 reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > November 17th   
    Apart from the games off because of Covid we have a full fixture list in the 3 National League's on Tuesday night. There looks to be plenty of value around as well as I have 7 bets.
    Aldershot v Maidenhead
    The two teams who won for us on Saturday go up against each other and I think Maidenhead look a big price. They did well to come from behind against Chesterfield on Saturday and that made it 5 wins on the bounce now. Sam Barratt is the league's top goalscorer having scored 9 goals in 8 games. As I mentioned on Saturday Aldershot are doing well enough themselves, but I just can't make Maidenhead as big as 23/10 as I would have them around the 13/8 mark myself.
    Bradford Park Avenue v Southport
    Fair play to Bradford for getting a point at Gloucester on Saturday as they took full advantage of a couple of defensive errors in what was a crazy game. Bradford certainly look a very different team from last season as there results suggested, but the bookies haven't paid any attention to that and have priced them up as the outsiders here. That made it 4 games unbeaten now after losing their 1st 2 games of the season. Southport had a very good start to the season although their 3 wins have come against Chorley, Hereford and Blyth and I think Bradford are better than them. Southport were poor on Saturday against Spennymoor and I would make BPA favourites rather than 2/1.
    Hereford v Gloucester
    Talking about teams who should be favourites Gloucester should be market leaders in this game. At 3-1 on Saturday I thought it was going to be another comfortable afternoon for City, but they gifted a goal to Bradford and the away side took confidence from that. Once Gloucester got it back to 4-4 though they were the better side in what had become dreadful weather and bar a superb save from the keeper they would have won it in injury time. As I keep saying the silly goals that City concede is frustrating, but they have so many goals in the side that most of the time it hasn't mattered. They certainly look so much stronger than Hereford going forward and I would make them around 11/10 to win this not the 17/10 that they are.
    Bath v Havant & Waterlooville
    Two sides who reached the play-offs last season, but fair to say they are having very different seasons this time around. Bath have been horrendous losing 4 of their 5 games and only managing to beat a Billericay side who lost their 1st 4 games. Havant again look set to be in the promotion pictures and have one of the strongest sides in the division. The only time they have lost was to current league leaders Dartford and they beat a good side in Oxford on Saturday in a dominant 2nd half performance. They really should have too much for Bath and even money looks a big price.
    Dulwich Hamlet v Dorking
    Dulwich are not doing well this season having picked up just 2 points in their 5 league games. I watched their FA Cup game against Christchurch last month and they didn't look a great side in that match. I just don't see how Dorking don't have too much for their hosts here. They have scored 17 goals in their 6 league games and the only time they haven't won was when they drew a blank against Hungerford. Dulwich have conceded 7 goals in their last 2 league games and I find it hard to see anything other than an away win. They should be odds on shots so the 5/4 looks huge.
    Oxford City v Chippenham
    I mention above that Havant dominated Oxford in the 2nd half on Saturday, but in the 1st half Oxford were the better side and could have been out of sight. That was two league defeats on the bounce, but as I mentioned on Saturday they showed how good a side they are in their FA Cup win over Northampton. Chippenham have lost 4 of their 6 league games and the only two they have won were against Dulwich and Braintree. That clearly is not saying much and City have been easily the better side of the two so far this season. 6/4 looks a huge price as I would have them odds on.
    Tonbridge Angels v Eastbourne
    Another baffling price here as Eastbourne should be clear favourites. They haven't lost a league game since the opening day of the season when they lost to Dorking. Since then they have won 4 and drawn 2. Not surprisingly they had a comfortable time of things on Saturday when beating Braintree 4-0. They are clearly a decent side this time around and certainly a better team than Tonbridge. Dorking beat them 4-1 on Saturday and although I wouldn't have Eastbourne at quite the same level as them, they should have too much for the home team.
    Maidenhead 1pt @ 23/10 with Bet365
    Bradford Park Avenue 1pt @ 2/1 with BetVictor
    Gloucester City 1pt @ 17/10 with BetVictor
    Havant & Waterlooville 3pts @ Evs with Bet365
    Dorking 4pts @ 5/4 with Betway
    Oxford City 2pts @ 6/4 with Betfred
    Eastbourne 2pts @ 17/10 with Betfred
  22. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from buga00 in Non-League Predictions > November 10th/11th   
    Ok, got that one wrong, accept that Hungerford were possibly in a false position, but evens on the away side? Odd. I'll just have to take that one on the chin. Good shout on Gloucester Darran - a very convincing win.
  23. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Predictions > October 31st   
    Darran, I had no idea of your family experiences. Health is wealth. Top dad. Donated. 
  24. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from Bedlam in Non-League Predictions > October 31st   
    After many a month and year following Darran's tips, but not feeling brave enough to put up my own, I thought I'd tentatively dip my toes into the water for once, in the spirit of interactivity and sharing....

    I had three, but Darran has already covered Oxford City. Perusing this week's other fixtures I noticed 2 others, not at chunky prices, but here goes... Without Darran's detailed insight, mine are based purely on form.

    Firstly in the Non League South League. Billericay v Ebbsfleet. Billericay have lost all their first 3 games to middle and lower position teams, scoring only once in those 3 games. Ebbsfleet are a lot more free scoring - 8 goals but conceding 6 in their 4 games. 6/5 for the away side looks a decent price.

    Secondly at marginal odds on in the Southern League South is Yate v Taunton. Yate have lost their last 5 games on the spin, Taunton, whilst not being spectacular are fairly consistent, losing only 1 of their last 6 - winning 3 and drawing 2 of their remaining others.  I fancy them to continue Yate's miserable run at a generally available 10/11 odds.

    In the interests of just non-voyeurism, I thought I'd try to contribute my thoughts...
     
    Edit:  Ebbsfleet's odds are surprisingly drifting and they can be widely  had around the 11/8 mark now.
  25. Like
    Shep65 got a reaction from Gidds in Non-League Predictions > October 31st   
    After many a month and year following Darran's tips, but not feeling brave enough to put up my own, I thought I'd tentatively dip my toes into the water for once, in the spirit of interactivity and sharing....

    I had three, but Darran has already covered Oxford City. Perusing this week's other fixtures I noticed 2 others, not at chunky prices, but here goes... Without Darran's detailed insight, mine are based purely on form.

    Firstly in the Non League South League. Billericay v Ebbsfleet. Billericay have lost all their first 3 games to middle and lower position teams, scoring only once in those 3 games. Ebbsfleet are a lot more free scoring - 8 goals but conceding 6 in their 4 games. 6/5 for the away side looks a decent price.

    Secondly at marginal odds on in the Southern League South is Yate v Taunton. Yate have lost their last 5 games on the spin, Taunton, whilst not being spectacular are fairly consistent, losing only 1 of their last 6 - winning 3 and drawing 2 of their remaining others.  I fancy them to continue Yate's miserable run at a generally available 10/11 odds.

    In the interests of just non-voyeurism, I thought I'd try to contribute my thoughts...
     
    Edit:  Ebbsfleet's odds are surprisingly drifting and they can be widely  had around the 11/8 mark now.
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