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KennyDelight

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  1. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from darko08 in Australian Open 2020   
    Ludmila Samsonova 2.20 to beat Jelena Ostapenko Bet365
    Reasons:
    Samsonova has had a full two months of training and playing. Had a full run in Australia including 3 qualifiers.
    Ostapenko hasn't featured in any matches in the lead up to the Australian Open and her father recently passed away
     
  2. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from fizrukas in Australian Open 2020   
    Alja Tomljanovic 2.10 to beat Anastasija Sevastova Bet365
    Reasons:
    Home crowd support, a good lead up to the first major with preparation games v Halep, Sharapova, Pliskova and Putintseva
    Sevastova leads 2-0 h2h but both in Mallorca on grass. Has been a bit average at end of 2019 and continued with 2 losses in lead up games to the Open to similar players to Tomljanovic (Kenin, Vekic)
  3. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from fizrukas in Australian Open 2020   
    Ludmila Samsonova 2.20 to beat Jelena Ostapenko Bet365
    Reasons:
    Samsonova has had a full two months of training and playing. Had a full run in Australia including 3 qualifiers.
    Ostapenko hasn't featured in any matches in the lead up to the Australian Open and her father recently passed away
     
  4. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from four-leaf in Australian Open 2020   
    Ludmila Samsonova 2.20 to beat Jelena Ostapenko Bet365
    Reasons:
    Samsonova has had a full two months of training and playing. Had a full run in Australia including 3 qualifiers.
    Ostapenko hasn't featured in any matches in the lead up to the Australian Open and her father recently passed away
     
  5. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from ivanhoe in Australian Open 2020   
    Alja Tomljanovic 2.10 to beat Anastasija Sevastova Bet365
    Reasons:
    Home crowd support, a good lead up to the first major with preparation games v Halep, Sharapova, Pliskova and Putintseva
    Sevastova leads 2-0 h2h but both in Mallorca on grass. Has been a bit average at end of 2019 and continued with 2 losses in lead up games to the Open to similar players to Tomljanovic (Kenin, Vekic)
  6. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from CzechPunter in Australian Open 2020   
    Alja Tomljanovic 2.10 to beat Anastasija Sevastova Bet365
    Reasons:
    Home crowd support, a good lead up to the first major with preparation games v Halep, Sharapova, Pliskova and Putintseva
    Sevastova leads 2-0 h2h but both in Mallorca on grass. Has been a bit average at end of 2019 and continued with 2 losses in lead up games to the Open to similar players to Tomljanovic (Kenin, Vekic)
  7. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from CzechPunter in Australian Open 2020   
    Ludmila Samsonova 2.20 to beat Jelena Ostapenko Bet365
    Reasons:
    Samsonova has had a full two months of training and playing. Had a full run in Australia including 3 qualifiers.
    Ostapenko hasn't featured in any matches in the lead up to the Australian Open and her father recently passed away
     
  8. Like
    KennyDelight reacted to CzechPunter in Australian Open 2020   
    This is probably the trickiest Grand Slam we've had to deal with so far in terms of conditions, because this is very different from having some rainy weeks. It's also hard to know how good the air quality is going to be in advance, because there are a lot of factors affecting that. I've also read that the umpires will be able to stop play pretty much indefinitely once the air quality becomes unbearable, although how exactly that is going to work is anyone's guess, because I'm sure that they are going to be pushed to the limit in that regard so as not to delay the tournament unnecessarily (well, unnecessarily for the organizers, that is). The world's elite and a few other lucky players are very likely to be shielded from most of the burden thanks to the three roofs the Australian Open comes with and I'm actually not all that surprised that Federer isn't against playing anymore, since he was likely notified that he's going to get all the right scheduling again, as is very likely to happen with Nadal, Djokovic, Barty, etc. as well.
    So what are we to make out of all this? Well, I've ran through the quarters a couple of times and, right now, pretty much the only bet that I'm considering is Barty to win her quarter, because she's been seriously impressive this week and as I'm sure that the organizers are going to do everything in order to increase her chances. So yeah, let's actually stick that out there - Ashleigh Barty to win the 1st quarter at 3.00 with Bet365 - the other strong players in her quarter are Kvitova (who might have serious physical issues) and Keys, while the rest shouldn't be too difficult honestly.
    As for the matches, I think that one has to be somewhat cautious and I honestly reckon that the best strategy to make a profit is to stay up all night, watch as many matches and possible, see how the players are coping with the conditions and bet accordingly. I stand by the Pegula bet that I've posted above, as she really is better than Townsend and as, let's face it, Townsend is the likelier of the two to seriously struggle if heat or bad air shows up. In general, you also have to be very wary of players that haven't played in any events so far or that haven't really performed in them, which is why I also very much like Cori Gauff (-2.5) to beat Venus Williams at 1.93 with Pinnacle. If I remember correctly, Venus withdrew from one of the early events due to some health issues and she has some chronic problems as well, so, unless nerves get to her, Gauff should prevail. I also like Shuai Zhang (-2.5) to beat Sloane Stephens at 1.88 with Pinnacle, because the two are going in different directions at the moment and because Sloane just isn't worth backing unless she's focused and on some sort of a run. She has the right skills for beating everyone, but she's just terrible when off and Zhang has the weapons to put her off and a 5-2 season record to boot. I really am focused too much on women and favorites and this might cost me, but what can I do when I don't see anything else? I'll also be backing three straight set victories on that front, Tamara Zidansek (-1.5 sets) to beat Han Na-Lae at 2.02 with Pinnacle, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova to beat Nina Stojanovic 2-0 at 1.80 with Bet365 and Magda Linette (-1.5 sets) to beat Arantxa Rus at 1.85 with Pinnacle. Those are some serious mismatches at the moment as far I see things, especially Zidansek and Pavs. Finally, in terms of qualifiers, I can't ignore Lauren Davis (-3.5) to beat Annie Leylah Fernandez at 1.71 with local and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to beat Norbert Gombos at 1.62 with local.
    That's what I have so far and I'm looking forward to everyone else's suggestions!
  9. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - January 3 - January 19   
    Thanks Money
    Was a bit worried when she came onto court with strapping on her thigh, her first service dropped to about 30%, even conspired to throw away a double break lead, but she pulled through against a pretty here and there performance by Stephens
    I would not back Ludmila v Pavlyuchenkova/Kvitova, but glad she had enough to get it done today
  10. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from money44 in Tennis Tips - January 3 - January 19   
    Thanks Money
    Was a bit worried when she came onto court with strapping on her thigh, her first service dropped to about 30%, even conspired to throw away a double break lead, but she pulled through against a pretty here and there performance by Stephens
    I would not back Ludmila v Pavlyuchenkova/Kvitova, but glad she had enough to get it done today
  11. Like
    KennyDelight reacted to money44 in Tennis Tips - January 3 - January 19   
    Great pick Kenny.. just saw the result 
  12. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from Hermes in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
    Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
    She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
    Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.
  13. Thanks
    KennyDelight got a reaction from darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
    Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
    She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
    Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.
  14. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from Mathos67 in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
    Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
    She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
    Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.
  15. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    This Bol final so far has pretty much been about pushing. Most of the shots are mild power into the middle. And now Sorribes-Tormo seem to have changed her service style, when she's hitting the serve now both arms parallel like someone playing volleyball
    BTW Nottingham weather is bad for the whole week. Keep that in mind for this week. Only Vekic has anything meaningful to defend and the majority of the field didn't play last year
  16. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from eros in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    This Bol final so far has pretty much been about pushing. Most of the shots are mild power into the middle. And now Sorribes-Tormo seem to have changed her service style, when she's hitting the serve now both arms parallel like someone playing volleyball
    BTW Nottingham weather is bad for the whole week. Keep that in mind for this week. Only Vekic has anything meaningful to defend and the majority of the field didn't play last year
  17. Thanks
    KennyDelight got a reaction from eros in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
    Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
    She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
    Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.
  18. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
    Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
    She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
    Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.
  19. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
    Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
    She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
    Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.
  20. Thanks
    KennyDelight got a reaction from eros in French Open 2019   
    WTA Bol 125k
    Tamara Zidansek 2.10 v Timea Bacsinszky
    I don't think Zidansek has started off great in her first two matches. It took her time to get into both matches but she eventually got the job done. She's the form player out of the two this year on clay, finalist here last year. Timea hasn't really been impressive on clay this year, also had two soft matches to come into this (Nao Hibino and Anna Tatishvili). Also bombed out of the French to Kurumi Nara in qualifying. There is value imo in the slight outsider whose massive forehand is a weapon when on and is fairly quick in her movement
  21. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from four-leaf in French Open 2019   
    WTA Bol 125k
    Tamara Zidansek 2.10 v Timea Bacsinszky
    I don't think Zidansek has started off great in her first two matches. It took her time to get into both matches but she eventually got the job done. She's the form player out of the two this year on clay, finalist here last year. Timea hasn't really been impressive on clay this year, also had two soft matches to come into this (Nao Hibino and Anna Tatishvili). Also bombed out of the French to Kurumi Nara in qualifying. There is value imo in the slight outsider whose massive forehand is a weapon when on and is fairly quick in her movement
  22. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    Saisai Zheng 2.20 to beat Yafan Wang Bet365
    Reasonings behind pick:
    - h2h 4-0 Zheng
    - Wang's first Madrid Open, slower surface. Her game doesn't have the most variety and her strength is her power, but I don't see her being able to outhit Zheng. Zheng has a little bit more variety and can utilise her slices, approaches to the net, moonballs and
    - Wang doesn't have a outstanding record on clay, neither Zheng but Zheng has played on this surface 2 years ago and made the second round including a win over Svitolina. Zheng just won the clay tournament in Anning whilst Wang came off a 3 set loss to Konta on a bit faster clay surface. I feel Zheng's style is more suited to this slower surface
     
  23. Thanks
    KennyDelight got a reaction from Larkin22 in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    Saisai Zheng 2.20 to beat Yafan Wang Bet365
    Reasonings behind pick:
    - h2h 4-0 Zheng
    - Wang's first Madrid Open, slower surface. Her game doesn't have the most variety and her strength is her power, but I don't see her being able to outhit Zheng. Zheng has a little bit more variety and can utilise her slices, approaches to the net, moonballs and
    - Wang doesn't have a outstanding record on clay, neither Zheng but Zheng has played on this surface 2 years ago and made the second round including a win over Svitolina. Zheng just won the clay tournament in Anning whilst Wang came off a 3 set loss to Konta on a bit faster clay surface. I feel Zheng's style is more suited to this slower surface
     
  24. Like
    KennyDelight got a reaction from Korayu in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    Saisai Zheng 2.20 to beat Yafan Wang Bet365
    Reasonings behind pick:
    - h2h 4-0 Zheng
    - Wang's first Madrid Open, slower surface. Her game doesn't have the most variety and her strength is her power, but I don't see her being able to outhit Zheng. Zheng has a little bit more variety and can utilise her slices, approaches to the net, moonballs and
    - Wang doesn't have a outstanding record on clay, neither Zheng but Zheng has played on this surface 2 years ago and made the second round including a win over Svitolina. Zheng just won the clay tournament in Anning whilst Wang came off a 3 set loss to Konta on a bit faster clay surface. I feel Zheng's style is more suited to this slower surface
     
  25. Like
    KennyDelight reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    @KennyDelightI expected lower odds for Garin but considering that Bautista decided to end his match against Berrettini by the fast way (1 hour) now the odds are very equal.