Primevil
-
Posts
1,675 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by Primevil
-
-
Re: Horses to Follow : May 2013 Ponty Acclaim Runs today in the 1.45 york, does her best fresh for me, and is being dropping down to a decent hcap mark, taking on some very very good sprinters last year, but gets a real chance today. This crewe love to have a winner at york, and I reckon they will have a real go today. 16/1 for this potential Group class 4 yo, may never be available again all season. I dont expect her out the first 4, and black type aint out of the question later on in the season.
-
Re: Flat Racing - Thursday 16th May
Cause for concern or not?, she is the class act here, but what do we make of this, ? I was willing to get stuck in here, but im not as happy as i was before i read this.Dalkala's journey to York has been giving connections of the French-trained filly cause for concern ahead of the Betfred Middleton Stakes at York on Thursday. The Prix de Royallieu winner, who made a pleasing reappearance when fourth in the Prix d'Harcourt last month, is not a good traveller and is reported by her trainer Alan de Royer-Dupre not to be enjoying the trip from his Chantilly base. "She had a good preparation in the Group Two in Longchamp and she ran well, but the main problem is she is travelling to York and she is not very calm in the van," said Royer-Dupre. "She's not having a very good trip, so we will have to wait and see. "She has a difficult character and she is not very happy. We will have to see how she is when she gets there." -
Re: Flat Racing - Thursday 16th May Dalkala's journey to York has been giving connections of the French-trained filly cause for concern ahead of the Betfred Middleton Stakes at York on Thursday. The Prix de Royallieu winner, who made a pleasing reappearance when fourth in the Prix d'Harcourt last month, is not a good traveller and is reported by her trainer Alan de Royer-Dupre not to be enjoying the trip from his Chantilly base. "She had a good preparation in the Group Two in Longchamp and she ran well, but the main problem is she is travelling to York and she is not very calm in the van," said Royer-Dupre. "She's not having a very good trip, so we will have to wait and see. "She has a difficult character and she is not very happy. We will have to see how she is when she gets there."
-
Re: Europa League Final > Chelsea v Benfica > 15th May Rafa is a lucky manager.....
-
Re: Europa League Final > Chelsea v Benfica > 15th May Smacks of a draw for me, ET and even penalties, both sides are not adverse to letting in goals, but cant see an outright winner. The 7/4 - 15/8 with Sportingbet, for the game to be won in ET or on Penalties is worth a shout. 9/2 ET 21/4 Penalties Backem both, 7/4 to 15/8, if you do your sums right.:ok
-
Now we have all the information in on the trials, Where are you going? Moth 4/1 Secrect Gesture 7/2 Libre Nauticus 5/1 These are best prices with 16 days to go. 10/1 Bar. For me the improver has to be Secret Gesture, the way she went at Lingfield was a treat, I have always said about Moth, that I would not back her with fony money, LN looks like she needs another race, I expect her to go for the Ribblesdale, then on to the Irish Oaks. 7/2 Secret Gesture looks like the big value to me... Your thoughts.?
-
Re: Indian Premier League 2013
Yep i think the bowlers thought it was in the bag...and bowled like amatures, It was a game of hit or miss for kings....they hit more than they missed!Easily chased. Even 200 looks chaseable against RCB bowler's... -
Re: Indian Premier League 2013 A massive shock indeed...they got it with 11 balls to spare,,,GILCHRIST batted really well, however a few times he had an enourmous amount of luck, misfields drop catches, dead man land drops ....13 sixes, was my last count, so at least the 4/5 went in... THAT IS CRICKET MY FREINDS......YOU JUST NEVER KNOW!
-
Re: Indian Premier League 2013 RCB scored = 174.....Very good score, be very hard to beat. 6's scored in their innings = 9, 3 from kings should be done. Imo the game is weighed in already, Kings dont have it in the batting department, only Millar is capable, of causing a massive shock here.
-
Re: Daily Racing Chat Thread
The man is most annoying, Mute button employed when he is on the mike!, and to think some of the desperate still phone his tipping line....:wallAnyone listen to the Thommo bingo on Timeform yesterday? "Hanagan the managan" was used more than once, I love how he finds it funny when he says it. "Wayne Rooneys horse" was a shoe in. "here comes the favourite, he's gonna get there" (no he's not Derek). Some character. -
Re: Indian Premier League 2013 RCB are very good at home, and a win today will be a massive step to finishing in the Top4, that tho depends on their next away game, 6 out of 6 at home, and Kings dont have it to go there and win in front of this crowd. Yes Home win, also Kings can mathamatically reach the playoffs, however, IMO Wigan have more chance of staying up in the PL A win at home for CSK today, cements their place in the top 4, I doubt they will let the opportunity slip, If they win it almost gives them top two, in the playoffs. Get out and win will be the cry!, keep it simple. Bat well they will win. DD are playing for pride, they were poor in the batting department last time the teams met, and I doubt much will change with alot of squad players getting a game today, 1 or 2 may step up, however the result will be a home win. So the double stands as a good bet for both home teams.
-
Re: Figuring out how a race will be run...
To be fair m8, Ground is crucial, however take today, with all reports, rain is in the south, that must put a line thru alot of runners that are expecting top of the ground, and by race time it may well be flipped on its head,,,,Pace is the hardest...If we can work that out, you will be right more than wrong. Buick on a front runner with no pressure setting the fractions is magical to watch.From the few handicaps I looked at yesterday I'm pretty pleased with how I imagined the running. I built the likely 1f/2f order on paper going by style and draw. I just need to understand better how ground and pace affects different styled runners and their weight. -
Re: England vs New Zealand - Test Series Top England Batsman, NRD Compton, 5/1 most firms. Hit two centurys, when last playing NZ, and Lords and to a certain extent Leeds, are fast becoming batsman tracks, The only thing that could be against you at Leeds would be overcast skys. But that is 10 days away. However the 0-0 is a very good shout, The Lords test, will only see 10 out of the 15 sessions IMO, the weather at the end of the week in London is not promising at all. So 8/1 the draw at leeds....you may easily end up with, and plenty of trading there.
-
Re: eurovision 2013
Still bits n pieces of 14/1 available for this saturday...Nailed on first 4 for me,2 weeks today, the final is on. RUSSIA, at 14/1, ew first4, is a knocking bet, no way this will be out of the 4, and with the voting, who knows. Denmark are worthy faves, but far to short in this event. -
Re: Figuring out how a race will be run... Just a side point on this, In Hong Kong, a trainer has to publish in the race program if he is going to change tactics with a horse on previous runs...How bloody refreshing that would be.....Just cant see for the life of me, The Mark Johnston outfit taking out a licence over there...:rollin
-
Re: 2013 Epsom Derby
I had 12's about Carlton House for the Derby after seeing him run in 2 maiden races. Stoute training the horse influenced me and there was some concern over his ability to get 12f but I knew if he won the Dante (10f looked perfect) he'd be much shorter. He went 9-4 for the Derby and was 5-2 on the day but I let it run and didn't lay it off. I've got a similar situation this year with Dawn Approach' date=' on for the Derby at 16-1 and also got a double at 28-1 for the Guineas and Derby. I won't be losing loads if he doesn't win so I'm thinking to just let it run and possibly back Telescope before the Dante or one of the O'Brien runners to go into the Derby with a few alternatives should Dawn Approach not get home over 12f. Would others lay it off (stakes are only 10pts each bet) or just let it run? I've also got doubles with Kingsbarns but accept that they are gone and a single on Mars at 12's. The Fabre horse interests me, same kind of approach to the race as Pour Moi.[/quote'] If i was in your position, I would trade out my stakes...to cover all my Ante post, thus far, and enjoy the race. If he wins your still plenty in. Just how i would go, however I believe, he will win.:D -
Re: The Trainers Thread
John Gosden has one runner at Wolverhampton' date=' today. His handicap record this year is 6 wins in 27, but at Wolverhampton it's 3 wins in 4 and the other run was a place. It's forecasted as fav but doesn't really have any form to speak of. Can Gosden continue his track form?[/quote'] The 9/2 was tempting, well done for pointing it out,,William Buik was sublime, tick tock tick tock,,,thats how to pace a race. -
Re: Daily Racing Chat Thread Its good to get it out ya system Jimmy, Alot of us have said and been were your going here. Many Many outfits in Racing CHEAT!, there is no other word for it. Come back stronger, take a break, fill your time with other pursuits, watch highlights, wait for the big meetings, G1s Grade 1s etc, most will be trying.:D
-
Re: 2013 Epsom Derby
Yeah 100% with regards to AOB horses, 2-3 pacemakers to make it a end to end gallop, is not out the question, and there may be value in the pacemakers. I doubt JB will play around with the Sheik, given the bad press recentley. They have said he will go there, and I believe that, unless an injury happens.As Primeval says DA lining up for the Derby has to be taken on trust given Jim Bolger's antics with DA's sire ( a common trait with top trainers recently ), better to take a slightly shorter price when NRNB is available. Also with AP O'BRIEN being mob handed again, it may be better to leave his horses till the line up is more clear and jockey bookings are announced. His horses which may appear not to get the Epsom Derby trip may be diverted to the French Derby which may be more attractive now that they have recently made the race 2 furlongs shorter. -
Re: 2013 Epsom Derby only 5 winners in the last 30 years have been double figure prices. with almost 50% of winners being 1st or 2nd fav, in the same period. Camelot, Authorised, Nashwan, Reference Point, Slip Anchor, Shergar....were all shorter leading up to winning their Derbys. Dawn Approach is already in this bracket if not better than a couple, its clear to me none of the others are. At 7/4 - 15/8 he is well worth this price tag.
-
Re: The Trainers Thread interesting that the same owner have two runners today, for JG...1 in Doncaster and 1 here. Buick stays here. 9/2, may well be tempting.
-
Re: 2013 Epsom Derby Ocovango...For me , shouts of an in experienced horse, only beating 16 or so horses in his life over 3 runs, getting all his own way, in farsical sectionals at time, Epsom will be oh so different. Added to that a jockey who has had 1 ride in the UK in his life, and would never have come accross anything like this place. Also looking at his last race, did that race shout of a classic?, 2nd 3rd n 4th, were all too close. My thoughts Fabre would wait, and gain more experience...However the owner may insist, as he has 1 in the oaks and another in the Derby. He should be 25/1 imo.
-
Re: 2013 Epsom Derby MILL REEF.....1970, 5f salisbury stakes. 1971, Middle distance horse of the year, I guess there are one or two more who made their debut at 5, But DA goes into this derby with a classic already under his belt, and several G1's. Bookmakers will talk up horses to try and fill their book, He will get the distance of that there is no doubt to me. His temperment is that good, Kevin Manning will need an alarm clock with him, accross Epsom Downs on the day going to post, most will boil up, he tho will not. Distance will be second IMO.
-
dawn approach 7/4 battle of marengo 5/1 telescope 5/1 10/1 bar My thoughts after today, is If Dawn Approach turns up at Epsom, the only thing that gets him beat is team tactics by the AOB horses. Unless Telescope turns out to be a superstar next week, nothing beats DA if he turns up on the day. But the 7/4 on offer will still be there on June 1st, so there is no point in ante post if you aint already backed him. He is already a mid to high 120's OR imo, that would win 9/10 Derbys in any year without improvement, and if he wins the Derby, 130+ is in his compass. I have no doubt whatsover he stays the distance, and im also confident, that the tactics from AOB will fully test him. If he turns up on June 1st he wins. Your opinions?, TY
BBOTD - Thursday 16th May
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: BBOTD - Thursday 16th May Ponty Acclaim 16/1 bet 365, but also plenty of other firms. Win for this competition, but e/w with your own hard earned is a stand out. Runs today in the 1.45 york, does her best fresh for me, and is being dropping down to a decent hcap mark, taking on some very very good sprinters last year, but gets a real chance today. This crewe love to have a winner at york, and I reckon they will have a real go today. 16/1 for this potential Group class 4 yo, may never be available again all season. I dont expect her out the first 4, and black type aint out of the question later on in the season.