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t0mson

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Posts posted by t0mson

  1. Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday March 19th

    Is this a logical reason to follow you? You watch the first round ' date='and the stadium will be sold out and ?[/quote'] I Think about extra motivation for home side. Of kors everything is possible its football but this odd is must play. I expected around 1,7 so 10/10 for me and Huge value.
  2. Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday March 19th Besiktas vs Club Bet of the year for me. Home side should win this without problem. I saw first game and Turkey were very good. Surprise that this game end 2:1 for Club. Today full stadium expected over 70,000 fans. Club has brilliant run but don't forget about their weak rivals. Here is clear class difference so it's must play. Home win. Besiktas -0,5@ 2,00 10/10

  3. Re: Bundesliga > March 21st - 23rd Today Leverkusen is huge bet for me. Leverkusen results not reflected their form. I saw last games and have to say that they were unlucky. Against Bayern played very well, against Hannover to. Their game against Psg was very good to. Atmosphere in team is good despite current results. Coach said that games looked good but results are other problem. Today everything should back on good way .Away side is typical team which love attack but not worry about defence. Its clash between two different side with different targets. Hoffe played against Schalke and lose 4/0. Odds on S04 was around 1,9 now we have 1,85 on better team-leverkusen. Odd are to high, should be typical 1,55 and 2,00 -1. Maybe long streak without win affected that we had 1,85. Now little drop. Bayer -0,5@1,85 (now 1,76) Bayer -1@2,32 (now 2,30)

  4. Re: Europa League > Thursday March 13th

    sevilla always plays b squad and they have drawn most of their uefa matches. real betis aren't bad. both team to score looks obvious as its local derby
    Yes but it's huge derby bro. They will take it seriously. This game is in their mind few days ;). Sevilla play much better now and I'm sure about this win. Good Luck.
  5. Re: Europa League > Thursday March 13th Sevilla is huge bet for me mainly AH-1 @ 1,95 at the moment. Betis have the worst defence in Spain. Sevilla take this seriously, it's one of the most important game in season agains local rival Betis !. Everything can happen but I'm sure about home win here. This team meet last time and Sevilla won 4-0 with one man advantage. There was huge difference quality so once again home should trash Betis. Sevilla (AH-1) [1,95$] 10/10

  6. Re: Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday February 18th Hahah, I'm on it bro but safe option (0) @ 1,71. Home side have crisis at the moment especially in defence. Atmosphere is very nervous what give advantage for away side. Leverkusen will have huge problems with physical aspect. If you watched game against Schalke you saw how intense it was. They played against Lautern 120 minutes, against Schalke 90min but very intense. PSG will have more time to rest what is very important on this level in my opinion. Another is that away is much better in every aspect (defence, ofence, individual ). This is must bet (0) is very safe here. Don't worry about Cavani. It's the weakest Leverkusen in this season... Don't remember crisis as now. I'm sure odd will go down to 1,60 or 1,55 in matchday. Don't like - handicap on away so (0) for me. Draw will be good to for PSG. If they lose I will play again on them in Paris :) so no stress...

  7. Re: Bundesliga > February 14th - 16th Another fact is that they will have Champions League clash on Tuesday and may give their 70% so home side is very risky bet. Sometimes I'm asking question why we have huge difference in odd when both teams play on similar level. Team like Schalke should not be underdog here. It's Bundesliga one of the best league to play underdogs. It's like NHL , no favourites ! All games are hard for every teams !

  8. Re: Bundesliga > February 14th - 16th

    Leverkusen-Schalke Bet: Schalke +0.5 @1.87 (Pinnacle) (6/10) Have to take this odds here. Leverkusen with a busy week, cup game against Lautern, the match against Schalke and on Tuesday the very important first game in the CL against Paris at home. Leverkusen surely has to concentrate on the match agaisnt Paris. Surely they won't play with a 2nd line up against Schalke but the concentration will probably not be 100% on point. Leverkusen's performance after the winter break surely wasn't as good as in the first half of the season. They lost the first match against Freiburg with 2-3, won luckily against Stuttgart with 2-1 (A draw would have been an alright result) and then a close 1-0 against Gladbach. In the cup match against Lautern they rested three players with Kießling, Castro and Spahic. However Kießling had to come into the game after around 30 minutes due to an injury and Castro came in middle 2nd half. They couldn't really rest any player and furthermore this match lasted over 120 minutes. Leverkusen was the worse team over the whole match and Lautern could have finished the victory in regular time already. Absolutely not impressed by Leverkusen's performance. Schalke on the side really improved after the winter break. They are playing much better combination football and seem to finally have found the right system with Boateng playing on the 6. Here he can fully show his good tackling as well as his good passes. The result were three wins after the winter break (3-0 against Hamburg, 2-1 against Wolfsburg and 2-0 against Hannover). Schalke will miss quite some players against Leverkusen: Draxler (Already out for a rather long time,) Aogo, Clemens, Höger, Kirchhoff (All long term injuries). Neustädter (injury against Hannover) still has a chance to play against Leverkusen.
    It's must bet. I expected 1,50 for Schalke +0,5. This odd is set wrong. Oddsmakers don't know market good as I thought. Huge mistake.
  9. Re: TIM Cup > February 11th & 12th Today we have clash of the Titans from Serie A. Napoli need win if dream about Final. Home side will have huge advatage today, with full supporters. Teams like Dortmund, Arsenal after game at Sao Paulo was shocked because it is one of the hardest ground to play in Europe.Napoli lose aginst Atalanta last time , they had small crisis but everything back on good way against Milan. We can't compare Napoli performance on away because at home the are completly different team. They were superior aginst Milan , very confident despite the fact that lose first goal. Roma lose one game only on away this season against Juventus. They were completly dominated in this game, today they will play similar game on very hard ground. Both team have quality but Napoli is much stronger at home, Benitez know how to win and Napoli players will execute his plan today I'm sure about this one so stake is high. Napoli -0,5 @ 2,30 High Stake GL

  10. Re: Bundesliga > January 29th - February 2nd

    Leverkusen- Stuttgart Stuttgart is the team who starts well, and ends bad. They scored against Mainz and Bayern the 1st goal. I follow VfB last games and you can see that they cant make the game. There chances here are the counter attacks, and they can do it well. Leverkusen played 7 of 9 Home games 1st halves over 1,5 goals. They start at home very aggressiv in the first half. So i think there will be good counter attacks from Stuttgart. 1st half BTTS 4.3 @ TIPICO
    Good idea, both teams with power in front can create few chances maybe in first half and your bet will be green ;). I like Leverkusen here but odd is to low for me at the moment. Live bet will be good option. I'm thinking about Asian -1 but odd must be above 2,00. Good option might be goal after 73min. Stuttgart had very hard game in midd-week against Bayern what cost them a lot of energy. 3 day rest might be not enough. Class team like Leverkusen should take advatage and won by 2 goals margin but it's Bundesliga...:loon
  11. Re: Ligue 2 > January 24th - 27th meat is good but this league is not good to betting. Today I played against your bets and I have profit. Knowledge very deep but results ? Don't worry green will back. Betting this league is typical gamble . I'm english soccer fan so this league is very boring for me without goals. It look like amateur league.

  12. Re: Brazil Serie B 2013 Thread Last round I watched Fig - ABC game. Away side impressed me very well. They were better side in my opinion and should take some points from this game but first goal after mistake defence and second after header but goalkepper could stopped both shots in my opinion. ABC has problem with free kicks (defence) , their front look nice but had problem with efficent. At home ABC will have amazing support what will be 12th player for them. Must win. Don't think ASA still believe about staying Serie B... ABC -1 @ 2,36

  13. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread

    Follow your gut feeling, I missed a great bet tonight... I personally stay away from all games with Santos involved - to me this is the most unpredictable team here. I can't see them winning tomorrow at Coritiba, but then again I expected them for example to lose the local derby to Sao Paolo. They didn't just keep the lead but made it 3-0 with a man down...On paper Coritiba needs the win more, but lately they simply do not achieve. As of the game at Atletico Paranaense I was on the home win, and you are fully right - Coritiba attacked dangerously and those 4+ extra minutes cost me few grey hairs ... NO BET for me, good luck !
    Sorry bro. Sometimes our choices are going wrong. Felt Joinville strong but everything was against us. Thanks for info, I'll stay away...
  14. Re: Brazil Serie B 2013 Thread

    I am very confident about the Over 2' date='5 Goals in this game, as I do not trust Joinville at the back either. Another small trend I followed is More Goals in the second Half with Joinville involved - both good as a straight bet or for in-play at half time. Good luck with the Home Win, I go for Goals here ![/quote'] Joinville was better in my opinion. Unlucky bet, missed penalty. Lose goal against 10 men. Next time will be better :)
  15. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread Coritibia impressed me against Atletico last away game. They were unlucky but played much better even 10 vs 11 after red card. Two fast goal within 5 minutes decided about lose points. One goal after brilliant Atletico free kick. Don't know Santos well maybe some Brazilian Bettors give some advice about this game. -0,25 look not bad. Now around 1,90 ;)

  16. Re: Brazil Serie B 2013 Thread

    I am very confident about the Over 2' date='5 Goals in this game, as I do not trust Joinville at the back either. Another small trend I followed is More Goals in the second Half with Joinville involved - both good as a straight bet or for in-play at half time. Good luck with the Home Win, I go for Goals here ![/quote'] Thanks bro ! Hope both of us will be winners 3x0 or 4x1 will make us happy. ABC is very poor in every formation. Joinville has more quality contrast to ABC in my opinion. Feel this bet very strong, hope that can trust my instict ;)
  17. Re: Brazil Serie B 2013 Thread Joinville - ABC Home siede here for me. Their last 5 games was not bad like results look. Last away game was very unlucky. Home side grabed point after clear referee mistake who awarder penalty. Today they are very motivated and know that this game is must-win for them. A lot of people play ABC but I have ask the question. Did you watch ABC game ? They are not good in my opinion. Results might be huge trap here. Their back is very weak especially when opponents have free kicks. Midfield look poor to and attacker don't convince me contrast to Joinville. Home side has not problem with scoring opportunity another important aspect is that ABC have more missings that Joinville. Players are very motivated, full stadium expected time to breake last unlucky results. The are serious Seria A candidate. For me much better team here is Joinville and win here 2/3 goal margin easly. ABC won against 1st ranked Palmeiras but played very weak and had more lucky than skills. Joinville @ 1,74 Joinville AH -1 @ 2,44

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