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Mister P

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Posts posted by Mister P

  1. Re: CONCACAF Gold Cup: 5-25 June

    Cuba v Mexico Cuba AH +2.5, +3.0 @ 2.18 I know Mexico are heavy favourites here but with such a big handicap at these odds, I feel it has to be taken. I know you can't really compare but the likes of San Marino, Faroe Islands etc this week with even longer odds for the win than Cuba in this game have managed results with a win and only losing by a couple of goals. I think that sure Mexico are a decent side who can score lots of goals against poor sides but as has been mentioned I don't feel that Cuba have really had a chance to play against sides like this recently in a proper cup competition. Who knows? I'm still expecting a Mexico win but I feel that a handicap like this could quite easily happen with Mexico needing a three goal cushion for it to lose. :hope
    San Marino were about 41.00, the Faroe's nowhere near that, Bounce. On Mexico myself. Have you had a look at Costa Rica's goals against Cuba? (y'can see 'em on Youtube). Cuba looked like a pub team, they really did.
  2. Re: International Friendlies > 7-9 June

    Result: Uruguay 1 Holland 1 I only saw the last 15 minutes, and my impression was two good defences had been on top. Suares scored with a good strike in the 82nd minute, and that really opened the game up, with both sides having chances. Holland equalised in added time, and it seemed that a draw was probably a fair result.
    How can you provide a match report when you only saw fifteen minutes? :unsure
  3. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers: 7-8 June Anybody have any thoughts on this? Azerbaijan AH + 4.5 @ 1.19 (Bet365) Germany CS 5-0 @ 12.00 (Victor) Basically, with the right stakes, providing Germany don't win 6-1, 7-2 or any other score with a five goal deficit, a profit is locked in. Same could probably be done with San Marino.

  4. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers: 7-8 June

    Azerbaijan - Germany We are very strange team. We tend to play really good football against strong sides and fail to impress against outsiders and the game against Kazakhstan is a real proof of that. Also we play good football at home and very few teams had easy games in Baku. Here are our home results against strong sides in recent qualifiers: EURO 2000: Azerbaijan 1-1 Portugal (Figo scored on 94th minute :wall) FIFA 2002: Lost 0-1 at home to Sweden (1st) and Turkey (2nd) EURO 2004: Azerbaijan 0-2 Italy FIFA 2006: Azerbaijan 0-1 England EURO 2008: Azerbaijan 0-2 Portugal FIFA 2010: Azerbaijan 0-2 Germany So, to sum up we don't concede many goals at home against top sides. Germany did not impress me that much against Austria where I expected them to win easily. Also during this weekend we saw that small sides can play decent football like San Marino and Andorra both losing just by 1 goal, and keep in mind that the said sides have maybe 2-3 professional player in their squads. Another thing to mention is that at home we play on counter attacks and can be very dangerous and Germany knows that so they will first focus on defense and don't concentrate on attack. I think the scoreline will be the same as last time these sides played in Baku but will take some cover if Germany score 3 goals. So, large stakes on this one and most likely no more bets till Champions League and Europa League qualification begins. Under 3 Goals @ 2.42 Bet365
    You may be correct in that bet, but the problem for me is a side like Germany always has the potential to score several. Russia was a good example of that yesterday, beating the -1.5 out of nowhere. There's always the chance Azerbaijan could score too. Have you looked at Betfair for this bet, by the way, Mustafa? I find Betfair always have better odds than Bet365. Some other sites like Hills do to, on occasion.
  5. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers - Saturday 4 June Wins: Norway AH + 1.5 @ 1.80 Israel AH + 0.5 @ 1.50 Losses: Half-time/Full-time England @ 2.06 Montenegro @ 1.99 Iceland AH + 1.5 and half time/full time Slovakia @ 1.71 Half time/full time Slovakia @ 1.25 Winning margin Russia by one goal @ 3.50 Not sure what happened with Slovakia, but they must of done well to of waited until twenty-five from the end to open the scoring :eyes Apologies to anyone that followed. England was stupid, in hindsight, especially with no Young from the start.

  6. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers - Saturday 4 June Norway AH + 1.5 @ 1.80 (Bet365) Gonna go back on my initial assessment of this one and back the group leaders. Portugal showing a massive improvement under new coach Bento, beating Denmark and Iceland 3-1, and spanking Spain 4-0 in a friendly. Even so, I think Norway may slow that momentum today. They've done well to get to the top of the group, and I think Olsen's organised outfit can surprise.

  7. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers - Saturday 4 June

    i would love to follow on the slovakia but im not impressed by their squad list .. i know a few like hamsik but hes hit and miss when ive seen him so can anyone tell me their best strikers etc? half time is 1.20 on betfair not alot available at mo, but sure u can spread bets about to cover it somehow...
    A team like Slovakia doesn't have a bunch of absolute stars, but they have more than enough to see this bet through. In recent qualifiers they've put seven past San Marino, twice, and although Andorra aren't as bad as San Marino, they're not a million miles away.
  8. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers - Saturday 4 June

    Russia – Armenia Can’t believe that inconsistent team like Russia is such a strong favorites against this Armenia side. During this qualifying campaign Armenia lost only 1 out of 4 games and they only lost narrowly to Ireland 0-1. Russia is not an attacking team and in 4 of their qualifying games they won by two goals only once against Andorra. I expect this one to be a tight game with Russia winning narrowly by 1 goal. This Armenia side is strong and I can’t see them losing by more than 2 goals. England -1 AH & Armenia +2 AH @ 2.60 Bet365
    Winning margin Russia by one goal @ 3.50 (Bet365) I agree with your angle on this, Mustafa, but am taking a slightly different bet. Russia probably will win, but it'll probably be a scrappy victory, and pretty tight.
  9. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers: Friday 3 June Lay Belgium @ 2.30 Win Italy -1.5 AH @ 1.55 Win France @ 1.56 Loss Moldova + 2.0 @ 1.71 Loss Watched Italy 'til they scored, and they looked very good. Lucky with the penalty miss in Turkey, but still stand by what I said about the Belgians. France was silly, and they may as well of played with a fly goalie. At the same token, they haven't worked the Belarus keeper, which is poor. Moldova was fcuked by the early strikes :lol

  10. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers - Saturday 4 June Iceland AH + 1.5 and half time/full time Slovakia @ 1.71 (Bet365) Start by saying not gonna explain the Slovakia one, which hopefully will come through with little problems. Iceland haven't done too badly to this point, holding leaders Norway until fifteen from the end, beaten at the death in Denmark, a draw in Cyprus and defeat to Portugal. Against a Denmark outfit that has been a bit up and down so far, I quite like them to at worst suffer a one goal defeat.

  11. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers - Saturday 4 June Montenegro @ 1.99 (Betfair) Obviously the Montenegrins having a dream qualifying, and I see no reason for them to let up. They also have been boosted going in to this one by the returns of highly rated Fiorentina striker Jovetic, Drincic and Fatic, all of whom have been missing up to his point. The Bulgarians have a new coach in Lothar Matthaus, who thus far has overseen just the win over Wales, but Bulgaria are an average side, as English fans saw at Wembley, and I see no reason why Montengro can't repeat their earlier group victory.

  12. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers - Saturday 4 June Half-time/Full-time England @ 2.06 (Betfair) Fairly confident in our lads tomorrow. Very impressive start to the campaign was tainted by the unacceptable draw with the Montengrins, but the side bounced back with a very comfortable win against the Welsh. No Rooney, but I like a front three of in-form Villa pair Young and Bent, and either Milner or Walcott, backed up by a very solid looking first choice back five, and a midfield three of Parker, Lamps and Wilshire. The Swiss have got back on track a little, beating the Welsh and drawing in Bulgaria, but they still don't look particularly threatening. They're also having problems up front, with first choice pairing Frei and Strellar retiring since their last match. Darren Bent to score first and result: England @ 5.00 (Bet365) Bent in form for both club and country, and looking to make it four games scoring on the bounce. I think he has as good a chance as anyone to open the scoring.

  13. Re: Barclays Premier League > Ante-Post 2011-12 Season

    I rate Lambert and Rodgers very highly' date=' but I'd hazard a guess that Norwich and Swansea will probably have the 2 smallest budgets in the league next season. Who do you see taking the drop in place of one of them?[/quote'] Debt-wise, we're not too bad, so I think Lambert :notworthy:notworthy:notworthy will get a decent amount to strengthen. Vaughan already in, Morison too probably soon as well. Lambert :notworthy:notworthy:notworthy likes all his business done early too, so I'd imagine a clearer picture of our chances won't be too far away.
  14. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers: Friday 3 June

    Obviously not backing Italy straight as it is just stupid.
    If you have the funds and they're highly likely to do it at 1.18, why not? Fairly straightforward £18, if you stuck £100 on it say. Or 10,000 units :tongue2 Clean sheet market is ''teams to score'' I think, and Italy and the win is 1.61 or so, I believe, mate.
  15. Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers: Friday 3 June Lay Belgium @ 2.30 A few drumming up support for the Belgians, but I'm still not convinced by them. Their campaign was fairly average up until the last two games, when they won in Austria and beat Azerbaijan 4-1, but one swallow does not a summer make, for me anyway. No Sahin or Altintop for the Turks, and some dodgy comments from Hiddink about his future are concerns, but Turkey had a big win last time out against the Austrians, and I still think they'll continue that momentum. Italy -1.5 AH @ 1.55 (Bet365) As I mentioned earlier in the thread, Prandelli has got Italy playing again after the World Cup saga, and they're looking strong in this campaign, with the highpoint being a win in Slovenia. Estonia have been up and down, and can't be underestimated with the Italy and Serbia results, but aren't as sound defensively away as at home (they lost 7-0 at Bosnia in the last campaign) and I believe the Italian forward line can exploit that. France @ 1.56 (Betfair) Similar to Italy, France are also in the midst of a recovery. They haven't been spectacular, but are looking solid. I think the Bosnia result is a good gage for this one. Belarus, as we know, have a lot of injury problems, but would of struggled against such a talented side regardless.

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