Aidymac

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Here it is mate! http://www.pgatour.com/webcom/tour-insider/2015/10/14/top-10-grads-to-watch-on-TOUR.html?cid=PGA TOUR
An outrageous article.. His No. 1 was Grillo (WON) and his No. 2 was Kaufman (WON).. His number 3 is Lahiri who plays in Malaysia this week and No. 4 was Kizzire who was bang there in the Shriners at the weekend too.. 

Just seen your shout last week on Sullivan Aidy. Great call, nice price.

The Shriners Hospitals for Children Open is one of those events that I find interesting to attempt to decipher. Plenty of renewals, masses of data and plenty of eagles and birdies. The course is pretty non-descript, but it's of resort nature and features massive green complexes which are pure bentgrass. It's a rarity as in as much that the course from tee-to-green is Bermudagrass, which plenty can't chip + scramble from. Scoring is scary low and rain in the build-up will only help that. It could also help the more powerful, but in-reality there should be plenty of roll on the fairways and the altitude here helps the shorter hitters. 

With this in-mind I've gone down the route of straight from the tee, with an excellent short game. The ability to shoot low scores is critical, as is recent experience of contending performances. So I'm with Ryan Moore (managed to get 28s). Jason Bohn (40s), Brendon Todd (55s), Russell Henley (66s) and David Hearn (125s).

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The all important step-by-step guide is here...

"5 Championship players started", you stated the magic formula, maybe more teams should use it.

Thanks the heads up on that price, went with Lewa FGS.
 

Scotland v Poland
This is an extremely tough match to call and it is clear to see why the draw is shorter than it normally would be, top priced 3.25 with Sky Bet. The return leg was a 2-2 draw in Poland and both teams still can qualify if this match ends in a draw. If Scotland lose, they are out though. There are so many permutations here in this group, it is extremely tight. 
I think we should see both side attack this match so both teams to score could be a decent bet at 2.00 with Bet365. However, my main bet of the night is going to be a win bet on Poland to come to Scotland and send them crashing out of the Euro 2016 campaign. Robert Lewandowski is the hottest striker on the planet right now. He has scored an incredible 16 goals in just 9 games for Bayern Munich this season and is also the top scorer in the Euro 2016 Qualifiers.
He is a massive 5/1 to score the first goal with Coral and I couldn't put anyone off having a bet on that. Scotland in my opinion had their chance to stamp their authority on the group against Georgia, but they failed miserably. They put up a gallant display in their 3-2 defeat to Germany at home last time out but they will be under huge pressure now which should play into Poland's hands. This match could go either way, but I think the Poles have what it takes.
 
Back Poland to WIN ~ 2 Points @ 2.80 Betfred
 
Read Full Preview @ https://www.punterslounge.com/scotland-v-poland-preview--tips-it-is-do-or-die-for-strachan-and-his-tartan-army

I personally think that's a great bet mate. I can see Germany winning to NIL myself, don't see where our goals are going to come from.. It is worth bearing in mind that we have the best defence in the group only conceding 5 goals, but that counts for little tomorrow night I feel as we have such a depleted squad, are playing the world champions and last time they came here they scored 6 times.. I guess the only thing you have to be concerned about it how much Germany want it.. If they play to 70% they should win 2-0 or 3-0.. We will be seeing new faces on the team tomorrow, they have only trained together 2 days, no time to gel, I am frightened! I saw Germany -2 as big as 4/1 a couple of days ago which I think is a very decent bet, but don't know what price it is now.

I also like goals mate! Shay Given picking it out a few times  I don't buy into the big home crowd thing anymore. The Aviva has no atmosphere, nowhere near the atmosphere Lansdowne Road had, and is a bigger pitch too which will suit the Germans. There is always a chance, I am just very pessimistic about our chances from what I have seen through this campaign.

The algorithm uses a combination of team strength, weekly match-up, and home field advantage to come up with a composite ranking. The higher ranked teams in theory are more likely to win, and also cover the spread. Of course that leads to mostly favorites and a few dogs selected each week. The Over/Under plays are similarly based on team offense and defensive rankings; a composite score for each match-up is used to determine which games have a higher scoring potential - those are selected as Overs, and conversely the games with the lowest scoring potential are selected as Under. I then rule out any games where the lines are too large, since in my experience the probably of covering goes down as the lines get bigger. That's the basic idea in an nutshell, to let the machine pick the best games and attempt to reduce human/emotional errors. I am still tinkering and making improvements over time but the basic ideas are described here.
You are correct about the lines posted, they pay 1.9 (110 to win 100). 

Northern Ireland v Greece 
So, can I back Northern Ireland for the win here? Probably not due to their injury concerns but this match really promises to be low scoring. It is very possible that this match will end 0-0 and that can be backed at 6.50 with Betway.  The bet I really like here is Both Teams To Score "NO" which is best priced 1.57 with Ladbrokes. As already mentioned, the Greeks have failed to score in six of their eight games in this qualifying campaign and I don't see them causing the Northern Irish too many problems, even if they are missing some of their key defenders! On the flip side, Northern Ireland may find it hard to break down Greece with no Kyle Lafferty in their ranks. He has scored seven of their twelve goals in the group so far and without him, they would be nowhere near top spot. Greece are terrible but they do defend very well so I fancy very little goals with the potential of a scrappy 0-0 draw! Back Both Teams To Score "NO" ~ 7 Points @ 1.57 Ladbrokes
 
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Advocaat was gone first.. Have a feeling Mourinho may walk next!

Chelsea v Southampton
The way Chelsea are playing at the moment, they can't be backed in my opinion. They were lucky to get a draw at Newcastle who have been one of the worst teams in the league so far this season under McLaren. Porto is a very tough place to go to on a good day so I can forgive that result, but they were very poor on the night too.
I can't understand why John Terry, who has been Chelsea's rock for so many years, has been dropped. They look so vulnerable from general play and set pieces without him in the side. Quite simply, there is no way, even now, that Zouma and Cahill are better defenders that Terry. Until he comes back into the side, I only see misery for Mourinho's team this year.
Diego Costa being out is a massive loss. His antics at Arsenal cost his team dear and they really struggle for firepower up front with him out. To make things worse, Eden Hazard has had a terrible start to the season and he was the man that created so much for them when they won the league last year. Pedro has been playing decent though which is a plus.
Southampton are a really good side and score plenty of goals. Tadic has been given his chance this season and he has scored for fun over the last few weeks whilst Pelle and Mane are also playing out of their skin. If they can sort out their defensive issues here, they could easily come away from Stamford Bridge with a victory and I will bet accordingly.
 
Back Southampton +0.75 Asian Handicap ~ 4 Points @ 1.89 Bet Victor
 
Read Full Preview @ https://www.punterslounge.com/chelsea-v-southampton-preview--tips-this-could-be-last-chance-saloon-for-mourinho

Everton v Liverpool
Brendan Rodgers has a fine record at Goodison Park, picking up three draws here from his last three visits but this will be in my opinion the worst Liverpool side to visit The Toffees. Not only that, I think Everton are probably at their strongest right now in years so it could be a very tough day at the office for Rodgers, the Reds and the Liverpool FC fans.
Liverpool haven't kept a clean sheet in all competitions since they drew 0-0 at The Emirates back in August, conceding in each of their last seven games since. Their defense looks very shaky this season and with Lukaku in such brilliant form, I don't think they will keep Everton at bay on Sunday.
Most years, Everton come into this match with hope rather than confidence but I think for the first time, they will come into this tie feeling like strong favourites. You can be sure that there should be a few goals here as both teams will be desperate to win which should see good attacking football. But for me, I am with Everton all day long here!
 
Back Everton to WIN ~ 2 Points @ 2.80 Coral
 
Full Preview @ https://www.punterslounge.com/everton-v-liverpool-preview--tips-blues-meet-reds-in-most-bitter-rivalry-of-all

Odds with Bet365

Everton v Liverpool
Brendan Rodgers has a fine record at Goodison Park, picking up three draws here from his last three visits but this will be in my opinion the worst Liverpool side to visit The Toffees. Not only that, I think Everton are probably at their strongest right now in years so it could be a very tough day at the office for Rodgers, the Reds and the Liverpool FC fans.
Liverpool haven't kept a clean sheet in all competitions since they drew 0-0 at The Emirates back in August, conceding in each of their last seven games since. Their defense looks very shaky this season and with Lukaku in such brilliant form, I don't think they will keep Everton at bay on Sunday.
Most years, Everton come into this match with hope rather than confidence but I think for the first time, they will come into this tie feeling like strong favourites. You can be sure that there should be a few goals here as both teams will be desperate to win which should see good attacking football. But for me, I am with Everton all day long here!
 
Back Everton to WIN ~ 2 Points @ 2.80 Coral
 
Full Preview @ https://www.punterslounge.com/everton-v-liverpool-preview--tips-blues-meet-reds-in-most-bitter-rivalry-of-all

Watch out for that dreaded Europa League knock on effect with Spurs mate!

Serie A Ratings ~ Top Rated Juventus
03/10/2015Carpi20.6719.00 - 24.0041.00Torino-20.3303/10/2015Chievo33.3327.50 - 18.0018.00Verona+15.3304/10/2015Empoli25.3322.50 - 39.0035.33Sassuolo-10.0004/10/2015Fiorentina41.0037.50 - 35.0024.00Atalanta+17.0004/10/2015Juventus54.3360.50 - 8.5015.00Bologna+39.3304/10/2015Lazio52.3346.50 - 33.5031.00Frosinone+21.3304/10/2015Milan43.0043.00 - 43.0038.00Napoli+5.0004/10/2015Palermo32.0024.50 - 63.5063.33Roma-31.3304/10/2015Sampdoria37.6730.50 - 43.5043.50Inter Milan-5.8304/10/2015Udinese29.6718.50 - 16.5019.67Genoa+10.00

Thanks, Aidymac, for posting the odds in understandable format 

I'll take WBA, West Ham, Arsenal, Tottenham and maybe Norwich, thank you very much (for the ratings).
 
Not sure yet if I should try asian handicap as well.

Premier League Ratings ~ Top Rated Manchester City
03/10/2015Aston Villa24.3333.00 - 16.5028.67Stoke-4.3303/10/2015Bournemouth27.3331.50 - 23.5028.67Watford-1.3303/10/2015Chelsea47.0057.50 - 35.5039.33Southampton+7.6703/10/2015Crystal Palace29.3331.00 - 47.0034.67West Brom-5.3303/10/2015Manchester City59.3358.00 - 21.5017.67Newcastle+41.6703/10/2015Norwich40.0045.50 - 30.5036.33Leicester+3.6703/10/2015Sunderland17.0020.00 - 43.5042.33West Ham-25.3304/10/2015Arsenal55.3364.50 - 33.5031.67Manchester Utd+23.6704/10/2015Everton35.6736.00 - 40.0037.00Liverpool-1.3304/10/2015Swansea33.6725.00 - 49.0040.67Tottenham-7.00

Odds with Bet365

Arsenal v Olympiakos
One thing I really like here are GOALS! Arsenal have not defended well in recent weeks and I think the Greek side will be looking to exploit that weakness. Although Arsenal were impressive winners at the weekend, Leicester City still managed to score twice against the Gunners. Bellerin and Monreal are hardly what you would call reliable solid defenders whilst Mertesacker is a bit predictable and slow.
Arsenal have shipped seven goals in their last four games and Olympiakos have not kept a clean sheet in their last four games either! Both these sides will play open attack minded football so with that in mind, Both Teams To Score has to be my bet on the night. Arsenal will score, we know that and although the Greeks struggle on the road in the Champions League, they did put two goals past Juventus away last year, a team that went on to play in the final.
 
Back Both Teams To Score ~ 4 Points @ 10/11 Boylesports
 
Read Full Preview @ https://www.punterslounge.com/champions-league-betting-tips-wenger-s-men-hit-form-coming-into-european-clash