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  1. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from monty63 in Magic Over 2.5   
    Hello people...new over2.5 strategy based exclusively on data
    Rules of the system:
    Flat bet=10 units
    Bank=500 units
    Bet365 odds
    Games for saturday 20, february
    Southampton vs chelsea (1.80)
    Rochdale vs Plymouth (1.70)
    Swindon vs crewe (2.00)
    Exeter vs grimsby (1.80)
    Crawley vs colchester (2.00)
    Frankfurt vs B. Munich (1.33)
    Tirol vs st. Polten (1.57)
    Barnet vs woking (2.05)
    Duisburg vs unterhaching (2.00)
    Saarbrucken vs munich 1860 (1.95)
    Moravce vs Ruzemberok (1.72)
  2. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from harry_rag in My football interpretation value system   
    ok this is a footballsystem based in a diferent interpretation of the value in football. I try many systems and fail in all...at long term its virtualy impossible be in profit...the odds, the value expectation are too low to get profits in this game...so i try another way to be alive at long term...my new interpretation of value...i create a software to help me in this, and i put here only one picture of the same. Its not for sale, neither this is a marketing post.
    bank=500 units
    flat bet=10 units
    odds, bet...from myscores page.

    Tomorrow i put the first games
  3. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in My rating System   
    amkar-lok. moskow under 2.5 1.37
    st truiden-westerloo over 2.5 1.77
    doncaster-colchester under 2.5 2.12
    panionios-olimpiakos over2.5 1.89
    avellino-spezia under 2.5 1.57
    basel-luzern over 2.5 1.40
  4. Like
    iroquois reacted to jtw1 in Head-to Head Meetings   
    6/9 last weekend inc  a full house on saturday..


    DORTMUND v freiburg 9-0-1 , 1.22


    ATH BILBAO v seville 6-0-0 , 2.10

    BOHEMIANS 1905 v pribram 5-1-0 , 1.80 [czech]

    GRONINGEN v heracles 9-0-1 , 2.10

    BRAGA v setubal 7-0-0 , 1.50
  5. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from MPLouis in Secret Edge   
    And folks...with this red weekend, one more...thread closed. The system is not viable...lets continue find the gral
  6. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Secret Edge   
    ok, here are the conclusions for the system right now
    ROI= 19%
    PROFIT= 76.80 UNITS
    ODDS AVERAGE= 2.26
    STRIKE RATE = 55%
    Other conclusions: the system find some draws
    In 40 bets, 14 finished draws!
  7. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from MPLouis in Any suggestions on a system ?   
    Every system you choose must follow this rule: %of expectation*price>1
    The problem is the first part of the equation...the %of expectation. If you are able to determine this % with acuracy you are in the right way to become a millionaire!
    Suggestion: Don´t follow the factors you mentioned. Because they are all in the price established by the bookers. You must find an edge in other factors less visible.
  8. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from MPLouis in Secret Edge   
    it´s a secret, a formula to achieve the intrinsic value of a team and compare with the bookers to find value. Simple. The true is that i believe i found a stat undervalued by the bookers and try to take advantage of that!
    Bielefeld - Duisburg 1, 1,83
    Espanyol - Real Sociedad 2, 2,70
    Trapani - Como 1, 1,95
    Panionios - Panetolikos 1, 2,00
    Kasimpasa - Genclerbirligi 1, 1,65
  9. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in Secret Edge   
    Sandhausen - Paderborn 1, 2.50
    Evian TG - Paris FC 1, 1.95
    Dordrecht - Breda 2, 1.95
    Volendam - Sittard 1, 1.61
  10. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in Keep things simple   
    Hi people,
    This is a system of betting in soccer...a simple one, based on table positions alone. All this years my conclusions are that if you want something well done, do it simple.
    So here are the rules:
    Starting bank 500 units
    %of bank betting: 5%
    At the end of the session i calculate the next stake value, respect always the 5% of the bank.
    so here are the first selections: H(HOME); A(AWAY)
    Augsburg - Frankfurt H-2.00
    Munster - Erfurt A-4.35
    Leuven - St. Liege H-3.55
    Westerlo - Waregem H-2.60
    Alcorcon - Valladolid A-3.90
    Cordoba - Leganes A-2.85
    Panthrakikos - Panionios H-2.50
    Huddersfield - Cardiff H-2.10
    Rotherham - Charlton H-1.91
    Bradford - Fleetwood A-3.30
    Coventry - Scunthorpe A-4,05
  11. Like
    iroquois got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in % OF HOME WIN   
    I believe that home wins sometimes have value. This is a value relative style of betting. Based on stats only and the formula of goal difference. I only bet if the home team have more than 50% of probabilities of winning and the value of the equation is equal or more than 10%.
    Initial bank=500 units
    Type of betting= Flat betting
    Unit of stake=10
    Augsburg - Frankfurt 12 65% 2,00 30% 1
    Eibar - Malaga 4 53% 2,45 30% 1
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