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iroquois got a reaction from monty63 in Magic Over 2.5
Hello people...new over2.5 strategy based exclusively on data
Rules of the system:
Flat bet=10 units
Games for saturday 20, february
Southampton vs chelsea (1.80)
Rochdale vs Plymouth (1.70)
Swindon vs crewe (2.00)
Exeter vs grimsby (1.80)
Crawley vs colchester (2.00)
Frankfurt vs B. Munich (1.33)
Tirol vs st. Polten (1.57)
Barnet vs woking (2.05)
Duisburg vs unterhaching (2.00)
Saarbrucken vs munich 1860 (1.95)
Moravce vs Ruzemberok (1.72)
iroquois got a reaction from harry_rag in My football interpretation value system
ok this is a footballsystem based in a diferent interpretation of the value in football. I try many systems and fail in all...at long term its virtualy impossible be in profit...the odds, the value expectation are too low to get profits in this game...so i try another way to be alive at long term...my new interpretation of value...i create a software to help me in this, and i put here only one picture of the same. Its not for sale, neither this is a marketing post.
flat bet=10 units
odds, bet...from myscores page.
Tomorrow i put the first games
iroquois got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Secret Edge
ok, here are the conclusions for the system right now
PROFIT= 76.80 UNITS
NUMBER OF BETS= 40
ODDS AVERAGE= 2.26
STRIKE RATE = 55%
Other conclusions: the system find some draws
STRIKE RATE OF THE DRAWS= 35%,
In 40 bets, 14 finished draws!
iroquois got a reaction from MPLouis in Any suggestions on a system ?
Every system you choose must follow this rule: %of expectation*price>1
The problem is the first part of the equation...the %of expectation. If you are able to determine this % with acuracy you are in the right way to become a millionaire!
Suggestion: Don´t follow the factors you mentioned. Because they are all in the price established by the bookers. You must find an edge in other factors less visible.
iroquois got a reaction from MPLouis in Secret Edge
it´s a secret, a formula to achieve the intrinsic value of a team and compare with the bookers to find value. Simple. The true is that i believe i found a stat undervalued by the bookers and try to take advantage of that!
Bielefeld - Duisburg 1, 1,83
Espanyol - Real Sociedad 2, 2,70
Trapani - Como 1, 1,95
Panionios - Panetolikos 1, 2,00
Kasimpasa - Genclerbirligi 1, 1,65
iroquois got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in Keep things simple
This is a system of betting in soccer...a simple one, based on table positions alone. All this years my conclusions are that if you want something well done, do it simple.
So here are the rules:
Starting bank 500 units
%of bank betting: 5%
At the end of the session i calculate the next stake value, respect always the 5% of the bank.
so here are the first selections: H(HOME); A(AWAY)
Augsburg - Frankfurt H-2.00
Munster - Erfurt A-4.35
Leuven - St. Liege H-3.55
Westerlo - Waregem H-2.60
Alcorcon - Valladolid A-3.90
Cordoba - Leganes A-2.85
Panthrakikos - Panionios H-2.50
Huddersfield - Cardiff H-2.10
Rotherham - Charlton H-1.91
Bradford - Fleetwood A-3.30
Coventry - Scunthorpe A-4,05
iroquois got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in % OF HOME WIN
I believe that home wins sometimes have value. This is a value relative style of betting. Based on stats only and the formula of goal difference. I only bet if the home team have more than 50% of probabilities of winning and the value of the equation is equal or more than 10%.
Initial bank=500 units
Type of betting= Flat betting
Unit of stake=10
HOME AWAY RATING %H ODD VALUE PICK
Augsburg - Frankfurt 12 65% 2,00 30% 1
Eibar - Malaga 4 53% 2,45 30% 1