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Posts posted by Evertonboy
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My first post of a selection for a while...
Interested to hear what people make of Fiorentina +0.25 at home to Napoli tomorrow...
I have 4 metrics for compiling my own odds, 3 of those metrics have Fiorentina as favourites and the other makes it a pickum, also a look back sees Fiorentina at their biggest price in thsi fixture in the last 5 years, in fact they went off favourites in those 5 years. Both sides are in very good form and have excellent home/ away records, I just think that the odds should be abit closer than they actually are.
From the team news I can find, Fiorentina have Zarate (7 apps 1 goal) and Benalouane (not played all season) out whilst Napoli have a fully fit squad
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Re: Boxing - 8-9 Nov
Hopkins @ 5/2 for me. Watched a bit of Kovalev' date=' think he's absolutely made for Hopkins to systematically break down. Yes he's got power, but what else is he bringing to the table? Plods forward, slow, wide-open when throwing (especially to the body). Who exactly has he beat of any note? Hype job for me until he proves otherwise.[/quote'] I'll get my coat... -
Re: Boxing - 8-9 Nov Hopkins @ 5/2 for me. Watched a bit of Kovalev, think he's absolutely made for Hopkins to systematically break down. Yes he's got power, but what else is he bringing to the table? Plods forward, slow, wide-open when throwing (especially to the body). Who exactly has he beat of any note? Hype job for me until he proves otherwise.
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Re: Bundesliga > October 31st - November 2nd I've taken an alternative approach to tonights match, I like the look of Over 4.5 Cards at evens. 67% of Schalkes matches have gone over this line with 78% of Augburgs. Schalke have collected aleast 3 cards in 50% of their home fixtures whilst Augsburg are racking up atleast 2 cards per away match this season. Recommended Bet Over 4.5 Cards in Schalke v Augsburg @ 1/1 with Bet365
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Longshot but does anybody know of any Finnish football historians that could help me with some research. Specifically, Vaasan PS squad statistics between 1985 and 1987. Thanks
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Re: Serie A TIM > September 15th - 21st I can't have Sassuolo as favs at home to Sampdoria this afernoon, the hosts where thrashed 7-0 at Inter last week and will be without Berardi who contributed 16 goals and 9 assists in last seasons Serie A; he played a part in 58% of Sassuolos' 43 goals last season. My numbers have the home side at 5/2, draw 9/4 and Sampdoria 6/4. Recommended Bet Sampdoria to win @ 19/10 (Betvictor)
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Re: Netherlands Eredivisie 2014-2015 Not sure why Alkmaar are chalked up as the 10/11 favourites at home to Heerenveen, my numbers have them 2/1, draw 9/4 and Heerenveen 7/4 Recommended Bet Heerenveen to beat Alkmaar @ 14/5 (Coral)
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Re: Holy Grail Total Corners. Cheers
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Re: Holy Grail Total Corners. End of days :-( Question for you muppet, where did you get all your international corner stats from? Thanks
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Re: Martinez, SG v Cotto, MA > Sunday June 8th I've watched plenty of the build up of Hall and Butler. Hall commented on how Butler hurt him to the body with bigger gloves when they sparred a couple of years, I'm happy to go along with Butlers prediction that he will "snap him in half" with the smaller gloves. Butler predicts giving him a boxing lesson over the first 6 rounds before stepping up a gear. Hall also prone to cuts/ swelling. Paul Butler to win via TKO/KO 11/4 @ PP or Paul Butler to win in rounds 7-12 9/2 PP Also been watching the build up to Cotto/ Martinez. Alot has been made of Martinezs various injuries in his last fight and multiple surgeries since, at 39 years old I question his ability to recover fully from those and I'll take a rejuvinated Cotto to stop him (or force hime to retire on his still) Miguel Cotto to win via TKO/KO 4/1 @ PP
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Re: Froch v Groves > Saturday May 31st Also don't get caught out by VC's offer;
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Re: Froch v Groves > Saturday May 31st My two cents on Froch v Groves; What I can't see happening - Froch Pts, Draw. The Bet Dutch Either Fighter in 1-12 @ 4/6 with Skybet with George Groves on Points @ 4/1 with Coral Pays 1/4
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Re: Norway > Tippeligaen > 2014
I was thinking of backing Haugesund as they are the value on my tissue, can I ask you where do you get your team news from?Today 10 Of May 2014 15:30 Bodo/ Glimt - Haugesund Im in a trip today so I write few words about this game! Bodo after 7 games is in 12 th place with only 5 points ! At home they are 1-2-1 goals 8:7! After drew 2-2 at home againts Rosenborg , Bodo lost three games in row with Stabaek 2-1, Lillestrom 1-2 and last round 2-0 againts Stromsgodset 2-0! For home team missing defender Ruben Imingen 4/0 and defender Zarek Valentin long term injured ( achiles) ! Haugesund is in 13 th place with 5 points too! Away they are 1-0-2 goals 4-6! After 1-3 victory away in Bergen over Brann lost last round 1-2 @ home againts Aalesund ! For guest today missing goalkeeper Per Morten Kristiansen 0/0, midfilder Michael Haukås 0/0, midfilder Erik Mæland 0/0 and striker Christian Gytkjær ! Bodo is a little favorites today but my only thing in my mind is over in goals! Over 2.5 1.74 @ SBOBET 7/10 GOOD LUCK! -
Re: Norway > Tippeligaen > 2014
Level Stakes P/L (1pt); +1.75ptsStromsgodset to win @ 6/5 Ladbrokes LOST Lillestrom to win @ 11/4 Coral WON -
Re: Norway > Tippeligaen > 2014 Two for me that are at false prices today... On my tissue I have Stromsgodset as 4/6 shots with the draw 11/4 and Valerenga 13/2, to put this into context I have Rosenborg also at 4/6 with the draw 11/4 and Sognal 13/2, Rosenborg can be backed at a best price of 4/5 and as short as 4/6 with Paddy Power. Stromsgodset can still be backed at 6/5. I have Bodo-Glimt at around 7/4, the draw 9/4 and Lillestrom at 2/1, the same prices as Aalesund v Viking, Lillestrom can be backed at 11/4 whilst the Aalesund match is a "pickum" match with most firms. The Bets Stromsgodset to win @ 6/5 Ladbrokes Lillestrom to win @ 11/4 Coral
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Re: Sweden Allsvenskan > 2014
Level Stakes P/L: +1.78 ptsThe Bet Atvidaberg to win @ 13/5 Betvictor LOST -
Re: Sweden Allsvenskan > 2014 Like the look of Atvidaberg tonight away at Orebro. My projections have Atvidaberg safely in mid table with their hosts in the lower echelons of the league. Orebro have made a decent start to life back in the Allsvenskan with a record of 2-2-1-7-6. Looking deeper into that their 2 wins have come against Halmstads and Mjallby, two sides I expect to be fighting out the relegation battle come the end of the season. A draw against Brommapojkarna is hardly inspiring as I have them propping up the table, I see their point away at AIK as a good one and there is no shame in a 2-1 defeat at Malmo. Atvidaberg have also began the season with a 2-2-1-8-10 record. I'll start with their 5-0 defeat at Gothenburg, which was obviously a bad result. A 2-2 home draw with Gefle followed which was hardly inspiring. Before those matches was a routine victory over relegation candidates Falkenbergs, a good victory v Elfsborg and a solid point away in Kalmar. My numbers have the home win at 9/4, draw at 9/4 and home win 6/4 The Bet Atvidaberg to win @ 13/5 Betvictor
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Re: Europa League Semi-Finals > Thursday April 24th Seville v Valencia Ivan Rakitic has been averaging close to 3 shots a game, alos a penalty taker. 12 in 31 in the league and 3 in 13 in the Europa League The Bet Ivan Rakitic to Score First 15/2 @ Bet365 Ivan Rakitic to Score Anytime 12/5 @ Bet365
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Re: Finland > Veikkausliga > 2014
Level Stakes P/L (1 pt Stakes): -1.00 ptInter Turku to win @ 9/5 Betway or 17/10 Various LOST -
Re: Norway > Tippeligaen > 2014 My projected league table.
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Re: Norway > Tippeligaen > 2014 Projections The Bet No bet.
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Re: Sweden Allsvenskan > 2014 Projections The Bet Kalmar to win the Allsvenskan EW @ 25/1 1/5 1-2-3 Bet365
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Re: Finland > Veikkausliga > 2014 Projections The Bet Helsinki should be the corner stone of any long-term accas at 1/3
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Inter Turku are the value pick for me today, my numbers have them at 6/4 with the draw 9/4 and RoPS 9/4, so the 9/5 available with a few Asian firms is worth taking. I have RoPS projected a bottom placed finish this season with Inter Turku safely in mid table. RuPS have had a poor start to the season scoring 1 goal in 3 games - and that was in a 1-1 draw against newly promoted SJK, that was in the middle of 2-0 defeats v Vassa and Mariehamn. Going back to the end of last season, their record was a dire 0-4-5-4-13 Inter Turku have opened up the season with 2 wins from 2 and finished last season with a record of 3-0-1-7-4 in their last 4 games. The Bet Inter Turku to win @ 9/5 Betway or 17/10 Various
Europa League > Sep 29
in Europa League Predictions
Posted
PAOK are too short for me away at Slovan Liberec, Czech league has a higher UEFA coeficient than Greece (30.175 compared to 24.700), based on last season this is the 3rd best tem in Czech Republic v 4th best team in Greece, Liberecs match was postponed at the weekend to give them more time to prepare for this match
Selection
Slovan Liberec +0.50 @ 1.825 Bet365