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lockscombi

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Posts posted by lockscombi

  1. Hey Boys I'm Back

    Didn't take long but gambling is life... I had another great NRL season so thought ill give football another shot. I will be much more careful this time round however

    Opening weeks are very treacherous so may be wise to just sit back and enjoy..

    I think Cc @ 8 is way to generous early this season but will watch

    I get the feeling that City will be hard to stop this year as well and @ 3 might be worth a punt

    GL

  2. Hey boys. I've decided to use some wisdom and have decided to cut my losses on Football betting forever.

    There are way to many variables in soccer such as dives and stupid refs/red cards that ruin it for me. Also with the draw involved it's just to damn hard to pick

    I gave it a good run this year but it's clear to me on my charts it's a losing proposition. Take my advice. Bet on 2 legged games like NRL, or AFL or watever. I consistently win at NRL because it's generally easier to figure who is the dominant team. Stupid calls, penalties, red cards don't change the final outcome as badly like football does.

    I do think that Football is really a live betting kind of game due to the Red card effect. Prices change dramatically in football so that's where the smart bettor will make most of his money. I am to busy with other things to watch every bloody soccer game live. I also think it might just be better to back any underdog if the price goes over $4 due to the red card effect and unpredictability in football.

    I wish you guys well in the future!

  3. Other games

    leaning on Syd DNB @ 1.48 = the bookies have got this game spot on i reckon so even value here  CS Syd 3,4,5,6 to nil loose change

    Per DNB @ 1.89  ,       CS Per 2,3,4,5,6 to nil loose change

    Cc DNB @ 4.33 ,         CS Cc 1,2,3,4,5 to nil loose change

    Also with my Correct score punts i usually do the same bets again but give the other team a goal so say in Cc game the score ended up Cc 3 -1 Vic i will win as well. I can't be bothered writing all the scores each week. I feel the odds in correct scores are wrong so this is my experiment

    GL

     

  4. Thanks Stevie! You're a nice bloke   :cheers

    Tonight's game

    New DNB @ 2.03

    CS (correct score, micro bet)  New 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 to nil (I can't be bothered writing all prices, warning: CS bets are exotic and i do it with spare change only for a bit of fun.

     

    Hey Vasilli. Where do you do you're bets at??? I shop between Sportsbet, Pinnacle, Betfair and Bet365. I have noticed you get better prices more often

    Gl

     

     

  5. Cc @ 6.4 Betfair = This is value for mine, Roy Krishna suspended

    Ws @ 6.2 Betfair = Again value. Little nuts this one here i must admit considering Sydneys form but 6+ is hard to deny for me

    Per @ 3.04 = This was a coin toss for mine so happy to go with Perth

    Disclaimer = I am a value bettor. Anything over $5 on a Aleague match is generally good value for me. Anything can happen in football

     

    Gl

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