only1woz
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Posts posted by only1woz
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Today and tomorrows selections, Schalke have just taken the lead in tonights match, which I'm a bit late with, due to work
30.10. schalke stuttgart home 3.00 3.25 31.10. sheff utd man city home 11.00 10.50 burnley chelsea home 5.50 6.20 crotone atalanta away 1.44 1.50 nantes psg home 8.00 8.40 bielefeld dortmund home 6.50 8.00 cologne b munich home 10.00 17.00 gladbach leipzig home 2.90 3.15 mk dons wimbledon draw 3.40 3.80 portsmouth charlton draw 3.60 3.70 peterboro shrewsbury draw 3.80 3.90 wigan northampton draw 3.40 3.60 ipswich crewe draw 3.40 3.60 fleetwood oxford draw 3.40 3.40 doncaster lincoln draw 3.40 3.35 rennes brest lay away 4.33 3.95 augsburg mainz home 1.90 2.14 frankfurt bremen home 1.80 1.76 st polten ried draw 4.00 4.10 salzburg wsg tirol draw 9.50 10.00 twente zwolle lay away 3.60 4.00 unm ajax sittard lay away 6.00 29.00 unm* groningen venlo lay away 6.50 8.60 unm* odd sarpsborg lay away 3.75 3.80 haugesund aalesund lay away 8.00 11.00 unm* dundee utd ross cty lay away 3.60 3.85 galatasaray ankaragucu lay away 6.00 12.00 unm* -
A bit late putting these up. looked them out yesterday and forgot to post them on here lol. Anyway, this week....
27.10. lokomotiv mosc b munich DRAW 9.20 shakhtar inter HOME 4.30 marseille man city DRAW 5.40 28.10. basaksehir psg DRAW 7.40 krasnodar chelsea DRAW 4.90 -
AIK take the lead, layed at @2.08
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Tonights and tomorrows bets - not confident that AIK will go as low as 3.4 so will leave that to g in play and lay of AIK takes the lead
26.10. burnley tottenham home 5.50 6.60 leverkusen augsburg home 1.61 1.65 norrkoping aik lay away 3.40 4.10 unm* sivasspor rizespor lay away 4.50 4.40 27.10. viking haugesund lay away 4.00 4.00 unm peterboro burton draw 3.80 4.70 ipswich gillingham draw 3.80 3.90 mk dons wigan draw 3.30 3.85 portsmouth northampton draw 3.80 4.90 fleetwood shrewsbury draw 3.30 3.70 -
Slight profit this week, better than last week so moving in the right direction at least
19.10. derry dundalk home 3.80 3.20 1 2 -£10.00 genclerbirligi denizlispor lay away 3.60 4.00 1 2 -£30.00 galatasaray alanyaspor lay away 4.00 4.20 1 2 -£32.00 20.10. shrewsbury bristol rvs draw 3.50 3.50 0 1 -£10.00 sunderland crewe draw 4.10 4.20 1 0 -£10.00 oxford MK dons draw 3.60 3.40 3 2 -£10.00 lincoln plymouth draw 3.40 3.50 2 0 -£10.00 hull wilbledon draw 3.75 3.90 1 0 -£10.00 burton rochdale draw 3.60 3.60 0 1 -£10.00 23.10. rennes angers lay away 4.50 4.10 1 2 -£31.00 stuttgart cologne home 2.20 1.95 1 1 -£10.00 kasimpasa goztepe lay away 3.10 3.40 0 0 £9.80 24.10. west ham man city home 8.00 7.80 1 1 -£10.00 genoa inter away 1.36 1.44 0 2 £4.31 mainz gladbach home 4.20 4.70 2 3 -£10.00 wigan plymouth draw 3.50 3.50 1 1 £24.50 sunderland portsmouth draw 3.25 3.25 1 3 -£10.00 shrewsbury rochdale draw 3.50 3.50 1 2 -£10.00 blackpool MK dons draw 3.40 3.30 1 0 -£10.00 doncaster crewe draw 3.60 3.65 1 2 -£10.00 burton wimbledon draw 3.50 3.50 1 1 £24.50 psg dijon lay away 30.00 30.00 4 0 £9.80 leipzig hertha home 1.40 1.51 2 1 £5.00 b munich frankfurt home 1.12 1.20 5 0 £1.96 dortmund schalke home 1.20 1.26 3 0 £2.55 altach admira draw 3.50 4.00 4 2 -£10.00 utrecht twente lay away 5.75 5.10 2 1 £9.80 heerenveen emmen lay away 5.00 4.60 4 0 £9.80 start sandefjord lay away 3.60 3.40 0 1 -£24.00 brann stabaek lay away 3.80 3.70 1 1 £9.80 motherwell ross cty lay away 4.20 5.50 unm* £0.00 st johnstone dundee utd lay away 4.00 4.50 0 0 £9.80 hacken mjallby lay away 4.75 7.00 2 2 £9.80 djurgarden sirius lay away 4.00 3.90 4 0 £9.80 basaksehir antalyaspor lay away 4.75 6.00 unm* £0.00 25.10. southampton everton home 3.10 3.00 2 0 £19.60 benevento napoli away 1.28 1.38 1 2 £3.72 waterford dundalk home 4.00 4.60 1 0 £35.28 lens nantes lay away 4.50 4.00 p p £0.00 montpellier reims lay away 4.20 4.50 0 4 -£35.00 bordeaux nimes lay away 4.00 4.50 2 0 £9.80 lyon monaco lay away 4.50 5.00 4 1 £9.80 wolfsburg bielefeld home 1.66 1.74 2 1 £7.25 linz st polten draw 5.00 5.30 4 0 -£10.00 wsg tirol hartberg draw 3.40 3.90 1 1 £28.42 sparta amlelo lay away 3.40 3.60 1 1 £9.80 molde stromsgodset lay away 8.00 8.40 2 1 £9.80 valerenga kristiansund lay away 4.50 4.30 1 1 £9.80 bodo glimt mjondalen lay away 10.00 10.50 unm £0.00 rangers livingston lay away 13.00 20.00 unm* £0.00 kalmar falkenbergs lay away 3.60 3.40 0 0 £9.80 orebro helsingborg lay away 3.20 2.96 3 2 £9.80 malmo gothenburg lay away 6.00 7.80 unm* £0.00 malatyaspor genclerbirligi lay away 3.60 4.40 2 1 £9.80 alanyaspor karugumruk lay away 6.60 7.00 unm £0.00 fenerbahce trabzonspor lay away 4.20 5.30 3 1 £9.80 £11.69 £11.69 OVERALL TOTAL -£207.30 -
Trabzonspor take the lead, layed at 2.44
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Gencerbirligi take the lead, layed at 2.3
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Mjallby take the lead at hacken, layed at 3.35.
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Sorry, basaksehir lay away odds are 6.00, and will be unm* also
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This has not started brilliantly at all, but that means it can only get better, right? ?
A lot of bets over next 2 days, and a few points to make. I forgot to post up the 3 matches from last night, so will include them in todays list of bets. The 3 matches made a loss anyway, 2 losers and 1 winner.
Also, in the last column, "unm" means unmatched yet, but I have placed the bet. However, "unm*" with an * asterisk means I have NOT placed a bet yet, and will only do so if the odds change massively in my favour in-game. This will be mostly away lays, where there is a big difference in desired odds and odds being offered. If the away team takes the lead, I'll then lay them at much better odds.
Anyway, here is todays bets.....
23.10. rennes angers lay away 4.50 4.10 1 2 stuttgart cologne home 2.20 1.95 1 1 kasimpasa goztepe lay away 3.10 3.40 0 0 24.10. west ham man city home 8.00 7.80 unm genoa inter away 1.36 1.44 mainz gladbach home 4.20 4.70 wigan plymouth draw 3.50 3.50 sunderland portsmouth draw 3.25 3.25 shrewsbury rochdale draw 3.50 3.50 blackpool MK dons draw 3.40 3.30 doncaster crewe draw 3.60 3.65 burton wimbledon draw 3.50 3.50 psg dijon lay away 30.00 30.00 leipzig hertha home 1.40 1.51 b munich frankfurt home 1.12 1.20 dortmund schalke home 1.20 1.26 altach admira draw 3.50 4.00 utrecht twente lay away 5.75 5.10 heerenveen emmen lay away 5.00 4.60 start sandefjord lay away 3.60 3.40 brann stabaek lay away 3.80 3.70 motherwell ross cty lay away 4.20 5.50 unm* st johnstone dundee utd lay away 4.00 4.50 hacken mjallby lay away 4.75 7.00 unm* djurgarden sirius lay away 4.00 3.90 basaksehir antalyaspor lay away 4.75 25.10. southampton everton home 3.10 3.00 benevento napoli away 1.28 1.38 waterford dundalk home 4.00 4.60 lens nantes lay away 4.50 4.00 montpellier reims lay away 4.20 4.50 bordeaux nimes lay away 4.00 4.50 lyon monaco lay away 4.50 5.00 wolfsburg bielefeld home 1.66 1.74 linz st polten draw 5.00 5.30 wsg tirol hartberg draw 3.40 3.90 sparta amlelo lay away 3.40 3.60 molde stromsgodset lay away 8.00 8.40 valerenga kristiansund lay away 4.50 4.30 bodo glimt mjondalen lay away 10.00 10.50 rangers livingston lay away 13.00 20.00 unm* kalmar falkenbergs lay away 3.60 3.40 orebro helsingborg lay away 3.20 2.96 malmo gothenburg lay away 6.00 7.80 unm* malatyaspor genclerbirligi lay away 3.60 4.40 unm* alanyaspor karugumruk lay away 6.60 7.00 unm fenerbahce trabzonspor lay away 4.20 5.30 unm* -
Another few for tomorrow..
shrewsbury bristol rvs draw 3.50 3.50 sunderland crewe draw 4.10 4.20 oxford MK dons draw 3.60 3.40 lincoln plymouth draw 3.40 3.50 hull wilbledon draw 3.75 3.90 burton rochdale draw 3.60 3.60 -
Okay, here we go. Starting from scratch. As ever, bets from Betfair to a £10.00 stake. Any questions/comments, fire em at me ?
20.10. dynamo kiev juventus HOME 4.90 21.10. ajax liverpool HOME 5.00 midtjylland atalanta DRAW 4.80 -
A gentler pace to tomorrow, 3 bets.
19.10. derry dundalk home 3.80 3.20 genclerbirligi denizlispor lay away 3.60 4.00 galatasaray alanyaspor lay away 4.00 4.20 -
A difficult first weekend, but it's often the way. Onwards and upwards...
OCT 16.10. dijon rennes home 4.33 5.00 1 1 -£10.00 nimes psg home 8.50 10.50 0 4 -£10.00 dundalk bohemians lay away 3.40 3.50 0 0 £9.80 shamrock derry lay away 7.50 8.00 pp £0.00 17.10. everton liverpool home 4.20 4.00 2 2 -£10.00 newcastle Man utd home 4.50 5.10 1 4 -£10.00 sampdoria lazio away 1.95 2.28 3 0 -£10.00 crotone juventus away 1.28 1.46 1 1 -£10.00 augsburg leipzig home 5.25 6.20 0 2 -£10.00 mainz leverkusen home 5.25 5.60 0 1 -£10.00 hoffenheim dortmund home 4.33 4.20 0 1 -£10.00 bielefeld b munich home 12.00 16.00 1 4 -£10.00 portsmouth doncaster draw 3.40 3.50 0 1 -£10.00 peterboro oxford draw 3.50 4.00 2 0 -£10.00 plymouth northampton draw 3.50 3.90 2 1 -£10.00 ipswich accrington draw 3.80 3.70 2 0 -£10.00 charlton wigan draw 3.40 3.70 1 0 -£10.00 fleetwood lincoln draw 3.30 3.65 0 0 £25.97 reims lorient lay away 3.60 3.70 1 3 -£27.00 marseille bordeaux lay away 3.75 4.00 3 1 £9.80 hertha stuttgart home 2.05 2.14 0 2 -£10.00 gladbach wolfsburg home 1.90 1.91 1 1 -£10.00 shelbourne sligo lay away 2.90 2.90 1 0 £9.80 heracles waalwijk lay away 5.75 6.00 0 1 -£50.00 alkmaar venlo lay away 12.00 12.50 2 2 £9.80 willem twente lay away 4.00 4.00 0 3 -£30.00 celtic rangers lay away 3.10 2.86 0 2 -£18.60 rizespor ankaragucu lay away 3.75 4.20 5 3 £9.80 konyaspor malatyaspor lay away 4.00 4.40 1 1 £9.80 trabzonspor basaksehir lay away 3.10 3.30 0 2 -£23.00 18.10. bologna sassulo away 2.20 2.80 3 4 £17.64 spezia fiorentina away 1.66 1.67 2 2 -£10.00 strasbourg lyon home 4.00 4.00 2 3 -£10.00 cologne frankfurt home 3.00 3.30 1 1 -£10.00 monaco montpellier lay away 3.75 5.20 no bet £0.00 angers metz lay away 3.75 3.90 1 1 £9.80 saint etienne nice lay away 3.25 3.10 1 3 -£21.00 nantes brest lay away 3.40 3.50 3 1 £9.80 lille lens lay away 4.00 4.50 4 0 £9.80 feyenoord sparta lay away 7.00 7.40 1 1 unm ajax heerenveen lay away 7.00 7.40 5 1 unm emmen sittard lay away 3.40 3.45 2 2 £9.80 stromsgodset start lay away 3.90 3.90 1 1 £9.80 stabaek aalesund lay away 4.75 4.50 4 0 £9.80 elfsborg kalmar lay away 4.50 4.50 3 1 £9.80 sirius ostersunds lay away 4.50 5.00 2 3 -£40.00 hammarby mjallby lay away 4.20 4.70 4 2 unm AIK gothenburg lay away 3.50 3.75 2 0 £9.80 hatayspor buyuksehir lay away 3.40 2.04 1 1 £9.80 antalyaspor gaziantep lay away 3.60 4.00 pp £0.00 weekly overall total total -£218.99 -£218.99 -
Tomorrows bets....
18.10. bologna sassulo away 2.20 2.80 spezia fiorentina away 1.66 1.67 strasbourg lyon home 4.00 4.00 cologne frankfurt home 3.00 3.30 monaco montpellier lay away 3.75 5.20 no bet angers metz lay away 3.75 3.90 unm saint etienne nice lay away 3.25 3.10 nantes brest lay away 3.40 3.50 lille lens lay away 4.00 4.50 unm feyenoord sparta lay away 7.00 7.40 unm ajax heerenveen lay away 7.00 7.40 unm emmen sittard lay away 3.40 3.45 unm stromsgodset start lay away 3.90 3.90 unm stabaek aalesund lay away 4.75 4.50 unm elfsborg kalmar lay away 4.50 4.50 unm sirius ostersunds lay away 4.50 5.00 unm hammarby mjallby lay away 4.20 4.70 unm AIK gothenburg lay away 3.50 3.75 unm hatayspor buyuksehir lay away 3.40 2.04 antalyaspor gaziantep lay away 3.60 4.00 unm -
Have been matched in the 2 bets for tonight. Derry actually came down to 6.6 to lay so that's a little disappointing, but win some/lose some I suppose.
Tomorrows selections are here. A lot of games for Saturday but this system is actually 15 individual systems for each selected league rolled into one, so that's to be expected. All back bets unless otherwise stated.
17.10. everton liverpool home 4.20 4.00 newcastle Man utd home 4.50 5.10 sampdoria lazio away 1.95 2.28 crotone juventus away 1.28 1.46 augsburg leipzig home 5.25 6.20 mainz leverkusen home 5.25 5.60 hoffenheim dortmund home 4.33 4.20 bielefeld b munich home 12.00 16.00 portsmouth doncaster draw 3.40 3.50 peterboro oxford draw 3.50 4.00 plymouth northampton draw 3.50 3.90 ipswich accrington draw 3.80 3.70 charlton wigan draw 3.40 3.70 fleetwood lincoln draw 3.30 3.65 reims lorient lay away 3.60 3.70 unm marseille bordeaux lay away 3.75 4.00 unm hertha stuttgart home 2.05 2.14 gladbach wolfsburg home 1.90 1.91 shelbourne sligo lay away 2.90 2.90 unm heracles waalwijk lay away 5.75 6.00 unm alkmaar venlo lay away 12.00 12.50 unm willem twente lay away 4.00 4.00 unm celtic rangers lay away 3.10 2.86 rizespor ankaragucu lay away 3.75 4.20 unm konyaspor malatyaspor lay away 4.00 4.40 unm trabzonspor basaksehir lay away 3.10 3.30 Fingers crossed for a good opening weekend
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Selections for Friday 16th..... First set of odds are CGM bet (desired odds) - 2nd set is Betfair odds. Matches with "unm" are unmatched but will go in-play if not matched before kick off. If a goal happens and I don't get matched, I will update in the results as a void bet.
16.10. dijon rennes home 4.33 5.00 nimes psg home 8.50 10.50 dundalk bohemians lay away 3.40 3.50 unm shamrock derry lay away 7.50 8.00 unm -
A new system from me which I haven't tested before. A total mixed bag of backs, lays, draws etc. although I will record how each "mini-system" performs individually. Qualifying selections are based on info gleaned from the fantastic CGM Bet tool. The only issue I have is that the tool takes it's odds from the usual bookmakers, so the lay prices for my lay bets will often be higher from Betfair which may distort my figures for the lays. I'll take each lay bet individually, and will note if the bet was unmatched, if I look for a better price and look to let the bet go in-running in order to reach my desired price.
Each bet will be either a £10.00 back, or £10.00 lay (with higher liability obviously than the £10.00, depending on the odds). Odds are from Betfair. I'm not staking any money on this as it's just a test, but will put small 10p bets on the lays so I can know for definite if I would have been matched in running or not. As ever, I STRONGLY ADVISE AGAINST putting any money on these selections until it has proven beyond doubt that it will make me a millionaire! (I was going to say billionaire, but let's not be greedy, eh?
As ever, any questions/comments are always welcome. Edited to add, all profits posted are after 2% betfair commission has been taken off.
Selections to follow .........
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Here we go then, a gentle start with 2 games tomorrow night...
16.10. ECH derby watford 3.40 FRA dijon rennes 3.95 -
I'll probably do it for a few weeks, see how much time it takes up. I certainly have more time to do it now than I had when I did it before, so might not be too bad. Cheers.
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Hi mate, really appreciate the input.
Initially, it was looking at the last 5 games of the identical fixture over, at most, the last 6 seasons. If not enough fixtures in that time then it wasn't considered as a bet. I like h2h stats, but not keen on going too far back. League games only also.
It's not scientific in any way but it did, for a short while, produce some good results. I might just leave it, as it's quite time consuming as well. I have another system I'm going to start on here this weekend using info from the CGM bet tool which looks promising. Less time consuming and a bit more likely to be successful so I might stick with that one instead.
Cheers for your thoughts ?
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With the CL group stages starting again next week, I'll bring this back as a test - same rules as in first post in this thread. Selections to come next week......
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I've been a bit bored this week, off work for the UK holiday this week. Not much to do, so trawled through the forum and came across my old system test.
I'm going to give this a go again until the end of the season. Would love to make profit, but will be happy to just gain info and see what works (if anything!) to refine for next season. I got frustrated with it last time, as it's very much an up and down system, but looking to be more patient and positive this time!
Last time, the first season produced a profit of around £150.00 roughly.
Same selection criteria before, matches where the last 5 matches between the same 2 teams have produced AT LEAST four over 2.5 goals results. I originally was testing for an overs/under system, but it seemed to throw up a lot of wins for either team. Noticed after a while that it also performed better with no lays of 6.00 or above.
Will test for most European leagues, also English lower leagues. All prices from Betfair, where I now have 2% commission instead of 5% so that should help a little. Lays will be for £10.00 for the sake of records for the system, but NO MONEY WILL BE STAKED AT THIS POINT, and I would strongly recommend no one follow with actual bets this time around, but if anyone feels the need, it should be minimal stakes. Although the first season produced profit, it was £250.00 down at one point, before clawing back at the end. I stopped the 2nd season at -£200.00, so extreme caution advised.
Any questions or comments are welcome. I'll need to wait until at least Friday for first selections, and there won't be many but Saturday and Sunday should be packed.
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A mish-mash to..............Millions??
in Betting Systems & Strategy
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Slight loss overall this week.