slizorn

7-6-1 +22.70
 
another comfortable win and a strong play tonight
10 pts Washington (-1.5) to beat Philadelphia 2.10 Bet365
The Nationals bats have woken up with 23 runs in the last 3 games and they face Charlie Morton who had a good start last time out versus an inept San Diego Padres lineup but was hit hard by a below average Cincinnati reds lineup the first start. Morton looks likely to experience issues with Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy today as he has issues against left handed batters and this is a problem against two of the hottest hitters in the game. Harper reigning NL MVP has hit a home run each of the last 3 nights and Murphy leads the league in batting average with a .438 mark at this early stage. Gio Gonzalez goes for the Nats and was outstanding first time up, Gonzalez isnt always consistent but this is not a Phiilies lineup that boasts a lot of run production and even if Gonzalez isnt on his game today then its hard to imagine the Nats not winning, lets just hope the relief pitching holds up today as well, they have won by 7 and 8 the last 2 nights
 
Good luck if you are playing today 

4-6-1 +5.70
Well only 6 runs last night so on to todays play
4 pts Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) to bt San Diego Padres 2.75 Bet365
I must be feeling ill taking the Phillies!!! In all seriousness they wanted Velasquez in the trade with Houston that sent closer Ken Giles the other way and Velasquez delivered with an excellent performance his first time out for Philly. Now he gets to take on the light hitting San Diego Padres who ended a 20 inning scoreless streak with a late run last night. This from a team that also got shut out three consecutive times to start the year. Drew Pomeranz pitches for SD and is average at best though his career numbers are a little skewed by having started for Colorado for a few seasons. There is a little reliance on the Phillies actually scoring some runs and their bullpen keeping a lead in tact tied up in this bet but realistically against the Friars there is a strong possibility that 3 runs will bring this in
 
Best of Luck if you play today 

Thought the BoSox were going to get there when they came back but alas they couldnt recover from the horseshit served up by Bucholz
Todays main selection
 
4pts Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) to beat Minnesota Twins 2.50 Bet365
Minnesota have struggled to score runs in this series and Baltimore have taken both games despite being a power filled home run heavy offense against ground ball pitchers sent to the hill by the Twins. Tonight they get to face Minnesotas Phil Hughes who historically has struggled with allowing homers. If Minnesotas bats dont wake up, and they have struggled in the past against Ubaldo Jiminez the O's pitcher this evening then this could be a blowout
 
Good luck all playing today

Hey slizorn, yeah I didnt have the time to post much last year in the end and if I am going to do so I am going to try and do the best I can, will be hoping to stick a selection a day up in here for all the crew that were following me until my disappearance last season. Had a good day with all the tips I put out yesterday including the Dodgers so onwards and up
 
So that takes us to
 
1-1 +3.00 on the thread

Todays main selection
4 pts Boston Red Sox (-1.5) to beat Cleveland Indians 3.30 Bet365
Carlos Carrasco is up for Cleveland tonight and they have high hopes that he steps up to the elite next level in Cleveland this year to develop the 1-2 punch of Kluber and Carrasco. His worst month of the season is April though and the last 3 years he has gone 2-6 with a 6.70 ERA in 9 April starts - not good. Clay Bucholz was just about the only highlight in the atrocity that was the Red Sox pitching last year and then he got hurt. If he is as effective now as he was then, with the ay the Red Sox seemingly got on base at will against the excellent Kluber yesterday then they could make an absolute nonsense of this price.
 
Good luck all who have a play today!!!! 

Welcome back mate, good to see you around again Dan!

so 0-1 -4.00 the season thus far
 
the pesky rain got involved and my perceived edge on the starters evaporated with the clouds as relief pitching took over after 2 innings 
Main play today is
5 pts LA Dodgers (-1.5) to beat San Diego Padres 2.40 Bet365
The Dodgers destroyed the Padres last night and Kazmir will pitch tonight, despite not having beaten the Friars in his career, only a couple of starts against them, he is solid. He will be opposed by James Shields who if not for Pablo Sandoval may have signed the worst contract in baseball last season. He led MLB in HRs allowed last year even managing to allow 19 at cavernous PETCO Park. Unless he has turned it all around in the offseason he may well get hit in this game as well as the Dodgers appear to be swinging the lumber very well. Wouldnt put you off buying some runs on the alternate run lines either

Big night of darts tonight. Lots of small stake big prices mixed with nice price doubles. 
4pts G.Anderson to beat J.Wade & have the most 180s 11/8 Skybet
The head-2-head speaks for itself really. Wade hasn't beaten Anderson since 2014 and Anderson has won the last 10 and the 11th was a draw. I will be taking the outright bet of 4/7 at bigger stakes but one I also like is him to win with the 180s as you'd expect Anderson to always outscore Wade in that area.
5.5pts P.Taylor to beat M.Smith & have the highest checkout 8/11 Skybet
Smith has to win or he is going to be relegated and finish bottom (which is what I want as I got him to finish bottom at 10/1 pre league) so Id expect abit of determination from Smith. Problem is, like Anderson, Taylor also needs to win as all 3 of the "big boys" are fighting it out for top spot. To get a better price I've chucked in the checkout too, as Taylor is hitting 100+ in most matches nowadays
1pt D.Chisnall to win the match / highest checkout / most 180s 8/1 Skybet
This is a pure value bet. I actually favour Wright here but also remembering that Chisnall MUST win to not get relegated, and the fact that Chisnall has a good head-2-head with Wright, all in all it makes this bet a great value shout. He will win the 180 count so effectively it's a checkout and win bet here for 8/1. Tiny stakes
2pts R.Thornton to beat A.Lewis 7/2 Skybet
0.5pt R.Thornton to win / highest checkout / most 180s 20/1 Skybet
Thornton was much, much better last week. He is scoring big again and doubling well. He beat Smith and got 3 180s and then got a magical draw and got another 2 180s there too. Lewis only managed 3 180s himself. This match will depend on other results with Chisnall before it. So, if Chisnall wins, this bet may not be a good shout as Thornton will have nothing to play for. If Wright beats Chisnall though, this is a great price and so is the massive 20/1 treble as if Lewis isn't in any form you never know. 
2pts Van Barneveld to beat Van Gerwen 13/2 Skybet
0.5pt Van Barneveld to win match / highest checkout / most 180s 33/1 Skybet
Price just looks too big for Barney. Van Gerwen is still winning all the time ofcourse but that draw against Thornton? the draw with Taylor when he should of won 7-4? the head-2-head with these two is 3 each in the last 6 and Barney won the last so yes, Van Gerwen should win but the value is too big to miss.
2pt Skyboost Accy - Anderson / Taylor / Wright 7/2 Skybet
A nice price for these three. I fully expect Anderson and Taylor to win and Wright you'd expect to win despite me tipping the big price on Chisnall treble. 

Agree, West Indies are great value, whether they win or not. Interesting, though that much like the England game yesterday, these two played in a warm-up friendly and India won. Sharma though, on that day was outstanding.
5pts Over 15.5 sixes in the match 4/5 Skybet
2pts Windies to win and get the most Sixes 11/4 Skybet
2pts Sharma top batsman India 11/4 Skybet
I'm taking a bigger price Windies to win with the highest sixes. Aswell as there to be over 15 of them. On this ground there have been 19 & 22 in the last two matches so with the depth of batting you'd expect something similar. Sharma got a big score when these played there friendly and he has to come good one day so I'm going to chance him being there top batsman today. I'll also be looking at Pandya/Bumrah as top bowlers for India. 

 
 

Thurs 3rd Sept 2015 17.00 Sweden U21 v San Marino U21 OK, U21 sides don't always correspond to their senior equivalent, However, I've checked the stats on San Marino U21 ... (source: soccerway) San Marino U21 away - last 25 games scored 3 times away to Lithuania away to Bosnia (twice) failed to score 22 times conceded 119 goals = average 119/25 = av. 4.76/game I'd say Sweden should expect to score around 5 goals today, and San Marino have a very small chance of scoring - say 5% - 10% Based on this, a few bets look good value: San Marino Under 0.5 goals 1.48 Winner Over 2.5 & BTS NO 1.44 Bet365 Stake: 10 points on each Total stake: 20 points

Lads a pearler of a bet Today as a double. Man City win & Bayern Munich game over 9 corners. Double your money bet and the last 9 meeting between Munich & Leverkusen have seen over 9 corners. That's Footy Profits banker Today.

Thoughts on possible clean sheet value tonight Clean sheets from bigger sides playing clubs from Andorra or San Marino Randers (Denmark) v Sant Julia (Andorra) 1st leg: 1-0 1st leg SOT: 5-3 NOTE Randers played with 10 men from 17th minute and 9 men from 81st minute Sant Julia's three shots on targets were: 49 mins 55 mins 94 mins BTS NO 1.5 BetVictor/Ladbrokes Lusitanos (Andorra) v West Ham (England) 1st leg: 0-3 1st leg SOT: 0-12 BTS - NO 1.55 BetVictor Juvenes/Dogana (San) v Brondby (Den) 1st leg: 0-9 1st leg SOT: 0-11 BTS - NO 1.44 Skybet/Tote/Betfred

Bought bookings at 57 with Star Spreads and backed >30 points in the 1st half at 9/2 with PP The latter of those is another example of a fixed odds bet that offers good value if the spreads are right in their assessment of the game (it would be around 4.75 based on an expectation of 21 points in the 1st half). Would have won in 2 of Peru's 5 games so far and 1 of Paraguay's. Today's ref (Orozco) handled the Peru v Venezuela game where 45 of the 65 points came before the interval. Conversely, I can't find a way of backing total bookings in the match that appears to offer better value than a straight buy at 57. It might seem a bit perverse when the teams' average are only 54 and 52 but the ref's average in 4 Copa games is 60, the same as the last 4 meetings between the teams (2 friendlies and 2 World Cup qualifiers). Ref's average in Internationals since the 2011 Copa is 62.86 points. The last 4 3rd place games have seen make ups of 75, 75, 60 and 60 (average 67.5) which compares favourably to the last 4 finals (60, 70, 60 and 100, average 72). Best fixed odds options if you're inclined to get involved that way are 11/10 for >5.5 cards with 365 or 17/10 for >60 points with PP. 2-3 cards in the 1st half at 23/20 with Hills merits a mention as it would have landed in 9/10 of the games these 2 teams have played so far.