CzechPunter

Aryna Sabalenka to beat Paula Badosa at 1.36 with Unibet
Rough start to the week for me, but I still don't trust Badosa at all. The scoreline she got against Shnaider was a fair bit misleading imo, and this will be a big step up in terms of quality.

Cirstea to beat Zheng - 3.2 on Betfair
Zheng has been terrible since the AO, beating only very out of form players. Whether it's pressure, or hiding an injury, or just loss of form which happens, I can't see why she is 1.45 against a decent Cirstea.

Billie Jean King Cup
Boulter to beat Parry 10/11

6 break points and 2 match points and somehow he fails to win the second set. Sinner has to win 1 point in any of those 8. 

Should be very good tennis today in Monte Carlo.
For me I like all 4 matches. Tsitsipas likes the conditions and I think he gets the better of Khachanov.
I think Djokovic will be seriously motivated against De Minaur (wanting revenge for earlier season defeat). Price is not great but I will include him in a small multiplier.
Both Rune and Humbert had long tough matches yesterday. Humbert finished quite late last night, while Rune had a tough match with DImitrov. I don't think either will recover fully for today, and both will be a little flat. So In both matches I am taking the opponents (Sinner and Ruud) to win in straight sets. Ruud 8 to 10 and Sinner 4 to 10.
Gives a 4 legged bet odds of 4.2 which is OK. Not going crazy ... just a little incentive to keep some interest.

Hubert Hurkacz to beat Casper Ruud at 2.75 with Bet365
Ruud is a bit overhyped at the moment, yet he still lost to Martinez of all people. This should have a nice chance at such odds.

Hubert Hurkacz to beat Casper Ruud at 2.75 with Bet365
Ruud is a bit overhyped at the moment, yet he still lost to Martinez of all people. This should have a nice chance at such odds.

Alex de Minaur to beat Tallon Griekspoor 2-0 at 2.20 with Bet365
Don't have much to say here, de Minaur looked great against Wawrinka, hopefully he's good to go again.

Today I'll go with De Minaur at 1.40, Berrettini at 1.40 and Tirante in Mexico at combined odds of 2.65. I don't see an upset happening in any of the three. 
Berrettini played an amazing tournament losing only one set and reached a Challanger final in his previous one on hards. He is definitely not in his best form but is playing great. Kecmanovic is out of form and played only one match on clay losing this season, while Berettini won a title. 
De Minaur will take Wawrinka's legs and wins this. We know what is Wawrinka capable of doing but in the recent months his game is going down and barely winning any matches.
Typically I don't like playing players that have won a tournament 2 days ago but I'll go with Tirante. Tirante is a clay player and the clear favourite, also the Mexican has only 2 wins in 6 matches this season.

Alex de Minaur (-3.5) to beat Stan Wawrinka at 2.00 with Bet365
Wawrinka is hardly the force he once was nowadays, while de Minaur is a legit top 15 player that can play well on any surface. This should be a lot about endurance, and Wawrinka just doesn't have that anymore I'm afraid.

Alex de Minaur (-3.5) to beat Stan Wawrinka at 2.00 with Bet365
Wawrinka is hardly the force he once was nowadays, while de Minaur is a legit top 15 player that can play well on any surface. This should be a lot about endurance, and Wawrinka just doesn't have that anymore I'm afraid.

Alex de Minaur (-3.5) to beat Stan Wawrinka at 2.00 with Bet365
Wawrinka is hardly the force he once was nowadays, while de Minaur is a legit top 15 player that can play well on any surface. This should be a lot about endurance, and Wawrinka just doesn't have that anymore I'm afraid.

Thanks @CzechPunter I'll likely move on some late night tennis in Charleston or Houston or both..

Nothing for me today, but good luck if you're getting involved!

Marie Bouzkova to beat Laura Siegemund 2-0 at 2.20 with Bet365
Bouzkova was superb again yesterday, making only a handful of unforced errors, while Siegemund had to play another long match in conditions that she visibly doesn't enjoy. The H2H is 2-0, with Bouzkova winning all 4 sets, (6-1 6-2, 6-1 6-1).

@Smiles Tennis She injured herself off-court I believe, and Cristian came out firing, like she did against Keys in the second round.
Sara Errani (+1.5 sets) to beat Sara Sorribes Tormo at 1.60 with Unibet
Errani leads the H2H 6-0 here, and SST hasn't been doing well so far in this season. She should still outlast Errani on paper, and I wouldn't fancy Errani in a potential decider, but the 1.60 for her to win a set looks good to me.

Ashlyn Krueger to beat Gabriela Lee 2-0 at 1.91 with Bet365
Krueger suffered a couple of disappointments against Podoroska in Indian Wells and Miami, but Lee is a much easier challenge, so I like the odds for the 2-0 scoreline. Lee's recent wins have to be respected somewhat, but she's not a good player overall. Krueger to bounce back is my call.

Happy Easter guys!
Sachia Vickery to beat Jaqueline Cristian at 2.20 with Bet365
No idea why Vickery is the underdog here, it's 50/50 at least for me. Vickery looked well above her average against Kessler, and the fact that she's already played a couple of matches here is relevant due to the unorthodox conditions. With Cristian not doing anything noteworthy recently, I'm happy to go against her at odds against.

Two woman's picks I like today.
First is Sloan Stephens to beat Fernandez. Stephens in great form, while Fernandez is not. Nice odds of around 1.75 which is decent for me.
Second match is Kalinina to beat Kasatkina. Kalinina very on clay. Coming off a demolition job of Wozniaki (6-2  6-3) which is certainly not easy.  Odds of 2.35 make this a a very well priced shot. To see a scoreline of 6-3  0-6  6-1 for Kasatkina in her first match in CHarleston is just bizarre. She should not be losing a 2nd set 6-0. It shows a lack of focus and consistency.
Intersting to see Choinski beating up Hurkacz ATM. He looks strong and has Hurkacz under pressure every game so far. LOL I give him the thumbs up and he disintegrates...

@Smiles Tennis She injured herself off-court I believe, and Cristian came out firing, like she did against Keys in the second round.
Sara Errani (+1.5 sets) to beat Sara Sorribes Tormo at 1.60 with Unibet
Errani leads the H2H 6-0 here, and SST hasn't been doing well so far in this season. She should still outlast Errani on paper, and I wouldn't fancy Errani in a potential decider, but the 1.60 for her to win a set looks good to me.

Having said that. I still haven't found myself able to bet him yet.. I would prefer do in play I guess. Atleast see which Laslo shows up
Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynets - This match intrigues me and is the battle of the 22 year old American phenom players that on occasion are epically underrated. 
Katie just won the longest match of the wta season vs Rus who was playing okay. She's also playing with a wrap around her leg but still seems relatively healthy. Ultimately I do like the way she's playing, but I cannot back her because of the long grueling match vs Rus, and the mere fact that Navarro consistently peforms very well, and I refuse to bet against her. So with those two reasons I would pick Navarro to win the match, but I would never the lay current price on her to win. Nor would I consider it for any type of serious parlay. Katie has been hitting nicely though. 

I'm not @CzechPunter but I'll give my opinion. With all the other matches going on, why bother with Fognini. As you say he's not to be trusted and when a player can blow a 4-0 lead in a set without winning another game - as Fognini did when losing to Gea recently - I don't know why anybody would want him carrying their money. 

One comment I can make about the match is Italians are getting alot of support in Morocco, and they were chanting Fabio's name via song in the last match. This has to be good, but still unsure if it means he wins the match. 

@Smiles Tennis She injured herself off-court I believe, and Cristian came out firing, like she did against Keys in the second round.
Sara Errani (+1.5 sets) to beat Sara Sorribes Tormo at 1.60 with Unibet
Errani leads the H2H 6-0 here, and SST hasn't been doing well so far in this season. She should still outlast Errani on paper, and I wouldn't fancy Errani in a potential decider, but the 1.60 for her to win a set looks good to me.

@Grass Cash I'm lagging behind on the ATP, so I'd be just guessing.