CzechPunter

ITF Valencia (Clay)
Rakotomanga to beat Chantel Sauvant @2.00
The 17 year old is on a tear. I have a bauchgefühl she gets this done.
 

Anastasija Sevastova to beat Marina Bassols Ribera at 1.67 with Unibet
With her win over Yastremska yesterday, it's fair to say that Sevastova is back and swinging, and I don't expect a clay courter like Bassols Ribera to stop her.

Anastasija Sevastova to beat Marina Bassols Ribera at 1.67 with Unibet
With her win over Yastremska yesterday, it's fair to say that Sevastova is back and swinging, and I don't expect a clay courter like Bassols Ribera to stop her.

Abedallah Shelbayh to beat Luca Van Assche at 2.75 with William Hill
I'm playing this for the odds. Nothing is expected from Shelbayh, but he's "the local guy", and Van Assche was awful last time out, losing 2-6 0-6 against Fery. No reason to have Shelbayh at 2.75 here imo, I'd be 2.25.

Nice blast from the past tomorrow, RBA against Fognini in Valencia finals! They haven't played each other since 2019, H2H is 8-3 in Fognini's favour.

Nice blast from the past tomorrow, RBA against Fognini in Valencia finals! They haven't played each other since 2019, H2H is 8-3 in Fognini's favour.

Another Sinner Djokovic coming up tomorrow most likely 😆.
Denis Yevseyev (+6) to beat Roberto Bautista-Agut at 1.75 with Pinnacle (should be others soon as well)
I don't expect RBA to lose here by any stretch of the imagination, but +6 is a big handicap in a Bo3 match, and Yevseyev has proven himself to be capable on the surface. RBA hasn't really crushed anyone here just yet either, and he isn't the force he once was anymore.

Here we are for the final stage of 2023 Davis Cup, in Malaga, Spain. Who'd have thought that there'd be neither France nor USA at the quarter-finals, right? 
Australia is already in the semifinals after a thrilling comeback against Czech Republic (2-1).
Serbia vs Great Britain - Tie Winner: Serbia at 1.5 with bet365
Short odds, but the current Novak is simply unplayable. Djokovic and Serbia last won the event in 2010 so I expect him to show up extremely motivated to reach the finals again. 
"It's the last week of the season, so one final push is necessary from each one of us," world number one Djokovic told reporters.
"I couldn't be happier with the way I performed in the semi-finals and finals of Turin, so hopefully I'm carrying this kind of energy and performance level to the Davis Cup."
He continued: "As I said many months ago, actually (at) the beginning of the season, the Davis Cup has been and is one of my greatest goals of this season and always is. Hopefully I will be able to contribute to win."
 

 

Polona Hercog to beat Maria Lourdes Carle at 1.91 with William Hill
Hercog looked better than Carle last week in Colina, and their last meeting was so close that I think she should have a slight edge here. Hercog played less this season, but she's coming back now, and could also have more energy than Carle if it comes to that.

Looking good for Djokovic fortunately!

Colina matches
Mandlik to beat Parry - 2.46 with Betfair
Podoroska to beat Bejlek - 1.85 with Betfair
 
 
No time for write ups tonight

ATP Finals Semis

Sinner - Medvedev over 2.5 sets  @2.29 Marathobet
Alcaraz - Djokovic over 2.5 sets @2.23 Marathonbet

Both matched will be tough battles! It's very hard to predict who will be a winner and three sets are very close.
Ram/Salisbury - Gonzalez/Roger Vasselin @2.21 Marathonbet
Gonzalez/Roger Vasselin did win 0-2 two weeks ago. Nothing has changed and IMO this should be 50-50 so this odds has same value!

tomorrow we have the same situation haha ; Medvedev already qualified playing Alcaraz ; difference being is Medvedev will play his semi final directly the next day

L. Pigossi to beat E. Mandlik - 3.1 with Unibet
Mandlik only has two wins against players ranked in the top 270 since early September. Pigossi is back on clay after a mediocre hard court period but can cause problems to make me think she should be a shorter price than this. 

Can't find any when it comes to the ones I can access @888888.
Leolia Jeanjean to beat Despina Papamichail 2-0 at 2.00 with William Hill
I think this is playable at evens. I watched Papamichail against Sierra, and both players were all over the place, but Sierra was incredibly erratic and handed Papamichail the win on a silver platter, more or less. Jeanjean should be able to keep the ball in play long enough to make Papamichail make the unforced error, and her easy win over Anshba suggests that she has no issues with the Colina conditions.

Colina - M. Lourdes Carle to beat D. Parry - 2.57 with Pinnacle
 
Parry was on a 7 match losing streak before dropping down to 25k level to build some confidence, reached the SF but lost to #280, then played a 60k and lost in the final to #224 so she's not at her highest level yet. Lourdes Carle has won 8 of her last 10 matches, all on clay, winning a 40k title in the process. 
Parry might have the edge but she's a bit short for me on current form. 

Can't find any when it comes to the ones I can access @888888.
Leolia Jeanjean to beat Despina Papamichail 2-0 at 2.00 with William Hill
I think this is playable at evens. I watched Papamichail against Sierra, and both players were all over the place, but Sierra was incredibly erratic and handed Papamichail the win on a silver platter, more or less. Jeanjean should be able to keep the ball in play long enough to make Papamichail make the unforced error, and her easy win over Anshba suggests that she has no issues with the Colina conditions.

WTA Colina - Starodubtsewa to beat Errani - 2.38 with William Hill
 
Starodubtsewa has climbed the rankings well this year when she started playing again, winning lower level tournaments, while Errani is approaching retirement and I think the odds should be closer than this. 

At these odds, tbh I would rather go against him… Medvedev and Alcaraz can both beat him anytime, maybe also this new version of Sinner can challenge him… yesterday Nole already played a 3 hrs match vs. Rune, it doesn’t look good to me

I can see what you mean @Swami as Djokovic was far from convincing yesterday. However, he tends to find a way - as he did against Rune - and I still think all the other players have bigger negatives right now than he does.

i think Sinner could be a surprise , only thing from what i remember is that he is young and usually gets under pressure and stressed when playing the bigger names; even though in the last 3 weeks he did beat Tsitsipas, Medvedev and Rublev so now he might have become stronger mentally.
 
Alcaraz has played 75 games in 10 months, Zverev 80 games in 11 months, seeing their latest matches i think they might be burnt out ; Medvedev is at 80 , Rublev 81 , Sinner 72 ;
Djokovic played "only" 58 matches so even though he is the oldest he could well be the most well rested, the only player which I feel could be a threat to him is Sinner, right now Djoko is at 2.00 to lift the trophy i can't decide whether to pull the trigger or not because it seems a bit low

Novak Djokovic to win ATP Finals 2023 at 2.38 with Bet365
With the rest of the field falling away a bit after the US Open, Djokovic stepped on the gas pedal and won the Paris Masters in style, so he should be primed for a win here. Except Alcaraz, everyone seems to have a mental block against him as well, and these aren't the ideal conditions for the Spaniard.

Completely agree. There's question marks over almost everybody else in the field, whilst Djokovic has clearly been aiming himself at this since the US Open. It's a short price, but I can't particularly make a case for any of the other players and so I'll be on Djokovic also.

Jack Draper to beat Adrian Mannarino at 1.62 with Bet365
Draper is on a 9-match winning streak and he hasn't even needed a tie-break so far in this tournament, so I'm not sure that Mannarino will be able to handle him. He certainly hasn't looked as great to me in this event, and I hope he won't break that tomorrow!

Fabio Fognini (+1.5 sets) to beat Ugo Humbert at 2.07 with Unibet
Happy to back Fognini for a set again after yesterday. Humbert is quite similar to Sonego style-wise.