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CzechPunter

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  1. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    Veronica Kudermetova to beat Simona Halep at 2.80 with Betsafe
    I'm not surprised to see Halep priced so low but this is one test Halep won't pass. Some reasons: Kudermetova is having her best season, she's like a rocket when serving. It's gonna be very hard for Halep to find any rythm and she might even struggle to keep the pace with Kudermetova.
  2. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    I know Brooksby can put up a real fight to Sinner in an eventual final between them and I think Harris didn't look so convincing the other day when he beat Bergs so I'm pretty convinced not mutch can stop Sinner from reaching the final. In the case that Sinner reaches final I think he wins after a good fight.
  3. Thanks
    CzechPunter got a reaction from Torque in Live Tennis Chat and Tips   
  4. Thanks
    CzechPunter got a reaction from Torque in Tennis Forum Usage and Etiquette   
    Agreed on all counts!
  5. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to Torque in Tennis Forum Usage and Etiquette   
    After reading about yet another spat between users on this part of the forum, and as a long-term poster here of more than ten years, I thought I'd put forward some thoughts about how to improve the atmosphere on these threads which it seems to me has been going downhill for some time. These thoughts mainly take the form of how I believe a forum like this should operate. Some may agree with me, others may not and that's fine as long as disagreements are handled in the right way - and that's one of the things I'll be discussing later.
    Firstly, as far as I'm concerned the purpose of the Tennis Forum is to share picks and information to try to help other users to come to an opinion about what they might choose to bet on, whilst bearing in mind that we all bet at our own risk. If anybody chooses to follow any picks put forward by other users then they need to accept that losing is not only possible but inevitable, even if the pick is well reasoned and deemed to contain value in terms of a price that implies a lower chance of a result occurring than is actually the case, and even if the price is short.
    What this forum shouldn't be about, but increasingly seems to be, is arguing about picks to the point of personal attacks and boasting about wins as well as demeaning anyone who puts up a losing pick. I'm not interested in vaunting tipping superiority or belittling others and I'm not interested in gloating or the goading which also seems to be becoming a regular occurrence, nor am I interested in winning an argument or trying to convince others that I'm right and they're wrong.
    There seems to be more and more aggressive and confrontational content here, which is sad to see. It should be simple and straightforward to run a friendly forum and all that's required to make that happen is for users to be respectful of each other. If somebody puts up a pick or some thoughts about a match or tournament, by all means other users can disagree or offer a different perspective and that's conducive to a healthy conversation which should lead to more informed betting choices. What's not acceptable though is to respond to what someone has posted with derogatory remarks, either about what they've posted or the poster themselves.
    As for critiquing a pick after the result is known - another increasingly common sight - that can be a useful exercise in terms of bets going forward, but in terms of the simplistic view that a winning bet is a good bet and a losing bet is a bad one there's no merit in it at all. What counts is the long-term. If you place bets with a better chance of winning than the odds suggest, eventually you will get ahead. It can take some time though and that's down to the variance associated with probability, and probability and the assessment of probability is what betting is in its most distilled form and that's why you can lose lots of bets in a row and look as though you don't know what you're talking about. Conversely, it's possible to win many bets in a row without having any idea what you're doing.
    Finally, despite all the gloom of the above, there are plenty of users of this forum who post respectfully and have good information and insights to share. It's my hope that by starting this conversation, the forum can return to being the friendly and helpful place that it's historically been. There will always be the occasional troll or misjudged post and that's to be expected, but recently the atmosphere in here has turned pervasively toxic and it would be good to arrest that. Nobody should feel like if they post a losing pick that they're going to get abuse for it, or that they'll get shouted down for voicing an opinion. That's not the way this forum should be.
  6. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    @CzechPunter Sinner is basically making no mistakes just like Brooksby and Nakashima but Sinner won't face any of them until the final.
    I should wait till sunday before making cash-out then if I feel like not taking the risk that he doesn't win Antwerpen.
  7. Like
    CzechPunter got a reaction from Torque in Tennis Tips - October 11 - October 17   
    For the millionth time, please stop with personal attacks.
  8. Like
    CzechPunter got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 11 - October 17   
    For the millionth time, please stop with personal attacks.
  9. Thanks
    CzechPunter got a reaction from Foo_Fighter in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    Jenson Brooksby to beat Botic Van De Zandschulp at 1.52 with Pinnacle
    Botic looked average in the first match, Brooksby is having a good tournament. I'll be repeating my bet from yesterday! Really liked how he dealt with Opelka.
  10. Like
    CzechPunter got a reaction from Simplicity11 in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    He has a better serve, but he lacks otherwise. I rate Brooksby highly, he'll move further the rankings if he keeps improving at this rate.
  11. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    Why does Dan Galan drop a set to this guy? Is it because he's played far to few matches on clay recent 6 months? Can he beat Gerald Melzer in Bogota tonight despite a such all out bad performance? Perchicot has a career high of 409 achieved this season.

  12. Like
    CzechPunter got a reaction from carina007 in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    He has a better serve, but he lacks otherwise. I rate Brooksby highly, he'll move further the rankings if he keeps improving at this rate.
  13. Like
    CzechPunter got a reaction from Simplicity11 in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    Jenson Brooksby to beat Botic Van De Zandschulp at 1.52 with Pinnacle
    Botic looked average in the first match, Brooksby is having a good tournament. I'll be repeating my bet from yesterday! Really liked how he dealt with Opelka.
  14. Like
    CzechPunter got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    Jenson Brooksby to beat Botic Van De Zandschulp at 1.52 with Pinnacle
    Botic looked average in the first match, Brooksby is having a good tournament. I'll be repeating my bet from yesterday! Really liked how he dealt with Opelka.
  15. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to carina007 in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    Thank you Murray!!!
    What a game, so many comebacks...
    Murray looks very good if you ask me. Tiafoe was hard opponent
  16. Thanks
    CzechPunter got a reaction from mark22 in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    Jenson Brooksby to beat Reilly Opelka at 1.80 with William Hill
    Opelka hasn't looked great recently and European indoors isn't among his favourite surfaces. His serve can still see him through, sure, but Brooksby has the better game for the conditions. He's on the rise and has two matches under his belt, too.
  17. Like
    CzechPunter got a reaction from Simplicity11 in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    Jenson Brooksby to beat Reilly Opelka at 1.80 with William Hill
    Opelka hasn't looked great recently and European indoors isn't among his favourite surfaces. His serve can still see him through, sure, but Brooksby has the better game for the conditions. He's on the rise and has two matches under his belt, too.
  18. Like
    CzechPunter got a reaction from liquidglass in Tennis Tips - October 11 - October 17   
    I'm sorry that you feel that way. However, copying something from another betting site has always been a no-no, even if you edit it. I'm pretty sure that it's also breaking rules from that site, as nobody wants to get such info posted elsewhere without a link (which, in turn, is something we - or any forum on that matter as far as I know - allows). I respect everyone who posts his thoughts here, regardless of how much I agree or disagree with them. Note that by no means have I even thought of issuing a warning or anything, I did realize that you had no ill intention. If you think it was too heavy-handed anyway, I apologize. Thanks for the feedback as well.
  19. Thanks
    CzechPunter reacted to liquidglass in Tennis Tips - October 11 - October 17   
    Sorry Czech, I just felt that I had to revisit this issue after your last comment. You make it sound like we get paid for contributing to this website, perhaps I need to remind you that this is not the case. In truth you are the one who always stands to gain from our contributions aside from the satisfaction we get from writing. I feel that there is a proper way to address people in this regard. I have now been on this site for many years and you should have figured out by now that I am not somewhat of an infinitessimal baby. Granted that I made a mistake in not editing the post completely before posting, it should not have detracted from my original intention which was to provide the visitors to the forum with information that turned out to be very vital and precise from the outcome of the results. You should have politely suggested that I edit and recheck my post before posting. Better still, there was nothing wrong in asking me to edit and repost knowing that in this business it is not very wise to compromise information. The problem was not copying but editing considering that copying is not a brainless exercise. So when you throw in a lose comment  such as saying that it isn't a good idea, It just comes out as being sarcastic and disrespectful.
  20. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 18 - October 24   
    Jannik Sinner outright ATP Antwerp at 3.80 with Unibet
    Can't think of any reason he won't go for this title.
    Edit: Sorry forgot to check for higher price, Jannik Sinner at 4.20 with Betfair
  21. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to Foo_Fighter in Tennis Tips - October 11 - October 17   
    darko08, I hope you reconsider and keep posting your always well put, smart bets. As a matter of fact, I've always regarded you as my favorite punter. This isn't exactly praise I'm giving you (in some way it is since I said you're my favorite), it's just the reality, the truth; your win-loss ratio is outstanding. As I said, I just hope you reconsider man...
  22. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to Simplicity11 in Tennis Tips - October 11 - October 17   
    Norrie vs Basilashvili 
    I’ve got Norrie down as very slight favourite to win this one, so I’m surprised to him priced as low as 1.55. 🤔
    Night time match as well so the lower bounce won’t see his forehand kicking out of Basilashvili’s strike zone as often as it did against Dimitrov. 
    I’d have priced Basilashvili around 2.2 for this, so seeing him at 2.55 makes this a value bet for me 🙂
    Basilashvili @ 2.55

    As always let me know if you disagree!
  23. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to yogg in Tennis Tips - October 11 - October 17   
    Indian Wells (USA), hard - Final - Norrie C. Vs Basilashvili N.
    I think the odds flatter Norrie a bit, I had it down as a 50/50 match.
    they both had equally tough routes to the final imo.
    it should be a close match with both players at the top of their game right now.
    I'm going for Basilashvili to win 2 sets to 1 @ 5.50 with Bet365
    good luck all 👍
  24. Like
    CzechPunter reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 11 - October 17   
    Vika to beat (-1.5 sets) Paula Badosa at 2.80 with Unibet
    Here's what I've found written elsewhere:
    Badosa has played brilliantly in this tournament, defeating two Grand Slam champions en route to the final - Angelique Kerber and Barbora Krejcikova. She will look to produce another upset and take down another Slam winner in Vika on Sunday.
    The Belarusian is the more experienced of the two players and has triumphed at Indian Wells twice before. That may just give her the edge in this contest and help her emerge victorious for the third time in the California desert.
    And well I'm going for this bet big time as I saw how bad Badosa and Jabeur played against eachother while there where literally no mistakes from Vika when she beat Ostapenko in the third set to reach the final.
  25. Sad
    CzechPunter reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - October 11 - October 17   
    Well, that has been my last bet/prediction. In terms of results, it has been a really good year, but I also have had to be dealing with a lot of punters "crowing" on my lost picks and I just got tired. The most annoying part is that all those punters are not even able to get good results here, so they just wait and appear in the right moment.
    Since the Q. of the US Open started I have posted 23 bets and I have won 16 (16-7), That can be checked easily as all the bets are there. Well, in more than half of those lost bets I have seen some punter crowing on them. In relation to the 16 won bets, I haven't seen a single post commenting the match or the bet itself. It seems it doesn't matter how good I am doing that if I lose a bet there will be a punter to crow on it. It doesn't take a genius to realize what's the main purpose of all these comments. 
    I'm not leaving the forum, I just won't post more bets and I will reduce my contribution here. 
    GL to Czech, fourleaf, foo fighter, robinho, money and all the rest of the good punters here!
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