ren1969
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Posts posted by ren1969
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Re: -1 Asian Handicap System hi davidc..nice profit so far. i got a bit confused while reading your earlier posts...i'm not really good at the back & lay...through my experience, the common 1x2 odds for AH -1 is around 1.45 - 1.60. so i'm interested in how u make your picks..
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Re: calculating AH-odds hi rishman, the fixed handicap or european handicap of -1 is equivalent to -1.5 of asian handicap. and the fixed handicap of +1 is equivalent to +0.5 in asian... so i guess you can use the same formula to calculate the fixed handicap odds.
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Re: Champions League » Dec 09 sevilla vs rangers. i'm backing rangers +1.25 asian handicap because there's not much at stake for the home side. sevilla just need a draw to win the group and i think that's what they will play for.
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Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 result: bayern 2-1 borussia...winner today..gunners firing blanks?? bet 9 : arsenal vs stoke pick : stoke +1.5 @ 2.15 stake : 2 start bank: 100 staked : 15 return : 17.96 profit: 2.96 current bank : 102.96
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Re: Heavy Favourites - DNB
maybe..if you pick the best odds from different bookie.. example, today's bayern vs borussia.. bayern home win @ 1.35 (odds4you) draw @ 5.9 (betfair) = bayern dnb @ 1.12 i see bet365 is only offering 1.07 for bayern dnb thats a difference of 0.05 !!! its not much if you are staking $10 but its $500 difference if you are staking $10000 like me..:lolThanks Ren, would this mean I get a much better price than? :unsure -
Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 result: fulham 1-0 cska..winner today, german titan bayern's giving a generous handicap.. bet 8 : bayern munich vs borussia mgladbach pick : borussia mgladbach +1.5 @ 1.95 stake : 3 start bank: 100 staked : 12 return : 12.11 profit: 0.11 current bank : 100.11
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Re: Heavy Favourites - DNB nice start spooner..:clap (you can back the home win & back the draw..use arb cruncher calculator for stake..)
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Re: +1.5 goals ....Please!!! NO 0-0, 1-0, 0-1...:lol good luck otter.
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Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 result: xerez 0-2 barca..ibra's 90 min goal..lose half stake :wall today..europa league game bet 7 : fulham vs cska sofia pick: cska sofia +1.5 @ 1.86 stake : 1 start bank: 100 staked : 11 return : 10.25 profit: -0.75 current bank : 99.25
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Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 result: notts 4-0 darlington..loser :( bet6: xerez vs barcelona pick: xerez +1.75 @ 2.10 stake : 1 start bank: 100 staked : 10 return : 9.75 profit: -0.25 current bank : 99.75
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Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 result..odense 1-0 koge...win bet :dude bet5: notts county vs darlington pick: darlington +1.5 @ 1.97 stake: 3 start bank: 100 stake : 7 return : 9.75 profit: +2.75 current bank : 102.75
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Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 bet3 result: celtic 3-1 st mirren..bet lost following the plan of 1-3-2-6, the stake goes back to 1 after every loss. there's one match today in the danish superligue. the openning AH line was at +1.5 for Koge but now the line has gone up to +1.75. Is Koge going to get thrashed tonight ?? Let's see.. bet4: odense vs koge (danish) pick : koge AH +1.75 @ 2.12 stake:1 start bank: 100 stake : 6 return : 7.63 profit: +1.63 current bank : 101.63
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Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 hey hey hey...maradona's old napoli won 1-0 which means i win too next stop..scotland.. bet3: celtic - st mirren pick : st mirren +1.5 @ 2.03 stake : 2
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Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 hi redjo, thanks for your interest. i compare the average goal difference between the 2 teams and see if the goal difference is over or under the asian handicap line. in the liverpool's case above..i would still pick liverpool if the difference is +1. (anyway, liverpool draw 2-2 that day). That's why some suggest to add a weight to the goal difference by taking into consideration the current form etc..
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Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 note: 1.refer here for my asian handicap selection method http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f21/asian-handicap-system-discussion-93057/index2.html 2. refer here for an explaination of 1-3-2-6 plan http://www.marketfinding.com/article.php?id=31926&act=print
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Re: 1-3-2-6 & Asian Handicap +1.5 bayern win 1-0..beginner's luck. following the 1-3-2-6 plan, so today stake 3 bet2: napoli - cittadella (italy cup) pick : cittadella +1.5 @ 1.87 stake : 3 start bank: 100 stake : 1 return : 1.02 profit: +1.02 current bank : 101.02
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i read about this 1-3-2-6 staking plan and i find it interesting. i would like to paper trial this staking plan on my favourite asian handicap line of +1.5. bet1: bayern munich - macabi haifa pick: macabi haifa +1.5 @ 2.02 stake: 1 start bank: 100
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Re: Champions League » Nov 24 agree with caveman regarding Unirea vs Sevilla. Unirea still have a chance to qualify for the next round so i'm expecting them to be fully motivated in this game. I'm going for Unirea +0.25 asian handicap. good luck
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Re: Super AH System hi ipt123, i like your title "Super AH System". tns vs port talbot..1x2 odds is 1.44 3.90 5.60. from this 1x2 odds, i think the AH line should be tns -1.0 looking forward to your pick
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Re: Asian Handicap System (discussion) thanks for your comment Grex adding "weights", considering other previous stats like h2h, total shots on goals will definately give us a more realistic prediction...perhaps someone could explore further because calculating average is already hard work for me. another no brainer rule of thumb i like is "always back the underdog in cup games and important qualifying matches". last night this worked for me at the fa cup (refer: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f6/england-fa-cup-nov-17-18-a-93130/index2.html) so i'll have another go at it today in the world cup qualifiers.. greece +0.5 bosnia +0.25 slovenia +0.25 ireland +1.0
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Re: Asian Handicap System (discussion) i like to bet in the asian handicap (AH) market. i would like to share my method of AH betting. Let's take this weekend clash between liverpool vs man city. AH is set at liverpool -0.5. 1. calculate liverpool average home goal difference (goal difference/no. of home games) >>>>> +13/6 = +2.16 2. calculate man city away average goal difference (goal difference/no of away games) >>>>> +2/6 = +0.33 3. compare home team and away team average goals >>>> 2.16 - 0.33 = 1.83 Liverpool have 1.83 advantage over man city. Therefore pick LIVERPOOL AH -0.5 Good Luck.
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Re: asian handicaps and handicaps explained for my benefit asian handicap gives the best odds. example: bundesliga match 21/11/2009 koln - hoffenheim asian handicap odds koln +0.5 = 1.82 @ 188bet 1X odds = 1.72 @ bwin handicap koln +1 = 1.70 @ betsafe
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Re: 20 Minutes Betting Strategy for Running Under /Over at first i'm lost but thnx to winning_streak, i get it now.. let me share what i understand :- this strategy is applied for the first 20 minutes for in-running or live bets. example : Goal... Under/Over Odds.... Goal Time........ Strategy >>>>>>>>>0................2 ................No Goal............Under >>>>>>>>>0........... 1.5/2.............. No Goal .......... Give up >>>>>>>>>2.......... Under 4....... Before 20 minutes.... Over so, if scoreline is 0-0 at 20 minutes, and bookies offer over/under goal line at 2 therefore you should put your money on under 2 goals. high chances this is a low scoring game..probable FT scores 0-0, 1-0, 1-1 & 2-0. another instance.. at 20 minutes, 2 goals already scored..put your bet on over 4 goals...goal fest coming up.. i don't usually like live betting but i think its worth a look if you're into live betting. give it a go and tell us the result.;)
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Re: Betting Analysis Strategy for AH Odd 0 or 0/0.5 hi, ysgan. thanks for sharing your strategy. you must have studied the odds for a long time to make such a conclusion.
-1 Asian Handicap System
in Betting Systems & Strategy
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Re: -1 Asian Handicap System hi davidc, so what you are saying is "if the favorites 1x2 odds is between 1.55 - 1.67, then the chances of the favorites clearing AH -1 goal is not good..so we should back the underdogs"...am i wrong ?