hristofor

Dodig/Polasek to beat Murray/Skupski at 1.85 with Pinnacle
It's obviously rather hard to separate these two really good pairings, but I have to side with Dodig and Polasek due to the 2-0 record they hold over their opponents, with both of those matches coming in this season. Based on that, I think that there's some value in the odds here, although the margins are rather fine obviously.

Huddersfield vs Fulham
The Championship action begins on Friday night in a 7:45pm kick-off at the John Smith's Stadium when relegated pair Huddersfield and Fulham clash. Despite being in the Premier League last season it already appears that both of these teams are developing contrasting expectations this season. The home side are simply hoping for consolidation whilst the away team have got their eye on an immediate return to the top flight.
Huddersfield fans are in disarray right now. If you take the time to visit their forums or look around on social media there are a lot of voices of discontent. Fortunately, there are also sensible ones who know the season is only two games old. Jan Siewert is already under fire for his poor win ratio but this is a Terriers side that has found losing to be a habit. It is now just 7 points gained from their last 27 matches in league competition. A 2-1 loss to Derby and then 1-1 draw with QPR has hardly improved morale. How can one man at the helm solve that? It's a tall order for Siewert.
Fulham were criticised last season for signing too many new faces in too short a time. It saw them drop straight back down to the Championship after their promotion the previous season. Scott Parker has been kept on as manager and good things are coming out of the Cottagers camp. Losing Ryan Sessegnon was expected but still a disappointment. Holding on to Aleksandar Mitrovic is a golden move. Adding Cardiff's want-away striker Bobby Reid could also be a stroke of genius. The other additions of Josh Onomah, Anthony Knockaert, Harry Arter, and Ivan Cavaleiro are also wise moves. The 1-0 loss away to Barnsley was underwhelming on the opening weekend but the 2-0 win over Blackburn last week was a lot more assured.
The head-to-head record doesn't make for great reading for Huddersfield. They have only won 1 of their last 13 league meetings with Fulham. That win did come last season in the Premier League. On their last visit to Huddersfield at this level, Fulham came away with a 4-1 win back in 2017. The Terriers have also scored just six goals from open play in their last 17 league games. It's hard to see where the creativity is going to come from and where the goals will come from for the home side. I have to back an away win here. It might only get worse for Huddersfield this season. I hope not because they're a club I have a massive soft spot for.
Fulham to Win @ 2.33 with Marathonbet
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.90 with Bet365
@waynecoyne, @sajtion, @arvee, @canaries91, @Mindfulness, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @CloughandTaylor, @Tiffy, @Gidds, @chris50, @PokerWolf1, @teddybear3011, @skyblues88, @allyhibs, @Icongene, @KikoCy, @willie82, @Neubs, @Papa Lazarou, @kulikTS, @Valkovets, @Pipoca, @padman, @Marek76, @silver fox, @neilovan, @HastGill1, @jazzman02, @andypaps28, @Kenton Schweppes, @rangers234, @newjack, @Kane91, @yossa6133, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Xcout, @branskie, @Wanderer89, @Hitch, @four-leaf, @trevor8, @OppoArchitizerLady, @Power90, @THEODORE-007, @KeyserSoze1, and @the bastardian, what bets are you guys looking at in the Championship this week?

Aston Villa-Bournemouth 2(3.10)bet365
Why I predicted away win?Beacuse man of the match will be Eddie Howie.Why? Beacuse he likes the teams who are playing attacking football against them,Billing and Lerma as DMF will destroy middle of Villa beacuse of they pyshicallity and some much energy.Also Bournemouth is so unpredictable team and my opinion they have problem with some kind of motivation.I remeber last season,they got lost against Fulham at home 0-2 and after that they went at guest against Brighton who played at that time for survial at league at Borunemouth played for nothing at they overplayed them 0-4.So incossestion will be key factor in this match.At other side we have Aston Villa new promoted team which they have just only 2 players who have enough exp to play in PL 

Brighton x West Ham
West Ham is one of the least reliable teams to bet on in this Premier League, it has a very entertaining style of play to watch, but it is very stingy. The team was totally dented by Manchester City which even by City standards was too easy, but nonetheless Brighton is not a team if you want to bet on most scenarios. Graham Potter is a great coach and his work in Sweden and Swansea promoting new players to key roles with Daniel James and Grimes was great, but even so, West Ham invested to be in Tier de Wolves, Everton and Leicester, but still It is far from it.
For this game, I expect a West Ham better than last week's tilt, the team hired a lot and few surrendered in the face besides Felipe Anderson. Another important piece of the Lanzini team also had problems with injuries. Haller is already a starter, and with Fornals, Anderson and Lanzini playing behind him and taking up the space left by the great and dynamic center forward, I see West Ham as a team that should win a lot of smaller league games in the Premier League. Lack of defensive solidity to beat the biggest ones like Wolverhampton and Everton has for example, but from the middle to the front the team is very capable.
Brighton are unlikely to win 3-0 this season in the Premier League again, and as much as the line is in a DNB, they are still giving a lower odds DNB to Brighton, which I think is wrong, since The team must fight not to fall, comes from a start of work, and even before their fans should not be able to be favorite against any of the Premier League teams, let alone a strong team like West Ham.
Pellegrini had nothing to do against Manchester City, and this is the game where West Ham have to win in order not to be harmed later in the season, I see value in this DNB, we will hardly go out with at least one push here, so it has a lot of value and it's on the Hammers side.
West Ham DNB odds: 2.07 Pinnacle 2 units 
Stake with 1, 2 or 3 units in a bet.

Sabalenka looks on fire from highlight i saw.. massive serving and adequate moving. I disagree with Czech about Gasquet.. Looks like a 50/50 match to me. Have not seen videos of either player recent matches.. I smell something with Rebecca Peterson.. She is hitting the ball well from the baseline, and these courts really exxagerate the spin of the ball. 

Maria Sakkari (+1.5 sets) to beat Ashleigh Barty at 1.90 with 888
Based on how unconvincing Barty was today, Sakkari should have every chance tomorrow. She's now dealt with two very strong players in a row, so she's clearly ready and should have no fear whatsoever.

Leicester - Fulham, mainly due to the poor defensive behavior of the visitors, we can see many goals
LEICESTER CITY vs FULHAM FC @@ +2.50 Over, odds 1.70

Sorry folks, I don't really have the time now to add much reasoning to my picks  
Looks like they are already plenty of surprising results in Indian Wells and I can smell a fishy day today as well. Maybe nothing indicates the below upsets, and I might lose easily all of them, but who expected Humbert to lose 2-0 against Marterer, etc... I will give them a try 
Back Donald Young (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Hubert Hurkacz at 1.79 with MarathonBet
Back Steve Johnson to beat Taylor Fritz at evens with Expekt
Back Bernarda Pera (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Qiang Wang at 2.04 with Pinnacle
Back Stefanie Voegele (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Sloane Stephens at 2.31 with SBOBET
Back Ysaline Bonaventure (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Donna Vekic at 1.99 with Marathonbet

Daniel Brands to beat Nicola Kuhn at 1.95 with Unibet
Brands still has the edge in this match-up indoors imo. He did lose against Galovic last time out, but he was quite splendid in Sofia before that, while Kuhn is still very much on the border between Challengers and the main level, still somewhat closer to the former unfortunately. On indoors quality alone, I'd say that Brands should be at around 1.70 here.

Sara Errani to beat Alexandra Kiick at 1.82 with Pinnacle
While I'm not a massive fan of backing older players against younger ones anymore, I do like these odds quite a bit. Sara Errani is starting her one final comeback trail here and she was quite alright against Bencic in the Fed Cup and Jorovic in Dubai, so I think that she's going to get the win now that she's dropped down by another level. Kiick is reasonable on the ITF circuit, but I don't see her dealing with the consistency and tenacity of Errani if the Italian plays well.

Belinda Bencic (+1.5 Sets) to beat Petra Kvitova at 1.81 with Marathonbet
Kvitova has lost a set here against Siniakova, Brady and Hsieh (only against Kuzmova won in straight sets). Bencic has win here against Sabalenka, Halep and Svitolina so I think that she will have some chances against Petra. I have watched her against Halep and Svitolina and she's playing very solid and looks like the pressure is not affecting her.

Thanks for nothing Diego, at 4-1 even .
Su-Wei Hsieh (+1.5 sets) to beat Karolina Pliskova at 1.70 with Pinnacle
I think that it's quite easy to fancy Hsieh's chances in this one, as Pliskova isn't moving all that well right now and that isn't going to improve overnight if she's a bit sick. She's the much better player of the two when on song and I do see her winning, but she should drop a set much more often than not as her big hitting is bound to misfire for a while at some point.

Back Alison Riske (+4.5 games) to beat Karolina Pliskova at 1.97 with Unibet
I backed Riske against Goerges in the first round and will continue to ride the wave now. Initially, was going to send out this pick with the +5 handicap line, but odds dropped from 1.74 so I'm moving to +4.5 which could be covered as well if she continues her solid play. Pliskova admitted a few days ago that she was not feeling so well due to being sick. Not sure if already recovered, but she had a difficult match yesterday against Cibulkova so we could have a good chance here.

really? atp 60 nothing special. incredible tennis player imo and great fighter as well. not to mention the 1,8m eur he put together thru his short career.... tru that I would lay off this match, or maybe lean dzumhur as well....  GL

In play 4-3 Djere
Djere 3.4 to beat thiem - 4 units 

I've changed my mind and won't back Evans against Tiafoe, who is defending champion in Delray Beach. Of course, this does not mean he will win this match but should have plenty of motivation to defend his hard-earned points from last year.
Back Radu Albot (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Nick "as*hole" Kyrgios at 1.81 with MarathonBet
Instead, I will pick this Moldavian guy who is apparently playing some nice tennis nowadays and managed to beat Karlovic twice recently. In my opinion, Kyrgios is one, if not the biggest wasted talent in the whole ATP circuit, he often gives sh*t about playing. He really possesses everything to be a top top player, but his intolerable, unprofessional behavior will never let him so. You never know what to expect from him, and taking into account Albot's good form, I think there is value to back the latter for at least a set.
Back Paolo Lorenzi to beat Steve Johnson at 2.45 with Expekt
I was really thinking about backing Jung for a set today, but thanks God I skipped that match in the end. Johnson was/is (?) in really bad shape, but every negative run comes to end, and I had a feeling he might eventually win a match, maybe even in straight sets, and that's exactly what happened. Will he be able to build on this and start a streak? Well, for the moment I don't think so. Lorenzi, who is really not a hard court specialist is playing surprisingly well, beating reputable players on this surface. I'll be honest, I was not able to watch any of his matches recently, but somewhere I read a comment about him looking and moving around the court very motivated and determined, like somebody who is really fighting for something very important. Jung had his chances today against the American, did not take them, thus ended up losing in straight sets. Lorenzi is a different level compared to the guy from Taipei, I see him as favorite in this matchup.

Jordan Thompson to beat Noah Rubin at 1.85 with William Hill
Yeah, I agree that Thompson is somewhat better and should be a somewhat bigger favourite here. I would be very confident outside the US, but I think the odds are worth it even with the home conditions factored in.

Vera Zvonareva to beat Darya Kasatkina at 2.12 with Unibet
Aryna Sabalenka to beat Ekateryna Alexandrova 2-0 at 1.86 with Unibet
Going against Kasatkina once again, she's still to get going and has no match practice going into this, while Zvonareva looked good in the second part of her previous match. It's mainly a bet against Kasatkina though. The other bet is very much for Sabalenka, on the other hand, as she's playing well again and and she's a level above Alexandrova in nearly every single respect. I didn't watch Alexandrova today, but she could've easily lost against Boulter in the previous round had Boulter not been such a headcase.

Preston vs Derby
The Championship fixtures kick-off on Friday night when lower mid-table Preston entertain play-off chasing Derby in this 7:45pm start at Deepdale. The home side come into this game off back-to-back wins but will the visitors simply have too much attacking strength for their opponents?
Preston are in 16th place and 12 points clear of the relegation zone. Survival is not sealed yet but it would take something quite dramatic to drag Alex Neil's side into the dogfight. North End can afford to let themselves believe that making a late push to gate crash the play-offs is not unrealistic seeing as they are only 10 points off the top six pace. That gap could be reduced to 7 points by tomorrow night.
Derby have won many plaudits for their adventurous play under Frank Lampard but they remain unable to build a consistent run of positive results together. The inexperience of youth is their adversary but it feels that the Rams certainly have enough in their armoury to make a decent effort for the play-offs. The club is sat in 6th place but they are just 2 points within the play-off positions.
It's easy to see why the bookies are not offering low odds on Derby to win here. Preston have been playing well lately and have only lost 3 of their 14 home league matches. You can add in the fact that Derby have only won 6 of their 14 away matches. It feels like Derby will need to be at their best to get the win here.
I think the odds being offered mean Derby have to be backed for at least a draw. The win is a very attractive price though. If you look at their attacking talents then I'm not sure Preston's back-line can cope with it. The signing of Ashley Cole is a shrewd move by Lampard. His experience and class will help his young side.
Yes, he's 38 years old. Yes, he's been plying his trade in the MLS for a few years. However, the media in LA constantly reported how they felt Cole was a stand-out player for the team and deserved to play for a better team. You have to say that the MLS is probably about lower-Premier League standard at its best and lower Championship/ top of League One at its worst. If Cole is standing out in that league then he should deliver at Championship level. I'm going to punt for a draw no bet here but I think we could see goals.
Derby Draw No Bet @ 2.31 with MarathonBet
BTTS @ 1.73 with Betfair
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Crystal Palace vs Tottenham
One of the less predictable games in the FA Cup 4th Round this weekend comes at Selhurst Park where Premier League sides Crystal Palace and Tottenham will go toe-to-toe in this 4pm kick-off on Sunday. Can the injury-hit Spurs navigate their way past this tricky tie?
Crystal Palace have slowly become embroiled in a relegation battle in the Premier League. The news is not much better on the transfer front with speculation that Wilfried Zaha has held initial talks with Bundesliga side Borussia Dortmund. If there is one thing Roy Hodgson could do with right now it's the excitement of a cup run.
Tottenham will come into this game without a number of first team players. The trio of Harry Kane, Dele Alli, and Son Heung-min are ruled out but there is also the duo of Ben Davies and Moussa Sissoko added to the absentees. Spurs performed better than expected against Chelsea in midweek but with Premier League games coming up during midweek it'll be interesting to see what sides these two clubs line up with.
A few interesting stats coming into this game. These two sides last met in the FA Cup back in 2015/16. The Eagles sealed a surprise 1-0 win at White Hart Lane. Funnily enough, it was Palace who would go on and reach the final that season too. Could a victory here inspire a similar run?
The past six meetings between these two sides have ended in a 1-0 result. Tottenham have won 5 of these and Palace have won just 1. Unfortunately, Palace have also lost their last three FA Cup matches against top flight opposition. Combine that with this being Tottenham's chance to reach the 5th round for the fourth consecutive season and it's not looking good for Palace.
I'm tempted to back Palace to get something here. I still think Mauricio Pochettino is desperate for his first trophy but I just think they've got too much going against them right now to make them a solid bet. It should be a low-scoring game but I can see Palace taking this game back to Wembley at the very least. It'll be a great chance to forget their league woes and they have raised their game against the big teams this season.
Crystal Palace Draw No Bet @ 2.14 with MarathonBet
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.75 with Sportingbet

St Mirren vs Hibernian
OK, so our boy @allyhibs will obviously be able to give the real expert opinion but seeing as the Livingston versus Rangers game offers little value I thought I'd punt for this St Mirren versus Hibernian game that's kicking off at 1:30pm on Sunday afternoon at St Mirren Park.
St Mirren are rock bottom of the SPL and Oran Kearney's side have only picked up 12 points in the league so they'll be looking to find a rare win here. Unfortunately, they've lost their last three league matches and the last time they entertained Hibs at home they lost 1-0.
Hibernian are in 8th place and not exactly in the form of their lives. Rumours are that Neil Lennon is set to depart the club after a run of 5 league games without a win. It'll be interesting to see who takes charge of the team for this game and the impact that will have on the performance.
A few interesting facts coming into this game. St Mirren have only won 2 of their last 10 SPL matches with Hibernian. Hibernian have also won 5 of their last 8 trips to St Mirren. If Hibernian lose this then it will be the first time since April 2014 that they've lost three league games in a row in the SPL.
I have to back Hibernian here. I think if Lennon isn't in charge then there could be a positive bounce from the players. I think even if Lennon was in charge, this St Mirren team is so bad that it should still be a win secured for the visitors. I'm keen to here what Ally thinks.
Hibernian to Win @ 1.70 with Betfair
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.80 with Bet365

Live bet ash Barty to win @1.72 bet365

Norwich vs Birmingham
The Championship Friday night game serves up a mouth-watering encounter when promotion-chasing Norwich host play-off contenders Birmingham in a 7:45pm kick-off at Carrow Road. Neither side is experiencing the best form right now so the result here could play a pivotal role in how their seasons shape up between now and May.
Norwich are without a win in four league games now. It's a run of poor form that has seen Daniel Farke's side drop out of the automatic promotion spots. The positive stance on this is that the Canaries have only lost 1 of their matches during that run and it's now only 1 defeat in the league since 6th October, 2018. Win here and things will be back to normal.
Birmingham are finally looking like a really solid team under Garry Monk. The Blues are in 8th place and just 4 points outside the play-offs. Things could have been so much better though with the club now having gone three league games without a victory. Just 2 goals scored in their last 3 league games shows where the problem lies. The poor defensive record of Norwich might be a chance for the Blues to resolve that issue.
The Canaries boast one of the best home records in the division so I'm thinking that backing them to win might be the sensible choice. Birmingham have quiet an average away record and they might find this trip too much. Norwich might not have been winning games lately but they're still making themselves hard to beat and that could prove the difference here.
Norwich to Win @ 1.89 with MarathonBet
BTTS @ 1.91 with Sportingbet
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There is no topic for this weeks challenger so i will use that one.
Challenger Koblenz
Michal Przysiezny @ 1.854 Pinnacle 5/10
Przysiezny only played 8 matches in 2018, last one in April but he had a very good pre season and is in really good shape and i expect him to play a good tournament here in Koblenz where he had some success in 2017 winning four matches in a row. Przysiezny also worked as a training partner for Caroline Wozniacki in the second half of 2018 and also trained with her as a prep for the new season so he wasn't far away from the sports although he didn't play officially. I expect a strong performance here as he said his goal is to come back Top 200 soon and if he is fit he definitely has the tools to do so. His opponent Barranco is a clay only player, he NEVER played on indoor hardcourt before, one tournament on indoor carpet in Italy last year where he was defeated by Neuchrist in two clear sets. I do not expect him to some damage here to be honest. 
Benjamin Hassan @ 2.23 Pinnacle 5/10
This is Benjamin Hassans home tournament. He played great tennis here in the past winning sets vs. Gabashvili and De Schepper and beating Gulbis with a great performance. Hassan is underrated but he needs to play like this the whole year, he usually shows his best tennis at home and i do expect great tennis here. Serdarusic isn't something special on the other side, can't say i am convinced he makes it back to the Top 200 soon, he lacks consistency and i watched his match vs. Griekspoor last week and i am pretty sure if he plays like that he will lose this.

Opole .. what do you think of Murray's odds.. I feel he stands a chance.