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Everything posted by Bettingboots

  1. Just seen it now. Joker 1st, Rafa 2nd, Thiem 3rd. Didn't think they would just go with the current world rankings.
  2. What are the seedings for Roland Garos ? Have they been announced yet ? If it were me, I'd have Nadal 1st, Thiem 2nd, Djokovic 3rd, but I suspect Joker will be seeded 2nd, and Thiem 3rd. Seedings will have a big impact on the draw, and therefore the outright prices.
  3. Couldn't agree more, Torque. I didn't see the Wawa match but it wouldn't be the first time he has tanked a match, esp when its close to a slam event. I would also add Kerber to that list - just saw the highlights of her first round match in Rome and it was disgraceful. In horse racing they call them non-triers or schooling over the jumps. She made absolutely no attempt to go for balls which were simple to reach. Complete waste of an entry, maybe she thought nobody would notice with no crowds, but she should have the book thrown at her for that performance.
  4. Azarenka is playing well enough to beat Williams but she has to get over some mental challenges. I know she's beaten her a few times, but never in a slam. She's 0 from 10 in slam meetings. But its been a while since their last match and Williams is now almost 39 years old, and at some point that has to count against her. Maybe tonight is the night. But we also know how much this means to Williams and she always raises her game for the big events like this. I think the outcome of this match will be influenced by the result of the first semi. If Brady upsets Osaka I think Williams will get an extra lift and it will fuel her to a victory over Azarenka.
  5. I like his chances at Wimbledon as well, I think that slam is more open next year than previously.
  6. Some good insights there, Torque. I've seen the negative body language at times with Medvedev but I'm putting that down to immaturity which I hope he can grow out of. For sure he doesn't compare with Nadal, who's a mental colossus. But I've been impressed by his rapid progress and I love that he doesn't seem to fear the top 3 so I expect him to win a slam sooner rather than later.
  7. I've backed Medvedev in the outright so I've been watching him, he seems to be playing very well although he hasn't faced any quality yet. Djokovic going out at this stage is obviously a huge plus, but not enough to stop me from hedging my bets. A lot will depend on how he (and others left in) react to Djokovic being out and the sudden increase in expectation. Medvedev for me has one of the stronger temperaments allied to his obvious talent, so I don't have concerns about him on that front. But these are strange times, and this is a strange slam so far, so I want to be prepared for the unexpected. I've been looking at the draw, his likely opponents and their likely path and opponents as well to work out how I can hedge for small stakes. So I've backed Berrettini at 17/1 since I see him as the danger in Medvedev's quarter, and if he gets thru to the quarters and beats Medvedev, his price will be less than half that, maybe a third which means I can take some profit back. I've also backed PCB at 47/1 purely because I believe its much too big, and he's playing well enough to make it deeper into the tourney, and if so his price will half and again I can take some profit back. I realise that Thiem should be the biggest danger to Medvedev in the semis should they both get there, but I have strong faith he will beat Thiem on this surface, and I was always going to let the bet run at that stage (even when I expected Djokovic would be in the final) and not lay any off until the final.
  8. You don't even have to go to earlier matches for examples of Joker losing his temper, it happened clear as day a couple of games before the incident here. After he lost the chance to break PCB (he had him at 0-40 and couldn't convert) to win the set, he smashed a ball into the advertising board, the ball could have ricocheted anywhere, and caused an injury. He has plenty of previous for this and has anger supremacy issues, which happens with some elite sportspeople when they are that good. Personally, I still like the guy and admire his achievements but you can see why a lot of people don't warm to him and he'll never reach Roger and Rafa's level of popularity, even if he surpasses their achievements on the court.
  9. I backed Raonic for a couple of years, for Wimbledon, expecting big performances. But he's a mental midget against the top players. Its good to see him recover from his injury problems, but I doubt his game will return to his best levels from a few years ago. The US Open will be interesting for Raonic and many other players because of the much weaker field, but only if someone can take out Novak first.
  10. Can anyone explain why Carreno Busta is being backed v Thiem ? (from 9/4 into 7/4) He's playing the No.5 player in the world, someone he has never beaten on the pro tour (Thiem has a 5-0 record), and Thiem has just won the Chinese Open. This looks a terrible match up for PCB, what am I missing ?
  11. Nice easy looking bet to start the day off LAY Feyenoord v Porto at 5/2 (5.55pm KO) Feyenoord are a poor outfit from a poor league. Europa League is their standard. Their opponents Porto are Champions League regulars who have went backwards in recent seasons (losing some of their best players and not replacing them with the same quality), but they should still be too strong for Feyenoord. I'll be shocked if they lose to the likes of Feyenoord. Later on, I've got a home side treble of Braga, Arsenal, and Sevilla at a shade under 13/10 (with corals).
  12. I do expect Murray to lose to Thiem, but the problem with Thiem is he can lose to anybody on a hard court. So for that reason, its a watching brief only for me.
  13. Did anyone see Murray's win over Sandgren in the first round ? How is he looking ? Has he shown enough improvement to trouble De Minaur in the 2nd round match ?
  14. I like Stan's chances also. Medvedev has been the form player recently, but Stan has quietly been improving and he is a confidence player and will take huge confidence after beating Djokovic (some will say that victory was down to Joker being injured but I'm not buying it). If both players are at their best (unlikely with both seemingly having some fitness issues), then Stan's best is just better than Medvedev's best. Looks like a decent price for the 3 times slam winner, and former winner here. Hopefully its a classic match.
  15. On paper (grass or any surface), Halep should be beating Williams, she has the game to do it. The problem is, its the Wimbledon final, somewhere she hasn't been before, and she has a history of choking. And thats why Williams is still favourite. But honestly, it looks a coin flip to me. Hopefully we get a decent final. So many of the ladies finals seem to be straight sets disappointments.
  16. Close but no cigar. When Querrey broke back to make it 5-5, I thought the TB was in the bag. Nadal just too good. He's playing really well at the moment, better than Federer from what I've seen, but I'd still make Fed slight fav on grass. Market has Nadal fav tho, so maybe a little value there if you fancy Fed. But since I'm on Rafa outright I won't be having a bet on the win market. I'm looking for another TB bet instead, these 2 have a history of TBs, and I'm convinced we'll see a least 1 in this match. Lets see what the layers are offering.
  17. I like Querrey's chances of taking at least 1 set, and most probably on a TB. He actually leads Nadal 4-1 on TBs in their previous matches so I've taken a bet on big Sam winning the first set 7-6 at big odds (10.5 on betfair).
  18. Very well done, that was an outstanding bet. 👍 I would definitely be hedging now. I think Serena will be too much for her in the SF. If they'd met in the first few rounds, I'd give Strycova a big chance with style of game and the variety she has. But I've been watching SW closely in her matches and she's improving with each match. She's still a slow mover and thats her weakness, but her serve is getting more consistent, and her returns are on fire (have you watched her in the mixed doubles? - she is literally carrying Murray in those matches, and her returns are on fire).
  19. Kyrgios will give it 1000% today and throw everything at Nadal (hopefully not the chair tho). He might even keep trying if he goes behind, something thats not in his nature, but such is his dislike of Rafa he might just dig deep and find his peak form. As for the match, I don't see any value in the win odds, but I expect both players to get a set and lets hope for a classic. From a personal point of view, I'd like Rafa to win because I backed him at inflated prices in the outright, and a win here would see his odds tumble.
  20. he's not called Tomic the tank engine for nothing 😉
  21. Grass is Basilashvilli's weakest surface for sure, but he's won matches on grass including victories against the likes of Feli Lopez. Basically he's used to playing at a far higher standard and against far superior players than Ward who shouldn't even be here. I think he should be much shorter price so I'm backing the Georgian with confidence.
  22. and Basilashvili, not that he'll need much help beating the woeful Ward.
  23. No certainties in this sport, but if I was looking for a parlay around Evs, I'd go with a treble of Wawrinka / Monfils / Edmund (pays around 10/11)