New Members
  • Content Count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Bettingboots

  1. Can anyone explain why Carreno Busta is being backed v Thiem ? (from 9/4 into 7/4) He's playing the No.5 player in the world, someone he has never beaten on the pro tour (Thiem has a 5-0 record), and Thiem has just won the Chinese Open. This looks a terrible match up for PCB, what am I missing ?
  2. Nice easy looking bet to start the day off LAY Feyenoord v Porto at 5/2 (5.55pm KO) Feyenoord are a poor outfit from a poor league. Europa League is their standard. Their opponents Porto are Champions League regulars who have went backwards in recent seasons (losing some of their best players and not replacing them with the same quality), but they should still be too strong for Feyenoord. I'll be shocked if they lose to the likes of Feyenoord. Later on, I've got a home side treble of Braga, Arsenal, and Sevilla at a shade under 13/10 (with corals).
  3. I do expect Murray to lose to Thiem, but the problem with Thiem is he can lose to anybody on a hard court. So for that reason, its a watching brief only for me.
  4. Did anyone see Murray's win over Sandgren in the first round ? How is he looking ? Has he shown enough improvement to trouble De Minaur in the 2nd round match ?
  5. I like Stan's chances also. Medvedev has been the form player recently, but Stan has quietly been improving and he is a confidence player and will take huge confidence after beating Djokovic (some will say that victory was down to Joker being injured but I'm not buying it). If both players are at their best (unlikely with both seemingly having some fitness issues), then Stan's best is just better than Medvedev's best. Looks like a decent price for the 3 times slam winner, and former winner here. Hopefully its a classic match.
  6. On paper (grass or any surface), Halep should be beating Williams, she has the game to do it. The problem is, its the Wimbledon final, somewhere she hasn't been before, and she has a history of choking. And thats why Williams is still favourite. But honestly, it looks a coin flip to me. Hopefully we get a decent final. So many of the ladies finals seem to be straight sets disappointments.
  7. Close but no cigar. When Querrey broke back to make it 5-5, I thought the TB was in the bag. Nadal just too good. He's playing really well at the moment, better than Federer from what I've seen, but I'd still make Fed slight fav on grass. Market has Nadal fav tho, so maybe a little value there if you fancy Fed. But since I'm on Rafa outright I won't be having a bet on the win market. I'm looking for another TB bet instead, these 2 have a history of TBs, and I'm convinced we'll see a least 1 in this match. Lets see what the layers are offering.
  8. I like Querrey's chances of taking at least 1 set, and most probably on a TB. He actually leads Nadal 4-1 on TBs in their previous matches so I've taken a bet on big Sam winning the first set 7-6 at big odds (10.5 on betfair).
  9. Very well done, that was an outstanding bet. πŸ‘ I would definitely be hedging now. I think Serena will be too much for her in the SF. If they'd met in the first few rounds, I'd give Strycova a big chance with style of game and the variety she has. But I've been watching SW closely in her matches and she's improving with each match. She's still a slow mover and thats her weakness, but her serve is getting more consistent, and her returns are on fire (have you watched her in the mixed doubles? - she is literally carrying Murray in those matches, and her returns are on fire).
  10. Kyrgios will give it 1000% today and throw everything at Nadal (hopefully not the chair tho). He might even keep trying if he goes behind, something thats not in his nature, but such is his dislike of Rafa he might just dig deep and find his peak form. As for the match, I don't see any value in the win odds, but I expect both players to get a set and lets hope for a classic. From a personal point of view, I'd like Rafa to win because I backed him at inflated prices in the outright, and a win here would see his odds tumble.
  11. he's not called Tomic the tank engine for nothing πŸ˜‰
  12. Grass is Basilashvilli's weakest surface for sure, but he's won matches on grass including victories against the likes of Feli Lopez. Basically he's used to playing at a far higher standard and against far superior players than Ward who shouldn't even be here. I think he should be much shorter price so I'm backing the Georgian with confidence.
  13. and Basilashvili, not that he'll need much help beating the woeful Ward.
  14. No certainties in this sport, but if I was looking for a parlay around Evs, I'd go with a treble of Wawrinka / Monfils / Edmund (pays around 10/11)
  15. I know Lopez is very good on grass and when his serve is working he's tough to beat, but his serving has been poor all week, broken many times and giving up countless BPs. If he continues like that, he'll lose to the young Canadian who so far has shown no signs of nerves.
  16. The one-sleeved bandit ? Yes, a bit of a legend alright. I thought he'd be older than 41 by now πŸ˜€
  17. My apologies, I should have posted this in the Euro 2020 section, this Nations League thing is confusing 😁 Still, a winner is a winner.
  18. Iceland to beat Albania is my bet of the day at almost 8/11 on betfair. (2pm KO) Iceland’s form may have fallen away from that amazing period they had leading up to the last Euros (beating Holland etc) and in the Euro finals in France where they were impressive, drawing with Portugal and famously knocking England out, but they’re still a decent outfit, especially at home. Albania are very poor, even a poor Scotland side hammered them 4-0 (in their own patch) and they also have discipline problems. I expect Iceland will be too strong here so this is my bet of the day. Good luck with your bets.
  19. I'm a little surprised to see Nadal so short (4/7 best price). I know he's been playing better recently and appears to be getting stronger as the clay season progresses and was impressive against Tsitsipas in the semi. Djokovic by contrast has been mugging about in some of his recent matches and should have lost to Del Potro in the quarters. But we know he raises his game massively when playing Nadal and has has the better of him in recent years, even on clay. I agree with you CP, although Nadal appears to be getting stronger, I still think he's missing something and I'm not convinced he can regain some of his old mojo. Djokovic is a bad match up for him, so at the prices I'll be on the Serb.
  20. Agree with you on Ferrer, I see some clear value here. I backed him to beat RBA in the last round (had a feeling his good friend would be a little accommodating shall we say, for David's swan song here), although it was a little worrying to see him cramp up in the final set. Zverev hasn't played well for quite a while, and Ferrer has beaten him a few times before, so I expect at least a run for my money.
  21. Big servers are usually meat and drink to Djokovic but he seems a little off his game lately and those temper tantrums aren't a good sign. I suppose thats why you're getting 1/10 and not 1/25 here.
  22. Whats going on with Fritz? I keep hearing he's terrible on clay and MC is supposed to be one of the slowest clay surfaces around, but here he's swept Schwartzman aside, and also was beating Tsonga easily before the Frenchman retired. Joker up next for him. Can he keep defying the odds ?
  23. I don't see many problems for Coric against Pouille but like CP said, the price is too low to get involved. Maybe double it up with Djokovic or Djokovic on the handicap. Does anyone see Medvedev giving Nole any problems ? I haven't seen that much of him, he has a big serve and an unusual action that's maybe harder to read but he's facing the greatest returner in the game (poss the greatest ever returner) who's already beaten him a couple of times, and once Djokovic starts reading it, the match will be taken away from him.