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bookiebasher

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  1. Haha
  2. Like
    bookiebasher got a reaction from Perfect Storm in Covid: The Perfect Storm!!!   
    Ive done Bradford, as well as Oxford who are on fire and Everton and Norwich, Thrown a bit on the parley that pays 12/1... Orient to to win 3 - 0 i hope lol
  3. Like
    bookiebasher got a reaction from the finster in L1, L2, & Scottish Predictions > Jan 29th & 30th   
    BRADFORD AND OXFORD SCREAM TO BE BACKED JUST ON RECENT FROM ALONE...
  4. Like
    bookiebasher got a reaction from Perfect Storm in Covid: The Perfect Storm!!!   
    Bradford are 23/20 to beat Barrow at home..Looks a good price to me.. Any takers ? 
  5. Like
    bookiebasher got a reaction from Perfect Storm in Covid: The Perfect Storm!!!   
    So the couple of games i have betted against Bolton this season they,ve done me in, late equalisers and they even won once.. Tempted to back Mansfield tomorrow as the form book screams out Mansfield.. Any team news you guys know about that could sway my decision either way ?. Thanks in advance...And what is the likelyhood that they could lose 17 points as im due over 5 figures if they did go down lol
  6. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Perfect Storm in Covid: The Perfect Storm!!!   
    First of all I dint know that Dieng had been red carded, that's a blow for Southend, the less I say now about their chance the less chance of jinxing the Shrimpers.
    Good luck with the bet Alley Cat, I hope they come in for you, I've sewn me pockets up after last night, I went in neck deep on Spurs taking the 1/4 {4 monkeys to win one}, I damn near choked when Wycombe Wunderers went 1 up, then to see the woodwork play a blinder to keep Spurs out. At least there were signs of a lifebelt when with a last gasp of the first half Bale made it 1-1. Hard to believe how many shots went in, 28 in all, with 10 of them on goal, yet with 5 minutes left on the clock it was still 1-1 and I feared the worst.
    You might imagine my RELIEF when Winks slotted one in on the 86th minute, was I glad to see Son make it 3-1 a minute later, that sealed the deal, no coming back from 3-1 with less than 5 minutes to play, well, not with a team like Wycombe playing Spurs.
    That was a tough monkey to bag, I think someone up there was trying to tell me "there's no easy money" that certainly wasn't, anyway, all's well that ends well, long as you don't have a heart attack.
    Bookie Basher: As for the Wunderers doing you in, join the club, I'm still licking the Barrow, Carlisle & Harrogate wounds, gawd knows how they came back from 3-0 against Barrow, how they drew 3-3 at Carlisle with the last e in kick of the game, or how they beat Harrowgate at Harrogate, those 5 points ALONE have managed to keep them out of the bottom 3.
    As for FV going bust, I WISH I knew, I don't know how they are keeping the ship afloat, the Hotel alone is a Millstone, there's more folks visited the Pope than have visited the Whites Hotel in the last 6 months, but the place has been kept open even though there's rarely a day when there's more guests than staff. Must be a headache for Punch & Judy they went into this Vanity Venture thinking it would be a cash cow, no wonder when they slid their £800,000 bucket underneath the Wunderers, but that seems to have gone sour.
    I can't see where the money is coming from, there's no one in the Hotel, and the turnstiles haven't clicked since a ball was kicked, but the overheads have to be paid, not to mention the £5 million or so of inherited debt, most of that due in 6 months time, including to HMRC, they'll make sure they get the full amount. If only the accounts were due at Companies House now rather than August.
    Now for News from the Western Front, seems like Delaney didn't just get a red card on Saturday, he damn near did a Van Gogh...
    https://www.theboltonnews.co.uk/sport/19038166.bolton-wanderers-boss-ian-evatt-reacts-horror-injury/
    Not that he'll be missed tonight, most of the Wunderers Fanatics would prefer he doesn't take to the pitch, in fact few of then even want Delaney's Donkey warming the bench.
    But, talk about when the tide is running against you, Evatt must be thinking he killed a Priest in another life...
    https://www.theboltonnews.co.uk/sport/19037716.blow-bolton-peter-kioso-joins-northampton-town/
    Speaking of Evatt {not that I'm complaining} here's his latest missive...
    https://www.theboltonnews.co.uk/sport/19038167.manchester-united-right-back-solksjaer-says-evatt/
    It beggars belief how he compares himself with Ole Gunner Solkjaer and Frank Lampard, a self deluded dreamer but a nightmare for the Wunderers.
    Add to that...
    "The club is in good hands, I can assure every supporter that Sharon and the rest of the board are FANTASTIC people, they are dedicated to this club and understand it."
     
    Ask not for who the bell tolls,,,
    The problem comes back to Punch & Judy, they are way out of their depth when it comes to owning a football club, their appointment of Evatt points to that.
    Do you reckon they had a Plan B ? did anyone see Wu Flu coming ?
    My guess is, Punch & Judy have no other option than to pretend it's just a bad dream, one that will go away, it won't...
    :STOP THE PRESS:
    TONIGHTS GAME IS CALLED OFF !!!
    https://www.theboltonnews.co.uk/sport/19039446.wanderers-league-two-clash-mansfield-town-postponed/
    Not sure if that's a good thing, or a bad thing for us ? some good results tonight for us would really turn the PRESSURE UP !!!
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
  7. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Alley Cat Glover in Covid: The Perfect Storm!!!   
    Don’t think there will be any surprises team wise, nobody back from injury and Delaney missing through suspension. Mansfield appear strong now and wouldn’t put you off, but Bolton away do seem to pick up some results when you least expect. Even when 2 or 3 down they have comeback for decent points.
    Deduction wise my gut tells that’s not going to happen, if they borrowed 40M until 2022 and beyond, not sure anyone can ask for that back, Perfect Storm is better located and closer to the news than me though.
    Still talk of new player(s) from the manager in this transfer window although under embargo so only loans and freebies I think. Fans want 4 or 5 might be 1 or 2. Lad from Luton won’t be back gone to Northampton he was almost ever present in 1st half of season. Are they good enough to avoid relegation? Would suggest they need minimum of 6 wins to give them 46pts. That would mean Southend, Grimsby and Stevenage would need 8 or 9 wins to climb above them. All to play for, my cash out from Skybet has been climbing recently so that’s good news although it is a touch like Bitcoin in that behaviour!
    All the best.
  8. Like
    bookiebasher got a reaction from harry_rag in Premier League Predictions > Jan 16th - 18th   
    won after 5 minutes mate 
  9. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to harry_rag in Premier League Predictions > Jan 16th - 18th   
    Even a stopped clock is right twice a day!
  10. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to harry_rag in Premier League Predictions > Jan 16th - 18th   
    Sheffield U v Spurs: 14 points on Son to assist a goal at 13/5 with PP.
    Persisting for at least one more game! 
  11. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > December 23rd - January 2nd   
    December was very much a month of 2 halves. From the start until the 12th I had 12/18 winners. From the 15th until the end I have had just 4/21 winners. Still most of the losers have just been 1pt selections so there was little damage done to the great profits from the first half and I was still 36pts up on the month from 61.5 staked.
    The yearly total stands at 197pts staked and 155pts profit.
  12. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > December 23rd - January 2nd   
    Amazingly we put out a weak side and have still hammered them. Taken me by surprise I must say but there we go. Boxing Day tips will be up tomorrow at some point.
  13. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to betcatalog in La Liga Predictions > Dec 22nd & 23rd   
    Sociedad's injury problems are worrying and it is very difficult not to trust Atletico Madrid due to their excellent form this season. We are expecting a closed game on Tuesday afternoon, but we believe that the visitors will have enough reasons to claim three very important points.
    REAL SOCIEDAD vs ATLETICO MADRID @@ ATLETICO MADRID, odds 2.35
    This match has all the advantages of a very interesting football game, with both teams entering the match with positive results. Athletic Bilbao is able to make it difficult in the 90th minute for the Yellow Submarine, so I see a tight game, where it will be judged in detail, after all they both have a hard time scoring comfortably. The few goals have the first.
    VILLARREAL vs ATHLETIC BILBAO @@ +2,5 Under, odds 1.70
  14. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > 15th December   
    The run will end at some point I am sure, but another fantastic day on Saturday which means the profit currently stands at 147.24 points for the season which quite frankly is staggering really. This week we have an FA Trophy double header with the Step 2 sides coming in on Tuesday and the Step 1 sides coming in on Saturday. I am taking 4 possible upsets on Tuesday night in the Trophy and 1 bet in the 4 games taking place in the National League.
    Solihull v Halifax
    Halifax were struggle for goals and then they played Barnet and Weymouth and scored 5 past both of them. They added to that tally of 10 by adding 3 last Tuesday against Aldershot and now they are scoring goals they can be backed to beat an under performing Solihull. Granted they did beat Hartlepool in their 1st game after their FA Cup defeat, but they weren't great and their rivals did have a man sent off to help. They then lost 4-1 to Sutton and were poor on the TV on Saturday to Bromley. I would have Halifax around the 2/1 mark
    Blyth Spartans v Morpeth
    Blyth are looking doomed to relegation already and in a normal season they would already be playing Morpeth in a league game. Now I am taking a chance in backing 4 Step 3 and 4 sides given they haven't played any league games since the start of the 2nd lockdown, but I do think that is factored into the prices of the selections. Morpeth would likely have made the play-offs and they are better than their current league position. Being a local derby they will be bang up for this and Blyth are there for the taking.
    Bracknell v Havant & Waterlooville
    The Havant manager has already said he will be resting players tonight and that gives a strong Bracknell side for their level a chance to beat Havant tonight. They have only played 5 games, but have won 4 and drawn the other. They had a good win last Tuesday against Salisbury and as I saw they have a chance of winning this with Havant resting players.
    Concord Rangers v Truro City (now on Saturday)
    This would likely have been a league game if the season had have been completed last season and Truro are looking strong again this time around. Concord are still to play last seasons final and it would be an odd quirk if they got to the final of this year's competition as I can't see it happening before we know this season's finalists. This is a tricky tie for them though. They have only won twice in their last 10 league games and I think Truro have the better side.
    Marine v Southport
    Happy to back Marine again here as Southport have been really struggling for form. They have only picked up a point in their last 4 games and that was to an Alfreton side who are doing even worse than they have. One win in 8 for Southport and we know Marine are a good side who can beat better teams than Southport from this level. As I mentioned ahead of their game on Saturday they have had the advantage of playing in the FA Cup and being able to train during lockdown.
    Halifax 1pt @ 100/30 with William Hill
    Morpeth 1pt @ 29/10 with Betfair
    Bracknell 1pt @ 11/2 with Betfred
    Truro 1pt @ 3/1 with Bet365 and Betfred
    Marine 1pt @ 4/1 with Bet365 & Betfred
  15. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to betcatalog in Champions League Predictions > Dec 8th & 9th   
    Although Lazio will be the favorite of most observers to qualify - justifiably, as they only have to avoid defeat. Club Brugge has gained experience in the Champions League in recent years, has shown several potential and will fight it a lot in Rome. Given the defensive and offensive virtues of both clubs, I expect an open match with goals from both sides.
    LAZIO vs CLUB BRUGGE @@ Both team to score, odds 1.66
    The guest only needs one point to advance to the knockout stage. Leipzig have conceded six goals in their last two games and the Manchester team is definitely capable of scoring in Germany, as well as at Old Trafford in the reverse game. Leipzig, on the other hand, only wants the victory, they will give everything and their offensive line can find at least one goal.
    RB LEIPZIG vs MANCHESTER UNITED @@ Both team to score, odds 1.50
    Both coaches are expected to select strong teams for this match despite the fact that both teams have already advanced to the next round. Barcelona's form in the Champions League this season has been excellent, but we expect Juventus to be competitive at the Camp Nou and claim the victory with claims. I will go with the many goals.
    BARCELONA vs JUVENTUS @@ +2.50 Over, odds 1.63
  16. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to betcatalog in Champions League Predictions > Dec 8th & 9th   
    Ajax may have a good prehistory against the Italians, but Atalanta are impressive away from home, winning even at Anfield. I expect them to give their all for the qualification. Ajax is forced to win and I expect an open match with goals.
    AJAX vs ATALANTA @@ +2.50 Over, odds .45
    Atletico has struggled to bring its form to an ideal level, it knows that a draw will see it pass to the next stage of knockouts. Salzburg can score, but defensively they have big gaps with 15 passive goals in five matches and today they have to attack to win. I expect the experienced Atletico to finally impose and continue.
    SALZBURG vs ATLETICO MADRID @@ ATLETICO MADRID, odds 2.20
    Gladbach may be tempted to make a mistake, as a draw is the only result they need, but with attacking talent in their ranks, it may be better to go for victory amid many defensive worries. This can be a very productive game - certainly the most crucial of Zidane's career - and we believe that the 13-time European champions will be competitive and find a way to continue the institution. Due to the offensive talent of the two clubs, combined with their defensive problems, I expect an open match with goals from both sides.
    REAL MADRID vs BORUSSIA MOENCHENGLADBACH @@ Both team to score, odds 1.55
    It would be a surprise if we see Porto with a basic starting lineup since it has already been secured and Olympiacos can feel optimistic about the chances of beating the Portuguese this week. However, we still believe that the solid defensive line of coach Conceiçοo will not produce an offensive game and I expect the duel to be judged in detail and I will bet on the few goals
    OLYMPIACOS vs FC PORTO @@ +2,50 Under, odds 1.70
  17. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to PercyP in NFL week 12 - PercyP   
    The nfl is reaching an exciting time as teams seek to reach the end of the season playoffs. Cumulative W21 L13 D1 profit 318 points.
    Browns can keep the winning sequence going - 6.5 @ 10/11
    Miami were not good on Sunday but this means the spread is lower. Miami -7 @ 20/21
    Chiefs are my tip for the superbowl. Take them to win  - 3.5 @ 20/21
    Raiders ran the  chiefs close. Falcons were mauled. Julio Jones injured taking Raiders -3 @ 20/21
    Chargers are my outsider tip +5.5 @ 10/11
    Usual bet 1 point Canadian 4 point accumulator 30 points staked.
     
     
  18. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Heisenberg68 in Champions League Predictions > Nov 24th & 25th   
    Tonight Paris must win . Great team and 4-3-3 with Mbappé, Neymar , Di Maria . 
    Last Friday against Monaco , the team was not concerned, and it shows.

    Today the players will make the efforts as they do quite well when their backs are against the wall ! 
    It's a real shame to put themselves in danger. 
    Tonight I see a big victory for the Parisians.
    Psg , Psg-1 , Mbappé to Score 
  19. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Heisenberg68 in Champions League Predictions > Nov 24th & 25th   
    It will be very interested to play Chelsea . 
    Rennes in full doubt against a Chelsea in full confidence, a qualification more than compromised for the French team while Chelsea would be well assured after only 4 games.  on paper there is no photo between the two teams.
    i think the scare can be 0-2 or more. 
     
    Chelsea -1 is good bet. 
  20. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to johnkam in Championship Predictions > Nov 20th & 21st   
    Good morning mates,
    All based on the analysis I posted yesterday! Good luck!
     

  21. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > November 21st   
    Tuesday was a bit of a mess all round with the Havant and Dorking games being called off and switched and then finding draws rather than winners when it came to the bets. Saturday's fixtures look tough, but there are 4 matches which appeal from a betting point of view.
    Kings Lynn v Dover
    Dover look in desperate trouble this season. It is amazing they beat Notts County on the opening day of the season because they have lost 6 of their following 7 games. They have scored just 6 goals and conceded 22 and had another heavy defeat on Tuesday night against Woking. Kings Lynn have had a very mixed time of things as they have managed to concede even more goals, 24 in 9 matches, but they are one of the top scores in the division with 14 goals. They had a good win at Barnet on Tuesday night and even managed to keep a clean sheet. Given the goals they have in them I can see them scoring at least 2 against a poor Dover defence. 21/20 is well worth taking about a home win.
    Wealdstone v Sutton
    This is the live game on BT Sport and I fancy Sutton. I think Wealdstone have had a fair bit of fortune on their side which has seen them pick up plenty of wins. They have had a kind fixture list or in the case of their last win against Halifax end up playing 9 men. They lost 2-0 on Tuesday night against Eastleigh and I think they will struggle against the better teams in the division. Sutton have had a cracking start to the season and have only lost to Notts County so far. They picked up a point on Tuesday against Dagenham, but they are improving so that wasn't a bad result. I am happy to take even money about an away win as I think Sutton will be too strong for the home side.
    Guiseley v Gloucester
    Yes I am backing Gloucester again. They had to work hard against Hereford for the points on Tuesday night and were more defensive than they have been in previous games, but Hereford couldn't take advantage of the chances which did come their way in the 2nd half and Gloucester carried on with their unbeaten start to the season. That was City's 8th league game of the season yet Guiseley were only playing their 4th game of the season on Tuesday. It wasn't great for them either as they were well beaten 4-1 by Darlington and its hardly the performance you wan when the league leaders are up next. Granted they could have been a bit rusty, but I watched them in their previous league game against Boston and although they got a point, Boston were totally dominate and should have won easily. I think if Gloucester go back to their more attacking system then they will get plenty of fortune in front of goal. I don't often put up odds on shots, but 10/11 is value for me.
    Hereford v Chorley
    I know Hereford scored 3 against Blyth last Saturday, but having seen them on Tuesday night it is clear they are going to struggle for goals this season as they lacked the quality needed to take one of their chances against Gloucester. Chorley lost their first 4 league matches, but they looked a fair side against Gloucester and they did beat Wigan in the FA Cup. In the league they stopped the defeats with a draw against BPA and then beat AFC Telford on Tuesday night. They look over priced at 3/1 as the teams are much more closely matched than those odds suggest.
    Kings Lynn 2.5pts @ 21/20 with William Hill
    Sutton 2.5pts @ Evs with Bet365
    Gloucester City 4pts @ 10/11 with Bet365
    Chorley 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor
  22. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Labrador in Non-League Predictions > November 17th   
    At the price (7/2 available) I feel Hungerford may be a potential bet at Slough who have lost their last couple.
  23. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to ProfessorMJ in TOP 5 NFL PICKS by Stats Prof for Week 10   
    Written Tuesday November 10th, 2020 at 11 a.m. Eastern Time (spreads/odds may have changed)
    A dreadful 0-3 performance for the picks last week. Ouch!
    That does not shake my confidence at all. Bad weeks will invariably occur every season; they are part of the sports betting game.
    Never go too high during winning streaks and never go too low in bad times.
    Let’s roll up our sleeves and get back on the winning track! Here are 4 picks for you.
    PICK #1 (4 STARS): PITTSBURGH STEELERS -3.5 FIRST HALF VS CINCINNATI BENGALS
    The news that Ben Roethlisberger was placed on the COVID-19 list broke not very long before I posted this article. The line might change depending on Big Ben’s status, but no matter what I’ll take Pittsburgh in the first half. If he misses the game, the spread will be smaller, obviously.
    Some factors that I regularly look at are favoring the Bengals. First, the rest factor. Cincy is coming off its bye week, but statistical studies have shown that the best NFL teams use this extra time much more efficiently than weaker ones. Since the Bengals are not among the top tier, the bye week effect won’t be as large.
    Secondly, there’s the revenge factor. The Bengals lost both meetings to Pittsburgh last year.
    Also, big road underdogs who have been established underdogs for 4+ straight games have done well against the spread in the past.
    So why the heck am I taking the Steelers? And why for the first half only?
    Pittsburgh had a letdown game in Dallas last week. They took the Cowboys lightly and needed a late comeback to secure the win.
    Now facing a division rival, head coach Mike Tomlin will make sure his big boys will be storming out of the gate. I expect a fast start from his squad.
    I prefer taking Pittsburgh in the first half because Joe Burrow is capable of scoring 1-2 touchdown(s) late in the fourth quarter to cover the spread after trailing by a good margin.
    In the last 9 matchups where the Steelers were at home facing a team with a losing record, they beat the spread on 7 occasions.
    No need to remind me that Cincy lost four games by a 5-point margin or less, nor that Pittsburgh won four games by that same margin. I am aware that both teams have been involved in many tight games. That’s precisely why many people will jump on the Bengals train.
    However, on paper we have a huge mismatch favoring the home team on both sides of the ball, and yet that home team was only a touchdown favorite before the line went off the board after the Roethlisberger news (which means it will be even lower if he’s out).
    Defensively, Cincy ranks dead last in yards-per-carry average allowed, while Pittsburgh is 9th in that category. As for opposing team’s passer rating, the Bengals rank 13th versus 2nd for the Steelers.
    On offense, I like what Joe Burrow has done but he’s still a rookie about to face a tough defense. Remember what happened when he faced the Ravens’ defense in a 27-to-3 loss.
    To make matters worse, 4 out of the 5 Bengals starting offensive linemen are listed as questionable. You don’t want your offensive line being banged up when facing Pittsburgh’s stout defense.
    PICK #2 (3 STARS): BUFFALO BILLS +2 AT ARIZONA CARDINALS
    Is the Bills defense back to its 2018 and 2019 form where they were a top five unit?
    Not yet, but they took nice steps last week. That might sound weird after allowing 34 points, but that was against the potent Seahawks offense. Buffalo’s defense was able to pressure Russell Wilson and he ended the game with his worst QB rating of the 2020 season.
    On Arizona’s side, their defense was supposed to be pretty weak this year, but they have done a fine job thus far. I’m afraid they might regress, and having two starting cornerbacks, Byron Murphy and Dre Kirkpatrick, listed as questionable is worrisome when you are about to face the great WR trio of Stefon Diggs, John Brown and Cole Beasley.
    You may want to keep an eye on the injury status of stud cornerback Tre’Davious White, though. He left the game against Seattle with an ankle injury and did not return. Head coach Sean McDermott called it a day-to-day injury, so I feel like he’s more likely to suit up than not.
    Over their last 8 meetings as road underdogs, the Bills hold a nice 5-1-2 ATS record.
    Meanwhile, Arizona has beaten the spread just once in the past six games where they were home favorites.
    The Cards are at home for the fourth straight week, which boosts their chances of getting the victory. But could they be looking ahead to a critical meeting with the Seahawks next week?
    In summary, I like Buffalo to pick up their eighth win of the season as small underdogs.
    PICK #3 (3 STARS): LOS ANGELES RAMS -1.5 VS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
    After a very hot start to the 2020 season where many experts were calling him the league’s MVP (deservedly so), Russell Wilson has been struggling a bit.
    Wilson’s three worst games, in terms of QB rating, occurred in the last four games. During this time frame, he posted a 12-to-6 TD-to-INT ratio, which is far worse than the 16-to-2 ratio he racked up in the first four matches.
    The Cards and the Bills have shown how to disrupt Wilson. You must blitz and put pressure on him. Aaron Donald and company have sacked opposing quarterbacks 25 times, fifth-highest in the NFL.
    Jared Goff is extremely good when given time to scan the field, especially with such great weapons as Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett. However, when Goff is feeling pressure, he is really awful and he doesn’t seem to know how to escape.
    Which of these two scenarios is the most likely this Sunday? Considering Seattle’s ineptitude to rush opposing QBs this year, Goff has a good chance to have a clean pocket most of the time. L.A.’s offensive line has been nothing short of outstanding in 2020, allowing the second-fewest sacks this year despite having a QB who is not mobile at all.
    Also note that the Seahawks are 2-6 ATS in their past eight trips to Los Angeles.
    The Rams will be well-prepared coming off their bye week. They are also very likely to welcome back on the field their top cornerback, Jalen Ramsey, and their top running back, Darrell Henderson.
    Los Angeles holds a good 5-1-1 ATS record coming off a straight up loss (they were beaten by the Dolphins before their bye week). And they post an identical ATS record in their past seven games as home favorites.
    As if Seattle’s defense needed more bad news, their top two cornerbacks are listed as questionable: Shaquill Griffin and Quinton Dunbar. They might also be without linebacker K.J. Wright, who sprained his ankle in Buffalo last week. Finally, Seattle’s top two running backs, Chris Carson and Carlos Hyde, are still uncertain to suit up.
    PICK #4 (2 STARS): CLEVELAND BROWNS -3 VS HOUSTON TEXANS
    Favorites off their bye week have posted a 36-20-4 ATS record over a four-year span. That’s one of the reasons I’m backing the Browns this weekend. They will also be at home for the third straight week.
    Houston’s defense is just dreadful. They are 31st in yards-per-carry average and 32nd in opposing QBs’ passer rating. It doesn’t get any worse than this.
    Sure, the Texans passing offense is capable of putting up points on the board. Their offensive line is suspect, though. Myles Garrett is licking his chops right now and he could have a huge day. As for the Browns, they quietly have one of the best offensive lines in football.
    Odell Beckham is done for the season, but Nick Chubb could return to the lineup this Sunday, as well as right guard Wyatt Teller.
    The Texans had five guys departing the previous game due to injuries, including linebacker Brennan Scarlett who broke his arm and running back David Johnson who suffered a concussion.
    Houston is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with Cleveland, but they are 8-20 ATS on the road when facing a team with a winning record. They have also struggled on games played on grass, as shown by their 0-5-1 ATS record recently.
    PICK #5 (1 STAR): CHICAGO BEARS +3 (@ -115 odds, Pinnacle) VS MINNESOTA VIKINGS
    You can either take Chicago +3 at lower odds or +2.5 at higher odds. I recommend taking the former.
    The Vikings have been struggling against Da Bears recently; they are 1-5 ATS in the past six meetings between these two squads. Over their last 17 trips to the windy city, they beat the spread just three times and lost on 14 occasions.
    The difference in Monday night performances between the two teams is staggering. On one hand, Minnesota is 2-12 ATS in such primetime games, while Chicago holds a 4-1 ATS record.
    Moreover, the Bears have posted a 13-4-1 ATS record the last 18 times they were home dogs. That’s remarkable!
    Let me tell you about a betting strategy that favors Chicago in this matchup:
    Bet against a team that intercepted 3+ passes in its previous game, unless that team has a great passing offense and defense.
    Last week, Minnesota picked off the Lions’ quarterbacks three times.
    That being said, when a team intercepts many passes during a game, I believe there are two possibilities:
    1. This team has a great passing attack, forcing its opponent to take chances, which creates more takeaways.
    2. This team picked off many passes due to “good luck” more than defensive skill.
    Do the Vikings fit in the mold of scenario #1? I don’t think so! Both of their offensive and defensive passing games are not great. Racking up three interceptions was much more likely an outlier than anything else.
    From 2013 to Week #7 of the 2020 season, teams that intercepted 3+ passes in their previous contest and were now either underdogs or “small” favorites (i.e. 5 points or less) are 62-81-2 ATS, a 43% win percentage.
    I’m going with the Bears to upset the Vikings on Monday Night Football.
    UNOFFICIAL PICKS
    Want two quick leans for this weekend?
    a) Jaguars +14 at Packers (seems like a trap game for Green Bay, much like the Steelers in Dallas last week, especially after facing two big rivals in Minnesota and San Francisco);
    b) Eagles -3 at Giants (Philly is 10-3 ATS in their past 13 visits in New York, while the G-Men are just 2-12 ATS as home underdogs. However, it could be payback time after a heart-breaking 22-21 loss by New York versus the Eagles in Week 7. The Eagles are coming off their bye week).
    Let’s crush it this week, fellows!!!
    Professor MJ
  24. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Perfect Storm in Covid: The Perfect Storm!!!   
    Wunderers 1 Mansfield 1
    Mansfield went 1-0 up in the 57th minute and looked to be in control of the game.
    85 minutes 1-0
    86 minutes 1-0
    87 minutes 1-0
    88 minutes 1-0
    89 minutes still 1-0
    90th f in minute and the Wunderers level it, ARRRGGGHHH, GUTTED!!!
    I thought this game was in the bag, finished up like a kick in the bag, but, at least Oldham did the honours, beating Cheltenham 2-1. Relegation rivals Stevenage made a game of it they were 1-0 down against Colchester after just 11 minutes, but levelled it 4 minutes later and were looking good until 42 minutes later when they went 2-1 down, then late in the game Colchester made it 3-1 in the 81st.
    The end result for us is, the Wunderers drop from 19th to 20th, that's a move in the right direction ?  with just...
    Stevenage, just 3 points behind, I don't see them as relegation fodder.
    Mansfield,  also 3 points behind, they'll move up with a new Manager.
    Scun thorpe 6 points behind, but 3 games in hand, games cancelled by Wu Flu.
    Southend, poor old Southend hey, they're stood firmly on the trap door.
    Hopefully Stevenage, Mansfield, and Scun thorpe will drag themselves out the mire, but with a goal difference of -20 and just 2 points on the board looks like they're doomed.
    That's becomes a relegation battle between the Wunderers Stevenage, Mansfield & Scun thorpe. It's not bad value having a 50/1 shot in a 4 horse race is it.
    November is likely to be a tough month for the Wunderers, their next game is at home to Crewe in the FA Cup, I'd bet money the coach driver and the turnstile men take to the field for that game, I think the Bookies have the odds wrong on that game, Crewe look a good thing to me...
    https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/bolton-v-crewe/winner
    If memory serves me well Crewe have already beaten the Wunderers twice this year. That game is followed by an EFL Trophy game against Newcastle U21, no doubt that a high priority game for the Wunderers too {not}.
    The serious business starts again on the 21st away to Stevenage, if ever there was relegation battle so early in the season this is it, I fancy Stevenage, time will tell.          
    The following Tuesday they are away to Scun thorpe, back to back relegation battles, another 6 pointer, if Scun thorpe have their act and match fitness together after a 3 match lay off due to Wu Flu they could have Bolton on their knees and set desperation in their ranks...
    I don't want to talk about December, it starts with Bolton away to Southend, sigh, hopefully by then some rich Arab or Kim Jung-Un will have bought the club and signed Messi, Ronaldo, Vardi and De Gea, that should do it, with a bit of luck, but we'll jump that fence when we come to it.
    As for the Wunderers Fans, well, credit to one of them who after the match phoned in to Bolton FM asking for a dedication for the Team Manager, Ian Evatt, the DJ {taking it seriously} asked him what song he would like, he said...
    "The one by the Moody Blues"
    DJ "Oh, you mean Knights in White Satin" {seeing as Bolton play in white}?"
    "No" the bloke says, "the one from 1965... GO NOW" !!!
    At that point you could hear one of them slam the phone down ?
    Onwards & Upwards hey...
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
  25. Like
    bookiebasher reacted to Perfect Storm in Covid: The Perfect Storm!!!   
    Trouble int Wunderers Camp, the most promising player they have right now is about to be recalled by Luton, add that knock to their Injury list and you'll see why the Wunderers supporters are getting a bit techy, read their comments...
    Trouble int Camp
    Here's what the Bookies think...
    Wunderers v Mansfield
    You have to be in Bad shape to be 13/8 against winning on yer own pitch against Mansfield P10 WO D6 L4.
    Mansfield would normally be happy with a point against the Wunderers, but they must fancy their chance to grab all 3 on Tuesday night.
     
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