bookiebasher

There's been alot of centuries in the first round but I think in general, the quality has been abysmal. Some shocking performances. Hopefully now we're in the 2nd round there will be abit more composure and better play. All starts with a huge match as Williams takes on Ronnie. Winner of this has Lioswski or Vafaei so every chance the winner makes the final really. It's a great opportunity. I think the best way to go in this match is the centuries. Williams has a good chance today if he performs like he did for the first couple of frames against Gilbert but both players won easily and hit 2 centuries each and so 3+ centuries in this match has every chance at 5/2. 
4pts 3+ centuries (Williams Vs O'Sullivan) 5/2 paddypower

Not overly clued up.on loads of NFL, don't even know who Sanders is, was odds on to grab a td, but he beat my coupon, nearly made it worse as I added Lamb to Elliott in Dallas game and them removed. 
Done Ekeler for 1st scorer tonight for LA

Tomorrow afternoons line up : 
Van Den Bergh V Ratajski
Aspinall V Rock
Clayton V Dolan
We start tomorrows return to Darts with Dimi Van Den Bergh taking on Ratajski. I think this match will be won by Dimi. Whilst I do think that Ratajski will likely improve on his last round 88 average, I think Dimi is the better player and performed well in his last round match, the 3-0 win over Illagan. Dimi managed a 97.20 average in that match but the 3rd set he averaged just shy of 110 and hit 75% checkout. He has also beaten Ratajski 4 of the last 5 H2H and 2/3 in 2022.
Next up, the match that everybody is waiting for when Aspinall takes on Josh Rock. I'm so surprised that Aspinall is the underdog here and I'm going to bet on him winning it. I think we saw with Rock in the last round that he still isn't 100% comfortable on this Ally Pally stage. Whilst Aspinall came out and hit a 97 average in his 3-1 win over Krcmar.  Rock won 3-0 but Rydz didn't turn up and the first leg was crucial. A 92 average wont beat Aspinall, here. 
Finally, Clayton takes on Dolan. Clayton looked good in his return to Ally Pally and I think he gets through Dolan without too much issue. Dolan is there for the taking really and quite simply I don't think he will have the fire power tomorrow. I think he has every chance of hitting another match treble. 
5pts Van Den Bergh (-1.5 sets) to beat Ratajski 4/5 paddypower
4pts Aspinall to beat Rock 5/4 paddypower
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2pts Clayton to win, hit the most 180s and highest checkout 7/4 paddypower
2.5pts Van Den Bergh to win the match, most 180s and Highest checkout 11/5 paddypower
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1pt afternoon treble - Van Den Bergh (-1.5 set handicap), Aspinall to beat Rock & Clayton to win, hist most 180s and highest checkout 10/1 paddypower

Barnet v Boreham Wood Thought it was hard to see much value in the National League on Monday. Opposing Eastleigh away from home against Dorking was half tempting, but Dorking aren't really winning matches at the moment and Eastleigh did win at Woking in the FA Trophy this week. So the one bet will be Barnet in the live BT game. Not sure why Boreham Wood have been so well backed, but that means Barnet have drifted to value price. With the FA Cup, FA Trophy and the weather neither of these sides have seen much league action of late, but Barnet have only lost twice in their last 10 league games and one of those was the 7-5 freak game at Wrexham. Boreham Wood on the other hand hadn't won in 7 until they beat Oldham 2-1 in their last league match. That was slightly fortunate as it needed a 90th minute goal to win the match and Barnet will be a tougher game than Oldham. Barnet should be favourites for me so 21/10 is a huge price.   AFC Fylde v Chorley Really like Fylde here. They come into this game in great form in the league and whilst Chorley have yet to lose at home, away from home they have only won twice and both of those came in August. At evens/shade of odds on Fylde are too big a price for me.   Havant & Waterlooville v Eastbourne Ante-post wise I hope this bet is a loser, but Eastbourne are too big for me. Havant's home form has not been good of late as they have won just twice in their last 7 home league games. Eastbourne have only lost once in their last 9 games and in their last league game they won at Ebbsfleet so they are certainly over priced for this.   Hemel Hempstead v St Albans St Albans are in good form at the moment and have only lost to Eastbourne in their last 7 league games. They are a better side than their hosts here who have only beaten Chippenham, Hungerford and Bath in their last 10 league games.     Barnet 2pts @ 21/10 with Bet365, Coral and Ladbrokes (take up to 11/8) AFC Fylde 3pts @ 19/20 with Skybet (Coral are 21/10 and take up to 4/6) Eastbourne 1pt @ 7/2 with Betfred (Coral are 18/5 and take up to 5/2) St Albans 1pt @ 13/8 with William Hill (take up to 11/8)  

incredible isn't it. Some of the quality last few days has been really poor.

Looked to me like he couldn't get over missing all those match darts for a 3-0 win. After that he just collapsed.

Chesterfield v Dorking Happy to back the over 3.5 goals here. Dorking lost 3-1 at Halifax on Tuesday and I think Chesterfield will bounce back from their own defeat at Halifax last Saturday. At the very least I think we will see goals.   Eastleigh v Wrexham Eastleigh won for us at home last week and I can't remember seeing a team have such a big difference to the points they have won at home compared to the points they have won away. Wrexham were awful again away from home against York last week and York fully deserved to score the injury time equalizer. More than happy to back the home side at big odds here.   Maidenhead v Notts County Maidenhead had a great record against the big clubs at home last season and Alan Devonshire just continues to get his Maidenhead side to cause the big sides plenty of issues. Clearly County should be odds on favs, but there is value for me in the home win.   Yeovil v Scunthorpe The set of fixtures this weekend are the reverse of the opening day ones and Scunthorpe fans were probably thinking they would be in for a good season when they beat Yeovil, but things have turned very sour since then. They have only managed to win 2 more league games since then and are currently bottom and without a manager. I don't think the takeover is going to have an effect at the moment and they have yet to win away from home. At the start of the season I wouldn't have thought I would have been backing Yeovil at Evs to beat anyone, but Mark Cooper has not surprisingly improved the side and beating Halifax last time was a very good win. They have only lost at Woking in their last 6 games and they can win this.   Oldham v Torquay Hopefully this game will be live on BT Sport on Sunday afternoon after they have shown Braintree v Dulwich at lunchtime. Boreham Wood scored a late winner to defeat Oldham, but that sums them up at the moment. Just 1 point in their last 6 games which came against Maidstone and David Unsworth must be close to getting the sack. Money is being spent on the side, but they still aren't getting results and I think they could do with a new manager. Torquay have hardly been convincing themselves, but winning at Dagenham last weekend was a surprisingly good result. If it was just down to the managers then I'd be really strong on Torquay here and hopefully Johnson's experience can see Torquay land the 3 points.   Slough v Havant & Waterlooville Shouldn't be any issues with this game being on as Slough have a 3g pitch. Havant were hammered by Worthing last week who were themselves hammered by Ebbsfleet on Tuesday. With Ebbsfleet already looking hard to catch I do think those two results have pretty much made it Ebbsfleet's title already. I don't see them getting caught now. Ebbsfleet had a comfortable afternoon beating Slough 2-0 last weekend and I think Havant can also cover the -1 handicap here. Slough struggled against 10 man Concord on Tuesday night and Havant should be able to make their class show against one of the weaker sides in the division.   Chesterfield v Dorking over 3.5 goals 1pt @ 31/20 with Paddy Power and Betfair (13/8 with Bet365 and take up to 5/4) Eastleigh 1pt @ 9/2 with William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral and Betfred (take up to 5/2) Maidenhead 1pt @ 7/1 with Betfred (15/2 with Coral and Ladbrokes and take up to 5/1) Yeovil 2pts @ Evs with Bet365 (take up to 4/5) Torquay 1pt @ 13/5 with Betfred and William Hill (take up to 2/1) Havant -1 1pt @ 15/8 with Betfred (take up to 11/8)

Started off well for Weymouth anyway!

And now its Weymouth hanging on as Eastbourne go for the knockout blow.. EASTBOURNE 3 - 1 ?

Good evening Ladies and Gentleman.. And now for the main event, in the Red corner we have Eastbourne and in the Blue corner we have Weymouth.. May the best team win. ?

Liverpool vs Leeds
The third and final game in the Premier League on Wednesday night is the 7:45pm GMT kick-off between title contenders Liverpool and relegation battling Leeds at Anfield. The home side come into this game firmly in a two-horse race title fight now after Manchester City's shock 3-2 loss to Tottenham at home on the weekend but can they add another 3 points to their tally against an away team that might be struggling to get results but who also don't stop fighting until the bitter end.
Liverpool had looked to be dropping off the pace of league leaders Manchester City a few months back but a surge in form and City dropping a few points has seen the title race blow back wide open again. The Reds are now in 2nd and just 6 points behind City with a game in hand. The two teams still play each other this season. Jurgen Klopp has the duo of Roberto Firmino and Diogo Jota unavailable but he can start with the trio of Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane, and Luis Diaz. Liverpool have now won 8 matches in a row in all competitions. They are also undefeated in 16 Premier League games whilst also boasting the best home defensive record in the top flight having conceded just 7 goals at Anfield in the league this season.
Leeds are still struggling with injuries to their key players as they fight against the drop this season. Despite the team being down in 15th position and just 5 points above the relegation zone after 4 league games without a win including losing 3 of those matches, Marcelo Bielsa still has the full support of the fans. The Whites are set to be without Kalvin Phillips, Patrick Bamford, Liam Cooper, and Robin Koch for this game. Leeds have now earned just 7 points from the last 27 on offer in the league. Defence is clearly an issue right now with the team on the brink of conceding at least 3 goals in 4 league games in a row for the first time since 1960. The 50 league goals they have conceded already this season is just 4 less than the total number they conceded in the league last season.
There appears little hope for Leeds heading into this one. They are without a win in the last 11 meetings with Liverpool with the last victory coming way back in 2001. Liverpool have won their last 3 league meetings with Leeds scoring 10 goals in those matches. Leeds have also only won 1 of their 12 games against teams in the top half of the table. I foresee a solid Liverpool win here.
Liverpool HT/FT @ 1.63 with SBK
Liverpool -1 @ 1.50 with Boylesports

Good on you Steve. There are people who read your tips mate. Always sound reasoning. 

I think Porto will win tonight ?

Anyone fancies Porto at home to beat Atl. Madrid? 
If Porto wins they are 100% sure to go on to the next round, lately Atl. Madrid is on a slump, since their respective last matches Porto has had 1 more day rest, and Atl. Madrid's next game in Liga will be the big rivalry match against Real Madrid; so all those elements make me want to take Porto.

Wow..USA 0 v SWEDEN 3 .... First time since 2017 that USA didnt score a goal and an end to there unbeaten streak. Wonder what price they are now to win gold ?

unfortunately and I pray Im wrong but I see Italy the winner 

I think Higgo was 'given' the Palmetto but with 3 wins in his last 6 starts he has to be an outside shot. 

Very nice write ups Neilovan...I also used to live in San Diego for 5 years, between 2002 -2007 in Ocean Beach..Thats why im a mad Chargers fan, even though they have since bloody moved to L.A.now.. Cest la vie, i used to love my sundays down at the Q Stadium watching L.T., Gates and Rivers do their thing...Anyways,getting back to Golf, a fun bet i always do to get me involved is "10 Players to make the cut"..I normally hit 1 out of the 4 but so far this year ive missed out by just 1 selection on both times..So hopefully third time lucky this week... COLIN MORIKAWA, WILL ZALATORIS, XANDER SCHAUFFELE, VICTOR HOVLAND, PATRICK REED, JASON KOKRAK, TONY FINAU, LOUISE OOSTHUIZEN, GARRICK HIGGO & TAYLOR PENDRITH all To Make The Cut....Parley Pays 25/1 ..... Good Luck Everyone.

Having lived in San Diego for 5 years, I spent a lot of time enjoying my golf (mostly on Torrey Pines North and South courses).. Probably played 50 rounds or more on each. I was a good golfer in the scratch to 3 handicap range.
There are few courses around the world that will set up as difficult as Torrey pines South, in US open conditions. Three main factors;
1) The length. Even for big hitters, it is damn long, and it's at sea level.
2) The rough. They used to play the Buick Invitational at Torrey (now the Farmer's Insurance), but when they grow that rough, the difficulty level goes through the roof. The week after the Buick, people camp in the parking lot to be first to play a 'PGA' layout/conditioned course. Rounds take 6 hours, because nobody can find their ball when they hit it in the rough. It's insane, 6 inch rough, over seeded (like strands of thick string). Much tougher rough than in Dubai, Leopard creek, Augusta. In the rough you are probably dropping a stroke.
3) The sea breeze. Torrey is right on the Pacific. The wind rolls in, hits the cliffs at Black's beach, and creates a tough wall to penetrate. The low stroke holes (into that breeze) are brutal (hole 1, and hole 12 especially). The cross wind holes like #2, #4, #5 require ball shaping to counter the wind. I did watch Tiger play one year, and he made mincemeat of the wind, but he was a reasonably good golfer ... But until you see it, you can't actually believe how well/hard they strike the ball.
So with this in mind, this course is an accurate, medium to low, BIG ball strikers paradise. Guys that can't average 285 yards or better off the T have zero chance to win here. They will be 60 - 75 yards behind a big bomber.
An example : Brendon Todd, who leads in accuracy off the Tee, but 'only' hits it 275 yards won't even make the cut. Long irons into greens are a disaster, because the green side rough is right in play all day.
I like DeChambeau, McIIroy, Champ, Johnson, Finau, Hovland, Rahm, Koepka as big ball hitters. I like Johnson as a ball striker the best, but his putting gibbers have come back.  Koepka, the knees are still not 100%, Mcllroy can't putt and has a double/triple bogey hand grenade in his pocket..  So DeChambeau  ...does drive and gouge work again, or Rahm?
I would add San Diego native, Schauffele (who would have played a ton of golf on that course). Mickelson won't get away with hitting it in the rough on this course and he probably misses the cut for me.
Five Saffers could be in the mix. Oosthuizen, Higgo, van Rooyen, Grace and Nienaber.    
Grace because of his low ball flight, Oosthuizen because he is ridiculously good (and #1 in putting) for a small guy (also grew up playing in the wind on the coast)., Higgo the hottest golfer on the planet (the guy has seriously impressive mindset, and maturity for a 21 year old). He also has this crazy  easy power.
Nienaber who's gonna send DeChambeau to the funny farm with his 365 yard drives and swing speed.  But mentally he is not ready to win. The tournament he blew (I think between Higgo's wins on the Euro tour is a prime example).
Top Saffer ... Higgo.
For the others ... (Fritelli no form, Schwartzel's temper will let him down, Bezuidenthout close but nothing brilliant, Aiken short hitter)
My feeling is that Torrey wipes the floor with the field. Forget 10 under, the winner will be closer to even par. Whoever handles this mental challenge  the best, and keeps himself under control will triumph. Cut is probably +6 and playing + golf is a weird head space for pro golfers. This could be carnage!!!
Winner comes from DeCHAMBEAU, FINAU, RAHM, HOVLAND, HIGGO, OOSTHUIZEN for me
 
 

Torrey south only has 3 par 5's. This is important, as it is one less hole where the big bombers can pick up strokes.  I think the 6th hole has been converted to a par 4, but this hole really favors a left hander, as they don't have to hit the drive over the edge of the canyon (hole dog legs left to right).
There are 4 par 3's, and all of them are difficult. The third hole, down to the sea, in the corner, has about 8 different tee'ing boxes, and they can make it super tricky. Small green, cross wind, elevation change... good luck. The 8th hole is another tricky one, with a double tier, blind green, bunkers behind. Go too long you will not get up and down.. The 11th is a brute into the sea breeze. The 16th ringed with danger, requiring great shot. Too long, it's double bogey time. Left and right are bunkers playing onto a sloping green. The back of the green falls away, and the Tee box is lower than the green, making the wind unpredictable. Nasty hole. Par is good.
These par 3's  will definitely favor a great iron player (Morikowa and Rahm) ranked 1 and 2 in shots gained Tee to Green. A lot will also depend on how well a hole fits a players natural distance/shot. So some may have a full club into a hole. So look at the results on the par 3's because the guys that are even or under par each round here have a perfect distance. 
Looking closer at the stats. A few combinations of stats stand out.
Driving Accuracy and driving distance. Obviously straight and long is a winner.  I almost think you can exclude anybody who does not keep it in the fairway at least  55% of the time. With 14 drives you are in the rough 7 times. Good luck with that!  The rough/distance to green will crush them. Out of the big guns it includes Mickelson, Gary Woodland, Speith and weirdly enough DeChambeau. I have a weird feeling that bomb and gouge will not work here, as there are too many bunkers guarding the front of the greens  (see the stats here https://www.pgatour.com/stats/stat.102.html).
To me, the best holes to watch will be the par 4 2nd hole (almost reachable) 389 yard (somebody is gonna pound one close), and the par 5 13th.  621 yards, but they should have some sea breeze assistance. A big bomber with  365+ yards off the Tee will find this monster in 2.  
Tee to green and approach to green look very important. So I am making an adjustment to the above posts prediction.
At least 3 of these 5 (Dechambeau, Speith, Mcllroy, Mickelson and Koepka) don't make the cut. Prob the 3 others and one of DeChambeau and Koepka.
Winner from
FINAU, RAHM, HOVLAND, HIGGO, OOSTHUIZEN  SCHAUFFELE and MORIKOWA.  Can Rahm just keep his cool, and not blow up. The guy has so much game!
 
For me a couple of bets I do like.
NO HOLE IN ONE at odds of even money (the par 3's are just too difficult)
Mcllroy not to make cut 3.75
Spieth not to make cut 3.75
Mickelson not to make cut 2.2 for me this bet is a gift. I expect him to shoot mid /high 70's both rounds.
 
FOR ME the worst bet is a 3 ball bet. You are just not getting the odds to find a winner here. If you can find matchups, ie player A v player B its much better.
1st round Head to head match ups for me ....
John Rahm to beat Rory at 1.7   I think this one is a slam dunk. I expect Rory to shoot 4+ over 1st round. 
Schauffele to beat Koepka 1.9
Ootshuizen to beat Casey 1.9
Higgo to beat Lieshman also 1.9

Nice one Harry Nice one son... Nice one Harry, now give us another one ?

Nice one Harry Nice one son... Nice one Harry, now give us another one ?

Had worst first halves with Willock and Elangi in at 6/1 and 5/1. A couple of nice wins on Willock's last 2 goals but that's 7 in a row now! No doubt missed some great prices on the previous 5! 

I am going to try something different for this afternoon's action. Firstly nothing massively stands out from a betting point of view. One thing I am annoyed with myself about is that I haven't been blindly backing Boreham Wood to draw. They have now drawn 8 of their last 9 games and it brings memories back of Chesterfield when they were drawing a lot a couple of seasons ago and long term followers will remember it was a very profitable system. They drew against the league leaders on Saturday and they play 2nd place Hartlepool today and again a draw would not surprise. I therefore thought I would pick 4 games out that I thought might end in a draw and stick them in a yankee for 1pt. The other games I am going to stick in are Maidenhead v Eastleigh, Solihull v Sutton and Wrexham v Torquay. If 2 end in a draw it will basically be money back, 3 will see a profit, 4 will be the jackpot and obviously 0 or 1 will see a loss.
Boreham Wood v Hartlepool
Maidenhead v Eastleigh
Solihull v Sutton
Wrexham v Torquay
A draw Yankee for a total of 1pt

3pts D.Noppert to beat G.Durrant evens paddypower
1pt accy - Van Duijvenbode, Noppert, Van Der Voort, Ratajski 13/1 paddypower
0.5ps big accy - Lennon, Razma, Noppert, Hunt, Labanaukas 33/1 paddypower