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twinny
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twinny reacted to harry_rag in Nice work if you can get it
It's 1 each on winners but I'm slightly in front on P&L as my winner was at a fractionally better price! I make it you're 0.27 points down with an ROI of -13.5%.
Early days but I'll do my best to lead from start to finish!
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twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Most Corners
Sunday
Serbia v Wales backed Wales 5/1 Stan James (higher odds available with 188 bet) and over 4/1 widely available(this is more about the high price)
Ireland v Austria backed Austria 41/25 Marathonbet
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twinny reacted to harry_rag in Nice work if you can get it
This week's selection is 1 point on Any England player to score a header v Scotland at 4/1 with Lads.
Not much time for a detailed write up but I'm satisfied this should be much closer to 3/1 and the spread prices for England headed goal minutes make it more like a 5/2 shot.
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twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Most Corners
Norway v Czech Republic backed Czech Republic 161/100 marathonbet (17/11 available with Unibet and 888 sports)
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twinny reacted to LEE-GRAYS in weekly golf glory hunt
steve stricker pulled out so I will do billy horschel 30/1 bet365
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twinny reacted to harry_rag in Most Corners
Having to settle for a shorter price on that one as don't have an account with them. Sub 2/1 elsewhere. Have had an interest in Denmark's corners squared at 24 with SPIN (5 or more required for a profit).
Good luck.
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twinny reacted to LEE-GRAYS in weekly golf glory hunt
cheers wont go to mad with the stakes at first lol gl to you also
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twinny reacted to harry_rag in weekly golf glory hunt
Good luck guys, golf not really my bag so won't be involved (may have a tilt at the Majors perhaps) but will watch with interest.
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twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Most Corners
Denmark v Germany backed Denmark 117/50 marathonbet
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twinny reacted to LEE-GRAYS in weekly golf glory hunt
hi twinny I will have a bash onley 0.25 e/w
retif goosen 150/1
chad Campbell 125/1
stewert cink 66/1
steve stricker 40/1
jim furykt 125/1
all with bet365
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twinny reacted to Bamford in FedEx St Jude Classic
TPC Southwind is a tough track, which plenty of pros say is in the top 5 courses on Tour. The tournament's spot in the schedule, never helps when it comes to field strength and this week is a particularly weak field. The likes of Andres Romero getting in as alternates says everything. However there is still a full PGA Tour title to earn and Fowler, Koepka, Scott, Mickelson and Molinari headline the betting.
The winners list here is varied with rank outsiders and short prices all winning. Elite players though that have won here, have all had a period of time with no victories, so I wouldn't fancy Fowler for the victory. I think players need a great mid-iron game, the ability to birdie par-4s and a strong putting game outside of 15 feet on grainy Champion Bermudagrass greens.
I like Koepka (14/1), Henley (33/1), Horschel (33/1), Stricker (50/1 if he plays) and Brown (150/1).
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twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Most Corners
Orlando City 1 Chicago Fire 9 bet won + £18.5 bank now £439.35
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twinny reacted to ralphie7 in Quick System
Monday 05/06/2017
Thirsk 03:00 MY RENAISSANCE
f/c 6/1
stake = 10 pts. WIN
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twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Most Corners
Early Monday 00.30am
Mls
Orlando City v Chicago Fire backed Chicago Fire 37/20 Unibet.(might be better prices available later) but will be out
Maybe more tomorrow
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twinny reacted to harry_rag in Nice work if you can get it
Dybala subbed off on 78 minutes so off to a winning start. 0.75 points up after 1 bet. Off duty now till Thursday, at least in terms of this thread.
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twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Most Corners
Portland 6 San Jose 2 bet lost -£10
New York City 6 Philidelphia 9 bet won +£27
total for the above +£17 bank now £420.85
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twinny reacted to harry_rag in Nice work if you can get it
Unlucky with your first bet, I see Basel won 4-1.
I've decided to kick things off with 1 point on Dybala not to play the whole match ( Champions League Final) at 3/4 with 888 (under player specials, they've priced up yes and no for a few players).
This may prove to be the shortest priced selection I post in this thread but I think the price should be considerably shorter. I placed this on Thursday night but gave myself time to see if anything made more appeal before deciding to go with it. The price is still available.
You could make a decent case for it being a sub 1/2 shot. He's been subbed off in 7 out of 9 CL starts this season and 29/40 in all competitions.
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twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Most Corners
2 bets for tomorrow
New York City v Philadelphia ko 18.00 backed Philidelphia @ 27/10 Unibet (3/1 available with bet365)
Portland Timbers v San Jose Earthquakes 4am kick off backed San Jose Earthquakes @ 14/5 Stan James
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twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Most Corners
Northern Ireland v New Zealand backed New Zealand 13/5 paddy power,7.45 ko,i think other bookies will price this game up as the day goes on if peeps want to wait for a possable better price,will be some mls bets for early tomoz morning,post them when priced up
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twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Nice work if you can get it
ok ive gone early with my pick placeing 1 point(im going to use a quid as a point here if thats ok) on
FC Basil v St Gallen 7.30 pm Friday night Swiss Super League
Bet.. backed St Gallen +1.5 Asian Handicap
Bookmaker.. Betvic
Price 1.88
reason....in there last 7 meetings where Basil were the home team and St Gallen were the away(head to head meetings),Basil have only overcome that deficit once,Basil have only overcome the 1.5 deficit in all competitive matches resently in only 2 of there last 8 games,while St Gallen have not been beat by a 1.5 deficit in there last 5 competative games added to this that Basil have only won 1 of there last 5 Super league games having tied the league up this looks like a solid bet
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twinny reacted to harry_rag in Nice work if you can get it
This is probably more about strategy than a system though many of the bets are likely to be drawn from different approaches I take that could be described as systems of sorts.
The inspiration for the title is a tongue in cheek reference to Kevin Pullein who effectively writes two weekly columns for the Racing Post, typically involving one bet a week. Nice work if you can get it, but he does, of course, show a decent profit season after season.
I'm going to see how I fare setting myself the objective of posting one bet a week, a selection that I am particularly confident offers clear value. Let's see just how easy a gig (or not, as the case may be) it is.
I will have the advantage of being able to bet on any sport and on any day of the week, rather than being limited to football on a Saturday. I will, though, have some difficult decisions to make about when to pass and when to post.
There will be a bet most weeks though I reserve the right to pass when nothing makes sufficient appeal. Assuming that happens I may occasionally post 2 selections in a week to keep up the "one a week" average.
Starts tomorrow. The betting week will run from Thursday to Wednesday (Thursday being the start of the weekend fixtures in some sports).
Update 29/08/17 - the approach for the thread has settled into a typical routine of one post a week containing one or more (usually two) fixed odds selections. That will continue in the current style with selections posted at least an hour ahead of the scheduled start time.
I will now also look to post once a week with a particularly strong spreadbetting selection (or selections, though I'd expect a single bet more often than not). The deadline for these will be 30 minutes in advance of the start time (to allow me to include bets on football goalscorers when the post-line up markets have formed). Stakes will vary depending on the volatility of the market, I will be backing the selections to at least £1 per point of the suggested stake. Let's see how it unfolds but it should be no great stretch given the proportion of my bets that are spread bets,