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DAC

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    Magners Celtic League Betting Thread 2006/7

    in Other Sports & Novelty Betting

    Posted

    Re: Magners Celtic League Betting Thread 2006/7 Edinburgh v Borders Friday 1st Dec KO 7.30PM I’ve hummed and harred about this game a lot……First look at the Caps lead me to believe it was a gimme for the Burghers, then I realised that the Borders pack have been reunited and do play well as a unit, then I’ve tried to factor in the loss of Border’s captain, Chris Cussiter but decided that Calum McCrae is more than a good enough replacement, to make matters worse I then found out Edinburgh had made 3 brand new decent signings to the squad and all should play a part in tonight’s game…..this lead me to drink a bottle of Port last night. I still feel remarkably sick come Friday lunchtime. Ah well.

    Edinburgh need to get back on track after their defeat against the Dragons a couple of weeks ago and as an eye witness the defensive display was quite impressive in terrible conditions. I think they know the importance of this game and that a bonus point win really is their target. If Edinburgh do give away silly penalties then McCrae is more than capable of kicking them from anywhere, I expect Borders to start well tonight and then get ground down.

    Form: Edinburgh have lost back to back Magners League matches to Cardiff Blues and Newport Gwent Dragons, however the capital side have never lost at home to a fellow Scottish side in the history of the league. Border Reivers have lost their last three games in all competitions and have won just once on the road in the league since September 2005: 20-8 at Glasgow on 3 March. The two sides have clashed on six previous occasions in the league with each match being won by the home side on the day. The Reivers have lost on both of their previous visits to Murrayfield

    Edinburgh: 15 Hugo Southwell, 14 Chris Paterson ©, 13 Marcus Di Rollo, 12 Andrew Easson, 11 Ben Cairns, 10 Phil Godman, 9 Mike Blair, 8 Dave Callam, 7 Simon Taylor, 2 Dougie Hall, 3 Alasdair Dickinson, 4 Matt Mustchin, 5 Scott Murray, 6 Alasdair Strokosch, 1 Allan Jacobsen. Replacements: 16 Steven Lawrie, 17 Dave Hewett, 18 Chris Bentley, 19 Ross Rennie, 20 John Senio, 21 Duncan Hodge, 22 Lucio Lopez Fleming.

    Border Reivers: 15 Calum MacRae ©, 14 Brendon Daniel, 13 Bryan Rennie, 12 Nick De Luca, 11 Garry Law, 10 Steve Jones, 9 Brendan McKerchar, 8 Kelly Brown, 7 Scott Gray, 6 John Dalziel, 5 Craig Hamilton, 4 Opeta Palepoi, 3 Bruce Douglas, 2 Ross Ford, 1 Gavin Kerr. Replacements: 16 Steve Scott, 17 Ed Kalman, 18 Stuart Grimes, 19 Ryan Grant, 20 Calum Cusiter/Rob Chrystie, 21 Andy Miller, 22 Gregor Townsend

    Recommendations: Got to take the Gunners @ -14 with Paddy Power but I’m going to be cautious here and take Edinburgh to win 11-15 on the winning margins @ 11-2 with VC Bet

    Autumn Internationals - Rugby Union

    in Other Sports & Novelty Betting

    Posted

    Re: Autumn Internationals - Rugby Union

    Wales v New Zealand - Helms Deep Stadium Cardiff - Saturday 25th November

    Jenkins: The power of the enemy is growing. Henry will use his puppet Carter to destroy the people of Wales. McCaw has been unleashed. The Eye of Henry now turns to Cardiff, the last free kingdom of men. His war on this country will come swiftly. He senses victory is close. The strength of the little one, Shane, is failing. In his heart, Shane begins to understand. . For Henry will have dominion over all life on this Earth, even unto the ending of the world. The time of the English is over. Do we leave Wales to its fate? Do we let them stand alone?

    I’ll be honest, I’m kacking it. This NZ team is quite frankly amazing and they have a built-in orc like ability to destroy everything in their path. The French huffed and pouffed against the AB line last Saturday night and barely made an impression. The French also threw everything they had into a brave defence but it was plain for all to see that it was just a damage limitation exercise and nothing more.

    What with Jenk’s squad it seems to me (and the rest of the free world) that he’s going to want Parker to run up the middle of the field taking ball into contact over and over again, he hopes to suck in a few Kiwis and then spin it wide. Great plan! But what happens when he’s tackled? Will he and the lads be able to re-cycle the ball? Will they Buffalo. We’ve seen it all Autumn internationals….make one mistake and it’s a 50 yard run in for the Kiwi hordes.

    The Welsh defence…..Roland Phillips has been specially bought in to bring a comedy element to the effort but I really have to say “what defence?” As much as I love Kevin Morgan (Dragons captain) …..he’s got a brave heart but I just can’t seem him being an effective last line of defence, oh wait! he’s got Ickle to back him up. Oh God.

    Stephen Jones is back in (oh great) which now leaves us with just the one kicking option (not that I suggest kicking any loose ball to the Kiwis you understand) by why put more pressure on him after a couple of games away with injury?

    At least Shanks is at 12, it’s great to have a player there who can think, oh wait, ha-ha-ha-ha.

    I know it seems if I’m being overly pessimistic but mark my words, Wales won’t even come close to victory on Saturday.

    Premier Bet are offering a 17.5 points start to Wales – If you see anything close to that then jump on. I don't have an account so I've gone with NZ-21 @ Bet365.

    Autumn Internationals - Rugby Union

    in Other Sports & Novelty Betting

    Posted

    Re: Autumn Internationals - Rugby Union Scotland v Pacific Islanders Just a short preview I’m afraid. I really don’t think much of this Scotland team, they huffed and puffed against Romania and at least two of their scores were from blatantly forward passes.

    I think Wales were lucky that the Islanders only played for half an hour and they did gift us 14 points with two intercepted trys under the posts. Their set piece was shabby which is only to be expected and that can only get better after an week together, but they definitely looked very dangerous in the last quarter.

    The Scotland back row, to me anyway, looks a bit shabby with the exception of Parks and Webster and if Scotland allow the Islanders to open up it could be a riot. Caucau is also turning out for the Islanders and believe me it’s worth tuning in just to watch this guy.

    Teams:

    Islanders:

    Taufa’ao Felise (Cardiff Blues, Wales) Tonga Mahonri Schwalger (Wellington, NZ) Samoa Tevita Taumoepeau (Worcester, England) Tonga Simon Raiwalui (Saracens, England) Fiji (captain) Daniel Leo (Wasps, England) Samoa Viliami Vaki (Perpignan, France) Tonga Nili Latu (Bay of Plenty) Tonga Epi Taione (Sanyo, Japan) Tonga Moses Rauluni (Saracens, England) Fiji Tusi Pisi (Massey, NZ) Samoa Rupeni Caucau (Agen, France) Fiji Elvis Seveali’i (Sale, England) Samoa Kameli Ratuvou (Saracens, England) Fiji Lome Fa’atau (Wellington, NZ) Samoa Norman Ligairi (Brive Correze, France) Fiji

    Scotland:

    15 Chris Paterson (Edinburgh Rugby) CAPTAIN 14 Simon Webster (Edinburgh Rugby) 13 Marcus Di Rollo (Edinburgh Rugby) 12 Andrew Henderson (Glasgow Rugby) 11 Sean Lamont (Northampton Saints) 10 Dan Parks (Glasgow Rugby) 9 Chris Cusiter (Border Reivers)* 1 Gavin Kerr (Border Reivers) 2 Dougie Hall (Edinburgh Rugby) 3 Euan Murray (Glasgow Warriors)* 4 Nathan Hines (Perpignan) 5 Scott Murray (Edinburgh Rugby) 6 Simon Taylor (Edinburgh Rugby) 8 Johnnie Beattie (Glasgow Warriors)* 7 Kelly Brown (Border Reivers)*

    Recommendations: Outright Pacific Islands 11/4 @ Bet 365 AND Islanders +9 @ Paddy Power.

    Magners Celtic League Betting Thread 2006/7

    in Other Sports & Novelty Betting

    Posted

    Re: Magners Celtic League Betting Thread 2006/7 Dragons v Edinburgh - Friday 10th Nov - KO 7.10pm When I’ve suggested it to my colleagues that I was going to be betting on the Dragons tonight their initial reactions have been “Right, that’s me putting me mortgage on Edinburgh then” and ”That seals it. Edinburgh to win by 20”as in the past I have been far to over cautious and to be fair, I’ve cost them a couple of quid. Even the most amateur of gamblers knows never to be emotionally involved in a bet but I can’t help it. Don’t say you haven’t been warned.

    It’s international weekend and obviously both teams are missing players, thanks to the quality of the Dragons squad we are only missing Morgan, Goughy, Cooper, Owen and Sweeney. Whilst Edinburgh are missing a whole plethora of players, mainly their backs and they have 6 apprentices making the squad – I can only guess that an apprentice is the same as an Academy player here in Wales. It has to be noted that double Lions No8, Simon Taylor is starting for the first time this season for Edinburgh and he’s sure to steady the youngsters but it also has to be noted that Charvis, Ringer and Bearman are in for the Dragons and have been playing out of their skins all season. Charvis and Ringer have been looked over for the Wales squad and I know they will be out to prove a couple of points tonight.

    The Dragons squad is:

    Newport Gwent Dragons: 15 Aled Thomas, 14 Gareth Wyatt, 13 Nathan Brew, 12 Ashley Smith, 11 Aled Brew, 10 Mike Hercus, 9 Alex Walker, 8 Joe Bearman, 7 Colin Charvis ©, 6 Jamie Ringer, 5 Luke Charteris, 4 Andrew Hall, 3 Lee Harrison, 2 Kieran Crawford, 1 Adam Black. Replacements: 16 Ben Daly, 17 Jamie Corsi, 18 Bryn Griffiths, 19 Nic Fitisemanu, 20 Richard Fussell, 21 Craig Warlow, 22 Gareth Baber.

    And it really is the strongest we can put out, Aled Thomas makes his first start of the season after injury and has been sorely missed, the Brew brothers are fit and well and the Academy lads playing have already been blooded more than once this season, which is more than can be said for their Edinburgh counterparts. My main worry is Mike Circus, he hasn’t had his kicking boots on at all these past few weeks but Craig Warlow is on the bench should we need to haul the Yank off. Ashley Smith is at 12 and he has impressed me with his brave ball carrying, he could really be one for the future. The secret will be to get the ball wide and I know the lads are more than capable of it.

    The bench is also surprisingly strong with Nic, Craig and Gareth who normally start for the Dragons, it’s a whole lot stronger than the Edinburgh bench that’s for sure.

    I also feel that Paul Turner has targeted this game, he rested a few vital players away at Leinster last weekend and he knows as well as everyone in Gwent just how important this is, we can either join the pack in the middle of table and keep in touch with Cardiff or we can be cast adrift with Munster and The Borders – it really is the biggest game of the season so far. I think we could get a bonus point win.

    Coral are offering –7 on the Dragons but you can get as much as +11 with Edinburgh should you fancy them to turn us over. I don’t.

    Recommendation: Dragons –7 @ Corals

    Autumn Internationals - Rugby Union

    in Other Sports & Novelty Betting

    Posted

    Re: Autum Internationals - Rugby Union Wales v Islanders Not Good Enough To Get Into the NZ Side Excuse the slightly self indulgent post...... We're unstoppable! We make 14 changes and we're still unbeatable. We're just like the All Blacks only we're red and we're not All Red. I predict a festival of running rugby, and of course the Welsh will come out on top. James Hook plays his best running rugby from 12, watch out NZ rejects - he's coming for you! K Morgan: Class, class, class! Makes Chris Cullen look like Chris Martin! Lee Byrne: Slow and rubbish! I mean, fast and awesome! Watch out for his up-and-under! Sonny Parker: Oh my dear ****ing God, kill me now. James Hook: What a guy! Prepare to be shredded, Islanders! Mark Jones: Paaaaaaaaaace! Mark who Gisbergen still has nightmares about him! As do Topsy Ojo, Sean Lamont..... Ceri Sweeney: THE MAN! THE LEGEND! Mike Phillips: Look out Islanders! He's going to do to you what he did to France! MASSACRE!!!!!!!! Alix Popham: Grrrrrr! Bosh! Knock-on. Gavin Thomas: Kill me kill me kill me kill me kill me kill me AW Jones: Amazing player! So good he can play out of position and still be awesome! Michael Owen: Kill me kill me kill me kill me kill me kill me Sidoli: Funny accent! Can be good when he wants! Feeeeeeel the scrummaging might of Owen and Sidoli Horsman: DESTROOOOOOOOOYED! The Islanders scrum when he's finished with it. Who cares about yelloe cards? Punching is fun! Rhys Thomas: Best hooker in Wales! Miles better than hopeless Rees! Duncan Jones: El Skippero! Amazing player! I have no idea about this game, no idea at all....what I do know is that the Islanders have the ability to score tries and concede them, as do this Welsh side - I kind of fancy the Islanders with a start but Over 45 points on Betfair looks really really good value at evens.

    Autumn Internationals - Rugby Union

    in Other Sports & Novelty Betting

    Posted

    Re: Autum Internationals - Rugby Union Italy v Australia Sat 11th November - KO 16.00 GMT Italy were nobodies fools during last years 6 Nations. They should have and could have beaten the Micks but thanks to some diabolical refereeing by Spreaders they fell short – the pushed Scotland and drew with an admittedly under strength Welsh team in Cardiff. The fact of the matter is that they just don’t get steamrollered anymore and I fancy that the Crims may do a bit of experimenting and I don’t mean that in a Queensland Cowboys sort of way…… I could be proved wrong but this game may not start with the same intensity as last weekend. The Italian scrum is top notch and should really give the Crims a good test, however, the Aussie back line is quality. In all honesty it should be a cracking game and I’m going to take Italy with a healthy start of 24 points @ Mansion

    Autumn Internationals - Rugby Union

    in Other Sports & Novelty Betting

    Posted

    Les Bleus v The All Cheats - Sat 11th Nov KO20.00 GMT You really need to hold your nerve when betting on a French rugby team…they could quite easily mince into Lyon, laugh at the Haka, shrug their Gallic shoulders and then play the most breathtaking rugby ever seen – they could also turn up, decide they really can’t be bothered, eat some cheese, surrender and get turned over by 40 points…such are the French. The Kiwis have made a lot of changes from the team that burgled England but as you know the kiwis are capable of putting out about 3 world-class teams. ‘Enry has bolstered the scrum a tad and the centre pairing of Mcallister and Smith does look quite attractive. The French players have been all over La Boulangerie so far this season and do look a little bit fatigued and this is their first get together for quite some time. You also have to add in the fact that the French assault on the World Cup starts here and they should be looking to lay down a few markers against a team they should be meeting in the final come next September. So in summary what do we have? – Buggered if I know but I’m going to go with NZ at –5 @ Bluesquare purely because NZ have the capability to change gears in the last quarter and before you know it they can shoot 2 or 3 scores past you. It’s a real acid test for NZ.

    All Blacks European Tour

    in Other Sports & Novelty Betting

    Posted

    Re: All Blacks European Tour I really can’t comment on this game. The French are c**ts. Normal laws don’t apply to them…..they could turn up on Saturday and beat the Kiwis by 15 points and again they could turn up – totally capitulate, eat some cheese, surrender and concede 50 points depending on if they “felt like it” or not.

    My Tip:

    Don’t bet on a game involving the French, ever.

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