Jump to content

ogii55

Regular Members
  • Posts

    1,100
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    24

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in March 7 - March 13   
    Linzer - Silva Dutra 3.54 Pinnacle
     
    They played twice with one of the game ended earlier because of Linzer's injury. The other was nice win for Linzer in two sets. So far Silva Dutra isn't impressive during the season. He is favorite because of his rankings, but in those kind of challengers he was beaten very often in the first round by outsiders. Linzer is coming from a final at clay future so he must be in nice form.
  2. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in March 7 - March 13   
    Djere - Jaziri 2.25 Pinnacle
     
    Jaziri played 3 5-set matches between Friday and Sunday in Davis cup clash Bosnia vs Tunisia. He lost two of them. Adding to that he is in very bad shape this year. Jaziri must travel from Europe to Mexico. He will play on Tuesday, but still will not have much time to make the time difference. Djere is in very good form, even he is coming from African clay court features. The Serbian is showing good qualities on indoor and will cause a lot of trouble to tired Jaziri. Beautiful odds here.
  3. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 29 - March 6   
    Rublev - Mathieu 2.5 Betway
     
    Rublev is making great tournament so far. He is serving solidly and has a rest day yesterday. The Frenchmen struggles against Metkic and has huge problems in his service games with a lot of break points chances for Metkic. The match is pretty much 50/50 with better odds for Rublev.
  4. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from four-leaf in February 29 - March 6   
    Kukushkin (+2.5 sets) vs Djokovic 5.12 Pinnacle
     
    Totally agree with Czech Punter. Kukushkin is a classy Davis cup player, who stunned a lot of favorites and is the main reason for Kazakhstan to be in the World group. He will be well rested and pumped to give everything against Jokovic. In their previous encounter in 2014 he took a set over Nole in two out of three match. Now he's got more chances to steal at least one. Djokovic probably still has some problems with his eyes. He is a fighter and in home Arena he will be more than ready to win this fight, but probably it will be not so easy as it was against #200 in the world Nedonosov in his first match.
    Bouchard - Svitolina 2.15 Pinnacle
     
    Bouchard is playing impresivlly here. She beat very easy all her opponents, who were far better than those of Svitolina (all her rivals were out of top 100). The Ukrainian had some problems with back injuries and she also had a new bandage on her leg. The H2H is for Svitolina, but their only final as juniors at Wimbledon was won by Bouchard.
     
     
     
     
     
     
  5. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 29 - March 6   
    Kukushkin (+2.5 sets) vs Djokovic 5.12 Pinnacle
     
    Totally agree with Czech Punter. Kukushkin is a classy Davis cup player, who stunned a lot of favorites and is the main reason for Kazakhstan to be in the World group. He will be well rested and pumped to give everything against Jokovic. In their previous encounter in 2014 he took a set over Nole in two out of three match. Now he's got more chances to steal at least one. Djokovic probably still has some problems with his eyes. He is a fighter and in home Arena he will be more than ready to win this fight, but probably it will be not so easy as it was against #200 in the world Nedonosov in his first match.
    Bouchard - Svitolina 2.15 Pinnacle
     
    Bouchard is playing impresivlly here. She beat very easy all her opponents, who were far better than those of Svitolina (all her rivals were out of top 100). The Ukrainian had some problems with back injuries and she also had a new bandage on her leg. The H2H is for Svitolina, but their only final as juniors at Wimbledon was won by Bouchard.
     
     
     
     
     
     
  6. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 29 - March 6   
    Back Mikhail Kukushkin (+2.5 sets) to beat Novak Djokovic for a 5/10 stake at 5.10 with Unibet
    Back Andy Murray (-4.5) to beat Kei Nishikori for a 7/10 stake at 1.74 with Unibet
    Back Borna Coric (-5.5) to beat Kimmer Coppejans for a 7/10 stake at 1.91 with Unibet
    The Murray and Coric bets look straightforward enough, but I also fancy Kukushkin to win a set at odds this massive. Djokovic looked rather poor on Saturday, while Kukushkin has taken sets off the big guys in the past and will play his heart out. Djokovic to win in the end, but the odds for the set handicap are just too big for me to ignore them.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/davis-cup-r1-day-three-tips-france-and-italy-advance-the-rest-fights-on-2016030503
  7. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 29 - March 6   
    Back Bernard Tomic to beat John Isner for a 7/10 stake at 1.85 with Unibet
    Back Sam Groth to beat Jack Sock for a 7/10 stake at 3.20 with Unibet
    The Davis Cup doubles are basically impossible to bet on pre-match with all those last-minute changes, but I do fancy both Australians in the Sunday singles. Isner should be a good match-up for Isner, while I'll also be backing Groth because of the odds. He beat Sock 3-1 in last year's Wimbledon, after all.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/davis-cup-r2-day-two-tips-france-italy-and-argentina-lead-2-0-2016030407
  8. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 29 - March 6   
    Chiudinelli/Laaksonen - Bolleli/Cecchinato 4.55 Pinnacle
     
    The Swiss players showed very good play in their single matches, but were unlucky and lost close matches despite being huge outsiders. They are both fighters and they will put everything to keep their chances. There is a chance for a change in the teams, specially Italian one. Bolleli won Doha doubles with Seppi, while Cecchinato never played a match on Davis Cup. There is a big chance for the match to be void, but if the doubles stand Marco and Henry are with very good chances.
  9. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from four-leaf in February 29 - March 6   
    Laaksonen - Seppi 11.00 Matchbook
     
    The Swiss team came to Italy with high guard. Chiudinelli is playing very well against Lorenzi. Laaksonen has a very good record in Davis Cup and he scored there some surprising wins. One the other side Seppi's form is awful so far this season. Not sure why the coach selected him to play, but I expect a possibility of a surprise.
  10. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 29 - March 6   
    Zverev - Berdych 4.33 Sportingbet
    Zverev is showing his best so far this season specially on indoor hard. He played 50-50 match with Berdych and now he will make his Davis cup debut in front of his country-mates. It will be a huge boost for him and he is one of the guys that loves to play in front of many fans. Berdych still is searching for his form. He went to Dubai after European indoor tournaments while Zverev rested after Marseille and will have more time to explore the specifics of the hall in Germany.
     
     
     
     
     
     
  11. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 29 - March 6   
    Laaksonen - Seppi 11.00 Matchbook
     
    The Swiss team came to Italy with high guard. Chiudinelli is playing very well against Lorenzi. Laaksonen has a very good record in Davis Cup and he scored there some surprising wins. One the other side Seppi's form is awful so far this season. Not sure why the coach selected him to play, but I expect a possibility of a surprise.
  12. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 29 - March 6   
    Back Pauline Parmentier to beat Monica Puig for a 7/10 stake at 3.00 with Unibet
    Back Christina McHale to beat Nicole Gibbs for a 7/10 stake at 1.78 with Unibet
    Going with McHale due to match-up reasons tomorrow and I'll also back Parmentier in what I believe will be a fairly balanced contest. Puig isn't much better than her in any department imo and Parmentier is on a great run at the moment.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/wta-monterrey-day-four-tips-can-parmentier-upset-puig--2016030205
  13. Like
    ogii55 reacted to four-leaf in February 29 - March 6   
    Back Anett Kontaveit (+1.5 sets) to beat Sara Errani for a 8/10 stake at 1.74 with Pinnaclesports
    Going with Kontaveit. From what I saw of Errani last match and judging from what Kontaveit did to probably a tired Cibulkova this should not be so easy for Errani. She had problems against Rybarikova who was dictating the play all the time and breaking Errani all to many times in the second set and third. Kontaveit can cause troubles also for Errani.
  14. Like
    ogii55 reacted to Lawrence0831 in February 29 - March 6   
    Chang beat Safina when she was number 1 and she also beat Stosur when she was top 10.
  15. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in February 22 - February 28   
    Back Nick Kyrgios to beat Stanislas Wawrinka for a 7/10 stake at 2.20 with Bet365
    Back Marcos Baghdatis to beat Feliciano Lopez for a 7/10 stake at 2.04 with Unibet
    Turning into a strange tournament this one, but I'll be taking both underdogs tomorrow. Baghdatis in a good form at the moment and he also has a good record against Lopez from the past, while Kyrgios has looked better than Wawrinka so far this week despite the obvious tiredness. Hoping for a good match and some controversy.
    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/atp-dubai-day-five-2016022506
  16. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from Fader in February 22 - February 28   
    Good call, mate!
  17. Like
    ogii55 reacted to Fader in February 22 - February 28   
    A.Petkovic to beat G.Muguruza 15/8 Paddypower
    A.Petkovic to win 2-0 4/1 Skybet
    Head-2-head shows two matches between these two both won by Petkovic. Both on the hardcourts so perhaps Muguruza isn't a fan of this matchup... Muguruza hasn't really faced anyone of any quality so far in this tournament beating Hibino and Babos, where as Petkovic has beaten Makarova, the tricky Gasparayan and Coco Vandeweghe all in straight sets. All points to value on Petkovic. I'm going to be greedy and take the straight sets too. 
  18. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 22 - February 28   
    Muguruza was very strong yesterday against in-form Babos. The Spanish player showed her best in the first set and I doubt that anyone in the tournament could beat her in such form. Petkovic is capable to beat everybody if she has a day, but I thing the odds are not good enough to search a win for her.
     
    Berdych is far away from his best form. Probably he will show something better on IW and Miami.
  19. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 15 - February 21   
    Ram - Querrey 3.12 Matchbook
     
    Ram is playing very impressive here. He beat far more solid contenders than those of Querrey. H2H is 5:2 for Sam, but they have only one meeting on final and it's for Ram. who is unbeaten in ATP finals, while Sam is 7:7 in those matches. Good odds for Ram.
  20. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from TheBeast in February 15 - February 21   
    Ram - Querrey 3.12 Matchbook
     
    Ram is playing very impressive here. He beat far more solid contenders than those of Querrey. H2H is 5:2 for Sam, but they have only one meeting on final and it's for Ram. who is unbeaten in ATP finals, while Sam is 7:7 in those matches. Good odds for Ram.
  21. Like
    ogii55 reacted to Fader in February 15 - February 21   
    4pts D.Thiem -4.5 games to beat G.Pella Evens Bet365
    Can only see this being 2-0. Thiem is a man possesed at the moment. I thought he'd beat Ferrer but that easily? wow! has to be the favourite for the tournament when you think he has already beaten Nadal last week. Thiem for me in 2.
    3pts P.Cuevas to beat R.Nadal 3/1 Bet365
    Cuevas is playing really well recently. Even in the second set against Delbonis where the wind was ruining the game at a moment where he was serving, with the rain starting and he got broke. They come back out and Cuevas broke back, was broken again and then held his nerve to break back and win on a tie-break. This will be such a good game. I expect it to be a tight one as Nadal gets broken alot nowadays. I'm hoping he nicks it 2-1
  22. Like
    ogii55 reacted to Mikus79 in February 15 - February 21   
    Soler - Kovinic 2.61 Pinnacle
    Soler has been injured for a while and she dropped in rankings signifficantly. However she beat Oprandi in first round very convincingly and if she is 100% fit this match is more like 50/50 to me.
    Golubev - D. Brown 2.64 Pinnacle
    Brown is one of the most unreliable and unpredictable player on the tour. He never cannot be trusted as a favourite. Golubev is not the example of reliability either but the result of this match is like a toss of a coin for me therefore I'm on Golubev.
    Gulbis - Gasquet 3.45 Pinnacle
    Gasquet might be a better player here however Gulbis can be dangerous for anybody when motivated and in form. He battled through first round which is always very difficult for him so we can assume he found his rhythm. Moreover he is a winner of this tournament from 2014 so he likes the conditions here. The odds should be more like 1.66-2.50 in favour of Gasquet hence I find current odds valuable.
    G. Melzer - Kamke 2.56 Pinnacle
    Kamke had problems previous round against average Escobar in first two sets in both occasions giving up the lead. He will have to be more concentrated today against tougher opponent who is in good shape and who reached semi final last year here in Morelos.
    Almagro - Nadal 5.24 Pinnacle
    Nadal can't be trusted these days, he is not anymore the same player he used to be and I believe he never will be. The odds still take into account his greatness and great results of the past. On the other side of the net Almagro who struggled so far to come back to his best performance after injury but the great results from last week show that he is back. More realistic odds should be more like 1.35-1.45 for Nadal so the value lays on Almagro's side. I think you can shop around for even better odds at some other bookies.
     
  23. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 15 - February 21   
    Three more interesting pics from today:
     
    Ce/Kostova - Mchale Tatishvili 2.85 Pinnacle
     
    Kostova is on fire with three very good wins here. Ce is stable doubles player, who is very good on clay. McHale and Tatishvili are in awful form, both lose very convincingly on single. In other situation they would be for sure favorites with those odds, but now I think their chances of winning the match are lower. Value bet.
     
    Lottner - Panova 2.31 Pinnacle
     
    Lottner is in great form. She reached semifinal in the last tournament that she participated. Also she is very good in the specific surface - carpet. Panova  beat two weak opponents in St. Petersburg qualifiers and I am not convinced that she is favorite here.
     
    Oyen - Knoll 2.81 Pinnacle
     
    The girls clashed recently and Oyen was a clear winner with 6:3, 6:1. In the first match she was outsider with odds 4.50. Knoll is coming from St. Petersburg, when she made a good dobules match, but here the carpet surface is very different and will suit Oyen better.
     
     
     
     
  24. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 15 - February 21   
    Irigoyen - Kostova 2.76 Pinnacle
     
    Two opponents with very close qualities. Irigoyen is better clay court player. She was in the continent for the last few weeks playing in red surface, while Kostova have been in USA, then went to Israel and now returns to South America.
     
    Connor Smith - Gonzalo Escobar 2.84 Pinnacle
     
    Smith is a typical hard court player, who understood that he is better on faster surfaces. The American is not showing his best form, but he must defend some points from last year, when he reached second round. Escobar is noting special. He passed the qualifications, beating two weak opponents and Gerard Granollers, who also is not a typical hard court player. Escobar is 2/6 on challenger level, so I don''t think he must be the favorite in this one.
  25. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in February 15 - February 21   
    Brengle - Makarova 3.70 Matchbok
     
    Brengle is leading H2H with 1:0, but their only match was 8 years ago. Makarova is far away from her form, that she showed year ago. The Russian was out of courts at the end of last year and now I think she is still not in her primer level. On the other hand Brengle is known to be capable of causing upsets against favorites. She is typical American hard court player. Good odds for Brengle.
×
×
  • Create New...