Otter4
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Posts posted by Otter4
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Re: Quick System Haven't posted on here for a while, but cheers Ralphie - keep up the good work and :hope today is a day to go into big profit for the year!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 yeah tell me about it - haven't got one that wrong for a while!!! Should have been a hat-trick as well!:spank
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 :@
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 sorry didn't mention above bet is over first 6 overs.
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 KKR to hit over 51.5 runs - 5 pts - 5/6 skybet As Kev has already alluded to, this pitch should have plenty of runs in it, with boundaries relatively easy to come by. This total should be well within the reaches of Gayle, McCullum and Ganguly who won the toss and chose to bat. The pitch is due to turn so they will want early runs on the board. Albie Morkel also returns for CSK who has been very expensive with the ball and hopefully Gayle will have the opportunity to take him apart. Skybet priced up Mumbai to hit 50.5 runs in the previous match and there is no comparison between the scoring potential of Mumbai and KKR in the first 6 overs. Likewise this ground is much higher scoring than the BS Mumbai stadium. The line looks low so i'm lumping on :hope
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 Another run outs bet in - skybet are offering 6/5 for the next match for over 1.5 run outs - again both teams need to win to stay int he tournament, so I'm going to take this excellent price with a 3 point bet. Especially as Ganguly and Gayle are susceptible to poor running!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 After that collapse, I reckon your safe Kev! Ubelievable, when Delhi colapse, they really collapse!!! One more 6 please!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 I agree with you kev about AB - why play him? (thats a half century guarenteed for him now ;0) I can see they are shoring up the batting a little but Dilshan surely is the man - he is an amazing batsman who played lower down the order early in is career and can bowl handy spin if required! A puzzler for me when you aready have Collingwood who can play that role - imagaine a top 4 of Warner, Sehwag, Gambhir, Dilshan, backed up by Colly and Mishra -ooooooooooohhhhhh!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 Rayadu - top bat Mumbai @ 7/1 skybet Just don;t understand why he is so big- batted at 3 last time, down to open today. Just too tempting at this price! Delhi without express quick bowlers should suit himas well, so a value bet for me!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 should have read 5/6 skybet for sixes bet! Just gonna have look at top bats again now!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 I agree with you Kev on the Delhi bet and will feel even more confident if they rest Malinga who is extremely hard to hit for 6's with his slingy trajectory. 2 other bets Over 1.5 run outs - Mumbai v Delhi - 2points @ 5.6 For same reason as yesterday, at the business end of the season, pressure, desperation for runs and the vociferous crowds will hopefully lead to run outs. Add to that Delhi's woeful running between the wickets recently (although i'm sure they will be extra careful today!) . Over 8.5 sixes - skybet 8/11 - 4 points Out of the 5 games at the BS stadium, 3 have cleared this line. However there are 2 factors which make me feel confident today. 1. Delhi!!!!! Warner, Sehwag, Gambhir, Colly, Mishra and Jadev can clear the ropes for fun! If they rest an overseas player add Dilshan to the list. They need to fire today otherwise their place in the top 4 is in jeopardy. 2. There is no real pressure on Mumbai today so they can let the shackles off a bit andwith players like Dhawan, Jayasuria, Pollard, Bravo, Rayaddin, and the long haired fella (can't remember his name) they have big possibilites - even Sachin hit some 6's in the lsat match. add to that Mumbai resting a key bowler and you have potentially fireworks. Warner or Sehwag or Pollard could clear this line alone - hopefully it will be Delhi batsman for reasons mentioned above!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 On a separate note, following on from Aldric, I've been spotting how much an average T20 match swings and the odds are jumping about all over the place - there is definatley arb potential - i've done a few when a team is 2/1 and then greened out again at 2/1 when they have swung back. Westy spotted it as well when he had a team at 7/1 when that price was too big! Does anyone else trade in t20 games?
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 Not sure about stats Perry, but I reckon it's worth looking into - 11/2 looks like healthy odds! Got lucky with the run outs - ironically having wished Dravid and Kallis to get out to enable the 6's bet to have a chance I thought that stood the best chance... however they threw it away a bit! I agree Uthappa was looking good, I just think Kallis batted so slowly it put pressure on Kohli,Robbie, and White to go for big shots that ween't there to be played so early. Good work on Harris as well - never in doubt after his cameo with the bat. I'm looking forward to Delhi v Mumbai tomorrow!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 Well done fellas - Harris first up :clap
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 Well halfway through - 1 run out and 5 6's - so half way there! Fingers crossed for 5 more sixes Perry ;) The Ryan Harris bet looks good as well, shame he didn;t get 1 more run so that you just needed a catch....his catching has been awesome!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 2 pts - Over 1.5 runouts DC v RCB @ 5/6 There have been 66 run outs so far in this tournament and Dc are the second worst culprits with double figure run outs! Add this poor recent record, with the desperation of a must win match and you (hopefully) get some edgy running and the need for every run possible. Both teams have some sharp fielders in their ranks and at this stage of the season, I like the look of these bets. 2 points - over 9.5 6's The Nagpur pitch hasnt been a massive run scorer, however we narrowly missed out on the 10 6's in the match here on saturday even though CSK only hit 130odd and the match resulted in 9 sixes. Today if you substitute the CSK for Kallis, Pandey, KP (possibly), Taylor, White, Kohli and Uthappa! You have some ferocious hitters! Combine that with Gilly, Mishra, Symonds, Suman, Rohit, Smith it looks good. That is without taking into consideration the leaky bowling attacks who bowl some filth at times.
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 well he batted at 3!!! Thought he earned a repreive, looked eye level to me, so surely above the shoulder! I am biased though!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 couldn't believe these odds - Rayadu top bat for mumbai - 9/1 skybet He's been in great form recently, has been batting at 4 - he's on the list to bat lower today, but I can't see Satish and Pollard coming in ahead of him so he will probably bat 4/5. Jayasuria could fire but is short of match time, Tendulkar has looked out of sorts last 2 games, I just think this is exceptional exceptional value - so a 2point bet for me :hope Good luck fellas for your 6's bets as well!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 That was a big reprieve for Lumb!!!! , the 6 of the last ball really rubbed salt into the wounds! I thought long and hard about 'a 6 off the 1st over bet' 7/1 on skybet, i did it a couple of days ago and left it alone today :$
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 2 more top batsmen 1pt - ohja top Rajasthan bat @ 4/1 skybet 1point D.Smith top Deccan @ 7/1 skybet Ohja is in top form, 4/1 is decent value for an opener in T20 and he was imperious against CSK a couple of days ago unluckily missing out on a century. Deccans wayward attack could really suit him. Smith is more speculative, but 7/1 looks very big for a hitter of smiths ability, he hasn't played for a while, but is capable of quick runs after a fragile top order!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 One of the few matches for a while I have been able to have a good look before the matches have started. 3 bets for me - 4 points - Rajasthan to beat Deccan @ 10/11 skybet Having slated the Royals earlier int he tournament, they have turned me around! I was very impressed with their run chase in defeat against CSK a few days ago and that was even with Pathan having a failure! The introduction of Watson is a huge plus and has provided them with balance that was previously missing. Warne has bowled better than his figures have suggested and Tait will rough up the Deccan pensioners with pace they haven't experienced in retirement!!! Deccan look out of confidence and short of match practice, even Rohit has been poor of late - although i expect something big from him soon. Their bowling attack is poor and is desperately calling out for Vaas and Harris to play together, however due to the lack of Indian batting talent in the squad, they are forced to stick with the 3 overseas batsmen. Ojha is a quality bowler but can't do it alone! I agree with Kev and take Royals to have all bases covered against an out of form and past its sell by date charger team. 8 points - Rajasthan to hit more sixes @ 6/5 skybet I was surprised to get better than evens, and am delighted to take this price! Lumb, N.Ohja, Watson and of course Pathan are lusty hitters and they have been ably backed up with some 6 hitting from the lesser known indian batsmen. It is risky taking on Gilly, Gibbs, Rohit and Symonds as on their day I would be backing them, howver there day looks to have gone! The Royals have a better more penetrating bowling attack and more depth. The insurance is Pathan as everyone has seen he could win this bet alone, fingers crossed though the royals have a big team effort. 4 points - over 10.5 match 6's - 5/6 skybet This is Deccan's first match at Nagpur in this IPL, there was a T20 ODI between India and Sri lanka in Decemebr where nearly 400 runs were scored on a pitch where the ropes were further out and 10 6's were hit. Taking the difference in bowling abilities on show today, I am expecting there to be more bad balls and enough players capable of clearing this line!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 cSK match was some game! 2 for me halfway through Deccan match 1st Decca over - 6 to be hit - 1 point 7/1 skybet Gibbs did it the other night and just think this is too big! So speculative punt. Rohit sharma top run scorer - 1 point 9/2 Gily injured, i really rate sharma - no more time
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 Nice calls on the 6 bets! King's 11 had the match for the taking there; agree with you Perry about Bopara, his dobbers would have surely been effective! Nice to see KP hitting form intime for the world cup!
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 Tips looking good for today as well guys 1 for me - Uthappa top RCB runscorer - 2 points @ 5/1 skybet I like this fella, quick runscorer, should bat high at 3, Kallis is due a failure and there is a big total to chase so even if it takes a few overs to get in he should have time at the crease! Good luck with your bets guys
Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010
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Re: Cricket: Indian Premier League 2010 I'm glad you said that - have looked at the markets 3 times now and just can't pick a bet out. The lines all look fair and nothing is jumping out - even the top run scorers look in proportion. Think i will just kick back and watch this one and look for an in running opportunity. Good luck with Uthappa! Great player!