Andraz85

K. Pliskova vs O. Jabeur
Since winning Brisbane at the beginning of the year Pliskova’s form has been a bit sketchy but not as bad as to say that she has not been playing well. In fact, I feel she is just about ready to commence another upward phase in form perhaps beginning here. She faces Ons Jabeur, one of the most improved WTA players of the year. Ons posses a very big and robust game and can be extra dangerous when she plays in confident mode. I really think she has the belief that she is way up there with the elite of the game and I will be the first to agree with her. I feel her chances here of taking Pliskova out are certainly over 40%. Knowing fully well that this is going to be a serve oriented clash, I will play extra safe and go for the alternative totals market (Paddy Power) over 20.5 games 8/10.

Anna Karolina Schmiedlova to beat Elise Mertens at 3.75 with bet365
I think Mertens is overrated here. Schmiedlova has a W/L record on this surface of 139-70 and Mertens has a W/L record of 67-42. Schmiedlova has already 2 wins here over dangerous players (Monica Puig in 2 sets and Pegula in 3 sets) while this will be the first match for Mertens here.

Estoril doubles
G. Granollers/M. Lopez @1.581 Pinnacle 10/10
Both Andreozzi and Dellien will play qualifying in Madrid on Saturday. It's an 1000 Masters event in Madrid so i doubt they gonna prioritise a doubles match here. Furthermore, Granollers/Lopez looking like a decent team to compete anyway.

John Millman to beat Bernard Tomic at 1.41 with Unibet
Bernard still isn't finding his game on clay like he can on grass or hardcourt where he thrives. He's gonna be in trouble in most of the rallies here. John showed that he acctually can do some good stuff on clay last season when he reached his first ATP final in Budapest losing in straight sets after a rain delayed semifinal. Anyway he lost those points this week and dropped a few spots on the ranking. Now he's aiming to get back to something around top 50 again with a win here ofcourse and Bernard should be the ideal opponent to get a first win in Estoril.

Good call. I took Zeppieri yesterday @ 2.65 with big stake. My biggest bet this week so far. He'll beat Barranco.

Still off Griekspoor.. I was expecting Kohlschreiber to take the first set .. This has influenced my decision.. I might still check in play later .. match is now off the board 

ouahab won 62 60
walk in the park for the legend. i took some more of ouahab this morning, no idea why some books had him aroiund 2.7....strange one, ouahab dominated from the first point as expected.

Sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Kirsten Flipkens to beat Olga Danilovic at 2.01 with Pinnacle
I'm not quite sure what makes Danilovic the favourite here, as I wouldn't be surprised to see Flipkens just outplay her in what's going to be a clash of very different styles. Danilovic is often rather impatient and that should play right into Flipkens' hands. Yes, Danilovic can blow her off the court if she manages to be accurate throughout, but I don't see that happening very often.
Viktor Troicki to beat Arthur Rinderknech at 1.37 with Pinnacle
I've been tracking Troicki's recent woes in interest, but they haven't been so bad that he should be losing to someone as poor as Rinderknech.

5pts Under 21.5 games - P.Kohlschreiber Vs G.Sakharov 4/5 Ladbrokes
Quite a big gulf of class here. Kohli likes this event and in 2016 didn't even lose a set until the Quarter-final where he lost to eventual winner, Stan Wawrinka. Then last year same thing, didn't lose a set until the Quarter-final where he lost to eventual winner, Andy Murray.
I think he should be able to take care of Gleb who has had a couple of good results but has not beaten anyone of any quality and in form, around the top 75.

Blake Elis - Ito 4.30
 
Elis is on fire. He is serving very well and just beat a guy, who is around 250 convincingly (despite three sets). The dude loves hard courts. Ito is just a shadow from his best days. He is still capable to put a good performance, but phisycally he is not ok. I watched his match against Mcdonald and he struggles with movement after and injury the previous week. The odds here are too big. Elis already stunned two favorites. It will be a competitive match up.

Break break better odds
 tnx for coco. Got her for 3.40
 

Bet lost on the womens final but it was nice to see Kerber win it. Serena hasn't lost a final for a long time. So it was good to see that. Mens final, spot on. Djokovic wins easy enough and covers both handicaps. +11pts for the combined finals
Tournament over. Hope everyone had fun. Final pts for the tournament = +86 pts

Big thank you too all for great previews and profits.
 

Big thank you too all for great previews and profits.