Striker

Looks like Navegaon Gate has not been gelded as runs at Newbury Tuesday night going sharply up in trip
Opened up at 9-2 Fav with William Hill

Declared to run at Naas on Wednesday night

Sand in his eye, wasn't making cut anyway. 
Was poor, he's a good un though, sure he'll win a biggie in not to distant future. 

Great run to finish 2nd @ 14-1
Though a bit keen early she was not free as last time despite not getting cover
Had her route through blocked inside the final furlong also, but as I said earlier think the horse will be suited by another furlong at least

I thought you were mental to back her on that ground, but what a race she has run there!!!
Hates the ground and all her pedigree points that way too. To come second in that ground is a great effort. A filly to follow for sure and on better ground there are not many that are capable of beating her.

So, some thoughts on the first round. What I am looking for are the good players that had bad days, and the average picks that had great days. Very strange to see short hitters doing well. F Molinaria and Cabrera Bello both at 3 under. I don't think Russel Henley can repeat yesterdays round (-4). I would be looking to bet against him.
5 most impressive players on the course yesterday. Koepka, Oosthuizen, Schauffele, Wolff and Rahm.
Koepka was solid, but a crazy shot on the par 3 3rd hole torpedoed him.  
Wolff was only 1 under par, but he made 8 birdies. The par 3's don't fit his eye, as he was 3 over on those 4 holes.
Schauffele had a very solid card. 4 birdies and 2 bogeys for 2 under.
Oosthuizen was insanely good. 1 Bogey on the card, and in absolute cruise control. He will definitely benefit today from the early start. He must finish his round on the 8th and 9th hole, which is great for him. Groove the shot you want to hit into the 8th on the range, and he will probably make birdie on the 9th hole. Even on the par 3's, he was puttng for birdie all day.
I would add one player to my outright winner bets. Hideki Matsuyama hit the ball great. He has some game.
Has big advantage in going out early when the greens are pristine.On the flip side, I don't think Rory is gonna shoot lights out today. He had bad luck on 13 hole, when his foot slipped, but he made birdie on 12 and chipped in as well. One guy I think is going to do miles better today is Bryson deChambeau. He was actually really unlucky on the 13th hole, where he missed his 2nd to the green and it rolled back into a filled divot. He would be thinking 'eagle' or 'birdie' and come up with a 6.
Head to head I am taking;
Fransesco Molinari to beat Russel Hendley at 1.9
Again Rahm to beat Rory at odds of 1.7 (Rahm has just got so much more game, and is fantastic around the greens)
Mathew Fitzpatrick to beat Daniel Berger at 1.9
 
 
 

WON @ 22-1

WON @ 22-1

A La Lester Piggott. 
Back in the day you did not back Lester EW. Win or nothing.
Frankie could have finished 2nd or 3rd on Stradivarius yesterday, but he was looking after the horse.
The horse wasnt right yesterday. Down at the start Frankie said to Luke Harvey "I hope he wakes up"
Normally he is full of himself, but he was like a lamb down at the start.

My first impression immediately after the race was that Moore gave it an average race.
He was tracking the winner all the way through the race and the race winning move was around 2-3 furlongs out where the winner kicked on and seemed to catch Moore unawares and went bout 3-4 lengths ahead of him.
Sure the hanging didnt help in the final furlong, but Moore let the winner get too far ahead of him. THat was my first impression. I don't do social media and I have not watched the race back, but that was my immediate thoughts

Agree re Buick mate. Don’t like how Frankie doesn’t seem to ride out a finish once he feels his chance of winning has gone. 

WON @ 22-1

WON @ 22-1

WON @ 22-1

Ran better than final placing in a draw biased race...keep the faith

2nd!
Ryan Moore got roasted on social media for giving the horse too much to do..but he was giving the winner nearly a stone and would have won for sure but for hanging
Remains a nice prospect, could even be a St Leger horse

yes have taken the 40-1 with Bet 365... ten places 

Very nice write ups Neilovan...I also used to live in San Diego for 5 years, between 2002 -2007 in Ocean Beach..Thats why im a mad Chargers fan, even though they have since bloody moved to L.A.now.. Cest la vie, i used to love my sundays down at the Q Stadium watching L.T., Gates and Rivers do their thing...Anyways,getting back to Golf, a fun bet i always do to get me involved is "10 Players to make the cut"..I normally hit 1 out of the 4 but so far this year ive missed out by just 1 selection on both times..So hopefully third time lucky this week... COLIN MORIKAWA, WILL ZALATORIS, XANDER SCHAUFFELE, VICTOR HOVLAND, PATRICK REED, JASON KOKRAK, TONY FINAU, LOUISE OOSTHUIZEN, GARRICK HIGGO & TAYLOR PENDRITH all To Make The Cut....Parley Pays 25/1 ..... Good Luck Everyone.

yes have taken the 40-1 with Bet 365... ten places 

Emporio is 100/1 for the Britannia!!!
Thats way to big a price for a horse who finished 5th in a Group 1 2 runs ago.
Yes it should have won its last race, where it was beaten a head in a maiden, but this horse finished 3l behind Lucky Vega, and 7l or so behind McSwinney and Poetic Flare, off level weights!!
Now its 100/1 in a handicap.

Schauffele is a stand out each way bet, 5th-6th-3rd-5th in his 4 attempts at the US Open so obviously suited by this type of layout. Has recent course form having finished 2nd on this course in January and he's from San Diego too.
Hills go 18/1 paying 9 places ? 

Starts Thursday
Will keep the faith with Viktor Hovland
Who likes this test of golf finishing 13th & 12th in the two Opens he has played
Each Way [7 places] @ 28-1 with Unibet
Any other opinions?

Wow. Great stats guys 

Torrey south only has 3 par 5's. This is important, as it is one less hole where the big bombers can pick up strokes.  I think the 6th hole has been converted to a par 4, but this hole really favors a left hander, as they don't have to hit the drive over the edge of the canyon (hole dog legs left to right).
There are 4 par 3's, and all of them are difficult. The third hole, down to the sea, in the corner, has about 8 different tee'ing boxes, and they can make it super tricky. Small green, cross wind, elevation change... good luck. The 8th hole is another tricky one, with a double tier, blind green, bunkers behind. Go too long you will not get up and down.. The 11th is a brute into the sea breeze. The 16th ringed with danger, requiring great shot. Too long, it's double bogey time. Left and right are bunkers playing onto a sloping green. The back of the green falls away, and the Tee box is lower than the green, making the wind unpredictable. Nasty hole. Par is good.
These par 3's  will definitely favor a great iron player (Morikowa and Rahm) ranked 1 and 2 in shots gained Tee to Green. A lot will also depend on how well a hole fits a players natural distance/shot. So some may have a full club into a hole. So look at the results on the par 3's because the guys that are even or under par each round here have a perfect distance. 
Looking closer at the stats. A few combinations of stats stand out.
Driving Accuracy and driving distance. Obviously straight and long is a winner.  I almost think you can exclude anybody who does not keep it in the fairway at least  55% of the time. With 14 drives you are in the rough 7 times. Good luck with that!  The rough/distance to green will crush them. Out of the big guns it includes Mickelson, Gary Woodland, Speith and weirdly enough DeChambeau. I have a weird feeling that bomb and gouge will not work here, as there are too many bunkers guarding the front of the greens  (see the stats here https://www.pgatour.com/stats/stat.102.html).
To me, the best holes to watch will be the par 4 2nd hole (almost reachable) 389 yard (somebody is gonna pound one close), and the par 5 13th.  621 yards, but they should have some sea breeze assistance. A big bomber with  365+ yards off the Tee will find this monster in 2.  
Tee to green and approach to green look very important. So I am making an adjustment to the above posts prediction.
At least 3 of these 5 (Dechambeau, Speith, Mcllroy, Mickelson and Koepka) don't make the cut. Prob the 3 others and one of DeChambeau and Koepka.
Winner from
FINAU, RAHM, HOVLAND, HIGGO, OOSTHUIZEN  SCHAUFFELE and MORIKOWA.  Can Rahm just keep his cool, and not blow up. The guy has so much game!
 
For me a couple of bets I do like.
NO HOLE IN ONE at odds of even money (the par 3's are just too difficult)
Mcllroy not to make cut 3.75
Spieth not to make cut 3.75
Mickelson not to make cut 2.2 for me this bet is a gift. I expect him to shoot mid /high 70's both rounds.
 
FOR ME the worst bet is a 3 ball bet. You are just not getting the odds to find a winner here. If you can find matchups, ie player A v player B its much better.
1st round Head to head match ups for me ....
John Rahm to beat Rory at 1.7   I think this one is a slam dunk. I expect Rory to shoot 4+ over 1st round. 
Schauffele to beat Koepka 1.9
Ootshuizen to beat Casey 1.9
Higgo to beat Lieshman also 1.9

Having lived in San Diego for 5 years, I spent a lot of time enjoying my golf (mostly on Torrey Pines North and South courses).. Probably played 50 rounds or more on each. I was a good golfer in the scratch to 3 handicap range.
There are few courses around the world that will set up as difficult as Torrey pines South, in US open conditions. Three main factors;
1) The length. Even for big hitters, it is damn long, and it's at sea level.
2) The rough. They used to play the Buick Invitational at Torrey (now the Farmer's Insurance), but when they grow that rough, the difficulty level goes through the roof. The week after the Buick, people camp in the parking lot to be first to play a 'PGA' layout/conditioned course. Rounds take 6 hours, because nobody can find their ball when they hit it in the rough. It's insane, 6 inch rough, over seeded (like strands of thick string). Much tougher rough than in Dubai, Leopard creek, Augusta. In the rough you are probably dropping a stroke.
3) The sea breeze. Torrey is right on the Pacific. The wind rolls in, hits the cliffs at Black's beach, and creates a tough wall to penetrate. The low stroke holes (into that breeze) are brutal (hole 1, and hole 12 especially). The cross wind holes like #2, #4, #5 require ball shaping to counter the wind. I did watch Tiger play one year, and he made mincemeat of the wind, but he was a reasonably good golfer ... But until you see it, you can't actually believe how well/hard they strike the ball.
So with this in mind, this course is an accurate, medium to low, BIG ball strikers paradise. Guys that can't average 285 yards or better off the T have zero chance to win here. They will be 60 - 75 yards behind a big bomber.
An example : Brendon Todd, who leads in accuracy off the Tee, but 'only' hits it 275 yards won't even make the cut. Long irons into greens are a disaster, because the green side rough is right in play all day.
I like DeChambeau, McIIroy, Champ, Johnson, Finau, Hovland, Rahm, Koepka as big ball hitters. I like Johnson as a ball striker the best, but his putting gibbers have come back.  Koepka, the knees are still not 100%, Mcllroy can't putt and has a double/triple bogey hand grenade in his pocket..  So DeChambeau  ...does drive and gouge work again, or Rahm?
I would add San Diego native, Schauffele (who would have played a ton of golf on that course). Mickelson won't get away with hitting it in the rough on this course and he probably misses the cut for me.
Five Saffers could be in the mix. Oosthuizen, Higgo, van Rooyen, Grace and Nienaber.    
Grace because of his low ball flight, Oosthuizen because he is ridiculously good (and #1 in putting) for a small guy (also grew up playing in the wind on the coast)., Higgo the hottest golfer on the planet (the guy has seriously impressive mindset, and maturity for a 21 year old). He also has this crazy  easy power.
Nienaber who's gonna send DeChambeau to the funny farm with his 365 yard drives and swing speed.  But mentally he is not ready to win. The tournament he blew (I think between Higgo's wins on the Euro tour is a prime example).
Top Saffer ... Higgo.
For the others ... (Fritelli no form, Schwartzel's temper will let him down, Bezuidenthout close but nothing brilliant, Aiken short hitter)
My feeling is that Torrey wipes the floor with the field. Forget 10 under, the winner will be closer to even par. Whoever handles this mental challenge  the best, and keeps himself under control will triumph. Cut is probably +6 and playing + golf is a weird head space for pro golfers. This could be carnage!!!
Winner comes from DeCHAMBEAU, FINAU, RAHM, HOVLAND, HIGGO, OOSTHUIZEN for me