johnkam

Good evening,
Wolves – Southampton
Southampton scores in ¾ first halves of its games, Wolves receives almost half of its goals at the first half and prefers to score in the second half.
Southampton -0 First Half Asian @ 2.20
 
Burnley -Crystal  Palace
Same as above, Crystal -0 FH @ 2.08
 
LOW STAKES, NEW METHOD! Good Luck

Good Morning ! Detailed Analysis here...
Bournemouth vs Nott’m Forest at 24 Nov 2020

My fair odds are 1.73 - 4.2 - 5.41 and for Over / Under 2.02 - 1.98
Bournemouth in the last six matches had 3 wins, 2 draws,one defeat and gathered 11 points, 61.1% of the total available.
In these matches, Bournemouth scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 5 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 2 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 4 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Nott’m Forest in the last six matches had 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 8 points, 44.4% of the total available.
In these matches, Nott’m Forest scored in 4 of them and received at least one goal in 5 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 1 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 5 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Luton vs Birmingham at 24 Nov 2020

My fair odds are 2.09 - 3.53 - 4.2 and for Over / Under 2.32 - 1.76
Luton in the last six matches had 2 wins, 3 draws,one defeat and gathered 9 points, 50.0% of the total available.
In these matches, Luton scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 1 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 5 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Birmingham in the last six matches had 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 8 points, 44.4% of the total available.
In these matches, Birmingham scored in 4 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 4 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 2 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Preston vs Blackburn at 24 Nov 2020

My fair odds are 2.98 - 3.68 - 2.55 and for Over / Under 2.19 - 1.84
Preston in the last six matches had 3 wins, no draws, 3 defeats, and gathered 9 points, 50.0% of the total available.
In these matches, Preston scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 4 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 2 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Blackburn in the last six matches had 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 8 points, 44.4% of the total available.
In these matches, Blackburn scored in 4 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 3 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 3 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
QPR vs Rotherham at 24 Nov 2020

My fair odds are 2.03 - 3.82 - 4.1 and for Over / Under 2.11 - 1.9
QPR in the last six matches had 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 8 points, 44.4% of the total available.
In these matches, QPR scored in 4 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 3 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 3 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Rotherham in the last six matches had 2 wins, no draws, 4 defeats, and gathered 6 points, 33.3% of the total available.
In these matches, Rotherham scored in 2 of them and received at least one goal in 5 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 3 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 3 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 1 of them both teams scored, and in 5 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Stoke vs Norwich at 24 Nov 2020

My fair odds are 2.49 - 3.51 - 3.18 and for Over / Under 2.23 - 1.81
Stoke in the last six matches had 4 wins, no draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 12 points, 66.7% of the total available.
In these matches, Stoke scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 4 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 2 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Norwich in the last six matches had 4 wins, 2 draws, no defeats.and gathered 14 points, 77.8% of the total available.
In these matches, Norwich scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 3 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 2 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 4 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Wycombe vs Huddersfield at 24 Nov 2020

My fair odds are 2.87 - 3.66 - 2.65 and for Over / Under 2.23 - 1.81
Wycombe in the last six matches had 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 8 points, 44.4% of the total available.
In these matches, Wycombe scored in 4 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 2 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 4 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Huddersfield in the last six matches had one win, one draw, 4 defeats, and gathered 4 points, 22.2% of the total available.
In these matches, Huddersfield scored in all of them and received at least one goal in 5 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 5 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 1 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 5 of them both teams scored, and in 1 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Barnsley vs Brentford at 24 Nov 2020

My fair odds are 2.25 - 3.79 - 3.44 and for Over / Under 2.14 - 1.88
Barnsley in the last six matches had 4 wins, one draw,one defeat and gathered 13 points, 72.2% of the total available.
In these matches, Barnsley scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 2 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 2 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 4 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 1 of them both teams scored, and in 5 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Brentford in the last six matches had one win, 4 draws,one defeat and gathered 7 points, 38.9% of the total available.
In these matches, Brentford scored in 4 of them and received at least one goal in 3 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 2 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 4 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Good morning mates,
All based on the analysis I posted yesterday! Good luck!
 

I'll put you in Div 7

Oh yeah! Please count me in!

Belgium vs Denmark
Belgium made a crucial step toward a place in the playoffs after beating England on Sunday. Two goals in the first 25 minutes of the game brought them three vital points and kicked the Three Lions out of the race for the top spot. Roberto Martinez’s side tied three wins in a row, and in each of those games, they scored twice. The hosts suffered just one defeat in the past two years, and besides that, they missed the chance to win only on one more occasion. Belgium was better in their previous clash back in September and celebrated a 2:0 victory. Kevin de Bruyne and the lads haven’t lost a game at the home pitch for the past four years, and if they manage to extend that run, the hosts will secure the place in playoffs.
Denmark had a slow start in the UEFA Nations League campaign, as they picked up just a point from the opening two rounds. However, Cristian Eriksen and the lads tied three wins in the competition, that propelled them to the 2nd spot. They are just two points behind their upcoming rivals, and only a victory can see them move to the top. Ebbe Sand’s side celebrated five times in a row and conceded only once during that streak. Although Denmark hasn’t been too efficient in the competition, their defense is the tightest in the group. Three points won at Wembley against England boosted their confidence, and the visitors hope for another good display.
Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction
Despite Denmark’s excellent recent form, the hosts are still considered as favorites in this clash. We believe Belgium won’t take anything for granted, and they will book another three points to seal the top spot.
Goals Market Prediction
Head to head clashes between these two sides have historically been pretty efficient. In each of them, football fans saw at least two goals, and we believe this clash could go over 2.5 margin.
Belgium to win @ 1.60
Over 2.5 FT @ 2.00
Correct score 3:1 @ 13.00
Source: https://www.bat-bet.com/belgium-vs-denmark-betting-tips-predictions-match-previews-uefa-nations-league/

If you are interested in playing in the new season and you have not already been given a place in the new divisions then put your name down here.
Please only apply if you can complete a 9 week season. We had 21 drop-outs last time
 
This would include NEW members
OR
Player that were eliminated from the last competition (but would like to waste my time again)
 
Season should kick off in early September, full details will follow asap.
In the meantime have a gander at the rules
 

Check out the latest odds and ratings for the League 1, League 2, and Scottish Premiership matches coming up during the week and over the upcoming weekend. Give any predictions you have a post below! 

Good morning! I will come back with predictions later.
 
League One detailed analysis here
Swindon vs Accrington at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 2.41 - 3.38 - 2.93 and for Over / Under 2.02 - 1.82
My fair odds are 2.75 - 3.66 - 2.75 and for Over / Under 2.06 - 1.94

Swindon in the last six matches had one win, one draw, 4 defeats, and gathered 4 points, 22.2% of the total available.
In these matches, Swindon scored in 4 of them but didn’t manage to keep a clean sheet.
Regarding the goals number, 4 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 2 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.
Accrington in the last six matches had 4 wins, no draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 12 points, 66.7% of the total available.
In these matches, Accrington scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 3 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 3 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
League Two detailed analysis here
Port Vale vs Scnuthorpe at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 1.81 - 3.49 - 4.62 and for Over / Under 2.21 - 1.67
My fair odds are 2.09 - 3.85 - 3.83 and for Over / Under 1.97 - 2.03

Port Vale in the last six matches had 4 wins, no draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 12 points, 66.7% of the total available.
In these matches, Port Vale scored in all of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 4 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 2 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Scnuthorpe in the last six matches had one win, no draws, 5 defeats, and gathered 3 points, 16.7% of the total available.
In these matches, Scnuthorpe scored in 3 of them and received at least one goal in 5 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 3 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 3 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 2 of them both teams scored, and in 4 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Conference detailed analysis here
Hartlepool vs Wrexham at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 2.26 - 3.42 - 2.94 and for Over / Under 1.87 - 1.91
My fair odds are 2.72 - 3.66 - 2.79 and for Over / Under 2.01 - 1.99
Hartlepool in the last six matches had 3 wins, 2 draws, one defeat and gathered 11 points, 61.1% of the total available.
In these matches, Hartlepool scored in 4 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 4 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 2 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Wrexham in the last six matches had 2 wins, one draw, 3 defeats, and gathered 7 points, 38.9% of the total available.
In these matches, Wrexham scored in 3 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 2 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 4 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 2 of them both teams scored, and in 4 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Halifax vs Notts County at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 2.95 - 3.42 - 2.24 and for Over / Under 1.85 - 1.91
My fair odds are 2.1 - 3.83 - 3.8 and for Over / Under 1.94 - 2.06
Halifax in the last six matches had one win, 3 draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 6 points, 33.3% of the total available.
In these matches, Halifax scored in 3 of them and received at least one goal in 3 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 1 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 5 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 2 of them both teams scored, and in 4 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Notts County in the last six matches had 3 wins, no draws, 3 defeats, and gathered 9 points, 50.0% of the total available.
In these matches, Notts County scored in 4 of them and received at least one goal in 5 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 3 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 3 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Eastleigh vs Wealdstone at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 1.97 - 3.9 - 3.29 and for Over / Under 1.53 - 2.42
My fair odds are 2.42 - 3.79 - 3.1 and for Over / Under 2.03 - 1.97
Eastleigh in the last six matches had 3 wins, 2 draws,one defeat and gathered 11 points, 61.1% of the total available.
In these matches, Eastleigh scored in all of them but didn’t manage to keep a clean sheet.
Regarding the goals number, 5 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 1 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also,both teams scored in all of them.

Wealdstone in the last six matches had 5 wins, no draws,one defeat and gathered 15 points, 83.3% of the total available.
In these matches, Wealdstone scored in all of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 4 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 2 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Dover Athletic vs Woking at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 3.38 - 3.45 - 2.01 and for Over / Under 1.85 - 1.92
My fair odds are 2.7 - 3.65 - 2.81 and for Over / Under 2.01 - 1.99
Dover Athletic in the last six matches had one win, no draws, 5 defeats, and gathered 3 points, 16.7% of the total available.
In these matches, Dover Athletic scored in 2 of them but didn’t manage to keep a clean sheet.
Regarding the goals number, 4 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 2 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 2 of them both teams scored, and in 4 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Woking in the last six matches had one win, 2 draws, 3 defeats, and gathered 5 points, 27.8% of the total available.
In these matches, Woking scored in 3 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 2 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 4 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 2 of them both teams scored, and in 4 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Bromley vs Boreham Wood at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 2.58 - 3.48 - 2.51 and for Over / Under 1.79 - 2.01
My fair odds are 2.38 - 3.76 - 3.17 and for Over / Under 2.01 - 1.99
Bromley in the last six matches had 3 wins, one draw, 2 defeats, and gathered 10 points, 55.6% of the total available.
In these matches, Bromley scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 5 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 5 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 1 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 5 of them both teams scored, and in 1 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Boreham Wood in the last six matches had 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats, and gathered 8 points, 44.4% of the total available.
In these matches, Boreham Wood scored in 3 of them and received at least one goal in 3 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 1 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 5 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 1 of them both teams scored, and in 5 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Barnet vs King’s Lynn at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 2.28 - 3.54 - 2.8 and for Over / Under 1.64 - 2.21
My fair odds are 2.11 - 3.97 - 3.66 and for Over / Under 2 - 2
Barnet in the last six matches had 2 wins, one draw, 3 defeats, and gathered 7 points, 38.9% of the total available.
In these matches, Barnet scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 4 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 2 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.

King’s Lynn in the last six matches had one win, no draws, 5 defeats, and gathered 3 points, 16.7% of the total available.
In these matches, King’s Lynn scored in 4 of them but didn’t manage to keep a clean sheet.
Regarding the goals number, all of them finished with three or more goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Altrincham vs Chesterfield at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 2.58 - 3.49 - 2.51 and for Over / Under 1.77 - 2.05
My fair odds are 3.42 - 3.65 - 2.31 and for Over / Under 1.97 - 2.03
Altrincham in the last six matches had one win, 2 draws, 3 defeats, and gathered 5 points, 27.8% of the total available.
In these matches, Altrincham scored in 4 of them and received at least one goal in 5 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 1 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 5 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 3 of them both teams scored, and in 3 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Chesterfield in the last six matches had 2 wins, no draws, 4 defeats, and gathered 6 points, 33.3% of the total available.
In these matches, Chesterfield scored in all of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 5 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 1 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 
Aldershot vs Maidenhead at 17 Nov 2020
Book odds are 2.04 - 3.7 - 3.17 and for Over / Under 1.68 - 2.13
My fair odds are 2.36 - 3.8 - 3.19 and for Over / Under 2.02 - 1.98
Aldershot in the last six matches had 3 wins, one draw, 2 defeats, and gathered 10 points, 55.6% of the total available.
In these matches, Aldershot scored in all of them and received at least one goal in 4 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 5 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 1 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.

Maidenhead in the last six matches had 5 wins, no draws, one defeat, and gathered 15 points, 83.3% of the total available.
In these matches, Maidenhead scored in 5 of them and received at least one goal in 5 of the last six games.
Regarding the goals number, 5 of them ended up with three or more goals scored, and 1 of them finished with less than three goals scored.
Also, in 4 of them both teams scored, and in 2 of them at least one team didn’t score.
 

BOLTON - SALFORD
Bolton's performance in the last six games was pretty much as expected. The Bolton's scoring numbers weren't as strong as expected, and its defense was totally unreliable. In these matches the total goals production was at the expected level.The numbers for Bolton at home show that its performance was worse than expected. The Bolton's offence was a total disaster and its defense was solid but nothing impressive. In these matches the total goals production was surprisingly small.
Salford's performance in the last six games was worse than expected. The Salford's scoring ability met expectations, nothing impressive, and its defense was pretty much as expected, nothing fancy. In these matches the total goals production was a bit smaller than expected.The numbers for Salford as a guest show that its performance was slightly worse than expected. The Salford's scoring numbers weren't as strong as expected, and its defense was reliable and trustworthy. In these matches the total goals production was far smaller than our expectations.
Salfords odds dropped a lot in this Friday night, not a good sign, for an obvious favorite. 
I  will bet really casual tonight, just to see what happens. I'm not going for outcomes, I think the home teams will fight.
One option is to go for Goal - Goal the other to 2-3 goals. Choose as you like, I will with the 2-3 goals.

Football Facts and Streaks regarding La Liga 2
Logrones have won with a 1 goal margin in their last 3 matches in La Liga 2.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Malaga’s last 4 away games in La Liga 2.
Leganes have won with a 1 goal margin in their last 3 home matches in La Liga 2.
Alcorcon have lost their last 8 matches in La Liga 2.
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Tenerife’s last 8 games in La Liga 2.
Castellon have lost their last 6 matches in La Liga 2.
You can find interesting 34 Football Betting Facts and Streaks for 15.11.2020 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-15-11-2020-21593

No apologies needed my friend, I think you will find the info in my analysis helpful.  I try to gather the basic info of a game combined with mathematical analysis, it's a fresh approach. I'll be happy if you take a look and give me your opinion or possible remarks.
Let's hope for Salford 3 - Bolton zero!

Good evening fellows!
The full analysis of the games is here.
Good luck!

No apologies needed my friend, I think you will find the info in my analysis helpful.  I try to gather the basic info of a game combined with mathematical analysis, it's a fresh approach. I'll be happy if you take a look and give me your opinion or possible remarks.
Let's hope for Salford 3 - Bolton zero!

Apologies if I was slightly abrupt. I'm perhaps unduly suspicious of links in posts and rarely if ever click on them. No doubt some are genuine while others are obviously spam, Let's hope for 3 goals then, all for Salford!

Hello friend, in this blog (mine) i post detailed analysis and graphs that might be huge for a forum post for anyone who want a different optics than the usual.
And, i wrote, i came back to post my selections. Good luck!

Good morning to all!
I have a detailed analysis of the games for League One, League Two and Conference.
I will come back later with my predictions.

Do you feel lucky? Tell me! Do you feel lucky?
If the answer is yes, you can play Lotto, Keno, Joker, or you can place a bet. But beware, only ONE bet, if you are counting on luck.
If you want to place more bets in the long run, luck does not play a significant role, betting is a game of patience and ability. To gain profit, through time, the only thing you need is to make better estimates than the betting companies. Every reasonable person may wonder how. How can a simple betting player estimate the odds better than the giants who possess unlimited resources and the most capable human resources?
This is a hard task, but not an impossible one. Many punters try to predict value bets by using the “famous”, in the gambling world, Poisson distribution. Well, it’s not working, at least efficiently. Maybe it can predict possible value existence in a game but rarely produces viable results, mainly because it can’t “see” the non-linear nature of football games.
After years of trying, fail, and trying again, I come up with a fresh approach to help me pre-select the games I must deal with.
First, we must see the football divisions we care to bet on as autonomous entities. There are big differences between England League One and Bundesliga, for example, so I like to use a fresh approach to estimate the fair price of football outcomes.
Initially, I calculate a set of variables (predictors) for every game based on past results, special characteristics of every football division, etc.
Then for every predictor (there are 13 of them) and for every division I pick optimized expected goals equations to predict the percentage of a team, to score a specific number of goals in a specific game. These calculations take place for the home and guest team for every game.
These percentages are not in a distribution form. I’m sure you can remember a lot of games expected to end with 0-1 goal based on Poisson predictions and end with a score like 3-3 or 5-2, etc. The expected goals equations can represent this kind of behavior, unlike distribution-like or linear type predictions.
There is no automated system to make you rich, your participation is essential in every decision, BUT with this method, you can have a credible assessment of every aspect of a football game.
You can see how the fair odds “move” on various scenarios in a single game. In my new book “MATH to WIN: Football”, available on Amazon bookstore, I present the optimized equations for every division, I explain how to build game scenarios and how to apply educated reasoning with the help of tens of real-life examples. 
If you are a casual punter and you don't want to spend much time in analysis and other boring stuff, the book can help you by providing a series of informational tables for every division. These tables will be your sidekick in order to select games with the positive or near-zero value, so you avoid the bookies' traps.
If you will spend more time on analysis but you are not doing so well with computers you can apply the simplest form of equations. You only need an average familiarity with MS Excel or a similar program. The simplest equations dealing only with the game's outcome (1, X, 2) and are quite easy to implement.
Now, if you want to get the most of this method, you will use the expected goals equations. You must have at least average computer skills, especially in MS Excel or a similar program.  If you are familiar with programming the things get more interesting because you can try to build your personal models.
On my website, www.mathtowin.com, under the Downloads section I will provide, completely free, the "raw material ", the predictors' values. With these values, you can implement fully my method, but also you can use them to build your own models.
I would like to have your comments and feedback, the participation makes us better!
 

Bolton vs Salford City
The international break means that the television coverage focuses on the less high profile leagues. The Friday night game this week is the League Two clash between Bolton and Salford City at 7:45pm GMT at the University of Bolton Stadium. It's not been an overly pleasing start for the home team and they'll be hoping to get a rare win against an away side aiming to get out of this division this season.
Bolton have been covered in remarkable fashion by @Perfect Storm and it would be fair to say that the Trotters aren't exactly enjoying a positive start to their campaign in the fourth tier of English football. Ian Evatt's men are down in 20th place with just 2 wins from their opening 11 league games. The club are still 7 points clear of the relegation zone but that's purely down to Scunthorpe having played 3 games less than the teams around them. It does appear that results are improving though. The team have only lost 1 of their last 5 league games and have only suffered 1 defeat in their last 4 league matches at home. That is a run of results on home turf including 2 clean sheets in their last 4 home games.
Salford City find themselves in a slightly more optimistic position than their opponents for this game. Former manager Graham Alexander was brutally relieved of his duties in the middle of October and he's been replaced by Richie Wellens. The former Manchester United academy graduate has earned high praise for his time spent at Oldham and Swindon as gaffer. It's been encouraging so far with 2 wins from his 2 games in charge but both have been cup action. A 2-0 win after extra-time against non-league Hartlepool and a 2-1 victory away against League One Rochdale in the EFL Trophy. It's hard to make an educated judgement on how he'll set up for this game as he still gets to grips with knowing his best team and formation.
The bookies are backing Salford City but the price being offered shows they're not absolutely confident about it. Bolton are starting to tighten up their results. I feel the difference here could be the new manager bounce for the away side. If Salford City were any shorter then I'd be reluctant but I think at the odds on the market they are worth getting behind for this one.
Salford City to Win @ 2.10 with William Hill
BTTS @ 1.87 with Boylesports

Thanks for your post, @johnkam. Happy for a single link to be posted at the bottom of your posts provided your post itself isn't a cheap PR post. What you have done above is fine by me so look forward to seeing more contributions from you that will help our members maximise any potential profits they can earn from their bets. 

Good Morning!
See analysis here
Levante - Alaves
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Levante to score 1.37 goals and Alaves to score 1.01 goals. So, they expect 2.38 goals in the game and the home team Levante to win by 0.36 goals margin on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Levante to score 1.38 goals and Alaves to score 1.31goals. So, we expect 2.69 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in a very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.07 on average.
Goal-Goal @ 1.83 in Stoiximan
Segunda Division Analysis
Alcorcon vs Fuenlabrada
According to odds offered, the bookies expect (on average) Alcorcon to score 1 goals and Fuenlabrada to score 0.99 goals. So, they expect 1.99 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in a very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.01 on average.
According to our calculations, we expect (on average) Alcorcon to score 1.26 goals and Fuenlabrada to score 1.01 goals. So, we expect 2.27 goals in the game and both teams to straggle for victory in a very competitive match, expected goals difference is 0.25 on average.
Over 1.75 goals @ 2.06 in Stoiximan
 

Good morning,
 
Today's suggestions     Favorites to LAY raceCourse raceTime raceRunners horseName curOdds Redcar 2:20 12 Lydiate Lady 4,00 Sligo 2:55 12 Cliff House 3,50 Perth 3:15 9 Carrolls Milan 3,75 Redcar 3:25 14 Round The Island 3,50 Sligo 3:30 15 Lord Schnapps 3,25 Sligo 4:30 8 Pont Aven 2,10 Sligo 5:05 13 Rudy Catrail 3,50 Goodwood 5:20 10 Pettochside 4,00 Kempton (AW) 7:00 13 Basilisk 2,75     Fav or 2nd Fav to WIN raceCourse raceTime raceRunners horseName curOdds Sligo 4:30 8 Pont Aven 2,10 Redcar 1:45 11 Be Kool 2,37 Redcar 3:25 14 Round The Island 3,50   Horses to Win (Value Bets) raceCourse raceDate raceTime horseName curOdds Redcar 25/9/2019 1:45 Intense Style 8,50 Redcar 25/9/2019 1:45 Thornaby Nash 8,00 Redcar 25/9/2019 2:20 Hard Solution 7,00 Perth 25/9/2019 3:15 Arctic Gold 6,00 Redcar 25/9/2019 3:25 Moonlit Sands 8,50 Sligo 25/9/2019 3:30 Dasmyhoss 5,00 Goodwood 25/9/2019 5:20 Kodiak Attack 7,00 Goodwood 25/9/2019 5:20 Valentino Sunrise 8,50 Goodwood 25/9/2019 5:20 Dream Catching 5,50 Kempton (AW) 25/9/2019 7:00 Kodiac Lass 9,00 Kempton (AW) 25/9/2019 7:00 Dancing Jo 8,50