gg-77

Hope you all headed the advice and got on Toni

Weekend treble 4.66
Vincent Van De Voort 1.66
Dinitri Van De Burgh 1.61
Steve West 1.72
 
 

Nice win by Stevie got 9/4 on day
Alcinas has a good chance in his game, Cristo not been playing well (practise with him here in Tenerife) has had to work a lot last few weeks so not practised much has now left his job to go full time but may be vunerable against Tony

The h2h is 5 years old and stands 2-0 in Strycova's favor but on form this week in Linz Strycova has been poor against Brengle and Fett. Too many unforced errors, too many service games dropped, giving away too many break point opportunities and getting emotional on court. She looks a bit fatigued.
Maria +1.5 sets v Strycova

I hate to write predictions (obviously from my previous posts) but here some for tomorrow  
Singles:
Svitolina -4.5 games against Vesnina @1.83
Svitolina is in top 3 players this year with 48-11 win-loss record (or 81.4 winning %), while Vesnina is with 22-20 (or 52.4 winning %).
To continue Svitolina won 49.4% return points which make her top1 for 2017 calendar, while Vesnina is in 23rd place with 44.9%. As additional Svitolina is top2 with 54.4% total points won after Serena and before Pliskova.
Svitolina has one month time to recover and train after US Open and this is her first tournament since then. She was very solid versus Barty and I'm pretty sure that she could win this more easily if she wanted.
On other hand Vesnina is a mid-range player, she had some difficulties against 99th in the World Duan Y. and she was broke two times in an easy game. She is not a consistent player.
Svitolina drop one service game against Barty, but Barty for me is one of the future top10 players, otherwise, the result might be different.
Prediction: Easy win for Svitolina and to control the match.
J.Ostapenko to beat S.Peng @1.53
Yes, Peng has the home advantage but this doesn't make her winner here. Peng is a very inconsistent player, and if you watched her against Niculescu from 19 games 11 were breaks...
Ostapenko is young and hungry for victories, less experienced but she has the talent to be number1 if she continues to learn and practice more on some aspects (1st serve, 2nd serve, unforced errors and sometimes to be more patience). 
Since US Open Peng has 4 wins and 2 loses, only one of the wins was unexpected from me - against Kvitova but Kvitova after the injury is still searching her rhythm. While Ostapenko is unstoppable, only 1 loss against Barty (future top 10 player :)).
I won't give and percentages here because these two players are very inconsistent in their performance, however, I believe Ostapenko will take this match.
Prediction: Match with a lot of unforced errors, and hopefully Ostapenko will do less
 
Wozniacki to beat Kvitova @1.66
Wozniacki has 43-11 win-loss or 80% winning matches, while Kvitova is with 17-9 or 65%. A lot of statistic for these players but it won't help because Kvitova is still trying to find her best form after the injury.
Kvitova played 6 tournaments after grass over and she had a very good strike on US Open but only this, on all other matches she was very inconsistent and losses from average players. She had to work a lot to beat Kristina Pliskova and Lepchenko which means she is not her best form.
Now for Wozniacki, she played 3 finals and won only one, besides the lost from Sakkari (who played very well this match). Wozniacki is having a very good winning strike. Currently, I think she and Svitolina are on top form at the moment.
Prediction: Tough match for Wozniacki but in my opinion, she will win this one.

A.Cornet - C.Garcia : over21.5 games @1.83
2-way match... both are in very good form, both have a very good winning strike but only one will win this match.
Carcia is on top of her form since US Open and has only one loss against Muguruza. She won Wuhan Open and I guess she will be a little tired despite she started from the 2nd round. Her victories are not against top players but currently, she is consistent and playing good tennis.
Cornet impressed me with her tennis lately and she also is on good strike with two losses since US Open. For me, she is an unpredictable player, one game she is playing really good on the next her unforced errors give the opponent a good advantage and she losing. 
Prediction: Tough game to predict but I think both will fight to proceed further in the next round.

B.Strycova to beat D.Gavrilova @1.83 (Risky)
Didn't have the chance to watch their last games, but Strycova is very experienced and strategic player, she knows how to win matches. I just checked their last meeting on August and saw a lot of breaks.
The percentages of 1st and 2nd serve, return points, etc were almost equal.
Prediction: My two cents on the more experienced player.
Accumulator:
Svitolina to beat Vesnina @1.28
Ostapenko to beat Peng @1.53
Corne vs Garcia : over 8.5 games in 1st set @1.36
Strycova vs Gavrilova: over 7.5 games in 1st set @1.12
==========================================================
Odd: 2.98

Unlucky mate..But what was that..something like 19 outta 20 right ??
Im going against my beloved Chargers tonight..And i fancy the Broncos as well at altitude against the Raiders..And Kansas monday....I hope this is the link for the CBS,Collage   https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/expert-picks/   basketball experts pick page ..were at the bottom commenting..Im The Lucky Limy by the way lol..

*double dime play

Chaves - Tondela
Chaves -0.25 (AH) @ 1.750 SBOBET
Football / Por. Superliga / Kick off: 29 Sep 2017

Slavia-Vitosha
Slavia managed to achieve a good win last weekend which could only boost their confidence.They don't belong to the bottom 3 and should prove it sooner rather than later.They were victorious in the Cup midweek where they rested the core of the team while Vitosha disappointed once again not scoring against Litex.Slavia are not world beaters and are not reliable these days but this pick is based on ''against Vitosha'' rather than ''Pro Slavi'' even though these are games Slavia should be winning.HW @ 1.75 with bet365
 
Beroe-Levski
I can see this game going under 2.5 goals.Levski were wasteful midweek in the Cup and somehow missed a dozen chances to score.They seem nervous when on pressure and tend to miss opportunities.It is rumoured that Obertan won't play so that's a big blow for them.He is the engine and gives the attack sharpness.Beroe on the other hand rely on their defensive stability and will be very cautious not to concede.Their defensive apporach is well known here and can't imagine them going all guns blazing.Levski are solid under Rossi and with Obertan most probably out they will struggle in front.Odds of above evs is must take here.Under 2.5 @ 2.05 with bet365

I'm a cautious game from both sides, so at least not to lose, in my opinion do wrong betting companies, favorites are the few goals
CF MALAGA vs UNION DEPORTIVA LAS PALMAS @@ +2.50 Under, odds 1.95

Hamburg-Leipzig

Early Bet here from me. Why Leipzig become such a Prize - i don´t know. For me it´s actually a lot too High.
I´ve watched both Hamburg Games in Highlights against Augsburg and Cologne. Both they are wining with big Luck. Against Augsburg they must become a Penalty against Him but Referee didn´t allowed them to Augsburg and the win against Colgone was... Big Luck. A lot of Chances here for Cologne in that Game and Hamburg brutally Effecitve on the other Side. But must fair to say. Cologne isn´t acutally in good Form and Leipzig will be in Defensive a hard Nut to crack. So Hamburg showed in both Games big Mistakes in Defensive and also Leipzig have with Werner a Striker who is acutally on Fire and in really good Shape. And also Hamburg will miss Mueller - who was last Seasons best Scorer by injury. So with Mueller Hamburg have maybe some good chances here against Leipzig. But without him - it will be difficult. He was a good Counter Attacking Player but now it will hard for Hamburg to find a Matchplan. For me here Leipzig too strong and i expected not too much rotation because they have to play on Friday against Hamburg and enough Days to rest and become Freshness back to play there First CL Game against Monaco at Home in next Week.

Leipzig @ 2.00 4/10 interwetten

Dunav-Vitosha
1 @Although the standings doesn't show that convincingly,Dunav are way a better team than VItosha who are hopeless.Dunav signed a couple of good players a fw days ago who are ready to play on Sunday(defender and midfielder).They are at home an a rumour suggests that this is their coach last chance if he is to stay in charge.Vitosha will get relegated,no doubt here,and given their 5:20 stats it is impossible for me to see any Dunav not winning this one. 1.40 high stakes;Dunav\Dunav @ 2.10 medium stakes with bet365.
 
Botev-Levski
Levski played really well against Ludogorets and if there weren't a few referee's mistakes they should've grabbed the victory.Levski are well organized under Rossi + they signed a couple of players young and promising players-defender and LM who are expected to feature on Saturday.Botev could be tricky at home where the crowd fully supports them and  makes it difficult for any visiting team,but the selling of Kossoko really cost them much in both defending and attacking department.I think they are still not used to play without him on the field.Levski are yet to concede since Rossi came in and although i am not sure whether they are able to avoid concedeing once again i think Levski look a value bet @ 1.75 with bet365

Hi Ally
I still don't think that we have solved our striking problem. We clearly didn't score enough goals last season & I can't see that improving at the moment.
our new signings are sstill ettling in, and will take a while to get used to the pace of the league.
On paper Watford should beat us, but I'd like to think that we could get something from today. A point would be great, we should be taking something from teams like these if we want to stay up.
I don't care if we lose,so long as we can start scoring.
Evens for Watford looks worth taking. I can only see us getting a draw at best.
I may be tempted to back the half time draw, we should keep things tight for the first half & soak up any pressure.
Hope this helps
Good luck

Early thoughts are that Bournemouth could be worth backing on a +1.5 handicap. City should win but it might be tight, particularly if Bournemouth can score which wouldn't surprise me. Palace Swansea looks like a draw based on the poor start both teams have made to the season - one thing is certain and that's neither team will want to lose even at this early stage in the season. Huddersfield look a great price to continue their good run, particularly as Southampton haven't looked that convincing. West Ham could be worth a play away at Newcastle with the Geordies looking unsettled on and off the pitch and now that Chicarito has found his shooting boots. I'd say Watford are justified favourites at home to Brighton and they should be good for the win. The way that Man Utd are playing they'll beat Leicester, but even so I'd be tempted to back the Foxes on a plus. I certainly think they should be shorter than 10/1 based on how they've played so far.
As for Sunday's games, I expect Chelsea to kick on now after beating Spurs last time out. For all the talk of crisis, Burnley was just one game and despite that game and the criticism of the depth of Conte's squad I think it's worth remembering that they won the league last year despite using very few players. By comparision, Man City have a massive squad and an embarrassment of riches on their bench but that doesn't guarantee success. I think Chelsea will continue to be strong at home this season as they were last season, with Conte putting a premium on good defending and keeping things tight. That's always a platform for success no matter where you are in the league - just ask West Brom for example.
Talking of West Brom, I like their chances against Stoke. Despite the Potters win against Arsenal, I still think they are pretty toothless going forward and that's even more the case when they go away. West Brom are well organised, good defensively and always a threat from set pieces but at the same time not prolific so a 1-0 home win seems most likely to me. I have no idea who to back out of Liverpool Arsenal, but overs and/or BTTS seems a good play based on the defence and attack of both teams. Lastly, I think Tottenham will beat Burnley with something to spare so backing them to cover a handicap could be the way to go. This is an ideal opportunity for Spurs to start to put to bed the idea of a Wembley jinx against a Burnley side that are likely to continue to struggle on the road this season.

Botev-Cherno More
Personally,there is not much between these two right now.Cherno more are topping the div at the moment but they have faced mainly weaker oppositions and beaten them phisycally.They are doing better as udnerdogs because building the play is not their strenght.They feel awkward away from home and going to Botev is rarely and easy thing to do.Botev had a good start to the campiagn in Europa League but somehow slowed things down.They sold their best player Kossoko and now are struggling for goals.Nedelev rarely founds his scoring boots and i cannot see them finishing in top 5 this season.As i said,i can't separate both teams and given how they are performing Draw looks a logical outcome.3.10 with sportingbet
 
Pirin-Levski
These games are usually pretty tight as Pirin as almost every team here really rely on their home games.It has been typical season for them with ups and downs and i think a down is coming.Levski have to be backed after their 2:0 win last round.They are slowly getting their mojo back with Rosi in charge.Their outings haven't been great recently and i suspect this one could be as tougher but the individual class should prevail eventually as it happaned against Vereya-it's just Obertan is full of pace and Gomez is bringing in so much creativity that the forwarders could not miss forever.I think despite Levski's bad away form they will be getting better under Rosi and can't see any reason why can't win this fixture.Pirin will be hard nut to crack but Levski will have the upper hand here.1.72 with sportingbet
 
Septemri-Beroe
Beroe is no doubt a value pick here.Signing Kamburov who is league top scorer was really a good thing for them and many teams will be getting home empty handed.Beroe are no doubt better at home than away but Septemvri is nothing interesting to write home about and Beroe should be winning this more foten than not.Odds of above evs is must take for me.It's true that Beroe are not top 4 team but definetely bigger and better than Septemvri and with Kamburov adding to their attacking capability they should outscore the home side.They might be the only exception who is better on the road than at home with both wins coming away from home soil.Saying all that i think home factor could be well out of the picture which Beroe could embrace.AW @ 2.10 with sportingbet
 
 
 

Hello from Finland.
Interesting fact about SJK Seinäjoki - KR Reykjavik. The away team have booked a hotel in downtown Seinäjoki right next to a local tango/pop festival. Good luck getting a decent sleep tonight.
 
We had a poor start at veikkausliiga and head coach was sacked two times. First issues with the board and the second time poor performances. We have had had scoring issues lately but Aristote "Totti" Mboma is fit again and should be helping with that.
We have a quite new home stadium and expected to be sold out (about 6000) and artificial grass so that is in our advantage as well.
 
Ill take SJK Seinäjoki @ 2,75 Nordicbet
 

With all respect, I have very opposite opinion about Vesely-Fognini game. First of all, Jiri got married two or three weeks ago and seems like all these wedding stuff made his Wimbledon preparation less intense. He played just one game against Pospisil and the statistics for him were awful. And let's come to first round game... I had a bet on Marchenko and he was so close to win the game, but he got injured through the end of the 4th set, called the trainer twice and after that point the game was over for Ukranian. Besides the injury his opponent had, Vesely's performance was pathetic. No rhythm in service, no aces, bad movement, very passive behaviour on rallies. Tbh Jiri shouldn't have been here in normal circumstances. I agree with that you can never trust on Fognini, he can either play an amazing game or make 70 unforced errors but after what I saw from Jiri, this must be Fognini or no bet. My advice to you think twice before place a bet on Vesely.  

My point of view on Champions league - Juventus vs Monaco
    Let's start with some facts:   Juventus: - this is second semi final of Juventus in last 3 seasons! - Juventus was knocked out only once in last 6 semi finals. - Juventus and Real Madrid are the only unbeaten teams in this season's CL. - Juventus conceded only two goals in this season's CL and none of them have come through open play. - Higuain has most prolific campaign of his career in Champions league, as he has scored 5 goals in this season.   Monaco: - they have reached fourth semi final of Champions league. No other French team has made the last four more than once. - Mbappe and Falcao have scored 10 of past 16 CL goals. - In the first leg, Mbappe failed to score for the first time after having started a match in the Champions league. - Monaco have never won in Italy in seven trips. They lost all except one match.   Match facts: - Juventus have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 matches in Champions league. - Juventus are undefeated in their last 13 matches in Champions league. - There have been under 2,5 goals scored in 5 of Juventus's last 6 games. - No side has ever overturned 2 goal first-leg loss in semis. - Monaco haven't won any of three away matches in CL semis.     Juventus have won the first leg with 0-2 and Monaco is in front of mission impossible. We have seen some great come backs in this season of Champions league, but is it possible to do it against the as organised team as Juventus is? In my opinion, the biggest problem of Monaco is, that they have problems with injuries on most important positions of the team. Sidibe and Mendy are key players of the team, and last Champions league match, where they were both able to participate was against Manchester City. They passed BVB, but Juventus is much stronger, especially when it comes to discipline and positioning in defence.      First match: As mentioned Juve won 0-2, but key point was in my opinion idea of Allegri. He surprised with 3-4-3 formation, with Dybala dropping deep in midfield and as Sidibe (left back this time) stayed on his position to cover man of the match for me Dani Alves, Bakayoko needed to stay with Dybala, and because of that Pjanić had an easy job in midfield. He played as maestro, but he was practically free. He was delivering passes from side to side, feeding attackers, wingers, everyone on the pitch. Monaco needed time to adapt to surprise of Allegri. Even Lemar was coming inside to cover midfield of Juventus, but in this case Alves was even more free on "his highway" on right flank. When it looked that Monaco succeeded with adapting to Italians tactic, Dani Alves made his run, and let the ball for Higuain, who took advantage of sleepy Bakayoko and scored. Monaco didn't play bad. They created some decent chances, and they could easily score, but it wasn't their best day in the box. Falcao scored from impossible positions in this season, but he didn't succeed to beat Buffon. Despite the age of Mbappe, he was most dangerous man of Monaco. He had some great moves, but his tries were stopped by amazing Gigi as well. Second goal came after another mistake of Bakayoko, who was pressed by Dani Alves in midfield, and right before the end of the action, Alves assisted Gonzalo for second goal of the match. Once again, we cannot say that Monaco played bad. Both goals came after counter attack of Juventus, but their defence was beaten few times, and if Monaco's conversion rate would be on the level as it was on previous matches, they would have scored maybe even twice. In my opinion, Jardim made mistake with Dirar on RB position. Sidibe is much more dangerous on his, right side, and Almamy Toure is highly capable of playing on LB, even though he is right full back as well. Monaco's amazing tactics were crushed because of that, and their full backs weren't as dangerous as we were used to see in previous matches. Dirar is more or less winger and he had a lot of problems with both - Mandžukić and Sandro and as Bernardo Silva was the guy in front of him, physically both Juventus players were in big advantage.     What can we expect today? For me, the biggest question is if Mendy will be prepared to play or not. That would mean that both of them (Sidibe) would be on their positions and with their pace, strength, and ability to move forward both wing backs of Juventus - Alves and Sandro will need to be much more focused on defensive assignments, while on the other hand there will be more space for individual actions of Lemar and especially Bernardo Silva. Monacao succeeded to make Higuain look terrible in start of the match, but they made to many mistakes in positioning and Argetinian took an advantage of that. And now Bakayoko. His goal against Man City brought them to quarter finals, his performances in this season were amazing till first leg against Juventus, and he will need to prove that it was just a bad day for him, because he shown all his weaknesses in this match. He was more or less responsible for both goals of Juventus and if there were clubs, willing to give 50M and more for this player,  now they are in big doubts about it. He has chance to prove his quality and as he was rested in league, I am pretty sure that he will start the match, even if right after first-leg I thought that experienced Moutinho will play in his role on second match. Juventus have everything in hands. I wouldn't be surprised if they will show up with similar lineup, but with much more defensive oriented Alex Sandro and Dani Alves, so their lineup will look more like 5-4-1, maybe even with Cuadrado in front of Dani Alves, as Columbian played great in defensive role against Barcelona. Khedira is coming back as well, so Allegri will have some options more for midfield. Of course Juventus is stronger and especially more experienced squad which knows how to take advantage of a bad moment of opponent, and that's the biggest problem for Monaco. As I said right after the draw for semis, Monaco will face the toughest opponent for them. Both teams for Madrid would be easier matchup for their style.        What to bet? As you I believe, you are already used to... I won't have any official pick on Champions league. Especially not in this stage of tournament. Odds 1,70 looks pretty solid for Juventus, but I cannot drop the feeling, that Monaco exposed them too many times in the first match, where they weren't on their level. If Jardim will have Mendy back, I am pretty sure that they will cause them even bigger problems and then, even against almighty defence of Juventus, everything can happen. If Mendy will play, I would go with Monaco to score, but odds are simply too low. Looks that bookmakers are afraid of Monaco goal as well. Pinnacle is offering @1,826 for Monaco to score more than 0,75 goals, which means that they need to score twice, that bet is completely won. Is value in opposite site? Maybe, but I wouldn't risk with that.

Hi guys,
I'm 0-2 from yesterday, but let's see today

A.Sevastova - Ka. Pliskova: A.Sevastova + 3.5 hendicap @1.8 / Sevastova to win @2.5

Ka. Pliskova is very tall and slow for this surface. She had a lot of luck against Tsurenko, and only Tsurenko 1st serve and unforced errors were the reasons Pliskova to continue. I don't think she will has this luck against Sevastova.
Sevastova is playing good tennis on this surface, also she is a fighter and I believe she can take this match or a least can win with hendicap.

G. Dimitrov - P. Kohlschreiber: Kohlschreiber to win @2.2
Grigor..... our boy  A lot of up and downs again this year after Australia and Bulgaria journey. Last year he has 4:5 on clay, and this year lost against Struff in Monako for his 1st match on clay. Definitely he has to improve his game on this surface, he has a lot of variety in his arsenal, and I think he cannot choose what to play and in what moment to play it. On other side Kohlschreiber is a big fighter, he has 5 out of 7 titles on this on this surface and he know how to play on clay.
I think it will be tough for Kohlschreiber but I think he can win here.

Also you can try with small stake : G. Dimitrov to win the 1st set and lose the match @8.0

HMB VS LESYA TSURENKO
We move into the second premier mandatory tournament of the year and again we are perplexed and mesmerized with a jigsaw of a draw that is capable of throwing winners from anywhere. Over the years this competition has been known for offering opportunities to the new youngsters to have a go with proving themselves among the very best. The 2017 edition of the tournament has proved to be no different with wild cards given to  Beatriz Haddad Maia, Ashleigh Barty, Natalia Vikhlyantseva, Paula Badosa Gibert and Amanda Anisimova, The two I really have been following with interest is Haddad Maia and Anisimova. The latter with serious huge potential.
I am not going to say anything about Tsurenko because there is nothing to say. On the other hand Haddad Maia just won an ITF tournament at Clare and comes to Miami in threatening form. You might ask what is so threatening about winning an ITF event. A win is a win and it gives birth to confidence. But more importantly it is the trend of the market force that interests me here. I have always said that regardless of form, the odds always determines the outcome of any event, if you can translate it. Tsurenko opened yesterday at 1/4 with Haddad at 11/4, then overnight Tsurenko doubles her opening odds at 1/8 with Haddad at 5/1. This in my translation is a clear positive for Haddad propelled by market forces. As one who sees his reputation most important, I always aim to offer my followers with the safest option to ensure there is a smile on their faces at the end of play. I personally fancy Haddad to even have a decent chance at the out right win. however I will go Haddad to win with a 5.5 games start. 9/10

This week we have 3 tournaments, 2 250 and 1 500. Almost all the top players are taking part in these tournaments. Dubai with RF Murray Stan RBA Monfils and Acapulco with Nadal Nole Thiem Goffin and many more so yeah this week we'll have good tennis. Even if Dubai and Acapulco are on hard court, conditions here tend to be on the slow side which normally should give an edge to good returners especially in Acapulco which is one of the slowest hard court tournaments on tour.
I fancy two players in this first round in Acapulco. The first one being Lorenzi, he will face Yen Hsun Lu. Conditions as I said are on the slow side so this should favour the Italian who has improved considerably on hard court during the last year. Lu is a player more adapted to the fast asian courts so I think he might feel unconfortable in Mexico. Lu is not having a good year so far IMO, he's 3-5 so far, but two of the three matches that he won were due to a big choke from his opponent. Khachanov lost the match himself after being a set and a break up against Lu and then Fratangelo lost it incredibly after being a set and DOUBLE break up. Odds on Lorenzi are now around the 2.5 mark which I consider value. I would make him a slight favourite for this match.
Then the other one I fancy is the Dog, he is facing Cilic in the first round but form of these players is going in different directions. Dolgopolov has had a good run in the South American clay court tournaments, on the other hand Cilic has had a terrible year and he's had massive losses (Brown Kovalik) I might say he hasn't recovered yet from his massive choke in the davis Cup final. Dolgopolov reach the semifinals here last year and he outplayed Tomic during the first two sets. He's playing now on hard after playing two weeks on clay but as I sais conditions here are pretty slow so he might not need too much time to adapt to these conditions. Only concern is that he retired from his last match but I think it was more a precaution. Odds on him are around 3 and I'll have a small bet on him.
Then in Sao Paulo where conditions are a bit quick (altitude) even if its a clay court tournament, I fancy Monteiro against Berlocq. Last year the brazilian lost against eventual champion Cuevas in the QF. He also had a good run in Gstaad last year where conditions are a bit fast due to the altitude. He's around 2.25 so I'll take him to beat Berlocq. He's got a handy draw so I'm also on him to win it all at 30 EW.
2.5 units on Lorenzi to beat Lu at 2.45
2.5 units on Monteiro to beat Berlocq at 2.25
1.5 units on Dog to beat Cilic at 3.1
good luck to everyon this week

I was thinking long and hard about how to approach this year's Australian Open, since I'm going into it -170pts down and that obviously isn't adding to my confidence. That said, I think that "fear is the mind killer" and that one shouldn't be overly cautious just because of a bad streak, especially if the said streak had plenty of near-misses that could've easily turned it into a break-even or even a profitable result.
Now - I think that it's a good idea to do a lot of research and I've also noticed that someone on here requested a longer preview, so why not, let's combine the two, write all the thoughts down, at least for the outrights. Here we go then.
P.S.: Apologies in advance for all grammar, spelling and betting mistakes
Men's Tournament
Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic are the two main favourites in the men's draw and who's to oppose that, right? Well, I don't know really, they didn't look all that great in Doha and I'm looking at you especially, Novak Djokovic. You've hired some sort of a zen buddhist to help you out and you're then raging on the court against much weaker players and getting fined for bad conduct in the final? Sounds like the plan has worked out!
Looking at the first quarter, it might seem like Murray has quite a minefield ahead of himself with both Nishikori and Federer in the same part of the draw, but don't let that fool you. He's a massive favourite to win, because he can meet only one of them! There's Pouille and Isner to trouble him before that, but good luck backing those. No bet.
The second quarter should be much more tense, with Wawrinka not looking like a particularly strong favourite on the face of it. He lost against Nishikori, right? Well, that's not a bad result in my book and he's got all the weapons and he always ups his level for the Grand Slams. The other guys, meanwhile, all have their own issues - Tsonga hasn't looked good recently, Kyrgios is allegedly injured, and Cilic lost against Kovalik in Chennai. This should lead to the logical conclusion that Jack Sock is to be backed here in double-digit and I even wanted to do that really, but I'm really afraid of the heat. It's supposed to be hot in Melbourne and Sock is known for having problems with such conditions - and he's also played way too much tennis recently to be fully fit. No bet.
The third quarter should be between Rafa and Raonic, but there could be many more surprises imo. Zverev could beat Rafa with a bit of luck, Raonic could struggle with fitness, etc. And there's actually a guy that I like this time in Roberto Bautista-Agut. He's got a low profile, but he is a top player in his own right and he's got a good record in Melbourne. Good form as well, so he's worth a shot at long odds imo.
Finally, we get to the fourth quarter, the one where Djokovic is. Why not Dimitrov, however? He played stunning tennis in the first week, he seems to be in a great place mentally, and he's got a soft draw early on, so he should be fully fit going into the possible clash with Djokovic. It will be tough, he will need some luck, but I'm going to give it a shot.
In side-bets, Murray is worth a shot to go further than Djokovic imo, as is Thiem to go further than Berdych and Bautista-Agut to go further than Monfils.
Women's Tournament
As far as the women are concerned, I think that both Kerber and Williams are overrated in the betting, but Kerber probably has the better chance and I certainly wouldn't mind her going all the way to win my pre-season bet on her winning at least one Grand Slam title.
With that, I'm not going to have any bets in the first quarter. Not only do I hope for Kerber to win it, but I also think that she's got every chance to do so. She wasn't great in the warm-up tournaments, but she's got the winning mentality and I think that this would potentially push her over the line against the likes of Kasatkina or Bouchard. Let's give her a chance and hope she delivers without doubling down.
The second quarter has Halep, Kuznetsova and Venus, but I think that it could easily be Svitolina to steal the show, as she has certainly been the best of them all so far in this season. Scrap that, Siniakova has, but she's unproven in Grand Slams and I doubt her mental resilience, sorry. Unless Svitolina breaks down mentally, she could go really really far.
The third quarter is where Karolina Pliskova, the dark horse of the entire event, is. She's got all the weapons, she was mighty impressive in her tournament win two weeks ago, and she has an incredibly soft draw. But yeah, there's also Radwanska, who leads the H2H record between the two by SEVEN wins to NONE and FOURTEEN sets to NONE. Crazy.
The fourth quarter is where all the fun is, plenty of ball-bashers with no plan B and I really enjoy how Wozniacki is there to enjoy it all. She'll get past the first two rounds, but it will be a minefield after that and I don't see her winning the quarter, just doesn't have the game imo. I guess that there's plenty of money going on Williams, but I've got serious doubts about her - come on, she hasn't played a decent match since the US Open and she has a wedding to look forward to! In other news, Cibulkova has apparently just had a death in the family, so that could either boost her or pull her down. Shrewd bets are probably Konta and Strycova, I'll go with the latter.
In side-bets, I'll back Svitolina to go further than Wozniacki and Radwanska to go further than Halep.
Bets
Back Roberto Bautista-Agut to win the third quarter at 18.00 with Unibet
Back Grigor Dimitrov to win the fourth quarter at 8.50 with Coral
Back Andy Murray (vs. Novak Djokovic) at 1.90 with Bet365
Back Dominic Thiem (vs. Tomas Berdych) at 1.83 with Bet365
Back Roberto Bautista-Agut (vs. Gael Monfils) at 1.83 with Bet365
Back Barbora Strycova to win the fourth quarter at 29.00 with Bet365
Back Elina Svitolina (vs. Caroline Wozniacki) at 1.72 with Bet365
Back Agnieszka Radwanska (vs. Simona Halep) at 2.25 with Bet365

Got a bet for tomorrow night in the Sulijovic v Meulenkamp match.
Mensur probably got one of the weirdest actions in World Darts but boy can he play Darts and he has continually improved to be in the top 8 in the World, no one likes playing him and I would be surprised if he doesn't win this match but area of the match I don't think he will win is on the 180's , he rarely hits that many sometimes he goes down to t19 on the third dart or even the bull.
Since the World Matchplay I make it that Sulijovic has hit 52 maxes in 278 legs an average of 1 180 in 5.35 legs in tournament play that I can get stats for. Ron Meulenkamp on the other hand has hit 25 in 79 legs . Meulenkamp had a decent run in the recent Players champs beating Gary Anderson in it so he will looking to give Sulijovic a decent match , he hit 10 maxes in that in 34 legs.
2.5 pts Ron Meulenkamp to hit most 180's at 20/23 Boyles

Thanks Sir Puntalot.
Have one bet for tomorrows action in the match between former Bdo World champion Mark Webster v Joe Murnan.
Its fair to say Mark Webster hasn't fulfilled his promise since when he won his world title and his first few years on the PDC circuit. But ever since his year in the Premier league he hasn't been the same player. You would have expected him to be a top 16 player year on year though he lies in 25 place. Webster best effort this year has been reaching the quarter final in the UK open but otherwise its been nothing special.
But in saying all this Webster has a decent record in the World champs, has reached 2 semi/finals, a quarters and last 16 last year and only lost once in the first round to former world champ Ritchie Burnett. He will more than likely average somewhere between 90 to 95.
Murnan has done ok on the floor tournaments but as far as I can make out has only won 1 match on TV and that was in last years world champs in low quality match v Andy Hamilton apart from that he has lost his others only once averaging in the 90's. In the recent players championship finals where his match was on the non TV board he lost 6-0 averaging 78.
Have to expect that Mark Webster should have a bit too much for Murnan.
2.5pts on Mark Webster to beat Joe Murnan at 8/11 PP.

The big one starts on Thursday with loads of Darts action over the festive period to feast on.
I already posted during the players championship thread my 1 outright bet and that was Peter Wright 16/1 each way and his odds have duly shortened since to 12/1. Basically the last couple of months Wright has been the 2 best player in the world allied to on paper easier half of the draw you would expect either himself or Anderson as the players to come from that side of the draw with Wade and Chisnall as outside threats. The each way part 8/1 is what im really looking at as it is hard to see MVG being beaten this year so will look to lay the 16/1 win part at some stage.
My bet for the opening night is Kevin Painter to beat Jamie Caven, to be honest both players have had poor seasons. Cavan has a poor record on tv especially this year losing his 4 matches on tv whilst Painter is very much a player that plays better on the bigger stage and has a decent World Champs record down the years where he saves his best Darts for. Painter played in the recent players championship losing to Dave Chisnall on the box but it was a good quality match and Painter showed enough to me that he will be ready for the Worlds.
1.25 pts each way at 16/1 on Peter Wright all ready advised
2.5 pts on Kevin Painter v Jamie Caven 1.79 on Betfair