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liveforever31

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Posts posted by liveforever31

  1. Re: Form study & criteria Just been getting into golf betting recently, found this page very useful. Would have loved to have looked at what Golf Observer had to offer, but seems they are migrating their site at the moment. Will consider it when its seemingly back up and running. With golf, what is intriguing me is that certain players have the game for certain types of courses. Nothing new here, but that is the tactic I am going to use. Now, one website I have seen has been doing trends previews of tournaments, saying past winners were ranked in top 60 for GIR, top 60 for driving accuracy etc. What I want to know, is where they get their information from really! Don't know if it is against any forum rules, but it is the guys over at Betting Bias, and an example of one of their previews is http://bettingbias.com/news/golf/wells-fargo-golf-trends (Please delete or edit out if this does go against any rules, apologies in advance). How are they finding out where previous winners were ranked in the various different rankings, at the time of their victories? If anyone can help, it will be greatly appreciated. I'm starting to collect data from now onwards myself, but this is no good for another 5 years at least :lol

  2. Re: The US Masters 2013 - April 11/April 14 My picks for the title have generally been mentioned elsewhere, and they are picked on basis of long drivers, good scoring average, made cut last year, and various other trends already stated. Left me with Rose (23/1), Schwartzel (24/1), Oosthiuezen (37/1), Bubba (45/1), Garcia (54/1). Took win prices on Betfair, and all 2.5pt win. Anyway, my main post is value punts at the leader after round 1 market. Criteria was an early-ish tee time, good 'round 1 scoring average', 'scoring average', and 'driving distance'. 0.5pt e/w Rickie Fowler - 50/1 Will Hill 15:56 tee time, ranked 46 for round 1 scoring average, 13 for scoring average overall, and drives OK at 128 in PGA tour ranking. Always struck me as one who likes to get out the blocks early. He also played an audacious trick shot off the water at the par 3 yesterday, which perhaps while not getting over-excited with, suggests his confidence is certainly high. Been steady, if not spectacular, the past two years here, but he clearly has the ability to put a score up. 0.5pt e/w Russell Henley - 100/1 Betfred 13:11 tee time, ranked 13 for 1st round scoring average, 34 overall, and 57 driving distance. Not a player I know a great deal about, but his stats tick a lot of the boxes I was looking for, and a lovely price. His first time here, but has been impressing this year at the Sony Open, breaking the scoring record by 4 shots (!), so perhaps he'll have the adrenalin running to go out there a put a score up first time here, but perhaps not sustain over the weekend as tiredness and lack of experience kick in. 0.5pt e/w John Senden - 150/1 BetVictor 15:12 tee time, ranked 62 for 1st round scoring average, 66 overall, and 91 driving distance. Figures don't scream winner, but perhaps they won't for a 150/1 shot. He just looks a steady option to me, who if he pulls it together, then may fancy being at the right end of the leaderboard. He doesn't have a great Masters record (he's never made the cut!!!) but perhaps on the flip side, he has plenty of experience of playing here. 0.5pt e/w Kevin Na - 175/1 BetVictor 13:22 tee time, ranked 58 for 1st round scoring average, 56 overall, and 184 driving distance. Again, not as impressive figures as for Fowler, but I think that's a juicy price. What swung it for me was a cracking tee time, and he putts well, so again its another that if he gets out the blocks, he has the ability to set a good score. I have a bit of a soft spot for Na too, so perhaps a bit 'hunch-y' this bet. Did finish T12 here last year though, so clearly has some ability to do well round this course. Probably all come nowhere near, but for small stakes and a firm interest in R1, why not!? Good luck all.

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