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About wichuda

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 07/25/1970

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  1. Fader- I think you mean High Scores. I do agree can't see any player getting to double digits around here as a winning score. Long could be the key but you also need to be accurate. Torrey Pines South Course and Quail Hollow look to be the 2 courses that are most similar and have form lines tied in with players who have done well at Bethpage in the past. So the easy starting point is Justin Rose who won at Torrey Pines and was 3rd at Quail. Jason Day won both those tournaments last year but has not been completely at his best this year so far. One player that really interests me is Joel Dahmen- 9th at Torrey Pines and 3rd at Quail. His average length off the tee is 291yds T113 on the Tour BUT apart from Paul Casey who sits 77th in driving distance he is the only player in the Top 20 for driving accuracy. He is from Washington which is another big plus and his 2nd at Quail shows he is not only playing the best golf of his Pro career he could also be suited by this course. Looking at the weather forecast with the overnight rain not due to stop until 6am this could give the afternoon Tee times an advantage on the first day. 350/1 + on Betfair 175/1 1/5 first 10 Skybet (150/1 1/5 first 10 Betfair) 20/1 Top 10 and 13/2 Top 20 all look good prices. Gary Woodland and Justin Harding are also worth some £'s too.
  2. 1 from 3 at the last tournament but still a profit of 1 point on a 1 point Level stake. Swapping over to the PGA Tour this time: Top 20 Song Moon Bae @ 5/2 (888 Sports) OWGR 327- Has not done that much this season but has only been back after National Service for this season. Past winner here and is coming off a win and a 3rd on the lower Tour so could be now coming back to the player he was. Also course is ideal for his game. Chez Revie @ 9/4 (Various) OWGR 62- Been patchy this season but finished 13th, 22nd and 17th over the last 3 years at this tournament. Seems to come good at these events after the Tour Championship up until end of year, only finished once outside Top 20 last year and that was 24th at HSBC Champions event.
  3. Not really a great event for Top finishes but Billy Horschel looks over priced at 2/1 (Skybet) for a Top 10 considering he has only played here twice, winning and a 7th. Been a bit in and out all season but is coming off a 3rd at the last tournament.
  4. 50% last week at the KLM showing a profit of 5 points on a 1 point Level stake. My selections this week are: Top 20 Benjamin Hebert @ 16/5 (Betfair Sports) OWGR 167-Finished T11th at the KLM last week, did not play here last season but had a T10th in 2016 and is a much better player now. Could easily follow up last weeks good performance. Mikko Korhonen @ 3/1 (Various) OWGR 119- Been patchy this season but did finish last year OWGR 246 so has improved. Seemed to come to form just in time for this event with a T24th at the KLM. Only finished 46th here last year but was T3rd 2017 and T9th in 2016 on his first 2 try's at the course. Top 30 Nicolas Colsaerts @ 10/3 [(Betfair Sports) Price change but Top 20 is still 7/2 Various] OWGR 173- Dropped down the rankings this season after finishing 2017 on OWGR 103. Has played this event 7 times with 4 Top 20 finishes including a T12th Last season. Only 64th last week but that came after a 23rd and 27th, hence going for Top 30.
  5. I am a Top finish punter rather than your win and E/W. This tournament has only been played on this course for the last 2 years so form is scarce. My selections for this week are to finish in the Top 20: Richard Mcevoy @ 7/2 OWGR 143- never played this tournament last year but had a tied 20th in 2016 and showed he is in reasonable form with a tied 16th finished at the Omega last week, David Horsey @ 7/2 OWGR 208- Finished T38th last year and T4h in 2016 and not a bad T24th last week at the Omega. Jorge Campillo @ 7/2 OWGR 86- Ended 2017 with an OWGR of 211 so has had a good season, only a T48th here last year but did have a T24th in 2016. Shocking opening round and closing rounds last week to finish only T55th at the Omega but is over priced for a player of his quality in this field. Phachara Khongwatmai @ 7/2 OWGR 250- Ended last year at 159 (only 18 years old) but played poorly most of the season until recently hitting a very good patch of form, last 3 finishes have been T8th, T12th and T9th. Missed cut here last year but this 19 year old imo is going to be one of the best players to come out of Thailand ever, maybe a Top 50 player in the next 2 years and is the youngest ever player to win a professional tournament at just 14 years old. Level stakes mean Only need one player to make the Top 20 to show a profit. GOOD LUCK.
  6. Re: Champions League Final > Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid > Saturday May 24th Even If I thought Real would win this match I would still bet on Atletico because as a gambler you HAVE to look at the price and not Just what your personal opinion is when the prices are totally wrong. Yes Atletico are probably going to be without Turan and Costa but as someone has already said they lost them very early on against Barca and went 1-0 behind but still managed to come out in the 2nd half and play the best 20 minutes of football you will see in perhaps a couple of times in a decade. The two games against Real in the League have resulted in a 1-0 win where they were not put under much pressure and a 2-2 draw which on a day if luck had gone with them Instead of Real would have been 4-1 or even 5-1. As a gambler at the end of the game If I were to look back I would be much happier having lost £500 @ 3/1+ than losing £20 @ 23/20. Hopefully It will be a good game but on the betting side there has only been one bet for me as soon as Aletico lifted that title last week as there confidence will be even higher
  7. Re: The Players Championship > May 8 - 11 ROBERTO CASTRO Top 10 @ 16.0 & Top 20 @ 7.5. Has been on the tour proper for 3 seasons and has finished in the Top 25 22 times out of 70 events played. Looks to be a streak player on the evidence from those 3 seasons so it is not only good he finished 8th at the Wells Fargo but he also finished Tied 19th at this event last year.
  8. Re: Champions League Final > Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid > Saturday May 24th possibly but I am sure Athletico would rather be in the situation a week before this game that it makes no difference at all what happens against Barcelona, for one it gives them an extra week to prepare and for any players with niggles to get over them
  9. Re: Champions League Final > Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid > Saturday May 24th Can't possibly have a bet in this race until La Liga has been decided as could make a lot of difference on what the mental condition of each team go in to it in. If Athletico win there game away at Levante and home to Malaga they will have won the league and the Barcelona game will make no difference, they would be high on confidence and would become a much more viable bet. If they don't win those games and the Barcelona game becomes crucial and they lose it and Real snatch the title from them they will not be feeling that great and Real would have a very big Incentive to win the double. Price wise at this time it looks Irrelevant what team you actually think will win or who your favourite team is as Athletico are the only possible bet because the game has been priced up ludicrously one sided on what the 2 teams have actually done so far this season
  10. Re: Chelsea v Atlético de Madrid > Wednesday April 30th For those of us who know about football it was expected :D so we have to say thank you to those who don't :sad for pushing out the price to 13/5. As it turned out all Atletico needed was a bit of a kick in the butt to get them going because once the equaliser went in it was a complete route no natter what Mourinho said Chelsea were in charge of that tie away and home for no more than the amount of time they were in front.
  11. Re: Chelsea v Atlético de Madrid > Wednesday April 30th 13/5 on a team with a season that Athletico have had is way to big, they have proven all season that playing the big teams away is no problem. It is hard to see how Chelsea will break them down and if Athletico get the first goal the tie will be over because Chelsea Just will not score 2 against this team. Maybe the safest bet is the 6/4 on Athletico Draw not bet. A few here seem to be Judging Athletico on the one game that they have seen them against Chelsea. Chelsea played well to keep it to 0-0 and that was one of Athletico's poorest performances. that could have been down to the negative tactics Chelsea played but Athletico will not play that badly twice. They had a relatively easy game at the weekend and now know a win against Levante away and Malaga at home will secure La Liga for them which takes the pressure off to a little extent knowing the Barcelona game could not matter.
  12. Re: Atlético de Madrid v Chelsea > Tuesday April 22nd odds have everything to do with value low odds have nothing to do with value, value is a personal opinion so value on any odds can be argued either way. You say Athletico are not value at their price, before the bookies priced this game up I had Athletico at 4/7 to win the first leg maximum so was amazed that you could get above evens when the markets first opened. Even at there price now they are still value to win tonight but I have them at 2.0> so will not be adding. Chelsea are going to get routed tonight against what is one of the best all round teams we have seen in Europe for some time
  13. Re: Atlético de Madrid v Chelsea > Tuesday April 22nd I am going to stick my neck out here and say I see It a lot different to quite a few on here. I think Athletico are one of the best all round sides I have seen in Europe in 20 years, there defensive record in such a strong league and in Europe this season is 2nd to no ones in the past decade. There midfield might not have the skill of some of the great teams in the past but there has not been a harder working one that I can remember. There strike force is formidable especially with Costa back. People and the bookmakers did not give them credit against Barcelona in either game in the CL. I think they have played Barcelona 4 maybe even 5 times this season and have not lost to them, they absolutely destroyed Real on one of there games and were unlucky to come away with a 2-2 draw on there other. Personally I think Chelsea are going to get absolutely destroyed tomorrow and will be lucky to keep it below 3 as Athletico will want to get as much of a lead as they can even though I think they are quite capable of winning the return leg as well. There is no team in the English premiership that are near this team and Chelsea wont know what's hit them in the first 20 minutes. 10/11 for Athletico to qualify is a massive price and with PP special refund bet tomorrow on any correct score if the game does turn into a draw its worth having a go at 3-0, 4-0, 5,0 and maybe a couple of those to 1